The latest Resolve Strategic poll for the Age/Herald has Labor on 42% (up three since the poll conducted after the budget in late October), the Coalition on 30% (down two), the Greens on 11% (down two), One Nation on 4% (steady), the United Australia Party on 2% (up one) and independents on 8% (steady). No two-party preferred is provided, but based on preference flows in May this would have Labor’s lead approaching 60-40. The limited state breakdowns provided have it at about 57-43 in New South Wales, 62-38 in Victoria and 56-44 in Queensland.
Anthony Albanese records an approval rating of 60% (up three) with disapproval at 24% (down four), while Peter Dutton is respectively at 28% (down one) and 43% (up two). Albanese leads Peter Dutton as preferred prime minister 54-19, little changed from 53-19 last time. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1611. Further results on the poll concerning the parties’ capacity to handle various issues and other aspects of their performance are featured on the Age/Herald’s Resolve Political Monitor page.
Also out this week is the Australian National University’s Australian Election Study survey, both as a summary report and a full dataset for those with the wherewithal to use it. Among many other things, the survey found that Anthony Albanese scored better when rated on a scale from one to ten than any party leader since Kevin Rudd in 2007, whereas Scott Morrison was “the least popular major party leader in the history of the AES”, which goes back to 1987. A decline in partisan attachment going back to 2010 continued apace, with only 30% and 28% now rating themselves as Coalition and Labor partisans respectively. Supporters of the teal independents were largely “tactical Labor and Greens voters”, with only 18% of their voters having defected from the Liberals. The survey also provides further evidence for what already well understood about the Coalition’s problems with women and younger voters.
Note also the post below from Adrian Beaumont about today’s US Senate run-off election in the state of Georgia, and the ongoing coverage of the Victorian election count, where Labor seems set to match its 2018 performance in terms of lower house seats.
Good to see Albo smashing it!
How good is Scott Morrison!
Oh …
‘Scott Morrison was “the least popular major party leader in the history of the AES”’
How far into 2023 will Dutton survive as leader?
And who will the Liberals turn ro next? Birmo? Sussy?
Or maybe that “shining light in Australian politics”, that “rising star of the conservative movement”? (Is self-praise any recommendation?) Well done, Angus!
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/dec/06/stuart-robert-told-lobbyist-not-to-donate-to-angus-taylor-fundraising-group-as-it-will-be-declared-and-it-will-hurt-you
During Congressional Gold Medal ceremony for Jan. 6 police, representatives of those receiving awards shake hands with Schumer then walk past McConnell and McCarthy. (Watch the video. Video says it all. )
https://twitter.com/HowardMortman/status/1600166569807872000
Looks like people haven’t marked Labor down for not having produced an Energy Plan or returning $275 on your power bills. 🙂
I still haven’t got my $550 from the abolition of the carbon price.
Voters also like Labor’s strong support for gambling aimed at the weakest and most disadvantaged in our community.
Lars Von Trier @ #7 Wednesday, December 7th, 2022 – 6:36 am
Garbage.
Look, Lars von Liar, you can try as hard as you might to take Labor down but you won’t succeed because your comments are drawn from a well of pure spite and jealousy at a federal government that are getting things done that are for the positive benefit of all Australians. You’ve got form, and we all know it’s poor.
With polling numbers like these, Albo probably wishes he had one or two double dissolution triggers in his pocket. But having a mostly friendly Senate isn’t such a bad problem to have.
Lars Von Trier says:
Wednesday, December 7, 2022 at 6:36 am
Voters also like Labor’s strong support for gambling aimed at the weakest and most disadvantaged in our community.
—————————————————————————————-
What is the evidence for this supposed data point Phtttt?
ALP up 56-44 in QLD, compared to 60-40 nationally. That only sounds like a typical Coalition lean in that state. So, no sign yet of any discernible positive for Dutton in QLD. Exactly where IS he going to play well?
It’s half time in the game between Portugal and Switzerland. (2-0)
Portugal is the most likely from all the games I’ve seen. Just too good, fast , skilful and hungry!
