The fortnightly Essential Research poll has Labor steady on 31%, the Coalition down a point to 34%, the Greens up two to 13% and One Nation down two to 7%, with undecided up three to 7%. The pollster’s 2PP+ measure has the Coalition maintaining a narrow lead of 47% (down two) to 46% (down one), although these respondent-allocated numbers appear to flatter them — excluding the undecided from the primary votes and applying preference flows from 2022, I get 52.5-47.5 to Labor. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1150.
Further questions relate to expectations for next week’s federal budget, which are not high; concern about crime and safety, including a finding that 59% favour a “focus on enforcement measures” against 41% for the alternative of a “focus on preventative measures”. Strong support was recorded for every one of a range of measures to address family violence and improve safety online, and 70% favoured the eSafety Commissioner’s view that social media platforms needed to remove “dangerous content” over 30% for a view attributed to Elon Musk that doing so was “an attempt to censor the internet and restrict free speech”.
The weekly Roy Morgan poll has Labor’s lead steady at 52-48, though here it seems to be Labor getting the better end of respondent-allocated preferences: on the primary vote, Labor was down one-and-a-half points to 30%, the Coalition was up half to 37%, the Greens were down one to 13% and One Nation was up half to 6%. Based on 2022 preferences, this comes out to around 51-49 in Labor’s favour. The poll was conducted Monday to Sunday from a sample of 1666.
Nine Newspapers reports quarterly state-level and demographic aggregates from the Resolve Strategic polls from February through to April, the interest of which is limited by the fact that the pollster published breakdowns for the three largest states with the monthly polls. However, we do learn that the poll has Labor at 32% of the primary vote in Western Australia, which compares with 34% for the December quarter and 36.9% at the 2022 election. I hope to be able to provide the remainder of this result later today (UPDATE: The Coalition is on 35%, compared with 34.8% at the election, the Greens 13%, compared with 12.5%, and One Nation 6%, compared with 4.0%). The sample here was a modest 352, with a duly wide margin of error.
Finally, the results of Saturday’s Legislative Council elections in Tasmania were resolved yesterday, with the Greens gaining their first ever seat in the chamber following the retirement of an independent incumbent in the seat of Hobart; Labor losing its northern neighbour Elwick to an independent; and the Liberals retaining the seat of Prosser beyond Hobart’s outskirts. Read all about it at the dedicated post.
Sarah C.M. Paine dealing with the nonsense that Putin went war with Ukraine because NATO expanded.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUNYqAFrlFA
Oops …
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-09/labor-mps-revolt-over-gas-strategy/103827902
Labor couldn’t lie straight in bed on climate policy 🙁
rhwombat says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:34 pm
…..
The Likudniks are terrified of the last example of student ‘Divestment Politics’ (the anti-apartheid campaigns of the 1970) because they worked – just like the Civil Rights movement. The same will happen now – just not evenly distributed.
Apartheid was once accepted and then it wasn’t. Israel was accepted and then …..
ABC looked at what was happening at our university. What I found interesting is the Palestine side was represented by someone in her early twenties, the Israel side by a bloke in his 40.
Entropy says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:09 pm
‘Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 5:53 pm
Entropy says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 5:50 pm
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 5:44 pm
===================================================
There are sanctions on Russia for instance
==============
The sanctions are imposed by governments.
Show me the groups of angry university demonstrators who are demanding University administrators divest immediately from Russia.
====================================================
“Cambridge has divested before, so why the reluctance now? When Russia invaded Ukraine, Cambridge cut ties. Cambridge has also committed to diversity from fossil fuel,” said the student, who preferred not to be named.”
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/pro-palestine-protest-cambridge-university-cut-ties-with-russia-so-why-not-israel-/3213322
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2022/03/01/students-rally-support-ukraine
https://news.northeastern.edu/2022/02/24/stunned-students-protest-russian-invasion-of-ukraine/
“Accuse your opponent of what you do yourself”:
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 5:57 pm
Interesting to see the deflections coming thick and fast from Entropy and Lordbain.’
===================================
Show me the groups of university demonstrators who are demanding divestment from anything other than Israel.
