There are two new state polls from Queensland, one compiled from three months’ worth of national surveying by Resolve Strategic and encompassing voting intention, the other a YouGov poll for the Courier-Mail which at the time of writing features only attitudinal results – but voting intention will presumably follow shortly, and indeed may have already done so by the time most of you read this.
The Resolve Strategic poll, published on the Brisbane Times website, has Labor down two points on the September-to-December result to 35%, the Liberal National Party down two to 33%, the Greens up one to 12%, One Nation up one to 7% and an all-purpose “independents” option up three to 10%. No two-party preferred is provided, but this could roughly be estimated at 53-47 in favour of Labor, although the large independent/others component makes extrapolation from the last election a little dubious. Annastasia Palaszczuk’s lead over David Crisafulli as preferred premier has narrowed from 42-30 to 39-31. The expansive field work period ran from January 17 to April 17, with an overall sample of 943.
The YouGov attitudinal findings are similar to results such surveys have produced lately whenever they were conducted: cost of living is by some distance deemed the most salient issue (64% rating it most or second most important), 50% rate themselves worse off than a year ago compared with 11% for better off and 39% for about the same; 38% expect it to get worse over the next year, compared with 19% for better and 43% for about the same. The accompanying reportage in the Courier-Mail says the LNP was favoured over Labor for managing hospitals and ambulances by 26% to 22%, and that “nearly 30 per cent of respondents blame the Palaszczuk government for rising prices”.
UPDATE: The voting intention results are 51-49 in favour of the Liberal National Party, following a 50-50 result at the previous poll in December, from primary votes of LNP 39% (up one), Labor 33% (down one), Greens 13% (steady), One Nation 10% (down one). Annastacia Palaszczuk has slumped eight points on preferred premier to 31%, but David Crisafulli is up only one to 29%, with uncommitted up seven to 40%. The LNP scores higher than Labor as best party to handle cost of living, health and youth crime, with Labor leading only delivering the Olympics. A question on “blame for the current cost of living situation” produces a fairly even spread among six available options, with global economic conditions leading on 25%. The result for the Palaszczuk government is 13.68% – I am unclear is to how the above mentioned Courier-Mail editorial came to put it at 30%.
Can we please keep this thread for discussion of Queensland politics. The open thread for general discussion is here.
These numbers don’t look all that bad for AP. The problem for Crisafulli is that he was so connected to Cando Campbell Newman. His team is also pretty much the same old mob that was in charge of that chaotic regime that lost in an historically humiliating style in 2015 and have gone backward at each subsequent election. The ALP have governed in Queensland for most of the last 100 years and it would have been even more if not for gerrymander Joh and the DLP split. Labor has the reputation for doing things while the LNP has the reputation for selling off public owned stuff to their mates. There may well be an it’s time factor at the next election but barring some sort of real rather than Courier Mail concocted crisis I’d put my money on Labor again.
The best hope for the LNP is some sort of moderate Liberal from Brisbane. Maybe he could be the mayor even, given the size of their council that’s actually a pretty big deal. Such a leader would hopefully have the authority to take on the Nationals half of the party and present an alternative that I think the whole state wants after a decade of Labor.
Oh, we already tried that? How did it go?
The numbers don’t look terrible for Labor, but nor do they look great.
Even though 53:47 is only a 0.3% swing against Labor on 2pp (0.8% against to 0.2% towards depending on rounding), that could easily lose them two seats on very tight margins to the LNP.
But then with a 4.6% primary swing against Labor, and a 4.5% swing to ‘not Labor or the LNP’, they’d have to be worried about losing a couple of seats to the Greens (Cooper, maybe Miller?), Independents, maybe Katter/ON?
And as WB points out, when more of your 2PP polling lead is coming from preferences, that adds an extra source of uncertainty.
I know that social media has called 10 of the last 1 minority governments, but minority feels like a pretty reasonable possibility unless Labor can stretch their 2PP out to 54, or can keep it at 53 but with a higher primary
With well over a year and a half until the next election, I don’t know if there’s a whole lot that can be discerned from this poll, aside from the fact that the Courier Mail’s usual hysterics are proving as ineffectual as ever.
The government is continuing to drift between a slight lead and a slight deficit like it has ever since it was elected in 2015, with the main change being a bit of a dip in AP’s personal ratings. And the latter hardly is unexpected given how long she has now been in office.
