Essential Research and Resolve Strategic offer further numbers on budget polling, both tending to support Newspoll’s impression of a lukewarm response to the budget, and one — or possibly two, with Resolve Strategic to be confirmed — also supporting its finding of no discernible impact on voting intention.
What we have so far from Essential Research is a report in The Guardian relating that its 2PP+ measure of voting intention has Labor steady on 53% and the Coalition up one to 42%, with the remainder undecided; Anthony Albanese up three on approval to 54% and down two on disapproval to 35%; and Peter Dutton steady on approval at 36% and up one on disapproval to 45%. For primary votes will have to wait for the pollster’s publication of its full results later today.
The poll found 24% expecting the government would be good for them personally, which presumably had a corresponding result for bad that will also have to wait for the full report. Only limited numbers felt it would create jobs (33%), reduce debt (29%), reduce cost-of-living pressures (26%), whereas 46% felt it would “create long-term problems that will need to be fixed in the future”. Respondents were most likely to rate that the budget would be good for people receiving government payments and least likely to younger Australians and “average working people”.
There was also a forced response questions on the Indigenous Voice and a republic, the former finding the margin from yes in to 59-41 from 60-40 a month ago, with small state sub-samples finding recording big leads in New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia, but an even balance in Queensland and Western Australia. The republic question, which apparently left the devil undetailed, broke 54-46 in favour. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1080.
The Resolve Strategic poll in the Age/Herald, which will presumably follow up with voting intention results fairly short, seemingly produced the most favourable results for the budget, with 31% saying it would be good for them and their household compared with 26% for bad; 44% good for the country with 17% for bad; 36% good for the health of the economy with 15% for bad; and 39% good for “rebuilding a healthy budget” with 17% for bad. Similarly to Essential Research, it found respondents were most likely to see the budget as good for the less fortunate and disadvantaged, with 56% for good and 14% for poor, but it substantially more positive results for both older people (48% good and 17% bad) and younger people (39% and 17%).
Respondents were asked about twelve specific items in the budget, finding majority support for all but two: limiting growth in NDIS spending to 8% a year, which still recorded a net positive result with 37% in favour and 17% opposed, and facilities for the Brisbane Olympics and Tasmanian AFL, which were supported by 27% and opposed by 37%. The most popular measure was the spending on Medicare to encourage bulk billing, at 81% in favour and 5% opposed, with funding for a wage increase for aged care workers, energy bill relief and doubling of medicine prescription periods recording between 73% and 75% support. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1610.
UPDATE (Essential Research): Essential Research voting intention numbers are here and the full report here. The former’s primary votes are very strong for Labor, suggesting the static 2PP+ numbers relied on a change in respondent-allocated preferences: Labor are up two 35%, the Coalition are down one to 31%, the Greens are steady on 14%, One Nation are steady on 5% and the United Australia Party is down one to 1%. Further, the report allows comparison of the budget response with five budgets going back to 2020, which makes the numbers look better than at first blush. Twenty-four per cent for “good for you personally” is about par for the course; the 41% and 37% for “good for people on lower incomes” and “good for older Australians” are comfortably the strongest results out of five budgets going back to 2020; 46% for “place unnecessary burdens on future generations” is the best result of the five.
BK
I wanted my television to remain intact. So the answer is no. Lol!
Boerwar
Thank you.
Alternative facts from nath and south? What a surprise. Not. 😐
BK @ #593 Wednesday, May 17th, 2023 – 1:28 pm
I flicked over to ABC24. And flicked away again. 😐
Upnorth – A Labor Partisansays:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 11:34 am
Quads cancelled folks. Albos just announced. ABC Breaking.
_____________________
How embarrassing.
Nigel Powers : “There are only two things I can’t stand in this world: People who are intolerant of other people’s cultures… and the Dutch.”
Leadership.
Stuart Robert, a grifter to the end.
And the first thing I came across on The Guardian politics blog:
Angus Taylor rejects accusation opposition rhetoric on migrants has emboldened fascists
🙄
Taylormade
Embarrassing for who? I’m looking forward to your explanation.
“Has anyone taken one for the team and watched Angus Taylor at the NPC?”
I’ve seen him do his thing up close. Not rushing back for more.
Taylormade @ #605 Wednesday, May 17th, 2023 – 1:35 pm
Yes, the Repugs in the US, whose histrionics were the cause of it, certainly are.
In all likelihood the far higher survival rates of Dutch POW’s was likely due to German influence on Japan. There were many Dutch collaborators with the Nazi regime and many joined the German military, particularly the SS. No doubt the Japanese responded with better treatment considering the Axis alliance.
Victoria @ #609 Wednesday, May 17th, 2023 – 1:36 pm
You will never get one, though you probably know that. Taylormade is a bomb thrower for the Liberals. He keeps lobbing those things believing he will blow up the blog. It never works because there’s always a reason why his side of politics are worse! 😀
true that nath.
Basically the further east you went in Europe the harsher the occupation. Basically in the west of Europe (incl the Dutch) the state closely collaborated with the nazis whereas in the east, Poland , ussr the state had ceased to exist.
