Miscellany: by-elections latest (open thread)

Major party starters in place for Fadden, a date set for Rockingham, and nine candidates emerge for Liberal preselection in Warrandyte.

News to report on the three by-elections presently in view – one federal and two state, two with dates confirmed and one to be announced:

• The Liberal National Party candidate for the Fadden by-election on July 15 will be long-serving Gold Coast councillor Cameron Caldwell, who won a final round vote of 153 preselectors over Dinesh Palipana, with Fran Ward, Owen Caterer and Craig Hobart falling by the wayside in earlier rounds. Lydia Lynch of The Australian reports a meeting of Labor’s administrative committee last Friday unanimously endorsed Letitia Del Fabbro, a nurse educator who was also the candidate at the May 2022 election.

• Nine candidates have nominated for Liberal preselection in Warrandyte, expected to be held in about a fortnight, controversial former Kew MP Tim Smith not being among them. As reported by Rachel Baxendale in The Australian, they are John Roskam, former executive director of the Institute of Public Affairs; Sarah Overton, KPMG director; Nicole Ta-Ei Werner, who ran in Box Hill at the November state election; Jason McClintock, a tech business founder who ran in Eltham (and who donated heavily to the party’s state election campaign); David Farrelly, who ran in Pakenham; Jemma Townson, “energy industry communications director and former Matthew Guy and Katie Allen staffer”; Antonietta di Cosmo, 22-year-old “Ryan Smith staffer, champion rower and law student”; Allison Troth, “cancer campaigner and former John Howard staffer”; and Andrew Conlon, “Manningham councillor and maths teacher”. The report says factional conservatives are likely to back Roskam or Werner, while “an opposing factional grouping that coalesces around powerbrokers Frank Greenstein and Holly Byrne” might support Overton, McClintock or Townson.

• The Rockingham by-election to replace Mark McGowan has been set for July 29. The West Australian reports that Labor’s candidate will likely be Magenta Marshall, who has won backing from the Right, despite last week saying she was “not sure it’s my time”. Marshall is in her late twenties and works in a “specialised campaigning role” in party headquarters, having previously been an electorate officer to Balcatta MP David Michael.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,277 comments on “Miscellany: by-elections latest (open thread)”

Comments Page 17 of 26
1 16 17 18 26

  1. Shogunsays:
    Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 7:18 pm
    Windhover
    Thanks Rex, the protocols can be hard to follow so I am most grateful for the generosity of your assistance.

    I too was confused – until Rex (ever the helpful altruist) set me straight. This is fraught territory for us non-blaks to navigate. Rex has shown us the light.

    Lidia Thorpe has achieved so much in her short Federal parliamentary career: laid down in front of a Mardi Gras float; been thrown out of a night club; sued the Greens party for racism. There is just no end to her talents! As the epicentre of the Voice referendum, we all need to know how to treat Lidia with appropriate deference and respect.

    Thank you Rex.

    Raised Bikie issues in the committee she was in, which pointed to conflict of interest as she had ex-bikie as boyfriend.

  2. Breaking – Richmond’s Marlion Pickett is tonight in custody in Perth.
    Has been arrested and charged in relation to alleged aggravated burglary, stealing & criminal damage offences across Dec + Jan in WA. Faces court tomorrow.

  3. “[Oleksa Dovbush 68th Separate Ranger Brigade:] “Valiant soldiers from the Oleksa Dovbush 68th Separate Ranger Brigade, together with other units of Ukraine’s defence forces based nearby, have liberated the settlement of Blahodatne.

    The invaders resisted to the last, but they could not withstand the unstoppable wolverine’s assault!”

    The brigade reported that several Russian soldiers were captured, saying that the information they provided will help liberate more Ukrainian land.”

    https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/06/11/7406347/

    [relates to militaryland.net’s assessment I linked earlier at 5:50 pm]

  4. Boland keeps proving me wrong. I don’t know why I didn’t rate him at the start and it is becoming embarrassing to still be underrating him.

    And someone has to take DRS reviews away from Cummins.

  5. Taylormade, how can Gallagher be in a situation where she will be gone from the Senate when you have lying cows like Cash and Reynolds in the same place.

    If Gallagher’s supposed crime was so serious, how on earth did Stuart Robert get to stay in the Parliament for as long as he did? Did Sussssan really buy that property on the spur of the moment, and did Barnaby really justify his drought envoy job with a few texts? And of course there is no way that the Shadow Treasurer doctored the travel figures document because he thought it would enhance his wife’s chances of being elected Sydney Lord Mayor.