While Crisafulli certainly seems a more effective leader than Nicholls or Frecklington, and it’s quite possible that by, 2024, linking the current LNP leader to the Newman government may have lost its potency as an attack. But I’m not seeing much sign right now of LNP being able to make gains in Brisbane, and they have the improve on their dismal performance there in recent elections to have much of a chance of winning office.
At the moment, I’d be tipping a Labor reelection either in majority or minority, with the obvious caveat that, well… Queensland.
If the LNP combined primary vote below 40%
It will be the same result as the recent state/federal elections
Election result will be known reasonably early on the night of the election , LNP will not be able to form any kind of government
VE:
Labor have the advantage of a pretty friendly pendulum post-2020, but I do agree that with such low primaries for both major parties, we could see some pretty unexpected results getting thrown up. All depends on how the swing is distributed.
You can find grumblings but that’s all I can spot. I can’t recall a major scandal or attempted scandal since Labor were reelected in 2020 at the onrushing covid wave. Palaszczuk faced down Berejiklian and Morrison and kept us safe. There have been steady positive announcements “for Queenslanders” to let us voters know that we are being looked after. And while we each pay attention to things that matter to us, health and women’s safety for mine, overall I think Palaszczuk is governing well, with a “you can’t please everyone” shrug at the LNP. The LNP meanwhile still sounds shrill and sensationalist and as long as they do, will continue to remind voters of their last effort in governing.
Yougov poll – 51-49 LNP with 39 PV LNP and 33 PV Labor.
Wonder if it is time for Anna to walk.
Better Premier is only 31-29 to Anna now so not good.
michael
You are a naughty naughty bot
But then with a 4.6% primary swing against Labor, and a 4.5% swing to ‘not Labor or the LNP’, they’d have to be worried about losing a couple of seats to the Greens (Cooper, maybe Miller?), Independents, maybe Katter/ON?
I think biggest worries for Labor would be McConnell and Cooper from the Greens. Kate Jones pulled out reasonably late though in Cooper, so I think the incumbent Jonty Bush will benefit from sophomore surge. But with the Greens now having benefits of federal MP’s resources it could impact campaigning more in their favor. Miller I wouldn’t favor as one of their best chances. Greens did improve their vote in the federal seat of Moreton substantially at the last federal election though.
I doubt the LNP will give the Greens a free lunch at the next election by preferencing them. They received a backlash from their rank and file for it. The resources industry refused to get involved in the campaign and back them after that decision was made. The old LNP executive who was responsible for the decision has since been removed.
Yougov poll – 51-49 LNP with 39 PV LNP and 33 PV Labor.
Wonder if it is time for Anna to walk.
I’m happy to acknowledge a bad poll for Labor when its produced. The only thing is I don’t have alot of trust in Courier Mail commissioned polls after the previous one. Polling showing ‘six in 10 Queenslanders now think Annastacia Palaszczuk “enjoys the high life”- was just done to play into Murdoch’s and LNP’s narrative that Palaszczuk is all about red carpet glitzy events. It was a push poll.
Be mindful LNP leading 51-49 doesn’t mean squat if that support is not translating into seats they must win in Brisbane. If that support increase is translating in a spike of their vote in safe LNP seats in Western Queensland then that will not win them the election.
Palasczuck is by far the best thing Queensland Labor has going for it, even if she’s having a flat period. She dominates and Queenslanders like that in a leader. The alternatives to her as leader are very average in terms of their stature and presence.
I think the LNP should win next time, but I always think that for a while each term. Labor keeps gripping on and maybe it will again. But one major scandal and the LNP could exert control, despite Crisafulli’s blandness.
The best hope for the LNP is some sort of moderate Liberal from Brisbane. Maybe he could be the mayor even, given the size of their council that’s actually a pretty big deal. Such a leader would hopefully have the authority to take on the Nationals half of the party and present an alternative that I think the whole state wants after a decade of Labor.
Oh, we already tried that? How did it go?
The lack of state seats for the LNP in Brisbane remains a big problem for them though. There would be Liberal Brisbane city councilors in their ranks that wouldn’t mind transferring to state politics. But can’t because they are not likely going to get elected because of Labor’s dominance in Brisbane. Former Brisbane City councilor Amanda Cooper failure to win the seat of Aspley being a prime example.
From where I’m sitting in Brisbane, my impression is that other than solid Green/LNP voters, people are more-or-less satisfied with Palaszczuk and Labor, and don’t give two shits about Cristafuli and co. I can see Labor losing a few seats and going in to minority, but would at least have the Greens to prop them with the Katters a strong maybe on confidence.