Arthur Seyss Inquart the nazi chief of the Dutch had rather a nice war , but for being executed at Nuremberg.
Yes, I watched Taylor. He is a fool. On the one hand he is saying migrant intake is too much without infrastructure to support it; and then he says spending is too high in this budget.
A completely empty vessel.
One of the most junior journos really asked a great question to the effect as to why inflation is now a “Canberra problem” (according to Taylor in his speech today) when before the election the Coalition were saying it was a Ukraine-war problem. In answer Double Angus with Cheese said, well, we are now in opposition. Bwahahahaha.
Q: How embarrassing.
Not for Albo….I am pretty sure 99 percent of Australians didnt even know Biden was coming, and care even less.
Taylormade says:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 1:35 pm
Upnorth – A Labor Partisansays:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 11:34 am
Quads cancelled folks. Albos just announced. ABC Breaking.
_____________________
How embarrassing.
中华人民共和国
Yes apparently former PMs I am reliably informed were invited to the pre meet dinner.
When the names, Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison were advised to world leaders they decided to meet in Japan.
Taylormade @ Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 1:35 pm:
==============
A little more respect for the leader of what is still the most powerful nation on Earth, please.
Biden has made the reasonable decision to cancel his overseas trip to focus on pressing domestic decision. Albo has made the reasonable decision to cancel the Quad meeting on account of 1/4 of its members being unable to attend. What’s the big deal? It’s not like it can’t be rescheduled.
Good for Aqualung’s work day
Ashasays:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 1:48 pm
Biden has made the reasonable decision to cancel his overseas trip to focus on pressing domestic decision. Albo has made the reasonable decision to cancel the Quad meeting on account of 1/4 of its members being unable to attend. What’s the big deal? It’s not like it can’t be rescheduled.
_____________________________________________________
Asha Don’t you understand how many PB posters are plane spotters (or at least the plane spotter type of personality)? A lot of disappointed people expecting to bag the big one in terms of plane spotting – Air Force One.
Spot on, Asha!
Now let’s see what Dutton and his News Ltd boosters have to say about it.
If Australia had a domestic emergency, Albo would stay home rather than go see Biden, and it wouldn’t make Australia an unreliable ally to the US any more than Biden cancelling his visit here makes the US unreliable (if you want to natter on about the US being unreliable, talk about the prospect of another Russian-owned US Republican President. That’s a legit concern. Biden needing to stay home for a domestic crisis is not). Reliability is about whether you show up on the big things, not about whether events get in the way of a visit.
” Double Angus with Cheese ”
Double points!
I believe I may leave l’arse and nath to stew in the juices of their cynicism.
Didn’t I read that the federal budget paused the airport link funding because the Vic state government asked them to?
There’s politics going on here, and Andrews needing to find ways to cut spending and keep the costs down on the suburban rail loop.
Boerwar @ #625 Wednesday, May 17th, 2023 – 1:53 pm
A wise move. Though you forgot to add Taylormade. 🙂
Arky,
I believe there would be an element of not wanting Dan Andrews to have to access a loan from China again to build his infrastructure priorities. Better to pause them.
Lars Von Trier
Basically the further east you went in Europe the harsher the occupation.
I do not believe that this sweeping statement is supported by the evidence.
Arthur Seyss Inquart the nazi chief of the Dutch had rather a nice war , but for being executed at Nuremberg.
Father Jozef Tiso, President of the Slovak Republic, had a similar trajectory. But executed in Bratislava.
The end of the Second World War was usually not a happy time for collaborators.
Hi Melbourne/Victorian Bludgers. I am wondering if you can point me in the right direction.
I am trying to help an Afghan Family with an urgent humanitarian issue (Emergency Visa to Australia). Their lives are at risk as one of their family assisted Australian troops in Afghanistan.
Their sponsor is in Melbourne. In Narre Warren. I have exhausted all my avenues of contact and when he has called phone numbers the service has been disappointing. I understand there is a long waiting list.
So I have suggested the sponsor meet his local Federal MP. But I have no idea who that might be and as I am upcountry I can’t Google too much.
Can anyone help me with an MP name?
On behalf of the family I would really appreciate any help.
Read Guy Walters for one if you dispute the state collapse / collaboration theory.
Well done to Chris Bowen for not reversing the freeze on CCS funding despite the eager support for it from Madeleine King.
It adds to the evidence that Bowen is serious about cutting pollution and my suspicion that he has one hand tied behind his back from the fossil fuel agents within the Labor movement.
https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/carbon-capture-the-best-way-to-net-zero-but-subsidies-scarce-20230510-p5d7b0
Yay! Elsevier has been kicked to the kerb! 😀
A new journal covering understanding of brain function and structure through the application of neuroimaging will launch this summer after a well-publicised bust-up led to the entire editorial board of the sector’s leading publication walking out in a dispute over fees charged to authors.
All 42 editors of NeuroImage and NeuroImage: Reports quit in April saying they could no longer ignore the “unreasonably high costs of publication and access” being charged by owners, Elsevier.
On Monday, MIT Press announced that it was taking on all the former editors for a rival journal, Imaging Neuroscience, scheduled to launch in July. The publisher said it wanted the publication to become the premier journal in the field of neuroimaging.
