The fortnightly Essential Research poll has all the main players up on the primary vote, with the Coalition up two to 36%, Labor up one to 32% and the Greens recovering the three points they lost last time to return to 13%. Room is made for this by a two-point drop in the undecided component to 4% and a three point drop for One Nation to 5%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has Labor and the Coalition tied on 48%, with the balance undecided, after the Coalition led 47% to 46% last time. The monthly leadership ratings record little change for Anthony Albanese, steady on 43% approval and down one on disapproval to 47%, while Peter Dutton is down three on approval to 41% and up one on disapproval to 42%.
An occasional reading of national mood records a slight improvement on April, with 34% thinking the country headed on the right track, up two, compared with 49% for the wrong track, down one. Also featured are a series of questions on artificial intelligence and one on the impact of large technology companies, with 47% thinking them mostly negative for young people compared with 19% for positive, and 68% supporting an increase in the age limit on social media platforms from 13 to 16. Sixty-two per cent supported making hate speech a criminal offence with only 16% opposed, and 50% supported a weekend a month of national service for eighteen year olds consisting of paid full-time military placement, with 25% opposed, reducing to 46% and 26% for unpaid volunteer work. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1160.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll reverses a dip for Labor last week, their primary vote up two-and-a-half points to 31% with the Coalition down a point to 36%, the Greens down one to 14% and One Nation down one-and-a-half points to 4.5%. Labor now leads 52-48 on the respondent-allocated two-party preferred measure, after trailing 51.5-48.5 last time. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1579.
Also out this week is the Lowy Institute’s annual poll focusing on international issues, which affirms last year’s finding that Japan, the United Kingdom and France are trusted to act responsibly in the world, the United States, India and Indonesia a little less so, and China and Russia not at all. Joe Biden’s net rating turned negative, 46% expressing confidence, down thirteen on a year ago, and 50% lack of confidence, up twelve. Enthusiasm for Volodomyr Zelenskyy was off its earlier high, confidence down twelve to 60% and lack of confidence up seven to 29%, though this notably compares with 7% and 88% for Vladimir Putin, while Xi Zinping was at 12% and 75%. Fifty-six per cent rated the government as doing a good job on foreign policy compared with 41% for poor. The survey was conducted March 4 to 17 from a sample of 2028.
JWS Research’s quarterly-or-so True Issues issue salience report finds little change in the most important issues since February, with cost of living one of five issues nominated by 80% of respondents, well ahead of health on 58% and housing and interest rates on 55%. Nineteen per cent rated that the economy was heading in the right direction, unchanged on February, compared with 40% for the wrong direction, up one. An index score of the Albanese government’s performance records a two-point improvement to 47% after its lowest result to date in February.
he Reserve Bank of Australia’s governor says the federal government’s proposed $300 energy bill relief will not have a “material” impact on reducing inflation, but is also unlikely to make inflation worse.
Appearing at a Senate estimates hearing in Parliament House on Wednesday morning, the RBA governor told the committee that the measure — a centrepiece of May’s federal budget — was unlikely to reduce inflation to a point that would lead to potential rate cuts.
Responding to Nationals Senator Matt Canavan, Michele Bullock said the central bank would “look through” the rebate’s impact on underlying inflation, which is the RBA’s preferred measure.
“The government’s rebate … might affect people’s expectations, and it also might affect prices that are indexed,” Ms Bullock said.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-05/rba-governor-energy-bill-relief-unlikely-to-affect-inflation/103938136
Science is not part of Labor’s future planning. Obvious when their priority is new fossil fuel projects.
The duopoly working in the way they prefer.
Labor prefers Australia to be a country where science needs, discoveries should not be funded. Labor does not want to use science to drive future knowledge, businesses.
Much better to waste $billions on businesses making good profits on rorting the NDIS. As well as consultancy firms PWC and KPMG, where coincidently ex Labor AWU secretary Paul Howes works.
