The three-weekly YouGov federal poll records little change on last time, with two-party preferred steady at 50-50 from primary votes of Labor 30% (steady), Coalition 38% (steady), Greens 14% (up one) and One Nation 8% (steady). Anthony Albanese’s personal ratings are also unchanged at 41% approval and 53% disapproval, but Peter Dutton is down four on approval to 38% and up three on disapproval to 51%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 47-36, out from 44-37. The poll also finds an 84-16 split in favour of the proposition that workers have a right to strike for better wages and job security. It was conducted Friday to Tuesday from a sample of 1500.
There are also two state voting intention results from RedBridge Group, both combining two waves of polling in February and May:
• As reported in the Herald Sun, a poll for Victoria credits Labor with lead of 55-45, out from 54-46 in the last such poll in March, contrasting with the recent bi-monthly Resolve Strategic result which suggested the Coalition had moved into the lead. The primary votes are Labor 35% (down one), Coalition 38% (steady) and Greens 14% (up four). Kevin Bonham on Twitter notes that these primary votes suggest a 53-47 result based on a crude application of flows from the last election, but pollster Kos Samaras says the cumulative “others” pool has moved leftwards because “most of the right-wing minor party votes have shifted to the Coalition”. A full accounting of the results from the pollster should be along shortly. (UPDATE: The pollster has published the full result together with a full account of its “others” pool).
• The second poll such poll is for Queensland, and it maintains Labor’s run of diabolical polling there ahead of an election in October. The Liberal National Party is credited with a two-party lead of 57-43 from primary votes of Labor 28%, LNP 47% and Greens 12%. The poll has a sample of 880, and is somewhat at odds with a union-commissioned uComms polling provided last week to The Australian’s Feeding the Chooks column, conducted on May 14 from a sample of 2400, which found Labor had gone from 26.9% to 30.0% from an earlier poll April, while the LNP had gone from 35.1% to 33.7%, the Greens from 13.0% to 10.9% and One Nation from 10.0% to 5.2%, with undecided down from 16% to 10%.
Latest news related to the various federal redistributions in progress, following last week’s publication of draft boundaries for Victoria and Western Australia:
• The Australian Electoral Commission has announced the proposed new federal boundaries for New South Wales, which will involve the abolition of one of the state’s 47 seats, will be published “around lunchtime” on Friday.
• Suggestions the redistribution proposal for Victoria may have strengthened the Liberals in Kooyong prompted a flurry of speculation concerning a comeback by Josh Frydenberg, with Josh Butler of The Guardian reporting on divided opinions within the party. Seemingly the only one to go on the record was soon-to-retire Queensland member Karen Andrews, who spoke approvingly of the idea, which would potentially have been helpful to a Frydenberg comeback given one of the chief obstacles is the optics involved in deposing an already preselected female candidate, Amelia Hamer. Antony Green was initially invoked as having calculated the seat had been strengthened for the Liberals, which many had taken as read given blue-ribbon Toorak was part of the area to be gained from abolished Higgins, but he shortly clarified it was not possible to infer independent member Monique Ryan’s level of support in areas where she was not on the ballot paper in 2022. The matter was shortly resolved in any case when Frydenberg declared his support for Hamer. Aaron Patrick of the Financial Review reported Frydenberg had commissioned Freshwater Strategy to poll the seat “several times”, with party sources saying the results “didn’t indicate he’d win”.
• The proposed abolition of Higgins has prompted suggestions defeated former Liberal member Katie Allen, who had again been preselected for the seat, will instead contest Chisholm, despite the party already having a candidate for that seat in Monash councillor Theo Zographos. Josh Ferguson of The Australian reports the party will challenge the abolition of Higgins in its submission in response to the proposed new boundaries. The report further says a political foundation established by the seat’s former member, Peter Costello, to help fund campaigning in the seat “is being eyed by Liberal bean counters to help stave off a feared collapse in fundraising capacity for the party”. A Liberal source is quoted saying the fund was established to ensure the money “was not ultimately seized by a factional rival”.
There is available to those adversely affected by Robodebt the tort of malfeasance by public officials. I’m sure the Cth, being a model litigant, would quickly fold.
The light at the end of the Renewables tunnel is virtually free, unlimited power.
The light at the end of the Nuclear/Coal/Gas tunnel? Can you even see it?
That’s before a bushfire or flood comes down it.
Did wee Adam condemn the initial action which led to so many Gazans losing their lives?
*crickets*?
The Greens are Labor’s vanguard, imo.
