The post-budget Newspoll in The Australian offers good news for Labor on voting intention, despite recorded an at best subdued reaction to the budget. Labor holds a two-party lead of 52-48, out from 51-48 in the last poll four weeks ago, from primary votes of Labor 34% (up one), Coalition 37% (down one) and Greens 13% (steady). Anthony Albanese also records his best personal numbers since before the referendum, with approval up three to 47% and disapproval down three to 47%, and widens his lead over Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister from 48-35 to 52-33. Peter Dutton is up two on approval to 38% and down one on disapproval to 50%
The less happy news for Labor comes with responses to the budget, which 39% think will worsen inflation compared with only 15% who think it will be favourable. An even 27% think the budget will be good for the economy, which is in fact the equal worst result since the Abbott government’s first budget in 2014. However, the result is better on anticipated impact on personal finances, presumably reflecting response to the tax cut changes: 27% expect it will improve them compared with 29% for worse, which is substantially better than the minus 16% and minus 35% net ratings recorded in the May 2023 and October 2022 budgets. No detail yet as to field dates or sample size. UPDATE: Thursday to Saturday from a sample of 1280.
In Nine Newspapers, Resolve Strategic has its worst result for Labor this term, with the qualification that it was a markedly pro-Labor series until the end of last year, and has since been closer to the pack. Labor is down a point from a month ago to 29%, the Coalition is steady on 36%, the Greens are down one to 12%, One Nation is up two 7% and the United Australia Party is steady on 2%. The pollster does not produce a two-party preferred result, and calculating one is complicated by its large 12% reading for a generic “independent” option. My own favoured method of estimating the result from preference flows at the last election, which rolls independents together an “others” category, has Labor barely ahead 50.2-49.8. Anthony Albanese also takes a knock on his personal ratings, with his combined very good and good rating down four points to 39%, with poor and very poor up four to 49%. Peter Dutton is respectively at 39%, down one, and 42%, steady. However, Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is little changed at 40-32, in from 41-32.
Other than that, the budget seems to have been reasonably well received by respondents, with 40% rating it good for their household, 41% good for the country, 38% good for the economy and 34% good for fighting inflation, with respective poor ratings of 21%, 21%, 21% and 27%. Questions about five specific budget items found strong support for all of them, including 68% support for the stage three tax cut changes with only 8% opposed, and 62% for Future Made in Australia with only 10% opposed. However, 60% felt the government was handling immigration in an “unplanned and unmanaged way”, compared with only 20% for planned and managed. Sixty-six felt immigration numbers too high last year, 23% about right and only 2% too low, but expectations for next year were less unfavourable at 50%, 35% and 4% respectively. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1602.
Plutonium Pete?
Duck’n’cover Dutton?
A political song
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sjb77V5FCaQ
Oh I don’t know Confessions, Protestant religiosity has been a central base for anti-Labor parties at least as long as Labor has existed.
Lars Von Trier:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:10 pm
When Iran elects a lesbian to high office, I’ll be satisfied. By the way, I haven’t posted much of late but the pile-on I’ve seen is regrettable. Keep up the wit. I imagine quite a few silent posters are entertained, as they were with dear Nath, hoping William restores him.
@Rewi at 7:24pm
I’ve heard it said that Tony Abbott was distinct in that he was an English Catholic, of whom have rather different values compared to Irish and Scottish Catholics that in turn dominated Australian Catholicism in the 19th and 20th centuries.
I can’t say it with much certainty though because it’s not a subject I’ve been compelled to research more.
Rewi @ #403 Monday, May 20th, 2024 – 7:24 pm
Nah. When Menzies did his forgotten people speeches, he wasn’t talking about or to religious extremists.
Apparently Mavis, the Supreme Leader has no problem with long term flatmates.
#freenath
Trump et al..
The Republican Florida senator Marco Rubio said on Sunday he would not commit to accepting the 2024 presidential election results, insisting that “if it’s unfair” his party will “go to court and point out the fact that states are not following their own election laws”.
Weasel words, what they really mean is they won’t accept a vote where they lose.. as opposed the claim to a legal challenge such as Bush v Gore..
Entropy, all energy sources are free. Coal, gas and oil are just sitting there, the sun is shining, the wind is blowing, waves are waving, water is going downhill under gravity. The centre of the earth is hot and radioactive chemicals are decaying.
The cost is in building and running the machinery to access these free sources, and convert it into an energy source we can use moving this useful energy around.
sprocket_says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 6:55 pm
David Littleproud is straying off the reservation…
Why doesn’t he release the secret polling?
Nationals Leader David Littleproud
May 20, 2024
Nationals leader – and Member for Maranoa – David Littleproud says the Federal Coalition has “six or seven” sites in mind for nuclear power plants around Australia, but has not revealed the locations.