One of the Faceless men, with Bill Shorten, Don Farrell who got the numbers for the coup against popular PM Kevin Rudd, in June 2010.
Leading to the minority Gillard government (run by Shorten, Gillard knew she had to agree with the coup leaders, what policies they wanted) and then 3 Labor losses – 2013, 2016, 2019.
And you can be sure these same MPs, still in politics, are driving Labor policy in the Albanese government.
Hundreds of jobs at CSIRO are under threat as part of the national science agency’s plans to make Australian research more “sustainable” in the future.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jun/05/csiro-australia-job-cuts-fears-union-warning-science-agency?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
‘The public sector union expects more than 500 jobs across corporate services and some research units to be cut in the coming months, while warning the “gutting” of CSIRO could mean hundreds more might be on the horizon.
A majority of the redundancies are expected to target some of the 1,600 support roles within the agency’s ESS unit, covering finance, business development, commercialisation, health and safety, and Human Resources
But cuts to the health and biosecurity team will also leave the future of a newly built million-dollar research facility in Sydney’s Westmead in the balance as CSIRO reviews its national “property footprint”.
The May federal budget papers show the national science agency will receive $916.5m for 2024-25, a $92m decrease in funding from the previous year’s $1bn.’
Labor wants to save money somewhere, but certain businesses the new Labor Party policies prefer are continually allowed good payments from the taxpayer. To run services. More expensive than if they were run from government without this business for profit middleman.
And. How much money, $billions has Labor given to supporting new fossil fuel, coal and gas projects? To the US and UK to help their economy for a deposit for nuclear powered submarines?
Amateurs, duds in charge. Labor does not want Australia to be a clever country.
‘Irene says:
Wednesday, June 5, 2024 at 7:18 pm
Science is not part of Labor’s future planning.
….’
——————–
Excellent point as usual.
Dutton?
Talks tough; acts slack.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/article/2024/jun/05/peter-dutton-referred-national-security-watchdog-abdul-benbrika
Following today’s Redbridge poll, it would seem that it doesn’t matter who leads Labor up here – it’s time, even though Crisafulli has endorsed the budget, sight unseen. I’m sure David’s not as boring as he presents.
https://www.9news.com.au/national/queensland-election-labor-facing-wipeout-exclusive-poll/0e603cde-76de-4446-825c-8e576b78af74
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-06-05/qld-opposition-david-crisafulli-lnp-budget-commitments-labor/103936884
#Redbridge #qldpol (state) LNP leads 57-43 primaries ALP 28 LNP 47 (don’t have remaining primaries yet). Net favourability Crisafulli +14 Miles -11 vai Kevin Bonham & Ch 9
Good.
We can apply that to Australia’s CO2 emissions as well.
Wasn’t there a Union poll for Queensland that said the ship wasn’t sinking?????
Who to believe?
While I’m dubious about the union poll, this one from Redbridge dates from three months ago.
It seems no matter what the Qld government does it will be tossed out. This 28% seems to be baked in now and the LNP leadership is taking a no risks policy. They will agree with everything ALP is doing , promise to be more heavy on crime then rip into it when they get in. They won’t give Miles anything to pin them with a bit like Newman ten years ago. It amazes me how much trust Qlders are putting in this lot without even knowing what’s on the menu.
Nicholas,
You are certainly not self-aware enough to realise it, but you throw around casual misogyny to make political points in a way that contributes to the problem of femicide by intimate partners in Australia, which has been running at about 1 woman per week for years. Let me explain:
I will address the “not entirely rational” bit in another post.
So the “making it about herself bit”:
Firstly, to set the context, on the evening of 4th May, a couple of posters expressed the opinion that “Irene” was likely a bot that was programmed to post anti-Labor diatribes. After a few other posters had said some stuff, I posted saying that I thought it was quite likely, but also some pointers that I have gleaned from my professional experience to help decide between nay, or yay.
In fact one poster afterwards thanked me for the clear explanation of the difference between AI and Machine Learning. [And I suspect it was this post that really directed Nicholas’ ire towards me. If I had any credibility, it may harm the Greens’ cause?]
