There are posts above on state politics in New South Wales and below on the slow motion demise of Boris Johnson. This one covers local electoral news relevant to (mostly) the federal tier:
• In an article for The Monthly by George Megalogenis, Shaun Ratcliff of the University of Sydney relates research suggesting home owners were nearly twice as likely to vote Coalition than non-home owners after controlling for income. However, there was a marked exception for those under 35, who were twice as likely to vote Labor and Greens than the Coalition, which played a major role in the latter’s disastrous showing in the big cities. The Coalition had just 16% support among renters, compared with 38% for Labor and 35% for the Greens. Home owners were only half as likely to vote for the Greens as renters, while distinctions among Labor were more modest. This was based on the Australian Cooperative Election Survey, conducted during the campaign from a sample of around 5800 by YouGov and various universities, which we will be hearing a lot more from in future.
• The Guardian reports Senator Andrew Bragg is pushing for changes to the New South Wales Liberal Party’s rules at its annual general meeting later this month to allow preselections to proceed without the involvement of the leader’s representative in the nomination review process. This seemingly arcane point lay at the centre of the long-running logjam in its preselection process before the federal election, when Scott Morrison’s centre right faction ally Alex Hawke persistently failed to show at meetings to move the process forward. Factional rivals said this was a deliberate effort to force the national executive to intervene to protect centre right incumbents from preselection defeats. Bragg’s proposal has been criticised by Hollie Hughes, Liberal Senator and centre right member, who instead blames reforms championed by Tony Abbott that required the concurrence of 90% of state executive members to certify factional deals that would have broken the deadlock.
• Matthew Knott of the Sydney Morning Herald reports members of Labor’s Cabramatta branch have reacted to Kristina Keneally’s parachute malfunction in Fowler by calling for those who “white-anted” her to be disciplined. This included passage of a motion calling on the party administration to consider expelling Tu Le, whose own aspirations for the seat were thwarted by the Keneally manoeuvre. Local sources cited by Knott said members were “peeved by the presumption Le would have won a rank-and-file ballot given she had only moved to the electorate a year earlier herself and was not well-known in the area”.
• Poll Bludger regular Adrian Beaumont has a piece in The Conversation on the performance of the polls at the federal election, which I mean to get around covering myself in depth eventually.
• Matt Martino of the ABC drew upon my supposed expertise in a fact check on claims made by Barnaby Joyce about the federal election result. I rated him no pinocchios, but told him to watch it anyway.
• Late counting has shown the Liberals’ performance in Saturday’s Bragg state by-election in South Australia to have been a bit less bad than it appeared on the night. There has actually been a 2.8% swing in their favour on postals and pre-polls, compared with a 6.0% swing on the election day votes that were all we had to go on on Saturday. This leaves the Liberal margin at 5.5%, down from 8.2% at the March election (and 16.8% at the election before).
nath says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 10:31 am
Sad to see Cud trotting out his home made videos bashing Musk. Who’s done far more than he ever will or could do, including arresting the declining birth rate.
———
According to Wokapedia Musk “only” has six children (incidentally, including one poor child named X AE A-XII Musk).
In a finite Earth, isn’t a declining birth rate a good thing?
Hmmm…..how does one define “humanity”? And how should we measure improvement?
laughtong @ #273 Saturday, July 9th, 2022 – 12:42 pm
Yes, but if you read that article Nick Kyrgios readily admits he was in a dark place due to the sudden onrush of attention as a result of beating Rafa Nadal at an early age and it led him to compensate with drink and drugs. It also states, via his manager of 10 years, that he’s successfully dealt with that and now he no longer has those issues. Which to me outlines a fairly common story which attaches to global fame at a young age. However, it seems that, unlike others, Nick Kyrgios has dealt with it successfully and NOW the stuff that happens on the court, stays on the court, and is simply used now to rev himself up, in a similar way that John McEnroe used to do it. I don’t think you can presumptively say that he has mental health issues though.
I’m sorry but when you turn your life around, you get bouquets not brickbats from me.
C@tmomma says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 12:38 pm
Boerwar @ #258 Saturday, July 9th, 2022 – 12:15 pm
‘Cronus says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 12:14 pm
I see that despite his consistently obnoxious behaviour over the years, Kyrgios is disappointed that he feels that he doesn’t have the support of many of Australian’s past tennis greats. I wonder if he’s ever joined the dots and if not, why?’