This is despite Mr Littleproud saying earlier this year (see below) he was prepared to lead a discussion about siting a nuclear power plant in the Kingaroy area.
“We have done extensive polling of the electorates, we’ll be looking at six or seven sites … and they have been very supportive of a nuclear future,” Mr Littleproud told Sky News’ “Sunday Agenda” TV program.
https://southburnett.com.au/news2/2024/05/20/nuclear-sites-still-under-wraps/
====================================
Sprocket – that is the policy which will be announced at around 11.58 PM on election eve. On the flip side, there won’t be long to wait. ie: before 2025, not after 2024. Patience required. There needs to be “Oct-26 out of the way”, and then it will be on! So 11.58 PM on election eve, we will have the locations of our lovely nuclear reactors and waste dumps, in spite of the fact about 35% of us would have already voted by the time this policy is announced. Note: the PM has been busy in western Sydney the past two days too – the area west of westconnex (the M7) is a very important part of political thinking. Mr Dutton needs to head out there too, and soon. For Mr Dutton – less QLD, more NSW and WA.
Mavis, many surprising cultures (which you would think weren’t exactly supportive) throw up same sex leaders:
https://www.councilwomenworldleaders.org/ana-brnabi263.html
Could you imagine Australia electing someone with a similar pedigree PM?
Lars Von Trier:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:35 pm
You’re surely not suggesting that which I think you’re suggesting? Some sustenance is needed, in consequence of which, I’m off. I’ll close with a thought, there appears to be an anti-male stance permeating this site!
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nearly-half-of-sydney-uni-s-students-come-from-overseas-20240520-p5jf3n.html
Trying to do my bit for wit Mavis, and I keep out of the pile-ons.
How are you by the way?
Leadersays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:38 pm
Entropy, all energy sources are free. Coal, gas and oil are just sitting there, the sun is shining, the wind is blowing, waves are waving, water is going downhill under gravity. The centre of the earth is hot and radioactive chemicals are decaying.
The cost is in building and running the machinery to access these free sources, and convert it into an energy source we can use moving this useful energy around.
===================================================
You don’t read finance reports obviously. Never seen Brent Crude at $0 a barrel for instance.
Entropy how will you be celebrating the second anniversary of the election of the Albo govt on Wednesday?
I hope you won’t be working on here?
nadia88:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:49 pm
I’m very pleased that you don’t engage in pile-ons; it’s so easy to be popular. The immunotherpy didn’t work. I’m back for more on July 4.
Lars Von Triersays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:57 pm
Entropy how will you be celebrating the second anniversary of the election of the Albo govt on Wednesday?
I hope you won’t be working on here?
====================================================
Much projection in this one, just because this is a work site of yours. Doesn’t make it a work site of mine.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-20/federal-budget-polling-qanda-yougov-financially-better-off/103869144
Q+A YouGov poll shows just half the country believes budget makes them better off, but most back billions for industry
Q+A / By Jason Whittaker
Posted 3h ago, updated 2h ago
Just over half of Australians polled in exclusive research for Q+A believe the federal budget will leave them better off, with many sceptical the government can deliver secure and affordable housing.
A YouGov survey commissioned by the ABC’s live audience show also reveals 58 per cent of Australians believe the country is heading in the wrong direction in the wake of the budget.
However, the survey shows overwhelming support for the billions of budget dollars pledged for local industry as part of the government’s Future Made in Australia policy.
Leader says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:38 pm
Entropy, all energy sources are free. Coal, gas and oil are just sitting there, the sun is shining, the wind is blowing, waves are waving, water is going downhill under gravity. The centre of the earth is hot and radioactive chemicals are decaying.
The cost is in building and running the machinery to access these free sources, and convert it into an energy source we can use moving this useful energy around.
******
The resources in the ground are treated as Income and not resources, that can/are being depleted in a finite world while economists preach infinite growth (GDP, whatever) without acknowledging the need to conserve these finite resources.
‘Mavis says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 6:47 pm
Following the tragic, untimely death of Iran’s 2IC, coupled with the failing health of dear Supreme Leader Khamenei, now’s surely the time for an Iranian Arab Spring – there won’t be a second chance for a generation.’
———————–
Let a thousand theocrats bloom.
The control of the ultras conservatives is at a high tide, ATM.
Reformists are now pretty well entirely excluded from government.
Attempts at civil action are met with murder.
Given that Iran’s last Presidential election was won by Ebrahim Raisi of the Combatant Clergy Association party with 72% of the vote, I think the biggest contest will be who would be the CCA’s candidate for President.
I suppose Acting President Mohammed Mokhber would be most likely, but at this moment rival candidates are probably probing out support.