  6. And someone has to take DRS reviews away from Cummins.
    ______
    And leave Laubushagne completely out of any decision to refer.

  7. Good news everyone:

    The clouds are finally parting for Tesla Inc. investors who stuck with the electric-vehicle maker through a rough ride. A rush of good news for the company and the return of bullish market conviction have put the stock on pace to more than double this year.

    The Elon Musk-led EV company has added more than $194 billion to its market valuation in an 11-day run, as the shares tied with their longest-ever winning streak.

    https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/teslas-record-run-drives-nearly-200-billion-jump-in-value/articleshow/100891220.cms

  8. Team Katich

    “ Good one Soc. I only saw Liam live once, at bluesfest. Amazing voice. He did a song or three with Eddi Reader at that gig. Here’s a Beatles cover they did.”

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=efDKW29zMsA

    Thanks for that. Yes I thought he had a great voice too. A lot of good original songs on the HHF album too.

  9. Team Katich says:
    Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 8:31
    …….And someone has to take DRS reviews away from Cummins.
    *********
    The rule is NLL – Never Listen to Labuschagne.
    Edit: snap BK

  10. “Good news everyone:

    The clouds are finally parting for Tesla Inc. investors who stuck with the electric-vehicle maker through a rough ride. A rush of good news for the company and the return of bullish market conviction have put the stock on pace to more than double this year.

    The Elon Musk-led EV company has added more than $194 billion to its market valuation in an 11-day run, as the shares tied with their longest-ever winning streak.”

    A Ponzi scheme can last as long as the queue of suckers.

  11. Starc is trying to bowl Yorkers in my opinion although Ricky Ponting says something else.
    BTW, what do I know when compared to Ricky Ponting anyway.

  12. Is AUKUS deal a Ponzi scheme especially after production of Virginia class Nuclear Subs is delayed by atleast 2 years.

  13. “Is AUKUS deal a Ponzi scheme especially after production of Virginia class Nuclear Subs is delayed by atleast 2 years.”

    No early players in a ponzi scheme can still win, AUKUS is a just a con, and we were the willing victim.

  14. TK,
    I saw Lionel Ritchie at Gosford Stadium! I was there for Chic though. 😉

    Actually my son had tickets for Faith No More, but Covid hit and it was… no more!

    Now I don’t think that there’s a video of it but X covering John Lennon’s ‘Mother’ is a classic of the cover version genre. 😀

  15. I see C@t has embarrassed herself again .

    Her love of being ‘In the fight’ with ‘Merica knows no bounds.

    The fundamental problem, dear C@t is not the vexed question of whether France or Britain will be ‘in the fight’ with us, but whether in fact dear old Uncle Sam will be.

    You talk about not looking over the horizon, but you seem to think that Biden – more particularly his special brand of american exceptionalism and triumphant jingoism – is forever. … and yet … and yet …despite his ‘very bad awful no good’ week Trump is still dominating the polls for the republican nomination: 40% of eligible American & likely voters would still vote for him: yet you blather about ‘the risk’ of Le Pen.

    Biden is a relic. His ‘American exceptionalism’ only resonates with a dying demographic. He will be the last ‘Roosevelt’ democrat. The millennials, gen y and zoomers aren’t going to fall for his sort of jingoism. That’s when one considers how the ‘sensible’ demographics in America are likely to evolve politically over the next decade: whereas the rest of the country is straight up cra cra NOW.

    It is YOU who is irrational. Not Soc. The chances of an itinerant naval power sticking around for an existential fight against a resident super-power are non existent.

    Of course, you can nestle into the bosom of the Canberra establishment who have likewise drunk the AUKUS Kool-aid and the 1960s DLP talking points. Collectively … your brains are broke.

  16. i understand the cat is on bord with the government position i am not sure how aukus will go but with the far right in frants apart from Trumpus seems more reliable no body acsept for keating who since 2019 is pro china advicates colins 2

  17. speaking of old poasters what happind to lefti brawler did he end up coming to the catch up seems topoast arround election times

  18. Further to my last post. Whilst America’s interests do not align with of true national interests, regardless of the musing of the wolverines and other assorted fuckwits, I seriously doubt we can turn away from at least the first few ‘pillars’ of AUKUS.