You would think with 18 months to an election the LNP would be much further ahead. Courier has been performing a daily hatchet job on the ALP for as long as anyone can remember so although I take this poll on its merits there is always a bit of doubt about anything the Qld branch office of the Murdochcracy presents. I am mindful of federal polling where the ALP was at times much further ahead than this yet still lost. It seems the mood for change is tepid at best and if the Brisbane times polling is to be believed over the CM it’s not there at all. The LNP actually needs a clean out because many of the faces are still there from the Cando times. If push comes to shove and barring any real rather than Courier Mail concocted crisis, i’d back the status quo or minority ALP for 4 more years. Maybe Mr Schrinner could be up for a run in 28?
Political Nightwatchman
“But can’t because they are not likely going to get elected because of Labor’s dominance in Brisbane. ”
Labor’s dominance isn’t that dominant – Brisbane is more than happy to vote for Liberals at council level, and (until Scomo) federally too – but they are never going to vote to put the Nationals in charge of anything. As long as the Borg or Jeff Seeney were looking likely to become Premier the LNP – even after merging – had no chance.
Making Cando leader in 2012 was exactly what they needed to win, and they won big. They need to do that again. But who is going to trust them?
Again, I wish Queensland polls had further breakdowns between Brisbane/SEQ and Regional seats to have a better idea on what’s going on, but I suppose this would have to make do.
The LNP needs to win 13 seats to form a majority, and a 4% swing as indicated from this poll would only net them 9 from a uniform swing.
Most of Labor’s most vulnerable seats are in the regional cities like Townsville, Cairns, Hervey Bay and Bundaberg, while most of the LNP’s most vulnerable seats are in Southeast Queensland, so it’s hard to predict which way they’ll fall from these alone.
“The Courier-Mail’s insulting tosh …”
Twas ever thus.
mimhoff says:
“The best hope for the LNP is some sort of moderate Liberal from Brisbane. Maybe he could be the mayor even …”
The current Lord Mayor has branded local environmental activists as ‘extremists’.
So, not so moderate.
michael says:
“Wonder if it is time for Anna to walk.”
Anna walked in 2012, after losing the election. Please try to keep up.
Stacia turned CanDo into CanGo in 2015, and gives no indication of going anywhere:
Princeplanet: “Labor has the reputation for doing things while the LNP has the reputation for selling off public owned stuff to their mates.”
Although Anna Bligh did bring Labor’s long run of election wins to a halt by … selling off publicly owned stuff.
(And now she heads the Australian Bankers Association.)
Voice Endeavour: “
have to be worried about losing a couple of seats to the Greens (Cooper, maybe Miller?)”
Cooper sits wholly or mostly in the federal seat of Ryan, which turned from blue-ribbon Liberal to Green at the last election.
In early counting in the 2020 state election, Cooper looked like it might be heading towards the Greens, until Labor’s Jonty Bush clawed it back.
Jonty Bush, like her predecessor Kate Jones (conqueror of Campbell Newman!) seems to be a practical and sensible local member.
michael says:
“Better Premier is only 31-29 to Anna
now so not good.”
40% undecided suggests that a lot of Queenslanders find it difficult to make a call.
Now, could that be because they don’t know enough about their Premier for the past 8 years? Hmm …
Or maybe — just a thought — it’s because the alternative has failed to make an impression?
On these numbers the greens have a decent chance of flipping a few seats. The odds of Cooper or even Moggill flipping are aided by Ryan being a federal Greens Seat. Might be some ALP v GRN preference squeakers in McConnel or even Stafford (again, federal greens seat).
There’s an assortment of below 2% margin LNP seats around the Gold Coast for Labor to have a go at as well. Labor’s biggest problem area might be the few FNQ seats they hold flipping to the Coalition. That’s probably the only area Dutton will be allowed to campaign lol
At this point in time I would predict a reduced Labor majority with an expanded Greens preference.
With covid having damaged tourism and China sanctions hurting coal and agriculture, I would have assumed the Qld economy has been through a tough two years. So this might be the low water mark for the Qld premier’s popularity.
Things should start improving from here. That should assist Labor from now till the polls. This assumes RBA governor Lowe is thwarted in his plan to kill the housing industry.
The Banana Republic: “Stafford (again, federal greens seat).”
South of Stafford Road, at least (Brisbane).
North of Stafford Road is Lilley (Labor).
Banana Republic
“ On these numbers the greens have a decent chance of flipping a few seats. The odds of Cooper or even Moggill flipping are aided by Ryan being a federal Greens Seat. Might be some ALP v GRN preference squeakers in McConnel or even Stafford (again, federal greens seat).”