(famous last words perhaps, Nah !!!)
LOL Lars!
SQM Research data on housing:
Asking prices, change on a year ago:
Houses +1.3%
Units +3.1%
Asking rents, change on a year ago:
Houses +17.9%
Units +21.3%
Cronus,
Lars von Liar just looks for sleazy shade to throw at Labor. Of course he doesn’t mention the explosion in online gambling that occurred under the Coalition, about which they cared not one iota for the poorest and most disadvantaged in society.
Look, it’s just a piss poor attempt by another one of PB’s provacateurs to try and distract us.
”Exactly where IS [Dutton] going to play well?”
Sky After Dark; Radio 2GB / shoutback radio; among people who believe what they read in the Daily Rupert…
Upset of the day:
In a tournament characterised by surprises and shocks, Morocco have delivered one of the biggest, keeping local hopes alive by upsetting Spain in a penalty shootout. They won it 3-0 to advance to the quarter-finals for the first time in their history, scaling heights never before reached by a team from this part of the world.
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/soccer/morocco-and-penalty-curse-beat-spain-20221207-p5c49b.html
The stated premise of this article by Sean Carney seems to be mainly positioned to provoke outrage and clicks, as the content of the article is otherwise pretty much standard fare:
“Albanese’s strategy of offering few policies and letting Morrison unravel worked. But it was essentially a strategy to win an election, not to retain office.”
All the polling to date suggests that Albo is executing almost flawlessly to his plan to retain office.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/labor-will-only-ever-get-one-scott-morrison-so-what-s-its-next-trick-20221206-p5c3z0.html
“The number of Russian-affiliated oil tankers “going dark” to avoid being tracked in the south Pacific has doubled in recent months in a sign of clandestine means being deployed to avoid sanctions. By switching off their tracker systems on the high seas, the ships can quietly transfer oil on to tankers without links to Russia so as to avoid their oil exports being flagged.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2022/dec/06/russia-ukraine-war-live-drone-attack-hits-kursk-airfield-in-russia-says-governor-further-strikes-in-zaporizhzhia-region
========================================
From my limited understanding, performing such clandestine transfers on the high seas makes it virtually impossible to find a legal means of interrupting them. Does anyone here have any ideas? I imagine the US in particular would have the means to at least detect that it is happening, and where, but they definitely wouldn’t want to go down the piracy road. This is assuming, of course, that the quantity of oil evading sanctions this way is enough to warrant concern.
The policies may have been ‘few’ but they weren’t Mickey Mouse.
yes larz is using perottits trick of geting alix grenwich and tim costelow to attack cris minns for not baning pockies not to mention as adam searle pointed out that it was perottit along with rob s tokes as the then planing minister that changed the law to allow crown and james packer to operate star casino desbite money laundering concerns there would be mor likelyhood of money from casinos goingto criminals not pockies
Steve777 @ Wednesday, December 7, 2022 at 7:07 am:
”Exactly where IS [Dutton] going to play well?”
Sky After Dark; Radio 2GB / shoutback radio; among people who believe what they read in the Daily Rupert…
===================================================
Good. Even less than the % who voted Coalition in May.
Labor will only get one Scott Morrison? The supply of bumptious, no-talent right-wingers in the Liberal party is endless I would have thought.
Dutton is on holidays he seems only to apeel to 2gb and sky news at this point only thing going for him sis the liberals have no other option acsept if gladis could be persuaded maybi frydenberg but desbite nickie savas best efforts to convince us he was not morrisons loil deputy and was upset about secrit ministries dought he can win in victoria with him leading the anti andrews stratigy only option is perhaps matt kean
The Resolve polling figures, if realised at a Federal Election would return the ALP with an extra 32 seats, based upon WB’s 2PP figure.
In this extra seat tally I have excluded the Community Independents and the current Green seats in Brisbane.
I have included Fowler, where Dai Le sits upon a 1.5% margin, in that tally of 32 seats.
