Roy Morgan’s weekly update reveals that its latest voting intention figures have Labor’s two-party lead out from 52.5-47.5 to 53-47, but does not treat us to primary vote numbers on this occasion. If I’m reading the blurry fine print correctly, the polling was conducted from August 8 to 14. Assuming Newspoll has resumed its previously established schedule of a poll of every three weeks, that should be along with us on Sunday evening.
Also of note:
• An article in Crikey last week provided details from YouGov’s Co-operative Election Survey panel survey, conducting during the campaign from May 2 to 18 from a sample of 5978. It indicates that the cohorts most likely to defect to Labor were the well educated, those with few assets, those identifying as having no religion, and those from non-English backgrounds. Also featured were those aged 18 to 34, although this cohort was the most volatile across the board – the voters least likely to defect from Labor were the oldest. Similarly, high income earners were both more likely to those on low and middle incomes both to defect to and from Labor.
• Michael Koziol of the Age/Herald explores the impact of young inner-city renters on the Morrison government’s defeat. Kos Samaras of Redbridge Group is quoted saying such voters are keen to get into the property market but “do not want to relocate to the outskirts of western Sydney or Melbourne”, and have “really looked down on conservative politicians mocking them on their lifestyle choices”. Such voters were attracted to the teal independents over Labor because they favour “a modern solution to their hunger for a different form of politics”, and over the Greens because of their “positions on housing and development at a local level, where ‘not in my backyard’ attitudes constrain supply”. The latter is particularly an issue at state level, to which the New South Wales government has responded by providing the option to pay annual land tax instead of upfront stamp duty and unveiling a plan for 4500 new homes around a railway station in Hornsby.
• The by-election for the Northern Territory seat of Fannie Bay, vacated by the retirement of former Chief Minister Michael Gunner, will be held tomorrow. Labor’s Brent Potter will defend a 9.6% margin against Country Liberal Party candidate Ben Hosking and four others.
Simon Katich says:
Monday, August 22, 2022 at 2:50 pm
they didnt do a cost benefit analysis of the Registan either.
___________
The Uzbeks get everything. Lucky buggers.
I see those Moscow metro photos and I think, a lot of people died in abject poverty for those.
Like Cathedrals. We never see the miserable shacks which once surrounded them.
Macca BR says
“The only undertaking from the graduate was to accept an initial posting anywhere within the state.
Teacher graduates were asked to nominate areas of the state in which they would prefer to work. In most instances preferences were accepted.”
The “choice” was a little rigged in NSW.
My wife had a NSW govt. teachers college scholarship in the mid 1970s. NSW was divided into 4 regions with the boundaries ALL radiating from Sydney. She chose the southern region hoping to be a bit near home, Parkes. She got posted to Broken Hill for 2 years!!
Her first class was preps with 45 kids. She spent the first couple of weeks continually counting the kids to make sure she hadn’t lost any!!
Tashkent has a population of only about 2mill tho. Kicking above their weight. Maybe not as much as Ceaușescu and his Palace of the Parliament in Bucharest.
At least the Tashkent Metro gets used.
Nothing can compare to the Industrial Dog Object at Fairfield Station in Melbourne:
nath, some impressive structures in SA if you know where to look…..
nath at 3:02 pm
As bad as that one is it is a work of art compared to Robertson’s ‘Big Potato’ .
habby:
At least your wife could catch the Silver City Comet between Parkes and Broken Hill to get home during school holidays.
Edit: added last three words, just in case anyone thought I was suggesting it as a daily commute!
poroti says:
Monday, August 22, 2022 at 3:07 pm
nath at 3:02 pm
As bad as that one is it is a work of art compared to Robertson’s ‘Big Potato’ .
________
Yeah that is something isn’t it.
$5 says ItzaDream has a photo of himself in front, to the side, or on top of the Big Potato
Andrew_Earlwood @ #1030 Monday, August 22nd, 2022 – 1:40 pm
Or simply not a Labor partisan.
nath at 3:10 pm
Looking at it perhaps we could ask if they can do submarines. They seem to have the basic shape down pat.
Simon Katich @ #536 Monday, August 22nd, 2022 – 3:05 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cyjpQ3Yhc5s&t=9s
Yes at least the train stations have served a good purpose over time. Although, saddling future generations with enormous maintenance costs is not a great idea. It should only be done sparingly.
Here is one for BW.
Integrity.
https://twitter.com/SophieScamps/status/1561581575992909824
Disclosure. I earn enough to benefit from the Stage 3 tax cuts. Do I need them, no, do I want them, no. I’d rather the money went towards health or social services or other government programs.
