US midterm elections live

Republicans will probably win both chambers of Congress, though the Senate is much closer. Live commentary from late Wednesday morning.

Live Commentary

4:15pm In Nevada Senate, Laxalt’s lead down to 48.9-48.0, or just over 8,000 votes, on more mail from Washoe county.

2:19pm It’s looking very good for Dem Kelly in Arizona Senate. He now has a 51.7-46.1 lead after 79% is counted. Maricopa’s votes increased his lead, but mail drop offs still haven’t been counted.

1:52pm Rep Laxalt’s lead in the Nevada Senate race narrows to under 12,700 votes (49.2-47.8) on more counting from Dem Clark county.

12:21pm In the House, Reps now lead by 209-195 per CNN, a 12-seat net gain so far. They now lead in 221 seats to 214 Dem leads after flipping a Dem lead in Colorado’s third district.

11:52am Friday I’m not sure when we’ll get big mail updates from Nevada today. In Arizona, the most populous county, Maricopa, will be releasing new numbers at 2pm AEDT. Dem Kelly currently leads for Senate by 51.5-46.3 with 76% reporting.

5:16pm In the House, CNN has Reps winning by 209-191, and they’ve gained 12 net seats. But this spreadsheet had Reps only leading by 220-215 at 2pm today AEDT counting leads which haven’t been called yet. Despite the narrow current House margin, the Cook Political Report’s national popular vote tracker currently gives Reps a 6.1% overall lead.

4:57pm Rep Laxalt’s lead in Nevada Senate down to 49.4-47.6, or about 15,800 votes on more late mail. Is there enough late mail for the Dem to overhaul Laxalt?

1:20pm Today’s late mail updates in Arizona have been more favourable for Dems than the overall results in the county they were from. Dem Kelly now leads for Senate by 51.4-46.4 with 76% reporting according to CNN. However, mail dropped off on Election Day instead of posted may boost Reps. In Nevada, Rep Laxalt’s lead for Senate has fallen to 49.6-47.5, a little below 18,000 votes on late mail counting.

9:55am In Nevada, Rep Laxalt leads for Senate by 49.9-47.2 or 22,600 votes. But it looks likely there’s at least 160,000 mail remaining to be counted in Nevada’s two most populous counties, Washoe and Clark, and that mail will probably put the Dem back ahead. In Arizona, the last Election Day votes reduced the Dem Senate lead to 51.2-46.6. We’ll see if late mail helps the Reps.

6:30am Thursday CNN has now called 203 House seats for the Reps and 187 for the Dems, a net gain for Reps of seven seats. With 99% of Election Day precincts reporting in Arizona, Dem Kelly leads for Senate by 51.4-46.4. But there are still lots more late mail to count there. In other developments overnight, Wisconsin’s Senate contest was called for Rep Johnson, and Georgia as going to a Dec 6 runoff.

9:25pm I’ve been writing an article about the US midterm results for The Conversation, but in the meantime Rep Laxalt has overtaken Dem Cortez Masto for Nevada Senate by 49.9-47.2. Dems will hope late mail will give Cortez Masto the win. And in Arizona, Dem Kelly’s lead for Senate has narrowed to 52-46 with 91% of Election Day precincts reporting.

7:43pm In Arizona, Dem Senator Kelly’s lead cut to 53-44 on more Election Day votes. And the race tightens further in Nevada too.

7:30pm Reps are still up five sets net in the House, with eight gains to three for Dems. CNN gives them a 195-176 lead with 218 needed for control. Other US media have called more House races.

7:15pm With 65% counted in Nevada, Dem Senator Cortez Masto leads by 50-47. That lead will shrink as more rurals report, but late mail will help Cortez Masto. A likely Dem HOLD.

6pm In the House, Reps lead by 193-170 with 218 needed for control. But Dems have gained two seats, while Reps have gained seven, for a net gain of five for Reps..

5:17pm With 88% counted in Wisconsin Senate, Rep Johnson’s lead falls back to 50.7-49.1.

5:15pm Pennsylvania has been officially CALLED for Dem Fetterman in the Senate. Dem GAIN

5:08pm Arizona Secretary of State website says 72% of Election Day precincts are already in. Seems like a very good chance for Dem Senator Kelly to hold onto his current 57-41 lead.

4:57pm We finally have some results from Nevada. With 44% in, Dem Senator Cortez Masto leads by 54-43. That includes Clark county, the big Dem stronghold in the south-east, but not much from the Rep landslide rurals or the swing county of Washoe.

4:39pm Dem Warnock back ahead in Georgia Senate by 49.1-48.8 with 93% in. Remember the runoff if nobody gets 50%.

4:26pm In Kentucky, the “no” vote against a constitutional amendment banning abortion is leading 52-48 with 80% counted, even as the Rep Senator Paul won a blowout with 61%.

4:15pm In Wisconsin Senate with 80% counted, Rep Johnson leads Dem Barnes by 51.5-48.3. I’m not sure if late mail can snatch that lead back.

4:07pm With 91% counted in Georgia, Rep Walker leads by 49.1-48.8 with 2.0% for a Libertarian. Remember that if nobody gets at least 50% in Georgia, it goes to a Dec 6 runoff.

4:03pm Nate Cohn on Twitter. This would be a Dem Senate GAIN

3:50pm In the House Reps still lead by 179-146 according to CNN and have gained five seats. The 538 live blog says that some House seats that were expected to go to Reps have been retained by Dems.

3:35pm CNN has also called Washington for Dem Murray, a Dem Senate HOLD. Reps have held Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio.

3:33pm CNN has CALLED New Hampshire for Dem Maggie Hassan, who leads by 55-43 with 60% in. That’s Dem Senate HOLD.

3:14pm Dems have GAINED two governorships in Maryland and Massachusetts after moderate Rep governors of those states retired. Reps have easily held their big states of Florida and Texas, while Dems will hold New York and California.

2:40pm Nate Cohn tweets that Dem Fetterman is doing better than Biden just about everywhere in Pennsylvania. Biden won by 1.2%, so that points to a Dem GAIN in Pennsylvania’s Senate race.

2:18pm In the House, Reps have made five gains according to CNN, and lead by 147-82 so far. But Dems have held their two marginal seats in Virginia.

2:13pm The early mail in Arizona has come in, and Dem Kelly leads by 56-41 with 41% in for the Senate. But Election Day turnout was very good for Reps in Arizona.

2:02pm In Iowa Senate, the Dem has a 13 point lead with 27% in. Iowa is another state where early vote is counted first, and Election Day should allow the Rep to win easily.

1:50pm Dem Bennett has been CALLED the winner in Colorado Senate, a HOLD for the Dems. He leads by 19% with 48% counted. Meanwhile Dem Fetterman’s lead in Pennsylvania Senate narrows to 10% with 32% in, and Dem Barnes is leading in Wisconsin by 2% with 28% in.

1:18pm Dem Warnock has recovered the lead in Georgia Senate by 51.3-46.9 with 64% in.

1:14pm And in Ohio with 44% counted, Rep Vance is now only just behind Dem Ryan for Senate 50.1-49.8. Projection: Vance overtakes Ryan and Reps easily HOLD Ohio Senate.

1:10pm In North Carolina, Rep Budd has overtaken Dem Beasley by 49.2-48.8 with 68% in. Budd will go on to win as Election Day votes now dominate. Projection: Rep HOLD North Carolina Senate.

1:06pm In Georgia, Rep Walker has just overtaken Dem Warnock and leads by 51.5-46.7 with 61% in. Warnock may recover with more counting from urban Georgia.

12:51pm With 51% counted in Georgia, Dem Senator Warnock’s lead narrows to 50-48. Meanwhile, Rep Governor Kemp is leading by 52-47.

12:34pm With 14% counted in New Hampshire, Dem Hassan leads by 61-38.

12:31pm Dems are well ahead currently in Senate contests for Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia. But these reflect early votes, and leads will narrow or be overturned once Election Day votes report.

12:16pm In fact there are now three Rep projected House GAINS from the Dems just in Florida.

12:13pm And in more good news for Reps in Florida, they GAIN the fourth House district from the Dems.

12:09pm In Florida, Rep Senator Marco Rubio and Rep Governor Ron DeSantis are projected winners with Rubio leading by 12 points and DeSantis by 16. That’s with 72% counted, and Election Day votes will make Florida even more Rep. Miami Dade county in the south, which voted heavily for Hillary Clinton in 2016, has been won by both Reps.

12:03pm In North Carolina’s Senate contest, the Dem leads by 54-44 with 45% in. But that’s early vote, and Election Day will favour the Reps.

11:53am In Virginia’s 10th House district, the Dem incumbent has a 52.5-47.4 lead over the Rep with 53% in.

11:45am In Georgia’s Senate contest, Dem Warnock leads Rep Walker by 56-42 with 29% in. That lead will narrow as more Election Day votes are counted.

9:45am Wednesday In many US states, voters register as either Dem, Rep or Nonpartisan/Other. Localities in some of these states report Election Day turnout throughout the day. There’s HEAVY Rep turnout that isn’t being matched by the Dems, and is overwhelming Dem early vote leads. This is pointing to an ugly result for the Dems today, with Reps overperforming their polls.

I have a one hour appointment at 10:30am. We’ll see how early results are looking when I return at 11:30am.

Guest post by Adrian Beaumont, who joins us from time to time to provide commentary on elections internationally. Adrian is a paid election analyst for The Conversation. His work for The Conversation can be found here, and his own website is here.

I covered the US midterm elections for The Conversation on Monday; polls close from late Wednesday morning AEDT. The final FiveThirtyEight forecasts give Republicans a 59% chance to win the Senate (54% Monday) and an 84% chance to win the House (83% Monday). The section below has been copied from The Conversation article.

Poll closing times

I will focus here on the close Senate races that are within five points in the FiveThirtyEight poll aggregates. All times are Wednesday AEDT. The first US polls close at 10am in the eastern time zones of Kentucky and Indiana; Republicans will win both states easily.

Georgia will be the first state with a close Senate race to close its polls at 11am, then North Carolina closes at 11:30am. New Hampshire and Pennsylvania will both close at 12pm. Polls in Wisconsin and Arizona will close at 1pm, with Nevada closing at 2pm. Polls in the Pacific coast states close at 3pm, with the final polls closing at 5pm in Alaska’s western time zone. Poll closing times are derived from The Green Papers’ list, with 11 hours added to UTC/GMT.

Counting will usually take at least several hours after polls close, and in close contests we may have to wait days or even weeks for an outcome. Exit polls will be released once all polls in a state are closed, but are unreliable.

In Georgia’s Senate contest, there will be a December 6 runoff if neither major party candidate clears 50% on Tuesday. There is a third party Libertarian candidate who could prevent this.

In some states, early counting is likely to skew Republican, as Election Day votes are counted first. In other states, Democratic-leaning mail will be counted first, so their early counts will skew to Democrats.

Israeli near final results

Final results of the November 1 Israeli election will be declared Wednesday, but are nearly complete now. Former PM Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc of right-wing and religious parties won 64 of the 120 Knesset seats (up 12 since the March 2021 election). Netanyahu’s Likud won 32 seats (up two), the far-right Religious Zionists 14 (up eight) and the religious Shas 11 (up two) and UTJ seven (steady). The Religious Zionists are now the third biggest party.

If two parties had made the 3.25% threshold, Netanyahu would have been short of a majority. But Meretz, which has represented Israel’s left, was knocked out with 3.16%, losing all its six seats, while the Arab Balad had 2.90%. In a mark of Israel’s right-wing shift, Labor won just 3.7% and four seats (down three). Labor was once a major party of government in Israel.

Danish election and UK polls

The Danish election was also held November 1. The left-leaning “Red Bloc” of parties won 90 of the 179 seats, a one seat majority. The right-leaning “Blue Bloc” won 73 seats, and a new centrist party (the Moderates) won the remaining 16 seats. The left retained office after winning in June 2019. They will be relieved not to have to depend on the Moderates.

Two weeks after Rishi Sunak became Britain’s new PM, polls have stabilised at a large Labour lead after Sunak made gains in his first week. In nine UK national polls taken since November 1, Labour has led by 18 to 26 points. On November 17, the government will deliver another budget after the collapse of the September 23 attempt; this is likely to include tax rises and spending cuts.

578 comments on “US midterm elections live”

Comments Page 11 of 12
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  1. I have already predicted Democrats will win Georgia in December

    Statements like that make me question the credibility of the other calls. Nobody knows what’s going to happen in a contest that runs a month from now.

  2. Late Riser at 12.02 am

    Yes, that’s the considered view of many now. Cortez Masto is a good candidate and it seems voter engagement by the Dems was just enough to win Nevada.

  3. ar at 12.16 am

    True, but if Dems already have 50 seats the motivation for a large turnout of Republican voters in Georgia will be less. See commentary on 538.

  4. Biggest loser of the midterm elections? The media.

    The headlines coming into Tuesday’s elections almost uniformly predicted a Democratic wipeout. Here’s just a small sampling:

    The bottom is dropping out of the 2022 election for Democrats

    Democrats, on Defense in Blue States, Brace for a Red Wave in the House

    Red tsunami watch

    The Republican wave is building fast

    Democrats fear midterm drubbing as party leaders rush to defend blue seats

    Why the midterms are going to be great for Donald Trump

    Breaking down the GOP’s midterm momentum

    Democrats confront their nightmare scenario on election eve as economic concerns overshadow abortion and democracy worries

    I pulled those from The Post, the New York Times, CNN, Axios and Politico — but the rest of the news media called it much the same.

  5. In aus the new daily wednesday pm edition (about 4pm) headlines were much the same just as it was becoming clear the was no red wave. Yes publishing dead lines and all that….

  6. Late Riser @ #500 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 12:02 am

    Christopher Bouzy
    Senate update: Mark Kelly has won Arizona, and Catherine Cortez Masto is on her way to winning Nevada. Democrats will hold the Senate without Georgia. I have already predicted Democrats will win Georgia in December, so in a few weeks, Democrats will gain a seat.
    10:48 PM · Nov 11, 2022
    ·Twitter Web App

    The Astronaut beat the Alien. 😀

  7. PoliticsVerse

    Katie Hobbs 8691 votes (96%)
    Kari Lake 368 votes (4%)

    Gen-Z is eff’ing AWESOME!!!

  8. Palmer Report
    Senate Democrats have won Arizona, giving them 49 seats. If they win Nevada AND the Georgia runoff, that would give them a 51 seat majority. This means they can pit Manchin and Sinema against each other on every vote because they’d only need one of them. 51 is far better than 50.

    Then Primary Kirsten Sinema into oblivion next cycle.

  9. We’re now in the midst of intense generational warfare, as ambitious upstarts seek to push out their elders. It’s not the first time that’s happened. The pathbreaking feminist Betty Friedan, at age 67, once told me that she found the age mystique presented a more formidable bias than the feminine mystique.

    But surely, regardless of ideology or politics, few doubt that Speaker Nancy Pelosi, at age 82, is still at the top of her game, or believe that they could outfox 80-year-old Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. History is rife with instances of extraordinary individuals succeeding well into old age.

  10. I know I know the below article is not about numbers but I thought this article is relevant to this thread because it deals with DSCC election strategy.

    From the article:

    The Post spoke with Christie Roberts, executive director of the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee, who said the key to treading water in this difficult environment was simple: “Our theory of the case from the beginning was we assumed that this was going to be a very tough election for us,” she said. “We had to utterly discredit and disqualify our opponents.”

    And that’s where Trump came in. After all, who could possibly be better at finding awful human beings than the worst human being on the planet? The Washington Post:

    The Democrats planted early stories about past criticism of Trump by former North Carolina governor Pat McCrory (R), aiming to push Trump to endorse someone less electable in the state’s Senate primary. (The successful nominee, Ted Budd, went on to win Tuesday.) They built up the idea in the press that Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey (R) might run for Senate, prompting Trump to lash out and make clear his opposition; Ducey passed on running.

    They handed out other hit pieces against Ohio GOP chairwoman Jane Timken and Pennsylvania Senate contender Dave McCormick, mining their old public comments for any criticism that might raise Trump’s ire. The committee even subscribed to a service that allowed for constant monitoring of right-wing radio, so divisions could be picked up early and amplified.

    The Post described this strategy as “opposition research as psychological warfare, directed at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club and Bedminster, N.J., golf resort.” And in at least one case—and maybe two, depending on the final results in Arizona—the GOP’s homegrown toxicity and penchant for elevating awful people likely saved Democrats a Senate seat. Imagine if New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu had run against Sen. Maggie Hassan instead of Trump-backed, flip-flopping election denier Don Bolduc.

    Ultimately, the GOP candidates Democrats most feared facing, like Ducey and New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, declined to enter the race, giving them a fighting chance to hold the Senate. Sununu, the most popular politician in his state, had been targeted early by the DSCC with attacks on his abortion record. He ultimately blamed fellow Republicans for his decision.”

  11. Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania’s governor-elect and a Democrat, said Friday that his opponent, Doug Mastriano, had not reached out to concede. “But honestly, who cares,” he said on KYW Newsradio. “The people pick the winner, not him.”


  12. NV-01, NV-03, NV-04: The Nevada Independent has called wins for all three Democratic members of the Silver State’s House delegation, each of whom are based in the Las Vegas area.

    With a little more than 90% of the AP’s projected vote in for each seat, 1st District Rep. Dina Titus is beating Republican Mark Robertson 51-47, while fellow incumbent Susie Lee holds a 51-49 advantage over Republican April Becker in the 3rd. Rep. Steven Horsford, finally, edged out Republican Sam Peters 51.5-48.5 in the 4th. These margins may shift as the state’s remaining ballots, which are likely to favor Democrats, are counted.

    Last year, Democrats made the risky decision to make Titus’ once-safe seat competitive in order to help Lee and Horsford. Many politicos, including Titus herself, predicted this would bring about disaster for the party, but Team Blue instead ended up going three for three after an unexpectedly strong night.

  13. Dr. John R. Samuelsen
    New Huge Batch of Mail Ballots in Clark County, Nevada

    Added 35,183
    Dem 14,756 (41.9%) +6,068
    Rep 8,688 (24.7%)
    Other 11,739 (33.4%)

    These would have to be EDay drop-offs. So, a few points more Rep than regular mail. Again, I expect the Others to go heavy for Dem, so probably at least a 9k gain for Cortez Masto with this batch alone.

  14. A lot of talk on here about the zoomers saving the day. My favourite generation speaking as a generation z is the so called silent generation. John Lennon,Paul McCartney,George and Ringo, Jim Morrison, Janis and Aretha, Bobby D, Buddy Holly, Marvin Gaye, Sam Cooke, Stanley Kubrick, Rod Laver, Bill Bixby, the Stones, Evel Knievel and to cap it off President Joe!!! And that’s only the tip of the iceberg. Stacks up pretty well next to Kim Kardashian and Taylor Swift I reckon.

  15. From 538 – “According to election officials in Maricopa County, Arizona, the crucial county will report its next vote update at 8 p.m. local time” That is 1 pm here in Qld and 2 pm NSW/VIC.

  16. C@tmommasays:
    Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:14 am
    umichvoter ️‍
    state of play
    Dems are leading in 214 seats, they need 218 to win the house

    The shows that the 4 losses in NY State is proving costly.

  17. AZ Dems former data guy twitter thread on likely numbers

    Austin R. Stumpf
    Democrats running statewide in Arizona are in excellent shape. Katie Hobbs (GOV) and Kris Mayes (AG) are the clear favorites and I would confidently bet on Kathy Hoffman (SPI). Thread got delayed since counties kept dropping ballots!

    Time to show my work below

    There are ~533,000 ballots left to count.

    Hobbs leads by 26,879
    Mayes leads by 16,414
    Hoffman trails by 3,852

  18. Other members of the Silent Generation:

    Bob Hawke, Malcolm Fraser, John Howard, Paul Keating.
    Donald Trump is on the cusp between Silents and Boomers, but I don’t expect that he was ever accused of being silent.

  19. Huge turnaround in Nevada Senate race…

    In a new batch of 27.3k ballots counted in Clark County, here are the #nvsen results:
    – Cortez Masto received 17.2k votes (63 percent)
    – Laxalt received 9k votes (33 percent)

    This drops Laxalt’s statewide lead from 9k to about 800 votes.

  20. Some projections have Dems now holding Nevada by 20k votes, and with Arizona looking strong – that will make:

    Dems – 50
    Rep – 49
    Georgia runoff in December – 1

  21. MSNBC’s guru…

    Steve Kornacki predicts Catherine Cortes Masto (D) will take the lead over Adam Laxalt (R) by 11p tonight. He also predicts election-denier Blake Masters will have an “impossible task” of catching (D) Mark Kelly.

  22. sprocket_ @ #494 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 11:44 am

    MSNBC’s guru…

    Steve Kornacki predicts Catherine Cortes Masto (D) will take the lead over Adam Laxalt (R) by 11p tonight. He also predicts election-denier Blake Masters will have an “impossible task” of catching (D) Mark Kelly.

    Just listening to ‘The Day After’ Bulwark podcast and they couldn’t understand why everyone was saying CCCM would lose the Nevada Senate seat when she was minimum 1% ahead in all the polls up to election day!

  23. Ven @ #487 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 10:41 am

    Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 9:14 am
    umichvoter ️‍
    state of play
    Dems are leading in 214 seats, they need 218 to win the house

    The shows that the 4 losses in NY State is proving costly.

    California too, Ven. The crime and homelessness issues. Florida just a gerrymander thing.

  24. Laxalt just had a favourable batch of votes break his way: lead now up to around 2K. However, there must still be around 23K of mail-in ballots from Vegas and Reno still to go.

    This is touch and go. Isn’t it?

  25. Donald Trump is on the cusp between Silents and Boomers, but I don’t expect that he was ever accused of being silent.

    He had the option. Easier access to it than most, even. He could have just sat around (or partied it up) and enjoyed his inheritance millions while running out the clock.

    To do otherwise was his choice. Long may he suffer for it.

  26. I’m not too bothered if Boebert wins, it’s not a bad thing for Congress to include a handful of fascist loons like her and MTG so that voters can be reminded daily of the disaster that could have been.

  27. @Steve777: Donnie Drumpf was born 14/6/1946. Being born at least 9mo after the conclusion of WWII and before ~1964, he is by definition a “boomer”. And exhibits all the worst stereotypical traits of boomers:

    Spendthrift? Check.
    Dishonest? Check.
    Self-aggrandizing? Check.
    “I’ve got mine, screw you” mentality? Check.
    Insane sense of entitlement? Check.
    Motivated by fear? Check.
    Instinctively reactionary? Check.

    Trump is what Homer Simpson would have grown up to be, if Homer Simpson had been born to a billionaire daddy.

  28. In a new batch of 27.3k ballots counted in Clark County, here are the #nvsen results:
    – Cortez Masto received 17.2k votes (63 percent)
    – Laxalt received 9k votes (33 percent)

    This drops Laxalt’s statewide lead from 9k to about 800 votes

    Sean Golonka
    Replying to
    In that batch of 27.3k ballots counted in Clark County, here are the #nvgov results:
    – Sisolak received 16.5k votes (61 percent)
    – Lombardo received 9.2k votes (34 percent)

    This drops Lombardo’s statewide lead from 28.5k to 21.2k.

  29. And another Reno, NV batch…

    With a new batch of 11k ballots counted in Washoe County, here are the #nvsen results:
    – Cortez Masto received 5.8k votes (53 percent)
    – Laxalt received 4.7 votes (43 percent)

    This drops Laxalt’s statewide lead from nearly 2k votes back down to about 800.

  30. So now just Nevada and Georgia to go, in terms of the Senate. By all reports, you’d favour the Democrats to keep Nevada, albeit narrowly maybe, and that then takes them to 50 seats.
    Hopefully Warnock wins the runoff in Georgia, his opponent is that brain dead ex football star who frankly doesn’t deserve to be elected to any sort of office.

  31. Adrian Beaumont or Dr. Dolittle

    What happens if Republican party gets 218 in US HOR and Dems 217?
    I know Speaker will/ can be from Repubs. What happens to House committees and Majority leader? Is Speaker forced to vote casting vote for every non-resolution?

  32. sprocket_ says:
    Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 3:41 pm

    The Grifter still at it….
    “This announcement will perhaps be the most important speech given in the history of the United States of America.”

    What a wanker!

  33. Late Riser @ #508 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 2:41 pm

    The US Senate is evenly poised at D49-49R with only 800 or so votes in Nevada separating and D slowly catching, and the runoff in Georgia, where D outpolled R by 35,000 votes. If both end up with the Democrats, Sinema and Manchin will lose influence.

    And that can only be a good thing. Probably the best outcome of the whole damn Senate election.

  34. One of the seats Dems need to win/flip to get to 218 in HOR

    Dave Wasserman
    Another ~25k votes counted in #WA03, and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) still leads Joe Kent (R) by about the same margin, 146,372 to 141,413. Kent is running out of real estate to make up this gap.

    Would be a big upset for Dems in this Trump +4 seat.

  35. C@tmommasays:
    Saturday, November 12, 2022 at 4:57 pm
    Late Riser @ #508 Saturday, November 12th, 2022 – 2:41 pm

    The US Senate is evenly poised at D49-49R with only 800 or so votes in Nevada separating and D slowly catching, and the runoff in Georgia, where D outpolled R by 35,000 votes. If both end up with the Democrats, Sinema and Manchin will lose influence.

    And that can only be a good thing. Probably the best outcome of the whole damn Senate election.

    But Sinema and Manchin voted for all Biden major bills and Supreme Court justice.

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