Applying the three state figures for NSW, Victoria & Queensland, as noted by WB, would see the ALP attain the following number of seats: NSW +3; Victoria +9 and Queensland +5.
It is unfortunate that the next Federal Election isn’t scheduled until May 2025 and anything can occur during the Parliamentary cycle.
This critercizm of labor for having few policies is the typical spin we get from the media when morrison won in 2019 basickly with no policies other then tax cuts for the well off and saying im not bill shorten no one in the pres galary pointed out he had no policies in fact after the election sarah martin in gardian reported that as he had no policies he went with some brain storming setins with his ministers and advisors to come up with some after he won
Portugal 5 goals so far and Swiss defence like their cheese.
Max
“ But an uncomfortable truth for every Labor government – be it radical or merely mildly reformist – is that the array of interests inside and outside the parliament determined to destroy its legitimacy does not change. ”
What I think Carney has missed though (along with much of the msm) is that “the array of interests” such as the msm and major industry and lobby groups arrayed against Labor have failed to detect and understand the changes in society who can now see right through their antics.
When these groups attack the recently elected Labor therefore, this is observed and experienced by voters today as an attack on them which is understandably poorly received. This again reflects a changing paradigm to which industry groups devoid of credibility and the patently biased and lead-footed msm will need to adjust. Same game but different rules now perhaps.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/labor-will-only-ever-get-one-scott-morrison-so-what-s-its-next-trick-20221206-p5c3z0.html
It’s a fact that the NSW ALP has been very reluctant to support a cashless gaming card, in the run-up to the NSW state election next March. Minns seems to have softened his resistance to the concept from being completely opposed, to now supporting a small-scale trial. I think that’s what the troll was referring to.
I can understand the politics of it. The licensed club lobby in NSW is powerful, and has hurt the ALP in elections past, they don’t want to pick a fight with them. But the ALP is supposed to be the party of reform, and the party of the lower income people who are preyed on by the gambling industry. Yet it is Perrottet who has had the balls to take on the clubs and pubs lobby. Very poor by Minns, it’s certainly lowered my opinion of him.
Not that I’d ever advocate a vote for the LNP. The NSW version is certainly less far to the right than most of their other variants, but there are still plenty of reasons they should be thrown out, Perrottet’s gross incomptence in the privatisation of NSW worker’s compensation being a good example.
C@tmomma says:
Wednesday, December 7, 2022 at 7:01 am
Cronus,
Lars von Liar just looks for sleazy shade to throw at Labor. Of course he doesn’t mention the explosion in online gambling that occurred under the Coalition, about which they cared not one iota for the poorest and most disadvantaged in society.
Look, it’s just a piss poor attempt by another one of PB’s provacateurs to try and distract us.
———————————————————————————————
So true, Lars and Co (like Dutton and Co) have resorted to grasping at straws for the unlikeliest solace rather than looking inwardly to analyse the Coalition’s failing policies and methods. There is a sadness to their ineptness and inability to self-reflect rather than simply lash out absurdly.
For anyone wanting to track Russian oil shipments from home using open source intelligence tools
Start with
https://www.vesselfinder.com/
Then find the livestream video from your port of interest.
It’s pretty much the same way Jack Sweeney is tracking Russian oligarchs’ yachts and aircraft
https://www.pollbludger.net/2022/12/07/resolve-strategic-poll-and-australian-election-study-open-thread/#comment-4023478
Not much point talking about the opposition now, is there. The mix of fascism light with theocrazy-ism, can’t see that appeal especially to growing demographics.
Anyone got any predictions when Reichspotato will be replaced? Might have to see if Bonham has one of his not a polls up.
Though Greens, Teals, rather than UAP/ PUP get a lot of mention on PB.
The AES is interesting, or about a third each for the major parties, continuing decline, :). Alliances, Greens/ red Liebor/ independents, even coalitions, Libs lite/ Fibs, rather than rodent Howard having the executive, house and senate, Fibs/ Nats etc.