—————————
I doubt that he is mentally well.
What an obnoxious conclusion to draw. I advise you to read this very fine article about Nick Kyrgios before you go off half-cocked like that about him again:
https://www.smh.com.au/sport/tennis/nike-went-ballistic-the-untold-stories-of-the-real-nick-kyrgios-20220708-p5b04y.html
I’m still not seeing any reason for his ongoing behaviour and failure to adhere to acceptable behavioural norms and standards like everyone else. He undertakes some good deeds but they don’t, imo, negate nor balance the bad. Why can’t he both behave acceptably on court and in the broader tennis arena as well as act sensitively towards some in need (as so many have/do)?The severe inconsistencies only beg further questions.
I think it is nerdy types who hate Musk the most. They don’t have a revolutionary electric car company, a revolutionary space company, and all the other ventures. He makes them look unremarkable, they hate him for that.
Most people that hate Musk do so because he is anti-Labor in the traditional sense.
i.e. the America problem. Make significant technological progress but cripple workers rights.
BiltongCinematicU says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:08 pm
Most people that hate Musk do so because he is anti-Labor in the traditional sense.
i.e. the America problem. Make significant technological progress but cripple workers rights.
_________
Workers at Tesla get paid more than other auto workers. Perhaps for this reason they have failed to see the need to unionise.
Agreed. I maintain the dems will hold the house and increase the senate.
Joe Trippi
Stop with the doom and gloom for Dems this November. I’ve been saying since January there will not be a Red Wave. Pounding the table now on this week’s episode of “That Trippi Show” “We do the work, while they keep doing the crazy” https://t.co/4DKw2xJvYZ
As most would know, Wimbledon officials banned Russian & Belarus players from competing in this year’s tournament. In response, the ATP & WTA announced that they will not award ranking points, in consequence of which, Kyrgios will not be credited with 2000 points if he wins, or 1200 if he loses.
Now ranked at 40 (1070 points), win or lose would have seen him move into the top 20. And while not critical of Wimbledon officials, all Kyrgios is guaranteed is either £2m if he wins or £1,050m if he loses. Life’s not fair. But if does win, he’ll be rebranded as Ozzie Nick(?), the enfant terrible tag, a mere distant memory. Incidentally, he has twice beaten Djokovic: in Acapulco in 2017, 7-6 (11-9), 7-5; a week later in Indian Wells, 6-4, 7-6(7-3).
Regarding Rishi Sunak’s campaign ( ready4rishi.com) to be the next Tory PM. 🙂
Glenn Greenwald
@ggreenwald
·
10h
I’ve been saying for a long time – and I’m hardly alone – that the one thing Western democracies need more of are leaders who were Goldman Sachs investment bankers and hedge fund managers who married into a billionaire family. It’s time such people had a bigger voice.
@Cronus
Kyrgios is far from unique in his on-court antics. After his match with Tsisipas he received a fine, I believe Tsisipas received a larger fine. Tsisipas’s behaviour was more problematical and yet the media piled on Nick because it’s their default setting. I like him, he’s far more ‘real’ than the usual one-dimensional type you find on the tour. Maybe he’s too ‘public school’ for some people’s taste, tennis seems populated with slightly snotty private school types. Mind you, I was a big fan of McEnroe back in the day, Agassi too and he used to be considered a ratbag.
Granny Anny at 12.38 re letter urging Royal Commission into Timorese bugging (+ beyond)…
Feel like sharing the salient points of your letter (I may write one too)?
It’s also noteworthy that the mainstream media haven’t set further investigation into the Timorese bugging affair (+ other deals) as a further ‘test’ for Labor…
I was today’s day old when I found out that Musk wasn’t a founder of Telsa, he just got on the train that someone else started.
Does that smuck tell the truth ever, Musk makes Boris Johnson and Scott Morrison look thoroughly honest.
WeWantPaul says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:22 pm
I was today’s day old when I found out that Musk wasn’t a founder of Telsa, he just got on the train that someone else started.
_______________
That’s just an anti-Musk myth. Apparently these other ‘founders’ allowed Musk to take majority ownership of the company though. So that’s pretty stupid if they really were the ‘founders’.