Yes this looks a bigger threat than the LNP. Where is the latter getting more popular? Whereas there are several SEQ seats Greens will target, threatening minority government. But they won’t support the LNP so Palaszczuk will still be premier.
Qld like vic seems more likely to vote Labor at a state level. The liberal govts that do win win only on rare occasions , stuff up and get turfed out
Cooper sits wholly or mostly in the federal seat of Ryan, which turned from blue-ribbon Liberal to Green at the last election.
In early counting in the 2020 state election, Cooper looked like it might be heading towards the Greens, until Labor’s Jonty Bush clawed it back.
Jonty Bush, like her predecessor Kate Jones (conqueror of Campbell Newman!) seems to be a practical and sensible local member.
@Oliver Sutton
Parts of the electorate of Cooper sits in the federal seat of Brisbane. It certainly isn’t all based in Ryan.
98.6 says :
OK, So we have a poll from the Murdoch press.
Well, they have a good record of predicting the outcome of elections, don’t they ?
Think last federal, Vic, and NSW elections ?
Never-the- less I put a lot of faith in polls, only because, what else do we have.
Forget the 2019 federal poll, It seems it was a once off. But lets presume its on the money but by the way PBers have given their various points of view its not certain that the LNP will win government on these figures , even a minority.
18 months out from the October election I would almost dismiss this poll and would wait for at least two more of the same calibre before I would be worried.
98.6 says :
18 months out from the QLD state election I will say that from everything I know about QLD state politics, that Premier Annastacis Palaszczuk will be returned with a similar majority to what she has now.
An increase in seats is highly unlikely at this stage but lets see what happens in the next several months.
One would think that the 243,163 Queensland public servants would vote for Labor after LNPs Cambbell Newman sacked 14,000 of their colleagues when he was Premier, and would have sacked 11,000 more if he had stayed on as premier instead of loosing his seat to the former member for Ashgrove, the great dragon slayer, Kate Jones.
98.6 says :
With speculation that the member for the safe Labor seat of TOOHEY, Peter Russo, will retire at the next election and his replacement will be the former member for South Brisbane Jackie Trad this will surely set the cat among the pigeons as to whether she may become the deputy premier again under PAP.
“Parts of the electorate of Cooper sits in the federal seat of Brisbane. It certainly isn’t all based in Ryan.”
Indeed, Nightwatchman. Thanks.
>joeldipops says:
Friday, April 21, 2023 at 1:54 pm
>From where I’m sitting in Brisbane, my impression is that other than solid Green/LNP voters, people are more-or-less satisfied with Palaszczuk and Labor,
My poll of solid green voters (Admittly of 1) says even Solid Green voters are more-or-less satisfied with Palaszczuk and Labor. Yes they could do more which is why they will not get the 1 prefrence but they are quite far ahead of the LNP
The Courier Mail used to be a solid right of centre paper that mostly reported the news. It always amplified the failings of State ALP governments but was not outrageously partisan. Around the time of the Cando regime things shifted way right. I don’t know for sure but maybe this happened everywhere under the orders from Murdochcracy HQ in NYC ? I can remember a tweet from Mr Murdoch himself in NYC, strongly supporting the sacking of 20,000 by Cando and an editor of the CM being replaced in the early days of Cando for highlighting a few too many of his shortcomings. From this point on, the CM treated the LNP in government very differently. At one stage doctors in state Hospitals threatened mass walk outs. The LNPs own member for Stafford quit and sought membership of the ALP !!most of these almost unbelievable events did not make the front page of the CM. The potentially catastrophic doctor strike made page 8!! During the height of Candos chaotic first six months the CM front page featured a picture of Cando and some bunch of CM favourites under the banner – Hope ( good lord). Things never got better for Cando but the CM proudly supported him through thick and thin. I am an old fashioned guy who used to love to read each day’s newspaper which meant buying the CM. I have not bought it since 2013 . I would love for it to be sold to a sensible proprietor who understood most of us are not from the far right. PS maybe Mr Schrinner should get his running shoes ready for 2028?
Princeplanet: “The LNPs own member for Stafford quit and sought membership of the ALP …”
… precipitating one of two by-elections early in the CanDo regime that both delivered breathtaking 16% swings against the LNP.
The other was precipitated by the resignation of the LNP member for Redcliffe (?), who was facing trial (and was later jailed) for running a business out of his electorate office.
At the time the extraordinary by-election swings seemed like outliers. The subsequent general election, however, confirmed that the Newman government was loathed.