They’ll smoke out the Labor moderates, Labor will lose a few elections, then return to Government with an even more anti-Australia line-up and agenda.
Mavis, afterall, the Cth is most at ease with using public monies to make awkward issues go away.
Kirsdarke @ #588 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 2:54 pm
How about David Cameron again? 😉
Badthinker @ #606 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 3:58 pm
Absolute crap.
Davidwh
I am with you…No moral high ground for any of the participants in the current conflict in Gaza….just tribal warfare…at least that is how it appears.
I must say claims that manufacturers of bits of planes somehow have some accountability for above conflict is about as silly as it gets….
Perhaps Toyota should be condemned for building utes and trucks that many armed groups (say insome African states) turn into ‘weapons of war’ merely by loading up a heavy machine gun in the backs of said utes?
Long weekend – does newspoll come out on a Sunday or do they hold over to Monday night ?
Rex Douglas:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 3:59 pm
No argument there, though when discussing those who’ve been to hell and back, it’s good the Cth has deep pockets.
It would be unusual to get a Newspoll on a long weekend Lars. Think it will be next weekend
One would reasonably expect the Govt would seek assurance that exports of a particular purpose will be ethically used and used in accordance with international laws.
Failure to seek such assurance would be highly irresponsible.
Eg. live animal exports, weapons components…
Lars Von Trier:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:03 pm
I’m not sure but it’s not a public holiday in Queensland.
We celebrate His Majesty’s birthday with gusto on Oct 7, five weeks before his actual birthday on Nov 14.
“Oh, and never forget the late Intel chief executive Andy Grove’s celebrated injunction: in the digital world, only the paranoid survive.”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/08/qr-code-scammers-phishing-quick-response-cybersecurity
Look before you scan – the QR code scammers are phishing for business | John Naughton
15 days time it will be 14 years since Rudd resigned and our first female PM was sworn in.
Albo will have been in the hot seat 2 yrs 33 days, if he lasts.
Imo, Labor need a reset.
Badthinker Labor are a first term government, they have consistently lead in the polls, they are facing an opposition leader who is almost unelectable and most importantly they are doing stuff.
Can’t see they need much of a reset at this time.
C@tmommasays:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 3:58 pm
Did wee Adam condemn the initial action which led to so many Gazans losing their lives?
================================================
He did at the time, though he didn’t repeat it ad nauseam for the next 8 months as some have.
https://x.com/6NewsAU/status/1713756682495668289
davidwhsays:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:20 pm
Badthinker Labor are a first term government, they have consistently lead in the polls, they are facing an opposition leader who is almost unelectable and most importantly they are doing stuff.
Can’t see they need much of a reset at this time.
=============================================
Badthinkers 3rd of August election prediction is getting close to the 6 weeks off mark. He possibly stupidly believes his postings can fulfil his very dubious prophecies i suspect.
davidwh
Rudd was leading the polls too, Abbott was ‘inelectable’, Labor was ‘doing stuff’, there was a reset.
Badthinker but Rudd was a QLD’er so dispensable. Seriously I think Labor has learned from that debacle.
Badthinker:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:16 pm
There’s scant evidence that Albanese is in trouble – within his party or in the electorate. Granted, some of the polls
have it close but Labor will not again make the mistake of
dumping its leader in term. Nice try, but no banana.
‘C@tmomma says:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 3:58 pm
Did wee Adam condemn the initial action which led to so many Gazans losing their lives?
*crickets*?’
————–
Yes.
Rev Al Sharpton on fire against Byron Donalds:
https://youtu.be/tgFE9aTJ4I8?si=64YRPiTHFtfZfv4w
Sharpton is as racist as they come.
Conservatives must really be concerned that the Prime Minister will get another term. They keep on trying to will his political defenestration. 😀
FUBAR @ #626 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 4:39 pm
😆 😆 😆
You’ve really lost the plot, FUBAR.
He’s a more erudite, learned man than you will ever be. And I can tell you jumped to your White Orwellian trope about Black ‘racism’ without even watching the clip. Shame on you.
doyley says:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 3:42 pm
Ruinables are receiving significant subsidies to make them cheap. Why shouldn’t nuclear?
FUBARsays:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:39 pm
Sharpton is as racist as they come.
=============================================
While i have no specific knowledge of Sharpton. Are you going to provide any information at all to back your statement?.
If i wrote ” FUBAR is as racist as they come”. With out providing any evidence of my assertion. I should be rightfully condemned by you and others on here. For making a nasty unsupported accusation. Why should your claim here be seen as any different?.