    I also now think that be no bad thing either. Whilst I seriously doubt america is truly up for the fight in the longer time frame required to ‘counter China’ they may be persuaded to at least stick around as a genuine ‘balancing force’. If we pick up 4-6 Virginia class subs (especially the best ones – the Block IVs) that would be not bad thing.

    I really don’t see ‘Global Britain’ delivering on the SSN-AUKUS class for us and the sooner we sink that particular delusion the better. I think being a straight up customer for american SSNs and then complementing that basic capability with a lot of indigenous research, development and ultimately production of cutting edge autonomous drones – submersibles and airborne alike – could work out ok for us in the long run. larger manned platforms (destroyers, nuclear subs, bombers and tactical strike aircraft) will likely act as host ‘mother ships’ over the next 30-50 years but the real key to 21st century defence will be AI and autonomous vehicles of all descriptions. THAT’s where we should be focusing our investment.

    To that end, maybe something useful will come out of AUKUS; but the whole concept is flawed even on that basis: to actively seek to exclude the Western European aerospace industry and AI R&D seems totally stupid. That aspect was Morrison’s accomodation to BoJo, and like British SSNs, it should be ditched as soon as possible.

  19. Australia win the World Test Championship!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  20. Mavis says:
    Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 12:20 pm
    It should be a good week, with Trump fronting court on Tuesday; young Pa Houston on Thursday; and, a decision by the NSW ICAC on Beryjiklian (Operation Keppel) on or before June 30.
    ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
    98.6 recites :
    30 days has September, April, June and November.
    So 11 from 30 leaves 19 sleeps till we know all the answers, starting with tonight’s sleep as number one.
    If we’re lucky, we may get the lot this week.
    Then we can all sing along with that song by Hedgehoppers Anonymus :- ‘It’s Good News Week’

  21. Australia: World Test Champions.

    A far more worthy title than either the One Day or T20 World Cup. IMO.

  22. Blak???

    Get real!

    Thorpe hasn’t the guts to say First Nations people, original owners of the Land!!

    As to those who have adopted that term, I, as a First Nation person can tell you all that using the dismissive term Blak is not a winning argument.

    Give it up!

  23. Cricket dusted.

    Oh man. Tori! Something so damn splendid about Tori. Might be the leg up on the rocking chair thing. Or the voice. Or the suckling piglet.

  24. nath says:
    Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 8:36 pm
    Good news everyone:

    The clouds are finally parting for Tesla Inc. investors who stuck with the electric-vehicle maker through a rough ride. A rush of good news for the company and the return of bullish market conviction have put the stock on pace to more than double this year.

    The Elon Musk-led EV company has added more than $194 billion to its market valuation in an 11-day run, as the shares tied with their longest-ever winning streak.

    https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/teslas-record-run-drives-nearly-200-billion-jump-in-value/articleshow/100891220.cms
    ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
    SELL SELL SELL

  25. Cricket result was always going to happen, don’t know why anyone was ever concerned!

    India can’t win outside of India and their doctored pitches.

    Then, it’s always about ratings.

  26. Andrew Earlwood

    I note your comments on 4 to 6 Virginias, which I agree would make a significant capability. Of course, we could literally crew 12 Suffrens for the crew of 6 Virginias.

    The thing that bothers me the more I think about it is that even if SSN AUKUS delivers on time, we end up having to maintain both 3+ Virginia Blk IVs and 5+ SSN AUKUS for 30 years! The maintenance workload will be huge. Two sets of different equipment for everything.

    If USA really withdraws back to USA keeping 4 to 6 Virginias running will be a challenge. Not needing refuelling is a distraction, which glosses over all the things they will need.

    All the other items of research you mention can and will be pursued. Of course, we could have done them all with Barracudas as well.

    I still think the subs and air defense are critical overall. Some talk about the oceans becoming transparent to subs in future. Maybe. But an SSN would only have to sit still to negate that.

    Meanwhile tracking of ships is easy and getting easier. Micro satellites and drones are going to get better not worse. The missiles that target ships are only getting more dangerous.

    I wonder if we are at a turning point in tactics. We see in Ukraine it is getting very hard to advance over open ground vs troops with missiles. How much harder will it be for ships to advance over open ocean vs defenders with bigger, more dangerous missiles?

    Well done Aussie bowlers! Night all.

Comments Page 17 of 26
1 16 17 18 26

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *