The week after the federal budget was as always a big one for federal opinion polling, which means it will be followed by a trough next week. Happily, an important milestone on the road to the federal election is looming into view:
• The Guardian relates that the proposed redistribution for Western Australia will be published on Friday, with those for New South Wales and Victoria “expected in the first two weeks of June, or perhaps slightly earlier”.
• Mark Wales, the preselected Liberal candidate for the crucial Perth seat of Tangney, has stood aside due to a health issue within his family. The West Australian reports the party’s state council passed a motion that the second-placed candidate in last month’s preselection vote will get the nod if no new candidates nominate by the May 29 deadline, that being Howard Ong, an IT consultant and former Australian Christian Lobby activist.
• The Australian’s Feeding the Chooks column reports that state Ipswich MP Jennifer Howard has withdrawn her preselection challenge against Shayne Neumann in the federal seat of Blair. Anthony Albanese threw his weight behind Neumann amid concern over the security of Labor’s hold on a seat Neumann has held since 2007, and which he retained by a 5.2% margin in 2022.
• Feeding the Chooks further reports that Katie Havelberg, policy adviser at Queensland Health and president of Professionals Australia, will join Renée Coffey, chief executive of a foundation that helps children whose parents have a mental illness, in contesting Labor preselection in Griffith, the inner Brisbane seat that Max Chandler-Mather won for the Greens in 2022. Potential nominees in the seat of Brisbane, which Stephen Bates gained for the Greens from the LNP in 2022, include Tracey Price, the party’s unsuccessful candidate for the lord mayoralty in election in March, and candidate from 2022, Deloitte Australia director Madonna Jarrett.
Just catching up with the Cooker Commentary today – sad to see Fubar fall down the JoNova rabbit hole.
One example of her output:
August 2016
Joanne Nova is listed as a “Founding Member” of a group named Climate Exit (Clexit) led by climate change denier Christopher Monckton. According to Clexit’s founding statement (PDF), “The world must abandon this suicidal Global Warming crusade. Man does not and cannot control the climate.”40 41
Desmog reports on how the group grew in the wake of the UK’s decision to leave the EU. A key member of Clexit’s “60 well-informed science, business and economic leaders” is Hugh Morgan, a former board member of the Reserve Bank of Australia and former CEO of Western Mining Corporation with close ties to Australia’s Liberal party.42 43
According to Clexit’s founding statement:
“If the Paris climate accord is ratified, or enforced locally by compliant governments, it will strangle the leading economies of the world with pointless carbon taxes and costly climate and energy policies, all with no sound basis in evidence or science […]”44
https://www.desmog.com/joanne-nova/
LOL. I actually never take interest in Morgan.
Meh. It is what it is IMO.
frednk says:
Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 6:36 pm
S. Simpson says:
Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 6:13 pm
There almost nothing more servile and pathetic than a Labor Left MP when serving in cabinet.
But nothing is quite as pathetic as the Greens blocking all progress.
———————
You mean Labor blocking all progress. They need their partner, the Coalition to support the Religious Discrimination Bill. No one else matters.
Greens emphasise that crossbench could put religious freedom bill over the line
The Greens are still making the point to the government that they do not need to work with the Coalition to pass the religious freedom legislation – they can work with the Greens.
The government says it wants bipartisan support for the legislation, which is why it is focused on the Coalition, but there are some pretty big sticking points.
From the Greens senator David Shoebridge
Ending discrimination against students and teachers is too important for it to stall in a shouting match between the Coalition and Labor. It is incredibly frustrating this is the path the Albanese government appears to have chosen.
Labor is waiting for the Coalition to support their Religious Discrimination Bill.
Don’t know where you get your strange ideas Fred.
Some more JoNova – this time aligned with the Big Dirty funded IPA..
November 2018
Citing a graph posted in an advert the Institute-of-Public-Affairs-connected Climate Study Group, calling it “death to climate models,” Nova declared on her blog:18
“Good people of Earth are spending thousands of billions of dollars to prevent a future predicted by models that we know don’t work. The debate is over, climate spending is an unscientific, pagan, theological quest to change the weather. Just another iteration of what Druids and Witchdoctors have been promising for eons.”