Do I think Labor should cancel them, no I don’t, simply because Labor promised they wouldn’t get rid of them and a promise is a promise. I’m sick of politicians not following through.
What I do want Labor to do is increase company taxes and reduce other tax rorts to more than make up the difference.
Like the US bill last week, all companies should a minimum tax rate on declared earnings in Australia. i.e. 15%. It doesn’t matter what your on paper corporate structure is, if you earn the revenue in Australia you WILL pay a minimum amount of tax to Australia.
15% of whatever you declare in your Annual report is the baseline for the company tax rate. You can do all sorts of write offs (within the law) to bring it DOWN to 15% but after that, tough titties.
The same should also apply to negative gearing and other tax minimisation rorts. You can use them to reduce your tax but never under a baseline. If you do go under that baseline rate it’s a case of “thanks” from the citizens for your contributions.
Rex – a national trail….
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_pRYuiw1AXI
SK
Worst nightmare.
Rex Douglas @ #1038 Monday, August 22nd, 2022 – 2:18 pm
Why haven’t you accused Andrew_Earlwood of ‘belittling’ you, Rex Douglas? 😉
Btw, he’s right about your concern trolling wrt the Stage 3 tax cuts.
Honestly, are you going to maintain the charade you’ve created around them until the next election, as your new chosen bete noir? You’ve made your point already, to continue making it only suggests an ulterior motive. Other than an acknowledgement of the fact you don’t think the Labor Party should go through with them, which you only needed to make once or twice. We get that. But repeatedly?
Simon Katich at 3:16 pm
Boerwar swears he has at least half a dozen like that roaming his fields.
Simon Katich at 3:16 pm
Boerwar swears he has at least half a dozen like that roaming his fields.
Robertson?
Brown trout. No fins.
p, not southern hairy nose.
C@tmomma says:
Other than an acknowledgement of the fact you don’t think the Labor Party should go through with them, which you only needed to make once or twice. We get that. But repeatedly?
_____________
Really? Is Rex such an awful practitioner of repetitiveness? I can think of many more egregious offenders.
nath @ #1075 Monday, August 22nd, 2022 – 3:31 pm
I don’t think it’s a matter of him in particular, I just give participants and readers of the blog credit for enough intelligence to comprehend someone’s point of view so as to not have to put up with it shoved down our necks every day.
I give each issue the benefit of my point of view 😀 and then I move on.
‘poroti says:
Monday, August 22, 2022 at 3:24 pm
Simon Katich at 3:16 pm
Boerwar swears he has at least half a dozen like that roaming his fields.’
—————————————
Roam?
Everyone knows they eats, root and leaves.
Not everyone knows they smash their way through fences, nip off your tree plants, undermine your river banks, and bulldoze dirty great tractor traps in the middle of the paddock: the marsupial equivalent of Morrison.
Something for Southern Hariy-nosed Wombats:
https://sydneytrendshop.com/products/best-nose-hair-trimmer?currency=AUD&utm_medium=cpc&utm_source=google&utm_campaign=Google%20Shopping&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIhOaixt3Z-QIVwoJLBR374ALXEAQYBCABEgLO0_D_BwE
ItzaDream, Yass is fine medically speaking except that the hospital has been stripped of surgical and obstetric services and has difficulty maintaining a full-time doctor roster.
At least 4 GP clinics/medical practices but some struggle to keep GPs.
Wow, those expected seeding events for COVID-19 that we spoke about this morning just don’t seem to be happening. Look where the levels in the community, according to this graph are:
Your shout shellbell!
But I’ve got one at Barellan, in Evonne Goolagong Park.
I bet the wombats think they were there first too.
“ Integrity.
https://twitter.com/SophieScamps/status/1561581575992909824”
_______
That would be the same Sophie Scamps that supports the S3 tax cuts that you rail against Labor over on a daily basis. Am I right?
Live wombat targets are a great way exercise your collection of vintage wartime weaponry, I hear.
Oh dear. Pakistan is a tinderbox at the best of times:
Islamabad: Pakistani police have filed terrorism charges against former Prime Minister Imran Khan, authorities said Monday, escalating political tensions in the country as the ousted premier holds mass rallies seeking to return to office.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-scott-morrison-faces-fresh-pork-barrelling-questions-nsw-trade-role-saga-continues-20220822-p5bbmj.html.
Andrew_Earlwood @ #563 Monday, August 22nd, 2022 – 3:49 pm
Damn her to hell as well then …!
“Hopefully, next weeks’ job summit may look at formerly, successful training programs to address many of the current and future employment concerns.
The restoration of TAFE, and a substantial audit of so-called “private training colleges” wouldn’t be a bad move either.”