With speculation that the member for the safe Labor seat of TOOHEY, Peter Russo, will retire at the next election and his replacement will be the former member for South Brisbane Jackie Trad this will surely set the cat among the pigeons as to whether she may become the deputy premier again under PAP.
@98.6
That was reported four years ago Jackie Trad considered switching seats to TOOHEY before she lost South Brisbane. Have you heard something recently? I’m skeptical Trad would re-enter state politics. Courier Mail seemed to have it in for her. I’ve never seen such biased reporting to continue to go after someone. If Trad re-entered state politics she wouldn’t be able to be deputy again. The Left would likely be grooming Steven Miles as Annastacia Palaszczuk heir apparent. Media reports Trad to be coming back through the federal senate or contesting federal seat of Longman also came to nothing.
It has been reported Labor may tap Peter Russo on the shoulder to reach the 45% women preselection quota at the next election though. Other names mentioned have been Stirling Hinchliffe, Mark Furner, and the embattled Jim Madden. Madden has already announced he won’t be contesting his seat of Ipswich West at the next election.
maybi miles is prepairing to take over soon as premier on the news it was reportid palachzuk may retire leaving miles a year to establish him self he has tried to present him self as tough on crime even attacking a judgewhich seems he wants the top job or a legal ministry like police or aterney general
Aaron : I think Miles seems to be next in line. I reckon the ALP have got one more win in them at least. AP might end up with a role in organising the Olympics at least until the LNP can Jag a win which you’d reckon they do in the next 9 years? The issue with her hanging around is whether she would see out another 4 years. Crisafulli is from the GC which does not turn on Brisbane people a great deal. He jumped ship from far NQ to the LNP friendly skies of the GC. The only thing that might upset the cart is an unforeseen event ( and not one concocted by the proudly LNP supportive Courier ) or the old Queensland habit of voting differently at state and federal level.
Politcal Nightwatchman says:
Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 11:22 am
That was reported four years ago Jackie Trad considered switching seats to TOOHEY before she lost South Brisbane. Have you heard something recently? I’m skeptical Trad would re-enter state politics. Courier Mail seemed to have it in for her. I’ve never seen such biased reporting to continue to go after someone. If Trad re-entered state politics she wouldn’t be able to be deputy again. The Left would likely be grooming Steven Miles as Annastacia Palaszczuk heir apparent. Media reports Trad to be coming back through the federal senate or contesting federal seat of Longman also came to nothing.
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98.6 says :
Although the polls were showing Jackie Trad was LIKELY to lose her seat to the Greens, it was seen by Labor that its own internal party polling overall was going to return them with an increased majority.
Unfortunately for Jackie the polls in her electorate were correct and fortunately for PAP and Labor their polling was correct as well.
To answer your question “Have you heard something, recently “? I can say ‘yes’ but I can also say that what I have heard is not different from what has been speculated for some time and that is she ‘will be back’.
While the Deputy Premier Steven Miles seems to be in the box seat to eventually take the top job, don’t think for one minute that Treasure Cameron Dick, brother to the Federal Speaker of the House of Reps, Milton Dick, isn’t eyeing the job as well.
Other ministers who could be contenders include Mark Bailey and Grace Grace.
Politcal Nightwatchman says:
Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 11:22 am
Other names mentioned have been Stirling Hinchliffe, Mark Furner, and the embattled Jim Madden. Madden has already announced he won’t be contesting his seat of Ipswich West at the next election.
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98.6 says :
Jim Madden is 65 years old now, at the next state election he will be well over 66 and has indicated privately after the last election that it was his last.
So recent events have nothing to do with his pending retirement.
While the Deputy Premier Steven Miles seems to be in the box seat to eventually take the top job, don’t think for one minute that Treasure Cameron Dick, brother to the Federal Speaker of the House of Reps, Milton Dick, isn’t eyeing the job as well.
Other ministers who could be contenders include Mark Bailey and Grace Grace.
@98.6 says
Cameron Dick is in the Right though, and the Left certainly have the numbers to give it to Steven Miles. The Right have had Dick earmarked as leader before he entered parliament. Dick was supposed to lead the party out of the wilderness when he was parachuted into the seat of Woodridge. Annastacia Palaszczuk was viewed somewhat likely interim leader at that point. The shock 2015 Queensland state election win scrapped those plans.
I’ve read the third wheel in the party leadership successor battle is Attorney-General Shannon Fentiman. Fentiman is considered more of the dark house in the race though, and its more likely between Miles and Dick in my opinion.
