The Australian reports the first Newspoll of the year shows no change to the status quo after the tax cuts backflip or anything else to have happened over the holiday period, with Labor retaining its 52-48 two-party lead from the mid-December poll. Only minor changes are recorded on the primary vote, with Labor up a point to 34%, the Coalition steady on 36%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation steady on 7%.
Questions on the tax cuts found 62% believed the government had done the right thing, but oddly only 38% felt they would be better off. Preferred prime minister is likewise unchanged at 46-35 in favour of Anthony Albanese, while at this stage we only have net results on the two leaders’ ratings: Albanese down a point to minus nine, Peter Dutton down four to minus 13. A number of gaps here should be filled when The Australian publishes full results tables.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1245.
UPDATE: Albanese is steady on 42% approval and up one on disapproval to 51%, while Dutton is down two to 37% and up two to 50%. The 38% better off figure turns out to contrast with only 18% for worse off, with 37% opting for about the same and 7% uncommitted. The 62% support rating compared with 29% opposed and 9% uncommitted. Both questions emphasised that the changes would be to the advantage of lower and middle income earners.
I have a suspicion that if Dutton was to loose his seat at the next federal poll. The replacement will be a competition between Jacinta Price, Hastie or Tehran. The question is who is the most 2GB/Sky After Dark Newcorp Tabloid friendly of that lot.
Entropy @ Monday, February 5, 2024 at 6:14 pm:
“Not sure how vehicle emission standings will play out though. It is about time it was done and will be popular with the younger cohort, who support stronger action on climate change. Though it might not be a huge vote turner either way. Unless of course the LNP overplay their hand opposing it, which they often do. As an over the top campaign like “ending the weekend”. Will not go down with the public well and make them just look silly.”
===================
Entropy, I agree that there is a somewhat greater risk of voter opposition vehicle emissions laws themselves than with the S3 changes. However, the reason I lumped them together is that they both present the Government as decisive, active and focused on solving problems, while they tempt the Coalition into presenting themselves as armchair nit-pickers without a plan of their own and with no interest in developing one.
sprocket_ @ #447 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:09 pm
Mike Johnson trying to get a vote on Israel Aid only is dirty, cynical politics. I thought he was a Christian? What would Jesus do? He certainly wouldn’t allow the Ukrainians to be thrown to the Russian wolves, that’s for sure.
Friends of the Earth are reporting an event scheduled for tomorrow in Canberra..
The ‘rally against reckless renewables’ will happen outside parliament in Canberra tomorrow.
The speakers list is chock a block full of esteemed experts in energy & climate, including Malcolm Roberts, Ralph Babet, the IPA, Barnaby Joyce, Bob Katter & Pauline Hanson.
Should be a hoot!
leftieBrawler @ #435 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 5:53 pm
You certainly were if you hired a trainee and let them loose with no training and no supervision while you went off on your holiday. You deserve whatever result you got.
And I still think you should give her a bonus and encourage her to post here for you while you go clean up the mess you created but which she is apparently going to have to pay the price for. We can train her for you 🙂
Greg Rudd @ #451 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:21 pm
Jacinta Price’s jihad on transgender individuals appears to have fallen in a heap. Not the sign of an adept future leader. Besides, she’s a woman, a member of the CLP and a Northern Territorian. Have the Coalition ever picked anyone with any of those attributes to lead them?
Sounds more like a gathering of feckless deplorables.
NM
Bontempelli is one of three or four fairly equal at the moment.
I always think champions are champions and comparisons are just that: comparisons and pretty meaningless.
I never saw Robran play but enough people say he was very good so I’ll accept that. (BK’s opinion rules.) I saw more Malcolm Blight and he ranks highly with me of SA players of past eras.
Growing up in WA I was too young to appreciate Graham Farmer before he went to Victoria but they say he changed the game and is widely respected there. But we named a freeway after him!