Victoria at 1.13
I maintain the dems will hold the house and increase the senate.
____________
I checked an article on fivethirtyeight…
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/maybe-dobbs-did-change-the-race-well-need-more-time-to-know-for-sure/
Apparently ‘generic’ polling averages before the SCOTUS decision had the Democrats trailing by about 1.3%; polls since have them ahead about 1.5.
Hopefully, a trend all the way to November!
WeWantPaulsays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:22 pm
Biographer Ashlee Vance tells the story of how Musk became involved with Tesla.
Anyone truely interested should read it.
Themunz says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:31 pm
WeWantPaulsays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:22 pm
Biographer Ashlee Vance tells the story of how Musk became involved with Tesla.
Anyone truely interested should read it.
_____
Musk haters will just prefer Cuds videos rather than an actual understanding.
Tesla shares will keep going up until they stop going up.. them everyone will decide it was a bubble waiting to burst.
Apple PE ratio as of July 07, 2022 is 23.20.
Tesla PE ratio as of July 07, 2022 is 94.33.
Tesla is at least 400% over valued.
nath @ #518 Saturday, July 9th, 2022 – 1:36 pm
Well, that video is pretty damning. I had previously heard how heavily Musk had “embroidered” his origin story, but there were a lot of details that I was unaware of.
Whoever compared him to Trump earlier nailed it. Musk is so heavily invested in his own story that you wonder if he has actually come to believe it. Which may explain why he seems to be able to make others do so. Even when he admits that he lied, he clearly thinks that he was perfectly justified in doing so.
I despise Kyrgious’ bad behaviours, just like I despise the bad behaviours of so many sportspersons.
It seems to me that the challenge is to figure out what might be the most constructive way to report in the MSM the behaviour of sportspersons who behave badly and who may also be mentally unwell.
Further, I believe that Morrison, Johnson and Trump are not entirely mentally well either. As for reporting the behaviour of sportspeople, so for reporting the behaviour of politicians.
That’s true. But it’s more that he’s frequently dishonest and increasingly Trumpy in his antics. Plus all the unhinged stuff like “pedo guy” and “funding secured” and crashing his prototype Cybertruck into a stationary object before driving off without even noticing, etc., which preceded his fall into full blown Trumpism and near constant right-wing virtue signalling.
He’s positioned to really be a force for good in the world, but the moment his financial livelihood no longer depended on that aspect for survival Elon stopped pretending to care and started carrying on like a real douche. All Elon’s really interested in is Elon.
Is it possible to overturn Witness K’s conviction or alter the record to no conviction or to a full pardon?
Bellwether says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:16 pm
@Cronus
“Kyrgios is far from unique in his on-court antics. After his match with Tsisipas he received a fine, I believe Tsisipas received a larger fine. Tsisipas’s behaviour was more problematical and yet the media piled on Nick because it’s their default setting. I like him, he’s far more ‘real’ than the usual one-dimensional type you find on the tour. Maybe he’s too ‘public school’ for some people’s taste, tennis seems populated with slightly snotty private school types. Mind you, I was a big fan of McEnroe back in the day, Agassi too and he used to be considered a ratbag.”
I’m a big fan of calling-out bad behaviour regardless of who it is. Kyrgios isn’t a victim, the media report what they (and we spectators) see. He is the architect of his own behaviour, nobody forces him to act the way he does. We know this because most other players don’t behave in this manner. Win or lose, many dozens of other players go about their tournament with only their tennis being discussed.
More importantly, Kyrgios’ literal abuse of umpires, linespeople and ball boys/girls is so far out of line in terms of any basic work practice. This is not the behaviour of somebody inspiring themselves under pressure, it’s bullying and intimidation.
Cronus
The AFL has virtually eliminated on-ground umpire abuse.
Tennis could learn from that, IMO.
”
BiltongCinematicUsays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:08 pm
Most people that hate Musk do so because he is anti-Labor in the traditional sense.
i.e. the America problem. Make significant technological progress but cripple workers rights.
”
Biltong
It is PB bloggers who vote Green- Liberals ticket in House and especially in Senate and who don’t want Car Manufacturing in Australia are the people who don’t find any problems with Workers rights in USA.