Now as to the fed gov from 2022.
It seems there’s movement on governance. Such as a NACC. Dealing with post-1788/ settlement/ colonisation to 1986/ independence (and way past time for the colonial Union Jack to go from the flag).
Referenda. (Or as the Shovel put it, those that walked out on the Apology, didn’t Close the Gap, are unlikely …)
Anything on useful FoI. (Who’d have thought #SFM keen on cabinet docs going to the Robodebt RC.)
Campaign finance reform (money equals free speech, dare I say media SCaM, cartoon showing FIbs/ Nats unchanged leader is Uncle Rupert).
Wuflu, not so sure, presumably shoring up of public health will happen.
Climate, underwhelming though below 50% redux is better than more land clearing, climate change resources, though it would appear the ministers for energy and environment have to watch the one on resources, may be defence (blowing up humanity without vote in security cabinet/ parliament/ referendum if more than 1000 kms from Australia’s EZ or territorial waters, war powers reform).
Inequality, let’s see.
Powershift, it seems more diplomatic engagement whilst reviewing national security and public safety shopping …
I’d say first indications over the recent six months are positive compared to the years from 2013, hardly surprising as Albo seems red Liebor rather than KRudd7x7 blue Libs lite.
And that’s before I get to the more holistic stuff, such as opportunity, cost of living, education, environment, healthcare, human rights (Assange comes to mind), infrastructure (data rather than donors driven), national security and public safety …
Next, the 2023 NSW State Election?
DoPe [anything positive?], protests over reach, letting it RIP, theocrazy, after ICACed Gladystan, even Barry.
And then TAS?
Bring on more social, direct, and less liberal repressive democracy!
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Labor will only ever get one Scott Morrison, so what’s its next trick, asks Shaun Carney.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-will-only-ever-get-one-scott-morrison-so-what-s-its-next-trick-20221206-p5c3z0.html
The Morrison government lost the 2022 election on policy, leadership and socio-demographic grounds that, taken together, constitute an existential crisis for the Coalition and the Liberal Party that will not be solved merely by the normal cycle of political change. The grim reality for the Liberal Party is its double loss – it lost on the core issues of the election, and it lost on the structural trends changing Australian society and politics. The Coalition’s future is in doubt, warns Paul Kelly.
https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/changing-nation-leaves-coalition-behind/news-story/5724247f5456fb467ce1cf1cad4fc750
Paul Bongiorno writes that Albanese is heading in the right direction- but the same can’t be said of Dutton.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2022/12/06/albanese-dutton-paul-bongiorno/
“Please don’t ask the LNP about their future until they come out of denialism first”, writes the entertaining John Lord.
https://theaimn.com/please-dont-ask-the-lnp-about-their-future-until-they-come-out-of-denialism-first/
Chris Bowen is seeking urgent briefings from his department as the government seeks to limit the fallout from the collapse of engineering contractor Clough, amid a threat to almost $10 billion of projects critical to Australia’s energy transition. The AFR says that the failure of Clough has added another level of urgency to discussions among energy ministers due to take place in Brisbane on Thursday, regarding reforms to spur investment in infrastructure needed to keep the lights on during the shift to low-carbon energy.
https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/clough-collapse-threatens-10b-of-energy-transition-projects-20221206-p5c41s
Ross Gittins lays into the various employer groups who made overblown scaremongering claims about this government’s first IR legislation.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/scaremongering-and-the-prize-for-the-biggest-storm-in-a-teacup-this-year-goes-to-20221206-p5c3yd.html
Profit margins of dominant businesses have climbed, particularly among industries that are concentrated and technologically advanced, says assistant minister for competition, Andrew Leigh.