In the mid to late 60s Barry Cable was probably the best player in WA. But I did see him play every week and that can influence an opinion. Later Stephen Michael had that mantle.
Though the 70s and into the mid 80s all we saw of the VFL was an hour long highlight package on the ABC so we only saw flashes of the greats of that era.
Since then it’s been footy overload.
I think Gary Ablett junior is as good I have seen in the last decade or so and I wonder what his career could have been had he not taken the money and moved to the Gold Coast.
Lance Franklin was probably better thought of his twilight years as people realised his unique talents were on the wane and unlikely to be seen again.
And I’ll go along with Nath (just this once). Scott Pendelbury is as good as many I have seen. When you watching a Collingwood game, even on TV, keep an eye on him at a stoppage.
Greensborough Growler @ #454 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:25 pm
Which Earth? The Scorched Earth or the Soggy Earth? Certainly not the Earth we want to preserve for future generations.
Confessions @ #457 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:27 pm
Feckless deplorable clowns.
C@t:
I did foreshadow that once the referendum was done and dusted we’d likely not hear from Price again. She’s served her purpose and can now be shoved back in the cupboard.
Greensborough Growler @ #454 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:25 pm
I wonder if the Bore will be speaking? It would seem to be his demographic.
Confessions @ #461 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:28 pm
But she’s struggling to come out of the closet. 😉
C@tmomma @ Monday, February 5, 2024 at 6:24 pm:
sprocket_ @ #447 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:09 pm
“Mike Johnson trying to get a vote on Israel Aid only is dirty, cynical politics. I thought he was a Christian? What would Jesus do? He certainly wouldn’t allow the Ukrainians to be thrown to the Russian wolves, that’s for sure.”
====================
That’s exactly how he has enraged me at himself and depressed me about that whole situation. Playing international victims of aggression against each other and throwing one under the bus for domestic political leverage. It makes me sick.
Here’s the flier for tomorrow’s event.
https://getthewordout.com.au/press-release/press-release-press-release-national-rally-against-reckless-renewables-6-feb-2024-parliament-house-10am/
Not to mention Jacinta Price is in the Senate and convention has it that a major party leader has to be in the lower house, so she’d have to find a seat there and Labor holds both NT seats for now.
I still think that if Dutton were to vacate the Liberal leadership it would be a 3-way contest between Angus Taylor, Paul Fletcher and Andrew Hastie, with maybe Dan Tehan in the running but probably not.
I still think that if Dutton were to vacate the Liberal leadership it would be a 3-way contest between Angus Taylor, Paul Fletcher and Andrew Hastie, with maybe Dan Tehan in the running but probably not.
_____
Out of that four, Hastie would probably represent the party’s best choice for the medium term.
P1’s soulmates are getting together to encourage consumers to recklessly emit more CO2 emissions tomorrow and to rail against renewables.
Tourism?
8%.
And what is the solution to that? Grow the tourism pie!
Then hold your nose and whinge about renewables until the cows come home… er… until the cows are all shot as well.
The Labor Government should stop the tourism industry tomorrow. It should stop all flights tomorrow. That is an instant reduction of 13%.
It should shoot all the nation’s livestock.
There is another 9%.
Total 22%. straight away.
Sure a few rich people and a few people who eat meat and dairy might struggle for a week or so. Sure a few CO2 drug purveyors would have to find something else to do instead of speeding up global warming.
Labor should continue with its program of tens of billions to switch to renewables.
And that’s not saying much!!
“And at an eye-watering 19.6 litres per 100km”
Goodness me, that about 3 times the old i30.
‘Dandy Murray says:
Monday, February 5, 2024 at 6:42 pm
“And at an eye-watering 19.6 litres per 100km”
Goodness me, that about 3 times the old i30.’
—————-
It is OK if you drive it to an eco resort, but.
Seriously, what actually burns 20 litres per 100km these days?