Fess: “Giles is one of the weaker performers in the ministry. A reshuffle ahead of the election won’t go astray IMO.”
——————————————————————————
I agree: it’s problematic that Giles used to belong to the mob of lawyers fighting to keep unauthorised arrivals and potential deportees in the country. It’s probably best to have an Immigration Minister who has never previously had skin in the game.
However, I don’t see the troublesome Direction 99 as being largely his responsibility. It appears to have arisen out of discussions between Albo and Jacinda Ardern. So, at least to some extent, we might describe it as a “captain’s pick.”
Second Nine manager resigned amid complaints of inappropriate touching
The penny might drop at 9 one day.. the organisation hitched its wagon to boofy cricket & rugby league players eons ago.. the culture is one of misogyny, alcohol & physical abuse.. no reason it should be confined to just the sports Davison of 9…
sprocket:
Jo Nova and others like her are never the answer to today’s climate crisis. If commenters are referencing her and her denialists compatriots, the responsible thing to do is to simply scroll past, while secretly accepting how ridiculously off the reservation they are.
No good ever comes from engaging with such people.
Mob is not the correct collective noun
meher:
Degrees of responsibility at this point are largely irrelevant. The fact is that Giles can’t craft a suitably acceptable or credible response to all of this.
Next!
BTW, I agree with the anti-Jo Nova sentiment being expressed tonight. She is an ideologue has little in the way of relevant qualifications or experience and is therefore not to be taken seriously.
On the other hand, Professor Judith Sloan is an intelligent person who has done some good work in her chosen field of economics. She is undoubtedly to the right of Genghis Khan, but that doesn’t automatically invalidate her analysis. I guess I quite like her because she shares my rather negative assessment of the RBA’s approach to interest rates over the past couple of decades.
I doubt she has much to contribute to a debate on nuclear energy, but I haven’t read her article re the CSIRO analysis of nuclear because it is behind a paywall, so I can’t be certain one way or the other.
shellbell: “Mob is not the correct collective noun”
True, but I’m not quite sure what word to use. There is a “parliament” of owls, and an “unkindness” or ravens” and a “mischief” of rats. But what is the most appropriate collective noun for a bunch of human rights-oriented lawyers working pro bono on migration cases? Perhaps a “bleed”?
I would suggest Nine is extremely keen on regime change in Victoria.
A generation ago I moved to the Goldy in search of surf, sun, and sex. I have to admit, it’s been a disappointment thus far. I did, though, do alright from crime – on the right side of it(?).
Watching Home Affairs in Senate Estimates, the booby traps left by the Morrison/Dutton government pop up in all manner of places.
Clare O’Neill and Andrew Giles are doing Trojan work weeding out the legacy, but it may take several terms to correct this once shining jewel of Australia.
In no particular order, LiberalLegacy includes:
– granting foreign students unlimited work rights, encouraging dodgy ‘courses’ from dodgy colleges
– stacking the AAT with Liberal flunkies overriding visa cancellations of NZ child molesters
– paying PNG millions in secret deals to ‘transition’ the remaining cohort to PNG management, leaving a trail of unpaid bills and barely disguised corruption
– leaving The Pez in charge to enforce a command and control culture on a cowed department
– having no mechanism to cap temporary work or student visas
– having the AFP invite Chinese police to come and ‘interview’ diaspora in Australia
The Senate Estimate hearings continue at 7.15pm
Giles may be in trouble on holding his position. He looks like the proverbial deer caught in the headlights.
Lol Mavis
There are worse reasons than that to move somewhere Mavis.
Some people move for a seat for instance.
Ordinarily it’s to come to a seat with a very healthy margin and undesirable views and locations.
Silly as a Catherine wheel FUBAR becomes ‘an expert’ in electricity grid which … surprise surprise … apes the dumb as fuck stance taken by his beloved and cynical as fuck LNP:
“ None of the large batteries in the grid provide long term- days – of back up. They are mostly either doing the extremely short-trim grid stabilisation when the unreliables cause instability issues, or it’s a little bit of peak load work. None of them are “firming” the grid load when there are massive shortages of either wind, solar, or hydro.”
____
Facepalm.
“Massive shortages” in wind, solar and hydro hey …
Question? Is this really going to be ‘a thing in Australia’?
The Germans even have a term for the phenomenon where days, sometimes months, of poor wind and/or sunlight leads to this ‘massive shortage’ that FUBAR is conjuring up a state of panic over:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunkelflaute
Yet Dunkelflaute is not really much of ‘a thing’ in Australia. 42 years of wind and solar studies demonstrate that such pauses in wind/solar are very rare and even then are only ever an occurrence measured in a few short hours at most.
https://youtube.com/shorts/kiKCnACikpY?si=RliKLTmM60Ea50ho
To combat what is only ever likely to be an issue with the last 10% of a renewable based national energy market in this country a range of pretty straight forward engineering solutions are available.
Across the entire east coast seaboard there nearly is always enough solar and/or wind to firm the grid, especially if coupled with pumped hydro, traditional hydro plus both small and large scale batteries. I’d suggest that anyone who is serious – and not so determined to believe the bullshit that the LNP and their MSM cronies are peddling (so FUBAR should probably skip this) could do worse in ‘doing their own research’ by reading this first:
https://www.energynetworks.com.au/news/energy-insider/2021-energy-insider/its-dark-its-still-its-dunkelflaute/
Sprocket – what is “The Pez”.
Andrew Giles will come out of this trial by fire – cleaning up the Morrison/Dutton/Pezzullo fiasco that is Immigration – a more resilient and effective minister.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/28/israeli-spy-chief-icc-prosecutor-war-crimes-inquiry
Mavissays:
Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 7:07 pm
A generation ago I moved to the Goldy in search of surf, sun, and sex. I have to admit, it’s been a disappointment thus far. I did, though, do alright from crime – on the right side of it(?).
==============================================
As a prosecutor or a defender?.
I guess you could have had times as both though.
ALERT: Sprocket has just administered the kiss of death to Giles.
The Pez
https://www.themandarin.com.au/235437-pezzullo-sacked-at-dawn-with-immediate-effect-and-no-golden-chute/
BK
“Sloan’s capabilities in nuclear power technology match hers in economics.”
Sloan has been known as a commentator from a right wing viewpoint on economics for a long time. Your comments caused me to check her history. It has some remarkable gaps I hadn’t noticed before, with no detailed bio available online. Her history shows the rich rewards of being well connected to the RW commentariate.
https://www.eoas.info/biogs/P004358b.htm
Despite being made a Professor of Labor Studies, and various other professorial appointments, I was surprised by the following:
– No indication of a PhD or any higher degree or academic prizes
– Never appointed a as lecturer. Sloan went from tutor to researcher to professor!
– Never been a lecturer, professor or head of Department in an Economics faculty
– Lots of Board positions, including 4 as Chair.
– hasn’t held an academic position in 2 decades; mostly RW think tanks and Murdoch columns. Judith is at best a professor-emeritus. She is no more a professor now than Tim Wilson is still an MP.
– and of course, zero quals in climate change or any physical science
As for the climate change debate, never mind the Newscorp agenda – Sloan was at one point Chair of Santos!
So I’m not saying she knows nothing about economics, but I have never seen such a thin academic record for somebody appointed professor (other than former PMs and Ministers 🙂 ).
Re Meher Baba @7:03 PM. ” I haven’t read her article re the CSIRO analysis of nuclear because it is behind a paywall, so I can’t be certain one way or the other.”
FUBAR posted much of the article at 4:42 PM.
I don’t have the expertise to assess it but I trust the CSIRO far more than I trust Ms Sloan.
William Bowe @ #1144 Tuesday, May 28th, 2024 – 5:51 pm
Thank you. This toxic topic (or, rather, really stupid and offensive comments by some) makes this forum very uncomfortable to post in or even read anymore.
meher baba @ #1164 Tuesday, May 28th, 2024 – 6:36 pm
I thought it was a Court of Owls… 😉
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Court_of_Owls
Moratorium on Gaza – noted.
Socrates: Yes, Sloan has had a slightly unusual academic career. Less so than, say, Professor Donald Horne, who didn’t even have an undergraduate degree.
But, while she isn’t on the same level as Horne, Sloan is a reasonably insightful commentator on economic issues from a strongly right-wing perspective. Of course, I appreciate that there probably isn’t much demand for such commentary among PB readers.
Steve
As I just posted after checking on Judith Sloan’s career, she has no more qualifications to comment on climate change than anyone on this blog, in fact less qualified than several here. As a former Chair of Santos, she is defending the Ancient Regime.
Nor was her economics work in energy markets – she was interested in Labor markets and wage fixing.
I don’t care what she thinks. I suspect I will learn nothing reading it.
So what appears to be happening – and regular readers won’t be shocked – is that on the morning of Home Affairs Senate Estimates, the Murdoch organ The SmearStralian publishes a long list of AAT reversals of visa cancellations allegedly based on a revised ministerial direction.
Ministerial Direction 99 relates to the ‘length of stay in Australia’ being a factor in reviewing visa cancellations – all those 4 year old Kiwis who came here and turned out to be crims.
MD99 also increased the domestic violence offence to heighten the chance of visa cancellation (though this is not on the Liberal/Murdoch talking points).
So Dutton in Question Time and Senator Patterson in Senate Estimates are making hay quoting the SmearStralian bootstrap.
The department is struggling to catch up with the facts.
I dont know Wat, I think all we really need is a good strong listicle.
sprocket_says:
…
Some more JoNova – this time aligned with the Big Dirty funded IPA..
November 2018
Who was taking Jo Nova’s site seriously in 2018?
It’s 2024 now.
AFR vs Stokes aka Nine vs Seven.
It’s ugly 4.30 pm today abusive piece in AFR.
MB
For anyone familiar with academia these days, Sloan would be lucky to get a starting job as a lecturer, never mind professor.
Being insightful from a hard right perspective is no more credible in economics than being insightful from a Marxist perspective. You either have the research and evidence to prove your point or you don’t. If not, you are a lobbyist not an economist.
Further to my post above. It seems clear that by just having vast arrays of solar and wind farms that 90% of the grid will be firmed. Snowy 2.0 – as terrible as that project is, will probably firm another 2%, and traditional hydro will probably take care of around 2-4%. There are other pumped hydro projects up and running, being built or approved. The CSIRO has identified up to 5,000 suitable pumped hydro sites across australia. Worst case scenario – we are left with a bunch of ‘gas peakers’ to do the job.
So why the fuck – other than the obvious ‘cultcha wars’ bullshit that Tories always run with when they ain’t got anything else, are we talking about nuclear energy? Which – leaving aside magical thinking – cannot even be ‘a thing’ in this country for another 18+ years?
sprocket_says:
Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 7:16 pm
Andrew Giles will come out of this trial by fire – cleaning up the Morrison/Dutton/Pezzullo fiasco that is Immigration – a more resilient and effective minister.
_____________________
Effective ministers do not throw thier Dept under a bus.
There will be hell to pay if they have reduced Stephanie Foster to tears again.
God I feel sorry for her. She is copping a hammering.
Lars Von Trier @ #1186 Tuesday, May 28th, 2024 – 7:02 pm
Top Ten Most Irritating and Offensive Israel/Palestine Talking Points (Number 4 Will Surprise You!)
Sprocket:
Ministerial Direction 99 relates to the ‘length of stay in Australia’ being a factor in reviewing visa cancellations – all those 4 year old Kiwis who came here and turned out to be crims.
They’re NZ citizens, so qualify for Welfare there from Day 1.
NZ isn’t a squalid 3rd world hellhole, so why can’t they be sent home?
Bad thinker
The argument has been that the Kiwi kids grew up, were educated, socially formed in Australia. Many have no ties whatsoever to their country of birth.
So Australia should be responsible for putting them through the Correctional System here, rather than dumping them in NZ.
And it is not only NZers – Australia – by law – has a non discriminatory Immigration policy.
There were examples of Serbs who had come here aged 2, fell into crime, and were flown out and dumped in Belgrade with no language skills, money or prospects.
Probably sits well with a nativist mindset – but that is not the Australia we live in
Robert Jovicic (Serbian: Роберт Јовичић/Robert Jovičić) was a long-time resident of Australia who was deported to Serbia and Montenegro, where he became destitute in 2005.
Jovicic was born on 4 December 1966 in France of Yugoslavian parents. At the age of two, his family migrated to Australia, where Jovicic became an Australian permanent resident and lived for the next 36 years before being sent to Serbia. In Australia, Jovicic became addicted to heroin and turned to crime. By 2004 his criminal record numbered some 158 criminal convictions, mainly for burglary and theft.[1] In June 2004 his permanent residency was cancelled and he was detained, before being deported to Belgrade, Serbia, at the discretion of the then Australian Immigration Minister Amanda Vanstone.[2][3] The Australian Government only obtained a 7-day visa for him, which meant he was unable to work, and, since he had not opted for Yugoslavian, specifically Serbian, citizenship within 3 years of turning 21 (which was a precondition to maintain citizenship by any of the six Yugoslavia’s constituent republics at the time), the FRY authorities declared him stateless.[4]
Jovicic turned up destitute and ill, sleeping rough in freezing temperatures outside the Australian embassy in the Serbian capital, Belgrade, in late November 2005.[5] His case was widely publicised in the Australian media, and there were calls for the Australian Government to reverse its cancellation of Jovicic’s permanent residency. Jovicic’s legal counsel have stated that he does not speak or understand the Serbian language. Jovicic’s father was living in Serbia at the time, but he had his own problems (with alcohol) and his relationship with his son was strained, so he was of little help.[4] The Serbian government also does not have a proper welfare system.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Jovicic
Sprocket what about the building trades visas being excluded from increased immigration quotas? In the midst of a housing crisis?
As a Labor insider can you tell us about this? Was it a special favour to the CFMEU?
Sprocket:
They’re not kids anymore, they’re scary adults who have committed horrendous crimes and they’re NZ Citizens by birth.
Once they’ve served their sentences, their debt to Australia is paid, and they need to be deported promptly.
FUBARsays:
Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 4:56 pm
Entropy says:
Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 4:33 pm
Google “democracy doesn’t work for climate change” and there are plenty of results. The moral certitude of the acolytes on this site is enough evidence alone. The gathering of the private jets at Davos to tell all of us scum how to live our lives. Then there’s all the fucktards blocking traffic, vandalising art galleries, those cheering on the limiting of choice of vehicle engines and energy sources, energy companies wanting the right to control our own personal appliances – how much evidence do you need?
======================================================
I certainly would need a lot more evidence then this diatribe to label a cause as fascism in any form. Though i’m willing to say after reading your response here. That you have no idea what fascism as an ideology actually is.
sprocket_”
“Many have no ties whatsoever to their country of birth.”
Well that’s not true. They remain citizens of their country of birth, and that’s a pretty significant tie. I reckon.
“Australia should be responsible for putting them through the Correctional System here, rather than dumping them in NZ.”
We used to put them through our correctional system and then, when they’d completed their sentences, we sent them to the country of their citizenship. Just as we do with any other non-citizens who had committed serious crimes if we possibly can.
It seemed perfectly reasonable to me. Of course the New Zealanders would prefer not to receive these people. But that didn’t seem to me to be a good enough reason for keeping them here. But, of course, Jacinda does have a lovely smile.
Sprocket:
There were examples of Serbs who had come here aged 2, fell into crime, and were flown out and dumped in Belgrade with no language skills, money or prospects.
They weren’t flown out at the age of 2, were they?
I wouldn’t be surprised if living by committing crime is quite a bit more risky in Serbia than it is in Australia, but how is that the Australian Government’s fault?
Irene says:
Tuesday, May 28, 2024 at 6:51 pm
…
You mean Labor blocking all progress.
No Labor do stuff. The Greens block. It really is so sad.
Roberta Kaplan, an attorney for the writer E. Jean Carroll, reportedly said that “all options are on the table” after former President Donald Trump once again disparaged her client.
Trump on Monday used his Truth Social platform to rant about the huge damages he has been ordered to pay Carroll in recent months. He also claimed he’d “never met” her.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/e-jean-carroll-lawyer-donald-trump-new-comment_n_66559b7ae4b05212274973cb
Ms Foster in the news again…