For the slow learners on here I recommend reading Shaun Carney’s article today. Exactly correct.
Windhoversays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:32 pm
What is the carbon emissions cost of using gas to make fertiliser over the manufacture of fertiliser by the least costly method?
======================================================
It is going to depend largely on the cost of green hydrogen production. Which you make by electrolysis of water using green electricity. Hydrogen production will become cheaper though. As we scale up its production to replace carbon containing gases. Twiggy Forest is very interested in being a major green hydrogen producer for instance.
Rex Douglassays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:07 pm
It’s a sorry sight to see Labor partisans queuing up here today peddling utter BS.
_____________________
It’s been hilarious.
It’s up there with walking away from “the great moral challenge of our generation”.
Just need to substitute Rudd and Wong with Albanese and Bowen and there’s not much difference.
BW, please respond; what investments/assets do australian universities have in Darfur? Also i go away to make dinner for the better half and we are up to at least 6 Labor members…
Wow! It’s been all in boots and all tonight. Insults flowing fast and free. Regarding the divestment issue, I think Boerwar is ahead on points. It does stink a little of antisemitism to try and single out Israel.
August 30, 2023. Too hot to handle: climate crisis report so secret Albanese government won’t even reveal date it was completed
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/aug/30/office-of-national-intelligence-climate-crisis-security-threats-report-anthony-albanese-labor-government-refuses-to-release
Anthony Albanese ordered the Office of National Intelligence (ONI) last year to investigate national security threats posed by global heating, in line with an election promise.
Anthony Albanese continues to reject calls to make even a sanitised version of the assessment public. The government insists the date, too, is classified. The approach has sparked claims of a “cult of secrecy in Canberra”.
The Labor puppets, yes men and women for the gas industry, are frauds. Secrecy is their continuing plan to hide most facts about global warming from the Australian public.
And often other Labor MPs and Labor members. Informing the public on many policies, including National Cabinet discussions and the National Anti Corruption Commission, election policies, also now to be kept hidden.
But when it comes to their donors, the gas industry, revealing all, not a problem.
May 9, 2024. The Albanese government has finally released its gas strategy, which sets out the “guiding principles” for how the government will approach the use of gas and the approval of new gasfields in the medium and long term.
The main takeaway? Gas will remain a central part of Australia’s energy and export sectors to 2050 and beyond, with the government backing the energy source as the key to transitioning the energy sector and economy.
While the world is moving away from increasing fossil fuel developments, the 2nd class people in the Albanese government are increasing production.
The Albanese government is not interested in the well-being and safety of Australians. Only their donors.
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:50 pm
Show me the groups of university demonstrators who are demanding divestment from anything other than Israel.
======================================================
“Colleges and universities have used their investments to advance political goals in the past. In the late 1970s and 1980s, many higher education institutions responded to student and faculty calls to divest from South Africa in protest against the country’s system of apartheid. In recent years, a growing number of colleges and universities have divested their endowments from the fossil fuel industry.”
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2022/03/09/colleges-cut-financial-ties-russia
Entropy, I think you’re wrong.
The majority of emissions come from use, not production. https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/carbon-emissions-from-fertilisers-could-be-reduced-by-as-much-as-80-by-2050
Happy to be shown to be wrong.
Heres something thats going to make certain posters howl… if Dutton can play this right (he wont but anyway), he can make it look like he is more climate friendly (to the average voter) then Labor. This has the potential to be such an own goal on environmental and energy policy the likes of which I havnt seen in years. Friendly reminder that Duttons Nuclear fart of a policy already has a foot in the door with popular sentiment… at 52 percent.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2024/apr/23/guardian-essential-poll-voters-back-labors-future-made-in-australia-plan-while-overestimating-cost-of-renewables
Socratessays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 2:23 pm
Entropy
Something went deeply wrong with Melbourne transport and land-use planning in the 1980s-90s.
