Essential Research and JWS Research post-election survey (open thread)

Anthony Albanese’s ratings remain high, albeit slightly less high, while JWS Research offers results from a poll conducted in the days after the election.

Essential Research’s fortnightly report continues to not feature voting intention, and its monthly leadership ratings are continuing to not feature Peter Dutton. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 55% in this month’s result, while his disapproval is up four to 28%. Some steam has also gone out of a post-election surge on a monthly national direction question, on which 43% find Australia headed in the right direction, down four, with wrong direction up three to 31%.

In a series of “performance of the Albanese government” questions, there was a 56-44 majority in favour of it having its priorities right, 54-46 majorities for getting things done and being in touch and 52-48 for addressing long-term problems, although a 51-49 majority felt it too idealistic. A series on “support for federal government measures is less good: 60% want the fuel excise cut extended, with only 12% supporting the government’s intention to not do so, 44% support higher JobSeeker payments, with 27% opposed, and 42% want a delay in “stage three income tax cuts, which predominantly benefits higher income earners”, with 25% opposed.

“Awareness of proposed Voice to Parliament” would appear to be fairly low, with 33% saying they had heard nothing of it in the past month and 32% saying hardly anything, compared with 5% for a lot and 29% for a fair amount. With the notion explained, 65% said they were in favour and 35% opposed. Seventy-five per cent supported a parliamentary pledge to “Australia and the Australian people”, with only 15% opting for the Queen. The survey was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1075.

Also out this week is a post-election survey report from JWS Research, conducted from a sample of 1000 in the two days after the May 21 election. Asked what was most important in deciding their vote, more chose for “the party as a whole” than for “specific policies or issues”, and fewer still for the leaders and candidates, but Coalition voters were most inclined to rate the first of these and Greens voters uniquely favoured the second.

On issue salience, there was a 53-10 majority for economic over environmental issues among Coalition voters, but a 36-29 majority the other way among Labor voters, both sets of numbers being hardly changed from a similar survey after the 2019 election. An exercise in which respondents were asked whether or not the election campaign possessed various qualities also produced results very similar to 2019: 56-16 for important over not important, 39-30 for not interesting over interesting, 38-27 for negative over positive, 42-24 for deceitful over honest, 51-22 for same old stuff over new and different. For whatever reason, impressions were more negative across the board in 2016.

Thirty-six per cent rated the Labor campaign positive and 35% negative, compared with 28% and 44% for the Coalition. From 44% who said they favoured a Labor government, 25% favoured a majority and 19% a minority government; from 33% who favoured a Coalition government, 24% favoured a majority and 9% a majority.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,356 comments on “Essential Research and JWS Research post-election survey (open thread)”

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  1. I find it impossible to believe that the instruments and the letters cannot be found. They are just too important. The processes involved in archiving them are just too normal.

    Maybe a search of the filing cabinets in second hand shops is in order.

  2. Cronus says:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 7:10 pm

    ‘…
    I think the Coalition party room would be an interesting place to be a fly on the wall in coming weeks.’
    ———————————————————–
    I am not sure they sit jointly in Opposition. But each, separately, would be entertaining.

  3. Borewar

    You are in need of a psychiatrist

    The very fact that you are on a site such as this 24/7 (as are some others) is its own commentary

    Perhaps you may care to google Australia/China friendship organisations in Australia – and attend one of their functions which promote trade and culture between the Nations and their citizens

    There are plenty of them

  4. Morrison copping an absolute pile on from the Sky overnight mob this evening. Not one of them has a good word to say about him. His ears must be burning red.

  5. Here we go again

    Congratulations!

    Using mental health as a means of attacking political enemies has quite a long tradition in commie regimes. Of course all regimes everywhere resort to it to some extent. But the beauty of running a dictatorship is that you can be so thorough about it!
    Now. Back to taws.
    What part of the 30 million (estimated) abortions and the consequent 30 million bachelors do you support as a policy?
    What part of the $20 billion trade punishments do you support?
    What part of the plan to crush Taiwanese democracy and re-educate 25 million Taiwanese do you support?
    What part of the state campaign against ‘feminine’ males do you support?
    What part of the state campaign against single women who want to remain single do you support?
    What part of the treatment of the Uighers do you support?

  6. Bystander says:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 7:20 pm

    Morrison copping an absolute pile on from the Sky overnight mob this evening. Not one of them has a good word to say about him. His ears must be burning red.
    _________________________

    SfM has set the world record for Rooster to Feather Duster transformation

  7. If he is clinically a narcissist, which I don’t know at all, then all this is just the sort of noise that perfect people have to put up with from lesser people.