‘At least’… 77 covid deaths.
6.4% of hospital beds occupied by covid patients.
Butler and the state and territory health ministers need to get cracking on a pr strategy to encourage mask wearing, hand washing and social distancing.
Cronus
Orrrr the behaviour of a life long ‘spoiled brat’ , allowed from an early age to act like one by those around him because he we was so ‘talented’ and ‘special’.
The odds are on another La nina next year. Too soon to say for sure. But more likely than not.
Given the background of increased ocean heat and increased sea surface temperatures, I assume that this will mean more one in one hundred year floods in 2022-23.
”
Victoriasays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:13 pm
Agreed. I maintain the dems will hold the house and increase the senate.
Joe Trippi
Stop with the doom and gloom for Dems this November. I’ve been saying since January there will not be a Red Wave. Pounding the table now on this week’s episode of “That Trippi Show” “We do the work, while they keep doing the crazy” https://t.co/4DKw2xJvYZ
”
I don’t agree with you and Joe Trippi. Nothing went right for Biden administration or Dems in Congress this year.
I will not be surprised if Biden is impeached next year on some flimsy grounds after Repugs capture Congress in mid-term elections.
I hope I am wrong but I am not optimistic.
There is nothing in the decisions of Attorney General Dreyfus to suggest that he believed Mr Collaery was innocent.
The only option for witness K is a pardon.
Boerwar says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 2:37 pm
Cronus
“The AFL has virtually eliminated on-ground umpire abuse.
Tennis could learn from that, IMO.”
Agreed.
A rugby league player called a ref a cheat two nights ago and has rightly been called before the judiciary to answer for it. If these physical sports can do this it shouldn’t be difficult for tennis. My suspicion is that tennis is playing both sides of the court demanding appropriate behaviour yet letting offenders who make large sums off with pitiful fines. Suspension from tournaments and increased suspension times is the only way to stop bad behaviour. There is a big difference between wanting characters and allowing abuse.
shellbell
Thank you.
I don’t have to watch the Wimbledon final because I was never a fan of Djoker and never liked Kyrgios.
After watching class act Ash Barty I can bring myself to watch Kyrgios antics.
Did anyone posted about Sam Stosur losing Wimbledon mixed doubles final this year?
Towards the end of the first half: North 52, Collingwood 32…
One can but hope…
Murphy should have been in the Netherlands or Denmark or Norway during World War 2. They all opted out of a great power competition and they all avoided picking a side.
Fat lot of good it did them.
Murphy? NFI, IMO.
‘It’s OK for regional actors to believe this is not 1937; to want to opt out of great power competition, to avoid picking a side.’
Apart from that, last time I heard, New Zealand is still in ANZUS.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/jul/09/going-its-own-way-in-a-messy-world-new-zealand-offers-an-alternate-parable-on-china
Yeah, I have to say I’m a lot more pessimistic about the US mid-terms than whoever “Joe Trippi” is. I don’t think things are quite as dire as some are predicting, but given the state of the economy and the fact that Biden is currently less popular than any other post-WW2 president – Trump included – has been at this point in their term, it ain’t looking great. If the Dems just hold the Senate and narrowly lose the House, I’d probably class that as a win on the circumstances.
”
Rakalisays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:15 pm
Regarding Rishi Sunak’s campaign ( ready4rishi.com) to be the next Tory PM.
Glenn Greenwald
@ggreenwald
·
10h
I’ve been saying for a long time – and I’m hardly alone – that the one thing Western democracies need more of are leaders who were Goldman Sachs investment bankers and hedge fund managers who married into a billionaire family. It’s time such people had a bigger voice.
”
GGreenwald is hiding his racism behind sarcasm.
Sunak will not win coming Tory leadership contest.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is pressuring Canada to break sanctions and return a large turbine to Russia.
Canada faces a tough choice this weekend between angering Germany and offending Ukraine as it ponders the fate of a large turbine that has been undergoing repairs in the workshops of Siemens Energy Canada.
The turbine normally drives gas through the Nord Stream One pipeline that runs from Russia to Germany. Last month, while undergoing scheduled maintenance at a Siemens Energy facility in Montreal, the turbine was caught up in sanctions the Trudeau government brought against its owner, Russian oil and gas giant Gazprom.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-ukraine-russia-turbine-1.6515344
Ven
GGreenwald is hiding his racism behind sarcasm.