The Age 05/04
Australian Strategic Policy Institute senior analyst Malcolm Davis said the Yang sentencing “treats the current government’s attempts at ‘stabilisation’ of the relationship with utter contempt”.
_____________________
Nailed it.
BK,
They might go for Barnaby as the Unity candidate.
”
Greensborough Growlersays:
Monday, February 5, 2024 at 6:25 pm
Friends of the Earth are reporting an event scheduled for tomorrow in Canberra..
The ‘rally against reckless renewables’ will happen outside parliament in Canberra tomorrow.
The speakers list is chock a block full of esteemed experts in energy & climate, including Malcolm Roberts, Ralph Babet, the IPA, Barnaby Joyce, Bob Katter & Pauline Hanson.
Should be a hoot!
”
PaulA and Pied piper will most probably grace the occasion. 🙂
They might go for Barnaby as the Unity candidate.
++++++++++
GG
Makes eminent sense!
Hastie is a right wing religious loon who refused to deny that the earth is only 6000 years old.
Give Hastie the Field Marshall’s baton?
He has the Morrisonian messianic twinkle in the eye.
Yet another Coalition religious crank?
BK,
Apparently, he has some rather fruity things to say about Turnbull tonight.
Very Statesman like!
Hastie is a right wing religious loon who refused to deny that the earth is only 6000 years old.
+++++++++++++++
Granny Anny
I took that into account.
Which indicates my opinion of the other three!
Far more realistic for Labor to say no to new coal and gas.
GG
The shorts showed Joyce describing Turnbull as a shithead.
‘BK says:
Monday, February 5, 2024 at 6:48 pm
Hastie is a right wing religious loon who refused to deny that the earth is only 6000 years old.
+++++++++++++++
Granny Anny
I took that into account.
Which indicates my opinion of the other three!’
==================
Hang on. That was two years ago. Which makes the world 6002 years old in 2024.
”We have Shotgun McKenzie claiming that this is going to cost $40,000 EXTRA to buy a ute!!!!!!!!”
Really, someone in authority should call bullshit, using that exact word, and ask Ms McKenzie to show her calculations or be exposed as a liar.
There’s a simple test. Do utes cost $40,000 more in Europe or the USA or NZ? They’re probably cheaper in the first two.
Granny Anny @ #476 Monday, February 5th, 2024 – 6:46 pm
Perfect then.
‘Steve777 says:
Monday, February 5, 2024 at 6:52 pm
”We have Shotgun McKenzie claiming that this is going to cost $40,000 EXTRA to buy a ute!!!!!!!!”
Really, someone in authority should call bullshit, using the exact word, and ask Ms McKenzie to show her calculations or be exposed as a liar.
There’s a simple test. Do utes cost $40,000 in Europe or the USA or NZ? They’re probably cheaper in the first two.’
————————–
It was on Sky. No facts needed.
I understand that the tactics committee is meeting in the Potato Locker this evening. Spud needs to watch his back. Symmetrischema tangolias is flying in the ACT, ATM.
dog’s,
Met a bloke with one of these in a car park the other day. Said it set him back around $50K, range of about 200Km, and the look of a very smart zippy little city car, assuming the Italians have sorted out their car rusting problems.
https://www.fiat.com.au/500e.html
They say that Defence is where careers go to die.
Hastie is already there, albeit as opposition spokesman.
He needs to find a role where he can show some ability to talk about something other than defence matters and China.
His leadership rivals might be happy to keep him there.
And I’m not sure the Liberals’ reduced numbers from WA give him much clout in the party room.
The Trust Fall – Julian Assange.
“Julian Assange is a threat to power because he exposes an illusion that we are generally being told to support. And that illusion is that we live in a democracy.”
– Brian Eno
Please support this independent film here: https://gofund.me/55f992e2
“I fought for liberty and was deprived of all liberty. I fought for freedom of speech and was deprived of all speech. I fought for the truth and became the subject of a thousand lies”.