=======================================================================
Correct Soc. The “something went wrong in Victoria” moment occurred on 21-Dec-1988 when they opened the South Eastern Arterial (now known as the Monash freeway). Upon opening, it had a phenomenal amount of vehicular traffic, traffic lights at 4 intersections, trams actually crossing the freeway at Burke Road (Gosh, could you imagine putting a tram line on Sydney’s Western Distributor or the Kwinana Fwy in Perth), railway boom gates very near to 3 of the above mentioned traffic light controlled intersections and an 80 km/h limit between 10 PM to 5 AM. It was one of the worst roads in Australia if not the Southern Hemisphere. Victorians, at the time, referred to it as the South Eastern Carpark. It was a “road” to be avoided.
Irene, your hysteria is showing.
“The Labor puppets, yes men and women for the gas industry, are frauds. Secrecy is their continuing plan to hide most facts about global warming from the Australian public.”
What facts about global warming are hidden? Are the ipcc reports secret?
Windhover, I would point out Labor has yet to release any information regarding the (labor requested) investigation into national security threats caused by climate change by ONI.
Note this is almost 2 years and counting of them refusing to release even a sanitised version… I would put money that it says the same thing climate scientists have been saying for decades, and that based on our current trajectory, australia is cooked
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/aug/30/office-of-national-intelligence-climate-crisis-security-threats-report-anthony-albanese-labor-government-refuses-to-release
Entropy says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:07 pm
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:50 pm
Show me the groups of university demonstrators who are demanding divestment from anything other than Israel.
======================================================
“Colleges and universities have used their investments to advance political goals in the past. In the late 1970s and 1980s, many higher education institutions responded to student and faculty calls to divest from South Africa in protest against the country’s system of apartheid. In recent years, a growing number of colleges and universities have divested their endowments from the fossil fuel industry.”
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2022/03/09/colleges-cut-financial-ties-russia‘
========================
Show me the university demonstrators who are calling for divestment from any other country than Israel right here and right now.
Facts barely matter to Irene.
Windhoversays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:08 pm
Entropy, I think you’re wrong.
The majority of emissions come from use, not production. https://www.cam.ac.uk/research/news/carbon-emissions-from-fertilisers-could-be-reduced-by-as-much-as-80-by-2050
Happy to be shown to be wrong.
==============================================
When you make Nitrogen fertiliser with LNG. You take carbon from the LNG and incorporate it into the fertiliser. When the fertiliser breaks down the Carbon is released as CO2. Increasing CO2 levels in atmosphere. When you make fertiliser with green hydrogen you combine it with CO2 extracted from the air. When that fertiliser breaks down the CO2 returns to atmosphere, whence it came. It does so at 1:1 ratio though. So one CO2 molecule removed from atmosphere in its production. One CO2 molecule goes back when it breaks down. It is carbon neutral as far as atmospheric CO2 is concerned. Unlike fertiliser made with fossil fuel gases. Where carbon comes from the gas and then ends up as CO2 in the air.
Note: You obviously need to use green CO2 in this process also. If your CO2 is from burning fossil fuel source. It want be a green fertiliser either.
A view from elsewhere
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjq5gky4e5no
”
Soharsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 5:33 pm
Empire Managers Explain Why This New Protest Movement Scares Them
https://x.com/caitoz/status/1788470890948333718
”
On our blog, there is one blogger, who I think is low rung Empire manipulative narrative manager.
Otherwise there is no point in staying on this blog for such a long time.
Trump is a con artist, who by chance became Empire head. Empire managers were aiming for Hillary Clinton. Yeah I know it looks like a conspiracy theory.
Did Angus Campbell became Empire Manager?
Facts dont matter to BW, as he still
a) hasnt answered the questions about how universities can divest from Darfur and other states for which they have no assets or investment,
b) ignoring how students have been (and continue) to protest for divestment in emission heavy industries (including in 2023, with plans for a bigger repeat in 2024)
c) ignoring how divestment has been used against countries other then Israel historically, and that the current push is literally based on the same actions undertaken against apartheid era South Africa
Friendly reminder that, by dfats own country brief on Israel, Australia has invested over $1.6 billion in 2020, and as of 2022 19 Israeli companies were listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX), making Israel the tied third largest source of foreign company listings.
Please point out how Darfur can match…
Show me one current university group of demonstrators who are demanding that their university divests from China, Saudi Arabia, Sudan… name any poison other than Israel.
Ill say it again BW – C l i m a t e c h a n g e
“ For the slow learners on here I recommend reading Shaun Carney’s article today. Exactly correct.”
______
Lols, what a flog you are L’arse.
You have spent years telling us all that minority government would be ‘wonderful’, get this is what Carney actually concludes:
“ It’s likely that minority federal governments will become a regular feature of the Australian political landscape. If so, politicians, interest groups and voters will need to develop the skills, temperament, patience, tolerance, and humility to make that sort of governance work. Unless they do, the nation will be cooked.”
Which, if we apply a dash of realism to political expectations means … if the if minority federal governments do become a regular feature … the nation will be cooked.
Which is actually a lot closer to Boerwar’s opinion than that of either P1 or yours.
Andrew I know it can be scary to imagine something other then the status quo… but shockingly, the states and territories show that sometimes minority governments work, and sometimes they dont.
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:20 pm
Entropy says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:07 pm
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:50 pm
Show me the groups of university demonstrators who are demanding divestment from anything other than Israel.
======================================================
“Colleges and universities have used their investments to advance political goals in the past. In the late 1970s and 1980s, many higher education institutions responded to student and faculty calls to divest from South Africa in protest against the country’s system of apartheid. In recent years, a growing number of colleges and universities have divested their endowments from the fossil fuel industry.”
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2022/03/09/colleges-cut-financial-ties-russia‘
========================
Show me the university demonstrators who are calling for divestment from any other country than Israel right here and right now.
=====================================================
Can’t be bothered playing your silly games anymore. What i’ll do instead is show you some one that always changes the goal posts instead:
“Show me the groups of university demonstrators who are demanding divestment from anything other than Israel.”
So note when the condition “divestment from anything” or a past occurrence of it is met. It becomes instead:
“Show me the university demonstrators who are calling for divestment from any other country than Israel right here and right now.”
“any other country” and “right here and right now”:
Even if i wasted my time and found some protests that met these new criteria. I suspect the demand would change to something even more stringent. Like say only in English language Universities or some other new, silly applied criteria.
Besides which, reports of the demise of the Albanese labor government are wildly exaggerated.
Post the genteel decline in 2PP, post ‘the voice’ referendum things seem to have stabilised. It’s still ‘all to play for’ in the last quarter, but I’d rather be in Albo’s shoes than Dutton’s. At the moment … ‘the punditry’ seems to oscillate between labor minority and a status quo return of the government in a majority.
Edited to respond to Lordbain: yes – sometimes minority state government’s work, and sometimes they don’t. I think the dynamics are different federally, and I set the reasons much of my thinking in that regard out in a very long post last week. I think with climate change being now a Kultcha war, if any Teal-greens alliance or ‘ginger group’ tried to ‘force’ a minority labor government to do what they say, labor would then face losing as many seats at the following election to the LNP as it lost back in 2013 and thus the calculus of ‘Labor + Greens + Teals’ in that parliament would be less than 60 seats. … and much of whatever it was that ‘Greens + Teals’ forced perfidious Labor into doing would be swept aside alla the ETS etc in 2014-15. It’s not – as you would say ‘a fear of the unknown’ it is simple reflection on what is likely to happen, given what has happened before. If anything, the politics are even worse now.
It would be Australian universities next Entropy. Then “within 2 months”. Then it would be “within 1 month”. Then “right now”, and then he would start “to the same amount as”
‘Andrew_Earlwood says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:38 pm
“ For the slow learners on here I recommend reading Shaun Carney’s article today. Exactly correct.”
______
Lols, what a flog you are L’arse.
You have spent years telling us all that minority government would be ‘wonderful’, get this is what Carney actually concludes:
“ It’s likely that minority federal governments will become a regular feature of the Australian political landscape. If so, politicians, interest groups and voters will need to develop the skills, temperament, patience, tolerance, and humility to make that sort of governance work. Unless they do, the nation will be cooked.”
Which, if we apply a dash of realism to political expectations means … if the if minority federal governments do become a regular feature … the nation will be cooked.