———
Is he?
Against Goldman Sachs? Investment bankers? Hedge fund managers? or Rishi Sunak?
”
Bellwethersays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:16 pm
@Cronus
Kyrgios is far from unique in his on-court antics. After his match with Tsisipas he received a fine, I believe Tsisipas received a larger fine. Tsisipas’s behaviour was more problematical and yet the media piled on Nick because it’s their default setting. I like him, he’s far more ‘real’ than the usual one-dimensional type you find on the tour. Maybe he’s too ‘public school’ for some people’s taste, tennis seems populated with slightly snotty private school types. Mind you, I was a big fan of McEnroe back in the day, Agassi too and he used to be considered a ratbag.
”
Hated Mac back in the day although I was big fan of his talent. He did not have to do those antics. He got away because he was American.
Steffi Graf set Agassi straight after their marriage. He became elder statesman at the end of his career.
Mr Albanese had only words of respect today for Mr Abe, unlike some comments here yesterday before the blood had even dried.
https://twitter.com/AlboMP/status/1545628134489214979
johnson is doing the same thing as corbin did instaying on as care taker leader only replacement ifor starmer i can see is lica nandey or bernam but he is mayor uk labor needs to move away from blairs torey light style and [perhaps corbin was to extreme however whiyian mcnickol former party secretary was forrefusinng to investergate anti semitizm only punishment was losing his lords wips role yet corbin was exbelled
”
nathsays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:36 pm
Themunz says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:31 pm
WeWantPaulsays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:22 pm
Biographer Ashlee Vance tells the story of how Musk became involved with Tesla.
Anyone truely interested should read it.
_____
Musk haters will just prefer Cuds videos rather than an actual understanding.
”
I am not surprised that you are Musk lover because like you he wanted extreme ‘freedom of speech’rights without responsibilities on twitter.
The Reichskanzler has also been applying pressure on the Lithuanian Government to allow a breach of sanctions for Russia’s Kaliningrad.
So far the Lithuanians have told Scholz to get nicked.
There is doubt that Trudeau will follow their lead.
Rakali I’d be wary of Greenwald. He isn’t the progressive he paints himself as. Spends more time cozying up to the alt-right these days.
Similar to how Musk once described himself as a socialist.
Rex Douglas @ #316 Saturday, July 9th, 2022 – 3:08 pm
I agree with you 100% about this. Some comments referring back to the Second World War and the Yasukuni Shrine Nationalism issue as a reason to diss on the guy who had just copped 2 bullets to the back of the head!?! Whatever you may think about the guy and his country’s past behaviours, to do that was just totally inappropriate.
BiltongCinematicU says:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 3:16 pm
Rakali I’d be wary of Greenwald. He isn’t the progressive he paints himself as. Spends more time cozying up to the alt-right these days.
———-
I had never heard of him. I was just quoting him as i agreed with the dangers of the “investment banker” party.
A quote does not imply any support for an unknown (to me) poster.
Asha @ #496 Saturday, July 9th, 2022 – 2:57 pm
It’s all there for the taking if each Dem candidate is prepared to fully commit to womens rights. I’m confident many will – and be rewarded.
However, I’m in no doubt a new Dem Presidential candidate needs to be groomed before 2024. Joe is done.
”
Player Onesays:
Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 1:58 pm
nath @ #518 Saturday, July 9th, 2022 – 1:36 pm
Musk haters will just prefer Cuds videos rather than an actual understanding.
Well, that video is pretty damning. I had previously heard how heavily Musk had “embroidered” his origin story, but there were a lot of details that I was unaware of.
Whoever compared him to Trump earlier nailed it. Musk is so heavily invested in his own story that you wonder if he has actually come to believe it. Which may explain why he seems to be able to make others do so. Even when he admits that he lied, he clearly thinks that he was perfectly justified in doing so.
”
P1
Nath thinks people have a right to lie their ‘arse off’ under ‘freedom of speech’ right.
So maybe nath is under the impression that Musk is just using his right.
Do you know that Musk wanted people should be able to post anything on Twitter on the basis of freedom of expression.