– Julian Assange
Please contact YOUR local cinema and request for them to run The TRUST FALL: Julian Assange – Documentary. Point them to http://www.thetrustfall.org for info and the trailer.
Senator Wong is advocating for Australian Yang Hengjun.
Although, according to recently freed Kylie Moore-Gilbert from an Iranian jail, not loudly enough. Certainly not while she was in prison.
But Wong is silent when it comes to Julian Assange. Double standards. Does Labor have something to hide. Or we can’t cross our big best buddy Biden, and the US.
C@t, none of my bees wax, but if it were, I’d be thinking the second paragraph was unnecessary.
I’d plump for Dan Tehan.
Despite being dull and boring, he could hold the fort till the Moderates sort themselves out to put some much needed talent into Parliament.
I’d plump for Dan Tehan.
++++++++++++++
sprocket_
He comes across as a bit of a hayseed.
”The shorts showed Joyce describing Turnbull as a shithead.”
I’m sure the respect is mutual.
Who on earth is this mystery man called Assange?
Did he do something constructive?
Did he sexually penetrate women after secretly removing the condom?
Did an embassy get very sick of him. Very, very, very sick of him?
Did he do Clinton over on behalf of Putin handing the US to the GOP?
Did his indiscriminate actions directly lead to the murder of a bunch of people?
Someone has questions to answer.
GG ,I saw somewhere that the cookers were predicting up to 2 million people would be there!
I’ll be at the (soggy) ODI fortunately (I hope)
And just what you’d expect from an anti democratic nation.
>Total 22%. straight away.
What percentage would be achived if the goverment banned all fossil fuel transport tomorow?
>Sure a few rich people and a few people who eat meat and dairy might struggle for a week or so. Sure a few CO2 drug purveyors would have to find something else to do instead of speeding up global warming.
Sure some people may struggle for a week or so but wouldn’t that achive more then your proposal?
Never is a long time to be holding the fort.
Thanks WB! Should be quite a workout this week with polls. Kos Samaras indicated that Redbridge is in the field so I’ll keep an eye out for this poll and drop a post if it pops up. Interesting to see how the BT computer digests the data during the week. I think the BT should tick the ALP primary over 32% by weeks end, if not near 33%. Also, I think Essential comes out on Tues 13-Feb (not tomorrow).
If the BT computer ticks over 33%, actually say 33.6% (and stays there), then I will definately be on election watch for later this year. 32.6% was the 2022 Primary, so 33.6% gives the PM a 1% buffer, which would also be picked up on the parties’ internals. PM’s aren’t silly, they’ll go to the polls when their vote is up. Never come between a PM an a possible election win.
Per Roy Morgan,
Yes, absolutely your call. A lot of posters have a low regard for Morgan, but I don’t, for these reasons;
1. They’ve got the guts to run a poll, and publish it every week, dating back to the late 1900’s.
2. They don’t show pony themselves
3. They say they poll over 1500 people, which is a sizeable amount. Anything under 1000 I’d be running to the shredder, but > 1500 is a fair amount.
Just thinking off the trolley, maybe collate their polls each month (sometimes you’ll get 4, sometimes 5, depending on how many Mondays) and dump them into the BT computer as an average at the end of each month with your weighting. Ie, instead of having 52 Morgan polls flying around each year, you convert them somehow into 12 monthly Morgans and “feed the beast” at the end of each month.
Anyway, your call. Thanks.
Boerwar @ Monday, February 5, 2024 at 7:02 pm:
Who on earth is this mystery man called Assange? …
… Did he do Clinton over on behalf of Putin handing the US to the GOP?”
======================
Yep. That makes him an enemy as far as I am concerned. He worked hard to get Trump elected in 2016, and his efforts helped make that happen. Now, there is a conservative supermajority on SCOTUS and a MAGA movement dedicated to withholding support from Ukraine and so deliver that country to Putin.