‘FUBAR says:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:46 pm
doyley says:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 3:42 pm
Ruinables are receiving significant subsidies to make them cheap. Why shouldn’t nuclear?’
———————
Some thoughts come readily to mind:
Opportunity cost.
Average delay 10 years plus.
Average cost overrun 300% plus.
Uninsurable.
Price per unit orders of magnitude greater.
FUBARsays:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:46 pm
doyley says:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 3:42 pm
Ruinables are receiving significant subsidies to make them cheap. Why shouldn’t nuclear?
====================================================
Another unsupported statement i see. Actually you can burn dried BS. Maybe you could be an energy source too?. As you seem to have a good supply of it today.
Entropy says:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:46 pm
There’s more than enough public examples. You can look them up.
The latest from Patrick Boyle: Election Chaos!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTwGBvy06K8
Ruinables! Seriously?
There’s certainly some very weird morality around these days Tricot, that’s for sure. I just shake my head in wonderment at times at the sheer stupidity of it.
FUBARsays:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:52 pm
Entropy says:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 4:46 pm
There’s more than enough public examples. You can look them up.
====================================================
The do your own research answer. An answer that always makes me incredibly confident that original poster has done theirs, not.
Alternatively it tends to mean any source saying that is likely to be from some dodgy RWNJ. So i probably should just google Chris Uhlmann as he certainly fits the criteria.
Scant evidence Mavis?
-12 net approval rating on YouGov. Similar in most polls albeit last newspoll was an improvement on personal ratings.
– Labor Primary worse than last election – on some polls already sub 30
– Minority Government is a likely outcome and we all know how the last one played out for the ALP.
= downside risks of the economy being worse next year
Of course if your the Federal ALP and your happy – damn the torpedoes and carry on. The unspoken question is does a change deliver a better outcome.
Nine Entertainment Co chairman and former treasurer Peter Costello has resigned from his role and stepped down from the company’s board.
Costello, who was appointed in 2016, will be succeed by current deputy chair Catherine West.
In an email to all staff on Sunday afternoon, CEO Mike Sneesby said the board wished to thank Costello for his contribution to Nine over more than a decade, including eight years as chairman.
https://www.9news.com.au/national/nine-entertainment-co-chairman-peter-costello-resigns/2567b13f-883e-43f0-a1c5-e574462bff07
Entropy @ #630 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 4:51 pm
Labor’s Capacity Investment Scheme is a subsidy for renewables. And apart from the fact that Labor won’t tell anyone how much this scheme is going to cost, there’s nothing wrong with that because renewables have to compete against fossil fuels, which are of course massively subsidized.
The real question is why do we continue to subsidize fossil fuels? There is no rational justification for doing this any longer.
Politicians should listen more to science experts and less to their political donors.
Holdenhillbilly @ #637 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 5:05 pm
Sin-binned for a shoulder charge?
Wow Costello managed out of 9.
P1 10 minutes in the sin bin would have been adequate. 🙂
Well there you go. Peter Costello is out.
Entropy:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 5:01 pm
You are I think a relatively new contributor to this site. In my view, it’s better to state your argument, without feeling the need to get personal, exampled by your response to FUBAR, at 4.51 pm.
_________________________________
Ol’ Pa Costello has stepped down as chair of 9Fax.
The scandal at 9 probably needed a head on a platter. But I doubt that anyone expected to be that high up. I would have thought that it would have been a director level head. I guess that Costello’s fairly minor scrap in Canberra airport was enough to say it was Costello’s head in the end. He is 66 after all and might be better off going off to do something else.
FUBAR @ #633 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 4:52 pm
I did. I went to an authoritative source:
Why do people consider Al Sharpton a racist?
A racist is someone whose actions are reflective of their opinion that their race is superior. I believe the correct term you are looking for is bigot. Al Sharpton has made many bigotry based remarks over the years.
https://www.quora.com/Is-Al-Sharpton-the-biggest-racist-in-America?
You’re welcome. 🙂
Player Onesays:
Sunday, June 9, 2024 at 5:07 pm
Entropy @ #630 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 4:51 pm
==================================================
FUBAR was implying if nuclear was subsidised it would be as cheap as any of the others. Which is total rot. If they are all subsidised to the same degree. Renewables would still be cheapest, followed by fossil fuels and still a long way behind those nuclear.
Only 66. Wonder if he want to get into politics?
Rex Douglas @ #641 Sunday, June 9th, 2024 – 5:08 pm
That Same Same argument from Bandt and his boosters is getting tired, boring and predictable. Not to mention it’s wrong.
Adam Bandt needs to be managed out