The journal’s new editor-in-chief was named as Stephen Smith, professor of biomedical engineering at the University of Oxford, who joined colleagues in April this year in resigning to protest at what they called “extreme” processing charges levied on academic authors by Elsevier.
Elsevier’s Fees Branded ‘Unethical’
A statement signed by all 42 editorial board members of NeuroImage and NeuroImage: Reports, said they were acting “with deep regret” but could no longer ignore the “unreasonably high costs of publication and access”.
NeuroImage, which began in 1992 and became open access in 2020, publishes almost 1000 articles a year and currently has an impact factor of 7.4, whilst NeuroImage: Reports is an online-only companion journal set up in 2021.
Elsevier pitched the article processing charge for NeuroImage at $3450 US dollars (around £2755), which editorial board members described as “unethical”. They estimated that actual publication costs meant the figure should have been set at least $1000 (£798) lower.
In their resignation statement, dated 17 April, they wrote: “Scientists and funders increasingly feel that it is wrong for publishers to make such high profits, particularly given that the publishers do not fund the original science, or the writing of articles, or payments to reviewers, and pay minimal editorial stipends.”
https://www.medscape.co.uk/viewarticle/editorial-board-walkout-leads-new-neuroimaging-journal-2023a1000a65
Upnorth @ #632 Wednesday, May 17th, 2023 – 1:59 pm
https://www.julianhillmp.com/bruce.html
Upnorth @ #630 Wednesday, May 17th, 2023 – 1:59 pm
Bruce electorate
Federal electoral division of Bruce
Following the 2021 redistribution, Bruce now includes the suburbs of Dandenong North, Doveton, Endeavour Hills, Eumemmerring, Hallam, Lysterfield South, Narre Warren and Narre Warren North. And parts of Berwick, Dandenong, Harkaway, Mulgrave, Narre Warren South, Noble Park, and Noble Park North.
45 Robinson Street Dandenong VIC 3175 Email julian.hill.mp@aph.gov.au Phone (03) 9791 7770
Authorised by Julian Hill, Australian Labor Party, Dandenong
Upnorth you could start with: Julian Hill fed Labor MP for Bruce Phone (03) 9791 7770
Rex Douglas says:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 2:03 pm
Thank you Rex. We have the odd disagreement. But I know your ticker is in the right spot.
The latest allegation is that Trump & Giuliani sold pardons for $2m and went halves:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CqSe1_aJxqI
C@t, that was quick!
Here’s some more factual info
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reichskommissariat_Niederlande
That should, of course, have read “pressing domestic concerns.”
Another day on which Dutton, Littleproud, Hanson and Bandt stop the homeless from getting homes.
The first three I can understand. The last ten years demonstrated that they hate the unfortunate, the sick and the homeless.
But Bandt?
Really?
Thanks C@t and BW!!
What a Champion Team PB has. You should be proud WB
Upnorth says:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 2:14 pm
Thanks C@t and BW!!
What a Champion Team PB has. You should be proud WB
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
And Julian Hill is a Labor MP for icing on your cake.
Leadership.
Upnorth,
I’d also consider a representation to the Minister for Immigration, Andrew Giles:
https://www.homeaffairs.gov.au/help-and-support/departmental-forms/online-forms/contact-the-minister#:~:text=The%20Hon%20Andrew%20Giles%20MP,Immigration%2C%20Citizenship%20and%20Multicultural%20Affairs
Maybe Richard Marles, the DPM and Minister for Defence:
https://www.aph.gov.au/Senators_and_Members/Parliamentarian
I’d go for the full court press. 🙂
Yabba
Finnish houses are smaller than in Australia but the Finnish housing market is a little more complex than you assume. There is a broader range of apartments, row houses and detached houses available to rent or buy in Finnish cities than generally in Australia. The average area you quote is for all homes including apartments, not houses. The average for owner occupied houses is bigger, 97m2.
https://www.finnwards.com/living-in-finland/how-much-do-homes-cost-in-finland/
Finnish housing policy is competence based and is well worth comparison vs Australia. It is not that everything is cheap. The average price of a detached house in Helsinki is around 600,000 Euro, say $950,000 Aus. However there is a much bigger variety of house and ownership options, including affordable apartments and group purchases (like Germany).
https://www.infofinland.fi/en/housing/housing-in-finland
The big policy differences are:
no negative gearing in Finland, and
mortgage interest for owner occupiers being deductible.
So over 60% of Finns own the own home.
https://www.vero.fi/en/individuals/tax-cards-and-tax-returns/deductions/tax_credit_on_interest_payments/
Dr John says:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 2:22 pm
Upnorth says:
Wednesday, May 17, 2023 at 2:14 pm
Thanks C@t and BW!!
What a Champion Team PB has. You should be proud WB
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
And Julian Hill is a Labor MP for icing on your cake.
中华人民共和国
That’s the prescription Dr J! Apparently the previous Government left refugee and humanitarian Visa processing in a horrible mess.
The family has escaped to Pakistan but can’t stay indefinitely. Thanks troops.
Well said.