Which is actually a lot closer to Boerwar’s opinion than that of either P1 or yours.’
—————
I did point out this morning that Carney was being a simpleton for expecting humility and tolerance when the Liberals are intent on FUD, and Strong Man Right Wing populism built on a solid foundation of xenophobia, racism and obstruction for obstruction’s sake.
Add the Greens systematic shouting, performative stunting, delays and backstabbing and… you all know the rest already.
Add Lambie’s all over the place.
Add PHON’s loathing.
Add sundry solitary Indie’s walking a lonely road.
Add the willingness to spend but not to be held accountable for raising revenue.
Gunna be a gas.
‘Andrew_Earlwood says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:45 pm
Besides which, reports of the demise of the Albanese labor government are wildly exaggerated.
Post the genteel decline in 2PP, post ‘the voice’ referendum things seem to have stabilised. It’s still ‘all to play for’ in the last quarter, but I’d rather be in Albo’s shoes than Dutton’s. At the moment … ‘the punditry’ seems to oscillate between labor minority and a status quo return of the government in a majority.’
—————
Never underestimate the advantages of incumbency.
Right now demonstrators are demanding universities divest from Israel.
Fact.
These same demonstrators have prioritized Israel over all other comers.
Fact.
Why are the demonstrators ignoring all the other bastard regimes out there except for Israel?
There is no rational explanation possible for this prioritization other than anti-semitism.
Lordbain @ #626 Thursday, May 9th, 2024 – 7:40 pm
Some would much rather have the certainty offered by the duopoly – at least we know that doesn’t work in our best interests.
Entropy: “Accuse your opponent of what you do yourself”
That is called ‘Projection’
Boerwar @ #632 Thursday, May 9th, 2024 – 7:51 pm
https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/shock-and-solidarity-as-australians-rally-against-russias-ukraine-invasion/ou93m9o5d
https://apnews.com/video/australia-canberra-protests-and-demonstrations-china-government-wang-yi-f90df2a8473e4867a7efce78115596f6
But protesting against Israel is anti-semitism.
Apparently.
”
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:36 pm
Show me one current university group of demonstrators who are demanding that their university divests from China, Saudi Arabia, Sudan… name any poison other than Israel.
”
I thought USA, Australia, UK, Israel and other European countries are good guys because we are democracies.
And China, Russia, North Korea and Iran (magically Saudi Arabia is not included) as bad/ evil guys.
If good guys behave like bad guys, then what is difference between us and them? Just asking.
Andrew_Earlwood @ #628 Thursday, May 9th, 2024 – 7:45 pm
Don’t you believe it …
Cost of Living crisis.
Migration crisis.
Climate crisis.
How long do you think Labor can get away with doing nothing except blaming the previous government?
Boerwarsays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:51 pm
Right now demonstrators are demanding universities divest from Israel.
Fact.
These same demonstrators have prioritized Israel over all other comers.
Fact.
Why are the demonstrators ignoring all the other bastard regimes out there except for Israel?
There is no rational explanation possible for this prioritization other than anti-semitism.
==============================================
Unless of course Israel is actually doing something that people with a proper sense of ethics and morality should speak up against?. Then protesting against it would be the right and honourable thing to do, i assume.
Quote: “The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.”
”
Windhoversays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:27 pm
Equating criticism of the Aukus subs to criticism of the Sydney Harbour Bridge because the two halves will fall in the water demonstrates how little Campbell understands the criticism of Aukus.
No one seriously suggested, I imagine, that if the 2 halves of the Bridge actually didn’t fall in the water they might have a use in connecting Sydney.
The major criticisms of Aukus, unlike SMRs, is not that the nuclear subs will fill with water. The criticism is that they won’t defend the Nation from any imaginable serious threat to the Nation in any meaningful way.
”
Windhover
It appears Angus Campbell is one of the Empire Managers.
Entropy: 70% of hydrogen is produced using gas. A further amount is produced using electrolysis using fossil fuel generated electricity.
Fertilizer at the price and quantity required will require using gas. We need new gas fields to supply the gas.
Andrew… you do realise this isnt america right? We can have multiple, viable parties… and in fact P1, unless they live in some very specific areas… probably has their preferences flow to Labor? So I dont see how he is campaigning for the libs…
Great quote from Pocock
Leaving everyone from students to single parents behind on payments that experts say are too low to live on, while refusing to make global gas companies pay a fair royalty for our resources might be ok by Labor backbenchers but isn’t what community expects
”
Player Onesays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:44 pm
Oops …
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-05-09/labor-mps-revolt-over-gas-strategy/103827902
There’s growing unrest on Labor’s backbench over the government’s gas policy, with one MP claiming she was blindsided by today’s announcement.
At least six Labor backbenchers have spoken out against the Future Gas Strategy, unveiled by Resources Minister Madeleine King on Thursday.
The federal government in its strategy states new sources of gas will be needed to supply energy into the future, and would remain “an important source of energy through to 2050 and beyond”.
It states that gas will be needed in sectors like manufacturing and minerals processing at least until viable alternatives are available.
Labor MP for Higgins Dr Michelle Ananda-Rajah said the announcement caught her by surprise.
“I feel like I was blindsided by this announcement and would have preferred more consultation to improve my understanding of gas in our future energy mix,” she said.
…
”
It appears ALP is trying to ram this new gas policy down the throat of Labor caucus like they did with AUKUS deal.
Empire managers anyone?
There seems to be some confusion.
I have zero difficulty with the notion of demanding that universities divest their investments from Israel.
That is not the issue. The issue is whether Israel deserves being the sole global priority target for divestment right now.
Because if it isn’t then the logical inference is that some other motivation is also at play.
Is Israel worse than Russia, China, Sudan, Saudi Arabia, Iran or Syria right now?
Not in my book. Assad has the blood of something like 600,000 Syrians on his hands. Twenty times the losses in Gaza. Putin has the blood of around 500,000 casualties as a result of his invasion. Casualties in the Sudan Civil war before the current unpleasantness in Darfur: 2,000,000.
These are all current targets for divestment. The quantum of human suffering is incredibly greater than Gaza. But, no…
Nicholas says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 12:58 pm
When Labor says, “Jump!”, Poll Bludger centrists ask, “How high? And can we give you a massage afterwards?”
The core skills of Poll Bludger centrists are blurring issues, delaying decisions, dodging questions, juggling figures, bending skills, and concealing errors.
===========================================================================
Nicholas – you’ll see pollbludger posters “in action” on Budget night. Not all centrists on the site dominate and very few posters are bullied into submission. Try taking on Lordbain, Boerwar, C@t, FUBAR, Mavis or Lars as examples of posters not easily pushed around. None of these posters say “how high”, and none of them are doing massages. We might even have a (well overdue) visit from Irene, and I doubt she is obliging with how high and massages nonsense.
The good posters on the site (the posters we all read), will be around on Tues May-14. Watch what they type as some of them are very prescient.
What to expect:
* Before 7.28 PM, make sure you’ve got yourself a beer or your favourite drink.
* We will have the ABC weather report around 7.28 PM. If non-drinker, put the kettle on now.
* After a bit of tele-drivel, at around 7.33 PM we cross to Parliament
* PB will go very quiet. Maybe 15 posts b/w 7.32 and around 8.20 PM.
* We will then, “have a budget”. Lasts about 20 mins.
* At around 8.05 PM, the Treasurer will be interviewed by the ABC.
* At around 8.15 PM, the Treasurer will/may be interviewed by SkyNews. SkyNews is important because if he doesn’t front up there, the “right” will monster him as gutless & the Centrists will say “what are you afraid of”. The left won’t care because they don’t watch/subscribe to SkyNews cable TV.
* We then have a slight pause, whilst dignified posters, seek a top up.
* About 8.30 PM, the “assessment” will commence. We’ll have the right, the left, the Greens, the Labor Rightists, the LNP leftists, Libertarians and Hansonites all in the mud pit. {Join in Nicholas, I’ll be there}. Can’t stop any of them posting as they’re entitled to have their say. Forget about the site being some sort of “centrist love in”. It isn’t, you’ll see.