Mavis – I’m so sorry to hear that. Keep chin up pls. I didn’t wish to pry but was aware from earlier posts this year that you had a few medical issues to sort out, which you will.
Yes, the pile ons, I keep out of. Didn’t like it when C@t was attacked by a crazy late last year, nor when Fubar was smeared in Feb and what happened to Irene on the morning of Apr.19 was horrible. I stood up for all three in true PB fashion, so I suppose as a result I swing a bit with (or get kudos from) both the left and right wingers on the site. More likely they see my name and “hit the scrollwheel.”
Anyway, I think the blog has got some good posters on at the moment. Am enjoying “PB 2024”, even though I don’t post that often.
Was Israel behind the demise of Iran’s Raisi?
Too bad they can’t kill off Khamenei.
However, the survey shows overwhelming support for the billions of budget dollars pledged for local industry as part of the government’s Future Made in Australia policy.
Am looking forward to the important advertising campaign across all new and old media to better explain this innovative program to an information starved electorate.
Taxpayer funds could also be deployed to engage ‘influencers’ willing to beat the drum about what a great scheme it is – for all of us, our children and future generations.
Wat Tyler @ #300 Monday, May 20th, 2024 – 4:48 pm
Grant already had the nasty mouth cancer (a consequence of his 60 day cigar habit) by that point. Freud died of the same thing.
Sigmund Freud was a suicide?
If anyone plays the Forex markets go short the South African Rand. The ANC is about to be boxed into going down the Zimbabwe path of destruction by the election next week.
Yep.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmund_Freud
Had a number of operations on his cancerous jaw, just gave up, morphine.
sprocket_says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 8:20 pm
Taxpayer funds could also be deployed to engage ‘influencers’ willing to beat the drum about what a great scheme it is – for all of us, our children and future generations.
_____________________
Playing with fire there.
Any influencer willing to dabble in politics will be quickly in search of a new career.
They will cop an absolute hammering.
Newscorp will let us know who they are. I have no doubt about that.
@B.S. Fairman at 8:33pm
Well, I wouldn’t call it that disastrous going from opinion polls, but they do seem to be on track to losing their majority.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_South_African_general_election#Opinion_polls
“A YouGov survey commissioned by the ABC’s live audience show also reveals 58 per cent of Australians believe the country is heading in the wrong direction in the wake of the budget.”
I thought only TV game shows polled “live studio audiences”? LOL
4 Corners on Kidfluencers.. full of narcissistic parents breeding a generation of narcissists children.. why does 4 Corners bother?
Kirsdrake – If they have to deal with the new Jacob Zuma group, then the ANC is going to be forced to head down the path that the pragmatic side of the party have been avoiding for the past 3 decades.
Dog’s Brunchsays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 8:03 pm
Leader says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:38 pm
Entropy, all energy sources are free. Coal, gas and oil are just sitting there, the sun is shining, the wind is blowing, waves are waving, water is going downhill under gravity. The centre of the earth is hot and radioactive chemicals are decaying.
The cost is in building and running the machinery to access these free sources, and convert it into an energy source we can use moving this useful energy around.
******
The resources in the ground are treated as Income and not resources, that can/are being depleted in a finite world while economists preach infinite growth (GDP, whatever) without acknowledging the need to conserve these finite resources.
=======================================================
Though just think if we could combine the weather forecast with the finance report.
Today the wind will be blowing at $2 a knot but modifying to $1 a knot in the late afternoon as the wind becomes stronger. It will be a sunny morning with sun shining at $5 per 1000 watts per square metre/hour. It will become cloudy in the afternoon pushing up the price of sunshine to around $10 per 1000 watts per square metre/hour.
@B.S. Fairman at 8:53pm
Ah, okay, I understand what you mean now.
I don’t have much knowledge of African politics, but a minority South African government relying on support from radicalist parties doesn’t sound like a good thing.
Pretty sure the DLP was basically the Catholic wing of the ALP, but that’s ancient history.
Those making the claim about religious influence of the LNP – a challenge – what policy or legislation was or is driven by religion that differs significantly from the ALP? (Which rules out School Counsellors and Private School Funding ) I’m not even asking for you to specify Fundamentalist/Pentecostals – just one policy.
Taylormadesays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 8:36 pm
sprocket_says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 8:20 pm
Taxpayer funds could also be deployed to engage ‘influencers’ willing to beat the drum about what a great scheme it is – for all of us, our children and future generations.
_____________________
Playing with fire there.
Any influencer willing to dabble in politics will be quickly in search of a new career.
They will cop an absolute hammering.
Newscorp will let us know who they are. I have no doubt about that.
======================================================
Oh the irony, Newscorp is the most despicable influencer of the lot.