https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/price-mark-ups-expose-competition-problems-minister-20221205-p5c3ll
With six charts, Rachel Clun why the Reserve Bank has lifted rates to 3.1 per cent and what it means for mortgage holders.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/what-this-year-s-rate-rises-mean-in-six-charts-20221206-p5c40w.html
Michael Pascoe opines that the RBA is on the precipice of its second big mistake.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/2022/12/07/michael-pascoe-rba-mistake/
Philip Lowe and the rest of the Reserve Bank board face a seven-week, white-knuckled ride to see how much more interest rate pain has to be inflicted on Australians before inflation comes to heel, says Shane Wright.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/summer-is-uneasy-as-lowe-waits-to-see-if-eight-rate-rises-is-enough-20221206-p5c3yo.html
Rachel Lane explains the new Home Care Package changes that come into effect on 1 January 2023. Capping and removing some of the fees that providers can charge will mean more money can be spent on care. It will also make it easier to compare providers. However, while some fees and charges are being capped, hourly rates are unregulated, which may tempt some providers into increasing these costs. The spivs will still have a great time!
https://www.smh.com.au/money/super-and-retirement/new-caps-on-aged-care-fees-could-save-you-thousands-each-year-20221206-p5c44f.html
Scott Morrison is fighting to use secret cabinet documents to firm up his defence before he fronts the robodebt royal commission on Wednesday next week. Angus Thompson tells us that a closed hearing has been scheduled for Thursday after Morrison’s lawyer said his client’s “reputation is on the line” if he was unable to refer to the confidential papers to answer questions about the scheme.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-bid-to-use-secret-cabinet-documents-in-robo-debt-defence-20221206-p5c3yr.html
Lawyers for Scott Morrison have said his reputation is “on the line” as they argued the former prime minister should be able to refer to secret cabinet documents when he gives evidence at the robodebt royal commission. Luke Henriques-Gomes reports that the inquiry was shown damning evidence yesterday that government lawyers warned officials in March 2019 that the robodebt scheme may have to be wound up – eight months before it was finally shut down.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/dec/06/scott-morrisons-lawyers-say-his-reputation-is-on-the-line-over-robodebt-royal-commission-testimony
While we worry about social media misinformation we overlook that one of the main sources of misinformation about politics is mainstream media, writes Noel Turnbull after it has been revealed that 55% of Teal voters were Labor and Green supporters
https://johnmenadue.com/55-of-teal-voters-supported-labor-or-the-greens-in-2019/
Dixon Advisory clients will get 4c in the dollar back from their savings if they accept PwC’s deed at the creditors’ meeting today. A classic case of hubris, greed, hard-selling and poor management, Kim Wingerei and Michael West report on the Dixon wash-up.
https://michaelwest.com.au/dixon-advisory-creditors-gets-little-the-lawyers-and-accountants-do/
Rick Feneley takes issue with the NSW police force and its “barefaced cheek” in suggesting to the judge heading the inquiry into LGBTIQ hate crimes this week that his demands on its time had compelled it to suspend investigations into 12 unsolved homicides.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/police-had-gall-to-tell-gay-hate-inquiry-to-lay-off-its-report-20221206-p5c40z.html
And the SMH editorial says that NSW Police must help, not hinder, the hate crimes inquiry to rebuild trust.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nsw-police-must-help-not-hinder-hate-crimes-inquiry-to-rebuild-trust-20221206-p5c47o.html
Jenny Noyes reports on yesterday’s hearing in the case against Brian Houston, former Hillsong Church bigwig and close friend of Morrison.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/sordid-mess-frank-houston-victim-s-mum-tried-to-stop-him-from-going-public-20221206-p5c408.html
Kate Aubusson writes about a new report that shows the NSW health system is clawing its way back from another brutal winter, but treatment figures are still significantly short of pre-pandemic levels.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/it-s-heartbreaking-ambulances-hospitals-making-patients-wait-too-long-20221206-p5c454.html
Midwives in Victoria say their work is “thrilling and amazing”, yet endless double shifts and burnout are causing such a shortage that new mothers risk missing out on the care they need.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/burnt-out-midwives-are-leaving-as-some-feel-birth-conditions-unsafe-20221206-p5c40s.html
A power struggle over who will lead the Victorian Liberals is split along factional lines but may be influenced by newly minted MPs.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/it-s-tight-but-labor-finally-retains-northcote-by-just-184-votes-20221206-p5c43x.html
The defeated Liberal candidate in Mulgrave, Michael Piastrino, has taken to TikTok for a little Donald Trump-style election denying and has challenged the premier to a rematch.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/we-wuz-robbed-says-andrews-liberal-challenger-in-mulgrave-20221206-p5c45v.html
After watching how Brittany Higgins has suffered, how many women will be silenced, wonders Jennifer Robinson.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/dec/06/after-watching-how-brittany-higgins-has-suffered-how-many-women-will-be-silenced
The ACCC has accused Telstra of neglecting to notify 8897 customers of a reduction in NBN upload speeds and failing to lower their charges accordingly.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/accc-takes-telstra-to-federal-court-for-misleading-customers-20221206-p5c43g.html
Rob Harris tells us that Britain’s opposition has pledged to abolish the “indefensible” House of Lords if it forms government at the next general election, arguing that political reform will address the concerns of Brexit voters and Scottish nationalists.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/indefensible-house-of-lords-to-be-replaced-with-elected-chamber-starmer-pledges-20221206-p5c3x9.html
We can now count the Australian builders who lost their lives following Coalition calls to deregulate that dangerous industry, writes Alan Austin.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/calculating-the-final-toll-of-preventable-coalition-construction-deaths,17041
The cap on the price of Russian oil has come into effect. The multi-billion dollar question and the course of the war in Ukraine now hinge on how effective it will be, writes Stephen Bartholomeusz.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/the-west-has-taken-aim-at-putin-s-war-chest-now-it-s-a-waiting-game-20221206-p5c3yv.html
Indonesia has just moved back many years in passing now laws including sex outside marriage can be penalised with up to 12 months behind bars even if it is not considered adultery. Cohabitation by an unmarried couple can lead to six months’ jail. Blasphemy gets a serve, too. Religion strikes again!
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/indonesia-ban-on-sex-outside-marriage-problematic-for-bali-tourists-20221206-p5c42a.html
And again! Several siblings have been expelled from a faith-based school in St Kilda because their parents refused to sign a memorandum of understanding that limited who they could talk to about the alleged sexual abuse of their children.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/students-expelled-after-parents-refuse-to-keep-quiet-on-child-sex-abuse-claims-20221206-p5c46k.html
The US supreme court is poised to strike another blow against gay rights, explains Moira Donegan.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/dec/06/us-supreme-court-colorado-gay-rights
The Georgia Senate runoff is a referendum on Trump’s zombie grasp on America, declares Robert Reich.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/dec/06/georgia-senate-runoff-warnock-walker-robert-reich
Rupert Murdoch will be deposed next week as part of Dominion Voting Systems’ $US1.6 billion ($2.4 billion) defamation suit against Fox News over the media company’s reports on a conspiracy theory about the 2020 presidential election.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/rupert-murdoch-to-appear-in-deposition-over-2020-us-election-conspiracy-theories-20221206-p5c42b.html
The House January 6 select committee will make criminal referrals to the US justice department in connection with its investigation into the Capitol attack, the chairman of the panel said yesterday, heightening tensions ahead of the release of its final report expected to come later this month.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/06/january-6-panel-criminal-referrals-doj-capitol-attack
A report published by the Washington Post claims that money from Donald Trump’s political action committee paid the legal bills of some witnesses involved in the US justice department’s criminal inquiry into the former president’s improper handling of classified documents.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/dec/06/trump-pac-reportedly-paid-legal-bills-mar-a-lago-witnesses
Cartoon Corner
David Pope
David Rowe
Fiona Katauskas
Mark Knight
Spooner????
From the US
Cronus
I would extend your point to progressives. It’s the policies they are after. Just look at the attack on the carbon price. A capitalist progressive solution to an environmental problem.
It didn’t matter that the Liberals went real direct action of the state. Now they wonder why voters are cheering public ownership of utilities again.
It’s been an excruciating decade but that in the long term really does seem to have been an own goal.
Yet the Greens are called radical and dangerous because they accepted that capitalist market based solution.
When the Liberals and allies were talking about illigitimate government they were talking about minority governments themselves not the policy that had sensible conservative independents signed on.
In the federal election results we saw those same style of Independents that signed onto that carbon price of the Gillard government take seats off the Liberals almost wiping the party itself out.
Aaron newton @ #25 Wednesday, December 7th, 2022 – 7:18 am
Matt Kean is their ONLY option of getting any of the Teal seats back into the Liberal column federally but unless and until the religious loonies are purged they still won’t be seen as a viable alternative to a vote for a Teal.
Also the exposure of Josh Frydenburg’s behaviour towards Simon Holmes A’Court, plus other things we have learned about him, such as the largesse given to Guide Dogs in exchange for their endorsement, suggests that he doesn’t have what it takes to be Prime Minister, Moderate Liberal or not.
Thanks BK
Snap!
A grim but thoughtful Paul Kelly exposes some deep but simple truths.
“ The Morrison government lost the 2022 election on policy, leadership and socio-demographic grounds that, taken together, constitute an existential crisis for the Coalition and the Liberal Party that will not be solved merely by the normal cycle of political change.
The grim reality for the Liberal Party is its double loss – it lost on the core issues of the election and it lost on the structural trends changing Australian society and politics. The Coalition’s future is in doubt.”
Paywalled https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fcommentary%2Fchanging-nation-leaves-coalition-behind%2Fnews-story%2F5724247f5456fb467ce1cf1cad4fc750&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&v21=dynamic-groupb-control-noscore&V21spcbehaviour=append
Carney is a long term Tory troll and typical of the reason 9 Entertainment and the Tories are in the strife they are in
He opines for Howard
Interesting in the 9 Entertainment polling is the Queensland figure
Noting Carney’s Tories hold 58 of 151 Seats in the Lower House, nearly half of those in Queensland – and the Leader from Queensland (where else can their Leader come from given those numbers?)
So a wipe out in Queensland also means?
Following wipe outs in West Australia, South Australia and now in Victoria to add to the Federal result
The Tories – and their media congregation including Carney – are on their last legs
Look at their endorsed candidate for Mulgrave – before you get to those with IPA affiliations
The sad commentary is that they attract any votes but I suppose they are out there
What was Clinton’s description again?
They need to be identified and called out
Portugal 5 in the back of the net
They must be playing the Tories!!
Now 6!!!!
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-63881095
“ Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky has visited troops in the eastern Donetsk region, which Russia claims as its own after a sham referendum. …
President Zelensky praised troops for their courage and endurance in a video filmed in the city of Sloviansk, about 45km (28 miles) north-west of Bakhmut. Sloviansk was one of the first cities occupied by pro-Russian forces in 2014, but was later recaptured by Ukraine.“
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For perspective, that’s as if Sydney CBD were a WW1 style frontline and the PM publicly appeared in Penrith or Campbelltown to rally the nation. President Zelenskyy is a badass.
This latest evidence based annual report from the International Energy Agency has some stunning forecasts on renewables overtaking fossil fuels – no wonder Big Dirty is gouging as much as they can. And why everyone* is getting on board the renewable future.
https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/64c27e00-c6cb-48f1-a8f0-082054e3ece6/Renewables2022.pdf
The first truly global energy crisis, triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, has sparked unprecedented momentum for renewables. Fossil fuel supply disruptions have underlined the energy security benefits of domestically generated renewable electricity, leading many countries to strengthen policies supporting renewables. Meanwhile, higher fossil fuel prices worldwide have improved the competitiveness of solar PV and wind generation against other fuels.
Renewable capacity expansion in the next five years will be much faster than what was expected just a year ago. Over 2022-2027, renewables are seen growing by almost 2 400 GW in our main forecast, equal to the entire installed power capacity of China today. That’s an 85% acceleration from the previous five years, and almost 30% higher than what was forecast in last year’s report, making it our largest ever upward revision. Renewables are set to account for over 90% of global electricity capacity expansion over the forecast period. The upward revision is mainly driven by China, the European Union, the United States and India, which are all implementing existing policies and regulatory and market reforms, while also introducing new ones more quickly than expected in reaction to the energy crisis. China’s 14th Five-Year Plan and market reforms, the REPowerEU plan and the US Inflation Reduction Act are the main drivers of the revised forecasts.
* the LNP and Murdoch organs excepted
Eston Kohver @ Wednesday, December 7, 2022 at 7:36 am:
“For anyone wanting to track Russian oil shipments from home using open source intelligence tools
Start with
https://www.vesselfinder.com/
Then find the livestream video from your port of interest.
It’s pretty much the same way Jack Sweeney is tracking Russian oligarchs’ yachts and aircraft”
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Great link, thank you.
Roby Smyth on the Guardian ball by ball is very funny:
“75 min There are loud cheers every time Ronaldo gets within five yards of the ball. It’s actually a bit weird, like a Bros concert in 1988.”
Another intractable challenge for the Coalition from Kelly’s article. A classic Gordian Knot of their own making.
“ The environment favoured Labor 51-19 per cent and global warming favoured Labor 50-18 per cent. The more important the environment becomes, the more the Liberal Party’s dismal showing is a liability.
This is a dilemma for the Coalition because its own voters don’t see global warning with the same seriousness as most of the community. Indeed, nearly half of all voters see global warning as “extremely important” yet less than one in four Coalition voters register this view. It means the Coalition is trapped on global warming between majority sentiment and its voting loyalists.
Sorry in my post above by using illegitimate government they were attacking minority government itself even if they did not realise it at the time.
Ronaldo’s ‘don’t you know who I am’ schtick is starting to wear very thin.
Portugal looked very good without a 37 year old Prima Donna clogging the forward line
In Opposition Labor was endlessly warning of the evils of Work for the Dole and even promised to end it. But they are now rolling with it as part of their support for the draconian privatized welfare model. Terrible stuff.
The stated premise of this article by Sean Carney seems to be mainly positioned to provoke outrage and clicks, as the content of the article is otherwise pretty much standard fare:
“Albanese’s strategy of offering few policies and letting Morrison unravel worked. But it was essentially a strategy to win an election, not to retain office.”
All the polling to date suggests that Albo is executing almost flawlessly to his plan to retain office.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/labor-will-only-ever-get-one-scott-morrison-so-what-s-its-next-trick-20221206-p5c3z0.html
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“Few policies”? Carney lies.
Labor’s next “trick” is the same as every “trick” it has pulled since May: implementing POLICIES (take note, Mr Carney) taken to the election.
You know, like NACC, implementing Jenkins Report, action on climate change…
Or was Mr Carney asleep?
Didn’t think so.
Not a journalist, just a jerk*.
*OK, the alliteration is good, but “jerk” doesn’t pick up the sense that these so-called “journalists” are, in fact, anti-Labor propagandists. Anyone think of a “j” word that does?
“Not a journalist, just a Goebbels” almost works…
2GB in Sydney are consistent with their biases – Dutton is worshipped, especially by his mates Ben Fordham and Ray Hadley, Albanese is tolerated on the proviso that according to their shockjocks, this government will be one term, and Matt Kean is dismissed as a Labor Party stooge who should be kicked out of the NSW Liberal Party – yes, Shoutback conservative talk radio in Sydney.
Trump Organization convicted of tax fraud perpetrated by two longtime executives
The real estate, hospitality and golf resort operation faces the possibility of a $1.6 million fine after being found guilty of scheme to defraud, conspiracy, criminal tax fraud and falsifying business records.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/12/06/trump-organization-guilty-tax-fraud/
Don’t forget it’s the Trump Organisation, even though two of its executives have been convicted.
Ben Fordham got on the wrong bus. He should have been smart enough to realise the tide was turning.