  8. The situation of a Minister suddenly being incapacitated can happen at any time – heart attack, car accident – the risks of living. It’s something that the Government needs to be able to act on quickly at short notice. In the early days of the pandemic, when to be fair, no one knew how bad things were going to get, I can see that additional contingency planning would be a good idea. In fact, I find it a bit surprising that Morrison actually thought of it. He doesn’t do planning – it’s too socialist – or something.

    But did we need duplicate Ministers? Maybe, I don’t know. It seems a bit odd, to say the least.
    But why the secrecy?

  9. Cronus @ #2233 Monday, August 15th, 2022 – 6:54 pm

    “ Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is seeking advice, which is a reasonable first step, but it should embarrass federal officials that they cannot confirm who was in charge and when. Governor-General David Hurley confirms he signed documents to give the prime minister additional portfolios. Nobody produces the documents.”

    Anyway you look at it, this is an unacceptable situation in a functioning democracy.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-s-mystery-ministries-reduced-the-westminster-system-to-a-sitcom-20220815-p5ba10.html

    Is David Hurley lying about signing the documents that cannot be produced!?!

    Has Yaron Finkelstein been interviewed yet?

    Where’s Scott Morrison!?!

  10. Cronus at 7.18

    Bridget McKenzie has a clear understanding of putting “…the Westminster system’s efficacy into question.”

  11. C@T

    “ Is David Hurley lying about signing the documents that cannot be produced!?!
    Has Yaron Finkelstein been interviewed yet?
    Where’s Scott Morrison!?!”

    So many good questions (we can add them to the list), so few answers. This is why I suspect there’s a considerable amount of ugliness about to be unearthed regarding this situation.

    The ABC’s 7:30 implied that Morrison may in fact have held 4-5 roles suggesting more to follow, watch this space.

  12. That will do me. A bloke on 730 claims he owns 7 houses and whinges he can’t put the rent up enough. Fancy being prepared to show your face on camera. The tax system is broken on housing. Fancy rewarding such behaviour.

  13. Snappy Tom says:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 7:32 pm
    Cronus at 7.18

    “Bridget McKenzie has a clear understanding of putting “…the Westminster system’s efficacy into question.”

    (Chuckling lots) More front than Myers our good friends in the Coalition. And with her experience, Bridget (Sports Rorts) McKenzie would be an expert. She must have the hide of a rhinoceros.

  14. Morrison’s rant at Margaret Court’s church about not trusting in government makes a bit more sense now.

    By secretly making himself minister for various things, he indicated that he did not trust the ministers who had been sworn in. Only he, appointed by god, could be trusted to govern. If he had won the 2022 election, who knows what powers he would have bestowed upon himself?

  15. With Scott Morrison once again appearing prominently in the media today, I am realising just how great it’s been to see and hear so little of him in the last 11 weeks or so, and then only as former Prime Minister. He popped up in a video in an article I was reading. I didn’t bother un-muting it.


  16. Griffsays:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 7:00 pm
    Cronus @ Monday, August 15, 2022 at 6:54 pm

    They cannot produce the administrative documents that the GG signed?

    Oopsie! That might be a problem.

    Like Trump did he take them home when he is not supposed to. If so, Will AFP raid his home to collect them?
    So many questions but so little answers.

  17. have no idea what bws in cohearent rants were today agree the termis a offensive term the sort of cold war rubish we heard before i would take the us moore serously in this anti china beat up if they wwere concerned abbout saldi arabia us dont care les abbout tiwon just want a war there to protect there supper power status and best on the us not winning any wars since wold war two maybi they should triy living in pease foor a bit and maybi we should start suporting ucraine in stead of defending a country we do not recognize

  18. i do not like chinas human rights record but were was tehe us when putin was planing ucrane invation since 2014 whiy did us egnore it and whiy did us only raize chinas bad human rights record when its own status was threatind and what abbout egypt when mozlam brotherhood came in us helped a military coo returning military rule with no democrasy

  19. Boerwar. Leave it out you bore. It’s a ridiculous term and offensive. That you keep engaging in it does you no service and only serves to highlight your irrational phobias and predilections.

  20. have no idea whiy bw persist with the ofensive lyne desbite requests maybiwb needs to remind us to be respectfulit reminds me of certain former leader who dismised any attack with a cheep put down its quiet boreing the same anti greens anti china rant evry day

  21. This Morrison dual secret ministeries will be a millstone around LNP necks for years.
    If they can’t trust themselves why would anyone else trust them. Extraordinary undemocratic actions which will have widespread repercussions.