”
Entropysays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 6:34 pm
FUBARsays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 6:21 pm
I can’t speak of other States, but in WA the preselections are done by Preselectors who are party members –
FUBARsays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 6:23 pm
frednk says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 6:08 pm
The Liberal party is now predominantly old men.
I’ve seen the ALP – it’s not much different. It’s’ just that the Unions/Factions dominate the preselection process. The poor old branch members get scraps and have bugger all influence.
==================================================
FUBAR who admits he can’t speak for other states, besides WA, as far as Liberal party preselection is concerned. In his next post appears to consider himself an expert on Labor’s preselection process, LOL.
”
FUBAR forms impressions on ALP and its members based on what we don’t know but when we do that about L-NP and its members he calls us all nasty things. Do you notice the hypocrisy?
Kirsdarke says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 8:57 pm
It’s not like the ANC has been doing a great job to now.
@FUBAR at 9:10pm
I don’t disagree with you in that, just I think that an unstable South Africa would probably be worse for the world.
Ven says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 9:10 pm
I have been to ALP functions and meetings. I won a $600 gas BBQ in a fundraising raffle at a campaign launch – took it home and assembled it before the Father-in-Law tried to re-donate it. I’ve been in ALP campaign meetings when Federal ALP politicians have received calls killing off WA ALP policies because they clashed with Federal ALP policies. I know what I have seen. The ALP Party membership is not significantly different to the LNP in age and gender from what I have observed here in WA. I doubt it is significantly different acros Australia.
Ven – what direct interaction have you had with the Liberal Party?
South Africa’s top court has ruled that the former president Jacob Zuma is not eligible to run for parliament in the general election on 29 May, a judgment that could influence the outcome and trigger unrest from Zuma’s supporters.
The constitutional court found Zuma’s 15-month jail sentence for contempt of court in 2021 disqualified him from standing in the 29 May election, as the constitution prohibits anyone given a prison sentence of 12 months or longer holding a parliamentary seat.
“It is declared that Mr Zuma was convicted of an offence and sentenced to more than 12 months’ imprisonment … and is accordingly not eligible to be a member of, and not qualified to stand for election to, the National Assembly,” its ruling said.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/20/jacob-zuma-not-eligible-to-run-for-south-africa-parliament-court-rules
”
Confessionssays:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 7:49 pm
The University of Sydney is edging closer to becoming a majority foreign student university as its latest figures revealed 46 per cent of enrolments are from overseas.
The institution was the only NSW university to record a surplus in 2023, annual reports tabled in NSW parliament on Monday reveal, improving its bottom line from last year.
It also disclosed it had underpaid casual academics about $70 million, up from the previous estimate of $15 million.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nearly-half-of-sydney-uni-s-students-come-from-overseas-20240520-p5jf3n.html
”
I gave an explanation a couple of days ago why this is happening and how it is impacting Rental accommodation.
It started with John Howard cutting University funding about 25 years ago and allowed Universities to enroll International (foreign) students, which increased over a period of time and now threatening rental accommodation because Universities don’t provide accommodation for students.
FUBAR says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 9:07 pm
Pretty sure the DLP was basically the Catholic wing of the ALP, but that’s ancient history.
Those making the claim about religious influence of the LNP – a challenge – what policy or legislation was or is driven by religion that differs significantly from the ALP? (Which rules out School Counsellors and Private School Funding ) I’m not even asking for you to specify Fundamentalist/Pentecostals – just one policy.
__________
Too easy. Take three for starters:
Religious discrimination bill
SSM
RU-486 decision
Holdenhillbilly says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 9:18 pm
Just ignore the corruption.
FUBAR says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 9:21 pm
Holdenhillbilly says:
Monday, May 20, 2024 at 9:18 pm
Just ignore the corruption.
_______
I prefer it when you use the horse 😉
rhwombat @ #426 Monday, May 20th, 2024 – 7:55 pm
Grant wasn’t diagnosed until the mid-1880s, well after he had completely retired. What I forgot to mention was there was a second significant push to give Grant a third term in 1880, after the disaster that was the 1876 election, the compromise of 1877 and the subsequent underwhelming presidency of Rutherford Hayes, as well as a revival of Grant’s popularity. While he did not officially pursue it, he made it clear he’d accept and he actually had lots of delegates at the GOP convention supporting his return. However, it was a hard no from most other delegates (mainly because they didn’t want to violate the two term convention) and his candidacy was eventually withdrawn.
the iCC has applied for an arrest warrant for Netanyahu.
UNSW has built lots of accommodation for students. There is an apartment complex opposite Randwick bus depot that was built on part of the old tram network reservation. There’s plenty surrounding the uni. I’m not sure about Sydney or Macquarie Universities.