There is a huge amount of work that could be done in this space, Australian workers and skills really come last when BCG or McKinskeys tear through a corporate
A Russian activist army has claimed responsibility for the death of Darya Dugina, the daughter of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s “spiritual guide” Aleksandr Dugin, according to Russian authorities Sunday.
Ilya Ponomarev, a former member of the State Duma of the Russian Federation, said the National Republican Army (NRA) claimed responsibility for the death of Darya, who died in a car explosion near the village of Bolshiye Vyazemy in the Odintsovsky District in Moscow Oblast.
The NRA presumably planted an explosive device on Darya’s Toyota Land Cruiser that exploded around 9 p.m. local time Saturday. Darya died at the scene, according to the press service of the Russian Investigative Committee.
https://www.ibtimes.com/russian-activist-army-admits-bombing-killing-daughter-putins-spiritual-guide-war-3604184
Decision time….
Watch each weekly episode of House of the Dragon as they drop ?
Wait and binge watch them all at once ?
“ Decision time….
Watch each weekly episode of House of the Dragon as they drop ?
Wait and binge watch them all at once ?”
_____
Binge
‘ItzaDream says:
Monday, August 22, 2022 at 3:45 pm
I bet the wombats think they were there first too.’
———————————
Common Wombats do not think. Absurd proposition.
That aside, when I arrived in the district, sometime during the last century, there were NO Common Wombats on the flats. Zero. Zip. The thinking is that farmers of yore may have slipped a gas bomb down the wombat holes while they were taking care of the bunny plagues. Strays would be bowled over by a .22 while spotlighting. This eliminated Common Wombats from the flats.
They were present in low numbers in the adjoining hills and these knew a Common Wombat paradise when they saw it: our land.
The milieu is now also more densely populated by humans who include wombat lovers who take umbrage at Wombat Population Management Measures. The only thing that controls wombats now is when the flats are flooded. This causes our wombats to leave their burrows and to start swimming.
Sambar have also arrived. It is only a matter of time before feral pigs arrive as well.
@P1 at 3:11pm.
You are the daily quinella.
Like the Liberals, Common Wombats fight with their arses. True fact.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/nov/04/wombats-deadly-bums-how-they-use-their-skull-crushing-rumps-to-fight-play-and-flirt
Everyone seems to agree that the stage 3 tax cuts are unnecessary and should not go ahead.
The only reason anyone can come up with to keep them is that ‘Labor promised’.
And therefore we must waste 19 billion dollars a year. Every year. To give our politicians and CEOs an extra 10k per year. Of our money. Money that could be going to health. Or the NDIS. Or childcare. Or aged care. Or … well … just about anything would be a better use for it than giving it to those who don’t need it.
Seriously, some Labor people need to take a long hard look at themselves. Labor was originally opposed to these tax cuts – then they changed their mind. They can – and should – change their mind again.
This issue is not going to go away. It will dog Labor until they come to their senses.
On my walk near Crackneck. Xanthorrea + Tetragonula sp
12 per center caught in the toils of 12 per cent. So sad.
You need to lift your game.
As predicted, the Teals are iffy on tax increases as well. If not downright opposed to them.
Come back to us when you have been able to persuade 51% of Australians to vote for tax increases.
Voters do not understand how economies work. They demand governments give them better services, lower taxes and controlling debt/deficit.
Labor promised all three. They already have broken one of those promises, we just don’t know which of the three they have broken yet.
The end point, if you decide to put your economic policy in the hands of populists, is Brexit and the stage 3 tax cuts. It’s not what voters want, but it’s what they state they want because they don’t understand economics.
Labor need to cancel the stage 3 tax cuts and restore income tax thresholds to be properly progressive, and cap out around 60%+. For the benefit of Australia, and their own political advantage. Of the three contradictory promsies they made, this one will be last damaging to break.
If they don’t want to break a promise, they need to call an election and seek a mandate to govern that isn’t based on lying and pretending you can deliver all three.
The Greens will likely profit at the next election by publicly campaigning the S3 tax cuts. An electoral gift from the establishment parties.
GoldenSmaug:
Does that mean if a farmer buys $1 worth of supplies they have to sell $1.15 worth of produce to pay the tax.
Then the supermarket has to sell the produce for $ 1.32 to pay the tax.
If their is a wholesaler then the price goes up to 1.52
Actually the electorate voted for them in 2019, and then Labor committed to keeping them in the 2022 election. So would be a broken promise. Basically carbon tax 2.0 attack
Yes the tax cuts shouldn’t go ahead but not for the reasons people keep saying.
But lets be clear it is not needed for government to be able to spend on health etc.