  22. is bw a serious poaster or justa bot because the same poast seems repeated evry day the greens are the worst the us is fantastick desbite afghanistan byuy the way it was the one yearanaversury very similary content to thatbrieflys boreingi unerstand youthink the us can not be attacked but no need to repeat the same poast evry minute a bit like fire foxsis pres releasis

  23. So Aaron the Tibetan thing is your fave Chicommie achievement? Or, looking ahead, the righteous re-education of 25 million Taiwanese?

  24. bw maybi our moderator needs to step ini remember ai think gg used to act like this you have good knolidge of defence maybi we need bb back not shore whats worse this boreing bot or repoasting greens media yes surprised elliott stayedsecord resigned well elliott is close to the morrison group

  25. Here we go again said:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 6:35 pm

    IF the Chinese population of 1.4 billion is not satisfied with their government do you think the government would last?

    The government is there because of a revolution after all

    The first objective of the Chinese government is to improve the living standards of its population – it is their signature policy

    Which it continues to deliver

    It is put to me by those more knowledgeable on China than me (because they actually live there) that, if the China government did not deliver for its citizens and their living standards fell, the government would fall

    And the government knows that full well

    Some on here are blinded by prejudice and racism

    ___________

    What utter drivel! That is quite possibly the most embarrassing post I’ve read on PB, and I’ve been here for over a decade

    Dissent is not tolerated in China. Not even 0.1% dissent. If a political blog like this ever existed in China, with free expression of political opinion, then the participants would now all be in prison. That’s not just my opinion, it is a fact.

    Noam Chomsky was mentioned recently – he is famous for having written books criticising US foreign policy. Essentially the gist of his books is that the US enthusiastically promotes the idea of democracy while attempting to ruthlessly suppress it in certain countries when it suits them. He has a point, but he is also a free man, not a prisoner (or dead).

    Show me Chinese equivalent of Noam Chomsky and I might be prepared to take you slightly seriously.

    What avenue do Chinese people have to express dissatisfaction or dissent, other than to stand in front of tanks?

  26. It does seem the last hurrah for the Morrison group Aaron Newton. Their foothold was in the Hills branches but they seem to be losing those.

  27. The loneliest demos I attended were the anti- Afghanistan War demos. I could have lost my job doing those. But hey. But I am sure that every Bludger who has trouble with the term ‘Chicommie’ was there.

  28. sadly wil not respond to bwwe do not needthis forum to desend any further in to anif you do not want to research saldi arabia and if you do not realize that egypts gemocratickly elected government was over thrown buy a military coo and egypt is back to being a dictatorship then fine yes porotests any waymention us did nothing in 2008 during tibet protests this is a cold war

  29. In a statement on Monday afternoon, David Hurley confirmed he had secretly signed instruments that allowed Mr Morrison to administer other portfolios.

    He said his actions were “consistent with section 64 of the constitution”, which states that the Governor-General may appoint members of parliament to ministries.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-15/scott-morrison-secret-ministry-appointments-covid-19-pandemic/101333856

    I don’t think the intent of the constitution is that multiple members of parliament may be appointed to the SAME ministry though.

  30. But why? You’re already the Prime Minister, if it’s important enough for you to overrule the Minister just call them and tell them to change their decision.

  31. if bw aposed afghanistan war given us has not won a war since wold war twohow would a war against china be any differnt china is a propper army not a bunch of war lords like taliban so if us could not win against them how can they win againstthe most powerful military what abbout we fight foo egypt to get democrasy back but thats okay becaus there a us allie so does not matter abbout human rights yes seems the morrison group is abbout finished elliotis one off the few left in cabenit

  32. Confessions said:
    Monday, August 15, 2022 at 8:39 pm

    In a statement on Monday afternoon, David Hurley confirmed he had secretly signed instruments that allowed Mr Morrison to administer other portfolios.

    He said his actions were “consistent with section 64 of the constitution”, which states that the Governor-General may appoint members of parliament to ministries.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-15/scott-morrison-secret-ministry-appointments-covid-19-pandemic/101333856

    I don’t think the intent of the constitution is that multiple members of parliament may be appointed to the SAME ministry though.

    __________

    Yes, or that they be appointed in SECRET.

  33. Aaron
    I have zero interest in defending the behaviour of the United States nor in accepting whatabout the United Ststes as a deflection from the massive evils of the Chicommies.

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