“The race to succeed Ms Palaszczuk is seen as a three-way battle between Left faction leader Steven Miles, Treasurer Cameron Dick and Ms Fentiman.
Both Mr Miles and Mr Dick are not resonating with voters in internal Labor polling and Ms Fentiman has the strong backing of former Deputy premier Jackie Trad.
A Labor insider said union powerbroker Gary “Blocker”’ Bullock had always seen Mr Miles as the premier in waiting.
“But he’s very practical … if Fentiman gives Labor the best chance at the polls, he would back her,’’ the insider said.”
https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/opinion/peter-gleeson/peter-gleeson-shannon-fentiman-emerges-as-dark-horse-to-succeed-annastacia-palaszczuk/news-story/ad142e43710826239f70f4b9d738edb2
Of all Humphries’ many appearances, this one stands out:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=doX2-qbx3tE
im a bit skepdicle is trad realy coming back thinkk miles has got it this is just the male triying to create tention like news did with plibersek chalinging albanese i know when miles was the attack dog he was attacked regularly in themmedia a similar role buy a similar qld federaly also effected there poleing being very unpopular
98.6 says :
I think we are all getting ahead of ourselves by approx 6 to 10 years, by talking about who may or may not take over from PAP, in that PAP has said only recently that she intends to stay on as Premier for at least this election and has no thoughts of resigning, what-so-ever.
PAP is still very young for a Premier at 53, and although she would like to be married and have a family, that appears to have passed her by.
All the more reason why she has dedicated her life to the Labor party, like her father Henry before her.
PAP has seen off a**eholes like Berejiklian and Morrison who tried to bring her down during COVID, the worst pandemic Australia has seen in 100 years, yet the voters of Queensland thanked her for keeping them safe and increased her majority in the last state election.
I will say here and now that Palaszczuk will win in 2024 doesn’t matter what the polls will say in the future, however, if I’m proved wrong and PAP does lose, she is, and always will be one of the GREATS of Queensland politics and the Labor Party.
HELLO ?
Mavis says:
Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 9:23 pm
Of all Humphries’ many appearances, this one stands out:
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98.6 says :
At 89 I suppose you don’t have a choice as to whether you should have a hip replacement or even a knee replacement. But at that age, it it always a gamble.
A friend who had a leg amputated at 8O’ish, who also happened to do DRAG, had complications and unfortunately passed away just days after the opp.
I didn’t cotton on to the Dame till later than most, but made up for it by attending her/his concerts many times there after. She/he was the first DRAG QUEEN to hit the international stage.
VALE DAME AND SIR LES Sandy Stone and BARRY !
Politcal Nightwatchman says:
Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 4:15 pm
I read the third wheel in the party leadership successor battle is Attorney-General Shannon Fentiman. Fentiman is considered more of the dark house in the race though, and its more likely between Miles and Dick in my opinion.
“The race to succeed Ms Palaszczuk is seen as a three-way battle between Left faction leader Steven Miles, Treasurer Cameron Dick and Ms Fentiman.
Both Mr Miles and Mr Dick are not resonating with voters in internal Labor polling and Ms Fentiman has the strong backing of former Deputy premier Jackie Trad.
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98.6 says
All of the above may be true but Labor will only pick a leader from a faction which has the numbers when there is not an election forthcoming and give him/her time to settle in and make their mark.
Other times they compromise and give it to the person who can win an election.
I will admit that AG Shannon Fentiman is a likely contender, sometime in the future, along with many others that I and other PBs have put forward.
I just wanted to narrow it down to 3 or 4,. but its obvious that there is a wealth of talent in PAPs cabinet.
Large part of electricity network is State owned ie power stations, poles and wires and billions of Govt dollars are going into renewables –
wind, solar, hydro and green hydrogen.
Hundreds of solar farms spread from Cape York to the Darling Downs with lots around coal mining towns. Billions spent on wind farms and Mackay Pioneer hydro will be bigger than Snowy Mountains hydro scheme.
Surely the many NP and Katter seats where the projects are happening and where the billions are being spent will give Labor some credit. Would not like to see a swing against Labor in Rural and Regional.
GC is L/NP. Brisbane remembers Campbell Newman. Greens a chance in a few seats.
If Labor is close to majority now, I think Palaszczuk will achieve same again. Scummo still stinks and the Churchies are still white anting the Conservatives. A solid Labor campaign around Dutton’s seat of Dickson for next time.
Long way to go but Labor in the box seat.