The discussion then moved on to bots and why would you use PB to train them.
So, I was bemused to login to PB the next day to find that Nicholas had posted the following tawdry, sexualised fantasy about why I “irrationally” vote Labor, when obviously I should vote Green.
My first thought was to laugh at Nicholas’ post, because he got my formative years totally wrong. My friends and I still have our “Shame Fraser Shame” badges.
But my second thought, was, why, given that I did not initiate the discussion, and that many others partook, why single me out?
Because I was the only person in the technical discussion who was “self-declared” female? And he used the pronoun “she”.
He could have had a go at any of the male posters who also contributed to the discussion about Machine Learning and whether bots are being trained on PB, but I was singled out.
My arguments were not challenged, just my right to hold an opinion as a woman. Because, as a woman, I was an easy target. So easy that he constructed a tawdry, sexualised fantasy to discredit me.
My third thought, which prompted my response about 24 hours later, was that Nicholas was pissed off because someone had appreciated my reasoned discussion about bots, AI and Machine learning, perhaps giving me credibility.
So, I can only ascribe Nicholas singling me out as unconscious misogyny.
It was this third thought though, about the (dangerous) unconscious misogyny demonstrated by Nicholas, that led me to, about 24 hours after his post, tell the truth about my life in the time when he assumed I was living a perfect young adult’s life in a share household in Newtown, while studying maths and physics (I wish :().
During these years in which Nicholas constructed my fantasy life, I found myself in a relationship where increasing coercive control (I did not know this concept at the time) backed me into a corner where I gave up study plans, got a mortgage, had children, and then ended up fleeing for not only my life, but my children’s, and my dog’s life. And more than once!
So, Nicholas, if you think me telling the actual story to set the record straight was me “making it all about myself”, then you are disparaging me for daring to mention that I escaped intimate partner homicide.
I remind you again “Douglas and Milko, in classic Boomer fashion, then chose to make it entirely about her.”
All because I don’t vote Green 1? And this is a big assumption of yours, because sometimes I do vote 1 Green.
Would you be more empathetic to my experience if I was encouraging the Pollbludgertariat to vote Green?
I also think there is something Classist in your comments about me.
It it seems to be beyond your comprehension that a woman with a PhD in astrophysics did not come from the sort of privileged background where the parents could afford fund her lifestyle while she “read” physics at U Syd, while living in a shared household in a large terrace in Glebe / Redfern / Newtown?
I had friends with parents affluent enough to support that, and I envied them, but I,alas, was not one of them.
William Ch9 are reporting the Redbridge Poll as if it’s a current poll but I’m sure you have more information than most to make a call.
The next QLD poll should be interesting. Labor has tossed everything but the proverbial kitchen sink at us including cash handouts and very cheap public transport. The sink may be coming.
The LNP is trying hard not to be wedged but there is a very fine line between avoiding the wedge and seeming to be devoid of ideas.
The next few months promise some interesting politics in QLD.
Go the Canetoads and boo the Cockies.
[Amateurs, duds in charge. Labor does not want Australia to be a clever country.}
You’d be right at home then Irene.
Actually, what he says at the end of the Nine report is that it was taken “across February and May”, which apparently means half one and half the other, with “half the survey done after the announcement of energy and rebates”. So yes, it’s more current than I suggested, but still not entirely.
Thanks William
“ Go the Canetoads and boo the Cockies.”
Wise words.
In July 1991 I had a can of beer handed to me when we weren’t supposed to be drinking and told I was supporting Queensland. First State of Origin game I’d ever seen. Have followed them ever since.
Trumps ‘witnesses’ could be headed for the Big House…
Witnesses in the various criminal cases against the former president have gotten pay raises, new jobs and more. If any benefits were intended to influence testimony, that could be a crime.
https://www.propublica.org/article/donald-trump-criminal-cases-witnesses-financial-benefits
davidwh: after seeing what Miles and Dick have been throwing at us it was deflating to see this poll, that it’s three months old according to WB makes me wonder why it is being reported as news? I understand the its time factor but are Qlders so dumb that they will reinstall the lot who were such a washout last time around without even asking what’s on the menu. I can understand people thinking it’s time for a change but I think a massive LNP landslide would be a disaster.
So much for the blues – send off in the 7 th minute
OC
Pretty blatant high shot on Qld’s danger man. Pre-planned?
Princeplanet in my opinion landslide wins are never good regardless of which side wins. It looks like this poll is a mix of old and recent. However the May portion was taken prior to the public transport announcement.
I think it will be closer in November and LNP in QLD have form with losing when apparently ahead in the polls.
Quite possible and all the worse for it.
Had to be a send off
That was very ugly.
Bloke shoulder charges other blokes head nearly kills him. Rugbaleague
Play on.
What happens on the field stays on the field
Walking around Spring Hill yesterday, it’s a wasteland.
The Sportsman was the last of 7 once busy pubs there 40 years ago , looks to have closed a while back. Couldn’t find an ATM.
So, as to why voting “1” Labor, “2” green is a rational choice, as a woman who had to flee DV, and look after kids and a dog, I will give you some reasons, part 1.
It is the Greens who stridently say that Labor and the Coalition are same – same on every issue. They are not.
Firstly, it was the Coalition, both Federally, after Tony Abbott was elected in 2013(1), and in NSW after the Coalition was elected in 2011 who cut women’s services ((by Prue Goward(2)) to the bone.
In fact, Prue Goward closed down NSW women’s shelters in the “Going Home Staying Home” initiative, which was basically, “go home and find a way to get rid of the abusive man in your life, despite the fact that he may kill you while you attempt this procedure”.
(1) Australian of the Year Rosie Batty has called on Prime Minister Tony Abbott to reinstate lost funding to community services after cuts made in last year’s budget.
Ms Batty, whose son Luke was murdered by his father in February last year, has questioned why the government would announce a national scheme for domestic violence orders at the same time as legal services that help victims prepare to shut their doors because of the cuts.
………………
Ms Batty voiced her concerns directly to the Prime Minister’s office on Friday to say the cuts, worth nearly $300 million, were at odds with the Prime Minister’s public stance on family violence.
“It is a double standard, it is contradictory and totally undervaluing the part that these workers play in our front line services,” she said.
She has spoken out because the services will begin to close their doors in four weeks as the first cuts – effective February 28 – begin to hit. Further cuts kick in on July 1. The cuts are across the departments of the Attorney-General, Social Services and Prime Minister and Cabinet, which has cut a further $534 million from Indigenous funding.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/australian-of-the-year-rosie-batty-calls-on-pm-tony-abbott-to-reinstate-community-services-20150131-132o1n.html
(2) When I heard the news that Elsie Women’s Refuge was to be handed over to St Vincent de Paul, I simply did not believe it. I was not even angry. I just thought I’d been given false information. After all, what government would be foolhardy enough to give to the Catholic Church, of all organisations – especially right now (Royal Commission, anyone?) – the ”poster girl” of the women’s refuge movement, the place that was established by women’s movement activists (I was one) 40 years ago last March and has been women-run, on feminist principles, ever since.
But it’s true.
………………
All this is happening because Pru Goward, now the Minister for Planning, but formerly Minister for Family and Community Services, in July 2012 set in train ”a major reform” for specialist homelessness services.
The proposed reforms, called Going Home, Staying Home, required existing services to tender to retain their funding and management. When the tender details were announced, last November, there was widespread consternation.
None of the tender packages covered women-only services, and those that did cover domestic violence were for families rather than women. ”It was a big surprise,” Gillian Cohen, DVSM’s general manager, told me, ”when the tenders came out and we were asked to tender for your area rather than for your refuge.”
There are a large number of other refuges not managed by DVSM and other specialist women’s services that cater for single women, women leaving prison, dealing with mental illness, post rehab and other crisis situations that simply were not covered by the tenders.
Partly this is because successive state and federal governments have bureaucratically forced women’s services into the ”homelessness” silo for funding and administrative purposes. While it is true that domestic violence is the leading cause of homelessness among women, this focus distorts what many of these services actually do: which is provide refuge, trauma counselling and transition to a new life for women and children escaping violence.
By focusing on homelessness – and ”families” – we lose sight of women and the women-centred vaues that have informed the establishment and running of so many services. And the tender simply ignored them. As a result more than 60 such services statewide have lost their funding (a combined total of $5 million) and are set to close.
https://www.smh.com.au/opinion/pru-gowards-tender-touch-brushes-women-aside-20140626-zsmjr.html
Beware of the team down to 12 men. Teams tend to lift big time.
D&M
I don’t know whether you scanned the posts following your post on our experience with DV but I did post a very positive response as did numerous other Bludgers. So, thank you, once again.
On the Irene bot issue, I would be curious to know your thoughts if you can bear repeating them.
Davidwh
I agree re 12 vs 13 and the following try kind of proved it.
But Qld outside backs are much better in defense and attack, which the subsequent try also proved.
Is that 12 v 13 for the whole game?
Rugbaleague indeed!
Suaalii, the sendoffee, is the player Rugby Union has spent its last dollar on.
This will be 50-6
Why don’t they try an smother the kicks?
Camera angle makes them look closer?
BW
Yes as distinct from a sin binning which is 10 minutes.
Send offs have become rare in the last decade.
Boerwar
Yes.
The last Qld try followed a break where there were four Qld backs vs Tedescue!
If NSW backs can’t defend (I say they can’t) they are toast.
Socrates the send off kind of spoils the spectacle. Origin is about 13 v 13 playing hard to the end.
But I’ll still take a win. 🙂
Yeah, you know a place is stuffed these days if you can’t find an ATM.
Thanks davidwh, yes the LNP up here are masters of engineering their own woes so let’s see what Oct. brings.
What’s an ATM? Can’t remember the last time I used one. 🙂
For her performance in “Young Frankenstein”, Cloris Leachman deserves much credit. Her timing was exquisite as “Frau Blücher”. This film was ‘deemed “culturally, historically or aesthetically significant” by the US National Film Preservation Board, and selected for preservation in the Library of Congress National Film Registry’ – and justly so.
Davidwh
Agreed. I would have preferred 13 v 13 too. Of course I would have liked to see Rheece Walsh given a chance with the ball too.
Have I Got News For You: Keir Starmer argues that Rishi Sunak couldn’t possibly have calculated a £2000 tax rise from Labour policies, because they haven’t actually got any.
The Blues are hugely missing Cleary. Individually their forwards are capable of putting Qld forwards on the back foot. But the NSW backs lack an organiser.
Socrates yes and Walsh has become a marked player. Up to the refs to give him some cover if the opposition are going to target him like that.
Mavis @ #241 Wednesday, June 5th, 2024 – 8:45 pm
https://youtu.be/bps5hJ5DQDw?si=VPc8yBTUsr77sEbm
ATMs have been going the way of bank branches in recent years. Those left are mainly generic ones in garages and convenience stores which charge a you a fee to withdraw your own money. I refuse to use those. In any case since the Pandemic I rarely use cash so I don’t have to.
davidwh @ #229 Wednesday, June 5th, 2024 – 8:31 pm
Not in the modern era of league. This game is dead, buried and cremated as a wise sage once said.
Davidwh
Agreed. Its not the first game it has happened to Walsh. With greater attention to concussions we are seeing careers ended by repeated incidents like that.
I don’t know what the precedents are in Origin but in club games you would get several weeks off for that shot. There needs to be a deterrent or the game will lose its best players. I would say the same if the same happened to Cleary.
”Not in the modern era of league. This game is dead, buried and cremated as a wise sage once said.”
Tony Abbott said it too…