Moving on to what’s important. After “assessment”, by about 11 PM on poll bludger:
* there will be general consensus on whether the Budget is good or bad, and more interestingly
* there will be general consensus on whether it’s an election year Budget, or we have another Budget next Year.
No balloons have been floated as yet, so it appears Mr Chalmers is keeping things tight lipped. Very interesting – feels a bit like calm before storm. Doubt we’ll get a “medicare gold” announcement, so we might get a petrol rebate reduction announcement. If we get a “booze tax down” announcement, then yes we are having an election this year. We’ll see in 5 days.
No polls upcoming over the weekend. We’ll have another Roy Morgan on Monday, but disregard this. We’re due for a Freshwater Strategy by Monday too, but I expect they’ll delay until after the Budget.
Should have an avalanche of polls in 10 days time or so. We’ll see what the ALP 2PP looks like in say 21 days time. If up, we are on election watch, if down, expect full term.
1. Bludgertrack Tracker has the ALP today sitting at 50.9% 2PP
2. KB ticker sitting at 51.3% ALP (KB = Dr Kevin Bonham) Link: https://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/
3. MarktheBallot ticker sitting at 50.6% ALP (MarktheBallot = Prof Bryan Palmer)
Link: https://marktheballot.blogspot.com/
I’ll keep an eye out on these 3 tickers during May. Bit of maths involved which is beyond me, but it’s the numbers which count.
Catch up Budget night!
”
frednksays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:45 pm
rhwombat says:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 6:34 pm
…..
The Likudniks are terrified of the last example of student ‘Divestment Politics’ (the anti-apartheid campaigns of the 1970) because they worked – just like the Civil Rights movement. The same will happen now – just not evenly distributed.
Apartheid was once accepted and then it wasn’t. Israel was accepted and then …..
ABC looked at what was happening at our university. What I found interesting is the Palestine side was represented by someone in her early twenties, the Israel side by a bloke in his 40.
”
No wonder Millennials and Gen Z are moving away from major parties.
It is not our lives (who are 50+ in age) which will be impacted by Climate change havoc. We may live another 10, 20, 30 years.
They would inherit the planet ravaged by Climate change.
The 1.5°C discussed at Paris climate conference appears to be already breached (for atleast for last 11 months it breached 1.5°C).
What’s this? Gas beyond 2050? New sources of gas?
Sounds like the ALP need a ‘get ready for nuclear’ Plan B.
The issue is whether Israel deserves being the sole global priority target for divestment right now.
BW, you realise that every country you just listed is the target of at least one extensive sanction and or attempt of divestment at the government level right?
Russia – extensive sanctions, including targeting their gas industry
China – sanctions from the US targeting multiple Chinese entities, and of course the Tik Tok problem
Sudan – US sanctions
Saudi Arabia – sanctions by multiple countries regarding track record of human rights abuses
Iran – massive sanctions led by the US
Syria – sanctions by the US
Now for the punchline BW… which countries have sanctions against Israel?
Leadersays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 8:12 pm
Entropy: 70% of hydrogen is produced using gas. A further amount is produced using electrolysis using fossil fuel generated electricity.
Fertilizer at the price and quantity required will require using gas. We need new gas fields to supply the gas.
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We are at cross purposes i suspect. I was actually posting on the fact you can produce green fertiliser. I wasn’t suggesting we can fill all our fertiliser requirement now with green fertiliser. Like with electricity it will take sometime to transition to green fertiliser. Same true also in the case of green steel or other metals. They will all need a fully carbon neutral electricity system and the large scale production of green hydrogen for this to occur at 100% carbon neutral.
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Bystandersays:
Thursday, May 9, 2024 at 7:04 pm
Wow! It’s been all in boots and all tonight. Insults flowing fast and free. Regarding the divestment issue, I think Boerwar is ahead on points. It does stink a little of antisemitism to try and single out Israel.
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Disagree with you.
The last COP (OUT) went for a target of 1.5+ which had already been breached by the end of the COP.
Pure bullshit.
The planet is heading resolutely towards plus 2.5 degrees.