The Australian reports on an unusually timed release from Newspoll, although the field work period from the poll of Tuesday to Friday is only slightly different from the usual Wednesday to Saturday. The poll finds no change since last week on two-party preferred, with Labor retaining a lead of 54-46 from primary votes of Labor 38% (down one), Coalition 35% (steady), Greens 11% (steady), One Nation 6% (up one) and United Australia Party 3% (down one). Scott Morrison is up a point on approval to 42% and down two on disapproval to 53%, while Anthony Albanese is down three to 38% and up two to 49%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is in from 44-42 to 43-42. The sample for the poll was 1532.
I stand corrected
Never watched “Survivor”. The bits of it I’ve seen in ad breaks seems consist of a bunch of people dressed for the beach badmouthing unseen others, presumably other contestants.
BeaglieBoy says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 8:53 pm
I stand corrected
中华人民共和国
ขอบคุณครับ
yeah thats the show….PB on the Beach
Mr Speaker, I demand that the member for Snowball retracts that outragous slur on the Honourable member for Cook.
Speaker: Oh piss off !!
Many thanks Zoomster. Very similar scene to when we committed my father in law’s ashes to a stream in the mountains on what had been the old family property. Mountains, rain and a running stream – symbols for all the emotions involved
Steve777 @ #998 Saturday, May 14th, 2022 – 6:50 pm
Wholeheartedly agree. A Lite over a LRP any day.
“No Hyphens in my name.”
***
Upnorth: Salamat po
Coalition housing policy this late….I’m predicting a Hail Mary.
Something like…tax deduction for mortgage payments (ie negative gearing) for primary residences, if you agree to pay capital gains on sale.
Or forming the Department of Residential Investment Properties Speculators (DRIPS)
Or something equally ill thought through, now they know they won’t have to implement it. So can go ‘loose unit’ to harvest a few votes to save the furniture
Player One says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 6:49 pm
Goll @ #849 Saturday, May 14th, 2022 – 6:48 pm
And Mr Keating would look the part in London.
I reckon he would prefer Paris.
I’d like to be appointed as Ambassador-at-Large to the European Union. I would have an excellent time visiting the landmarks, the museums and galleries, the concert halls and the various shrines, memorials and citadels. I would tell everyone how much they are admired by their friends in Australia and invite them to come and play pétanque.
Firefox says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 9:01 pm
“No Hyphens in my name.”
中华人民共和国
Fire-Fox you sly old dog. The jungle juice up here is infused with Ganja. Perfectly legal in Thailand as long as it’s not smoked. I am thinking of you.
Bludging says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 9:03 pm
I’d like to be appointed as Ambassador-at-Large to the European Union.
___________
Haven’t they suffered enough?
Grimace says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 9:00 pm
Steve777 @ #998 Saturday, May 14th, 2022 – 6:50 pm
Bludging @8:34. ”This is not true. Labor would prefer a Lite to a Lying Reactionary every time.”
It is true that David Hildebrand is urging that strategy, but no Labor supporter who thought it through would accept it.
Wholeheartedly agree. A Lite over a LRP any day.
Good to see you Grim. Are we winning?
hla @ Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 8:20 pm
The Rockford sounds lovely. Hopefully there will be some Fonseca remaining on your return. We have opted for St Hallett sparkling shiraz and an 1983 Gould Campbell in the hope of it being an appropriate vintage 😉
Preview of the Libs’ launch:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UTLSiL2ZZ1s
Thankyou Zoomster. At times like the election Lizzie is more missed than ever.
Drongo – best wishes to your new family member. Have no fears of Friday 13th, my darling grand-niece is a Friday 13 girl and it hasn’t bothered her for a moment…….. (fingers crossed of course)
As above
https://imgur.com/a/XnrBUPA
Upnorth:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 8:41 pm
Tingle’s grandparents used to live next door to my parents in Mangerton. I can’t remember seeing Laura but her father John, a former NSW pollie, often visited. He’s 80 & lives in my old stomping ground Edgecliff.
When this mob gets booted I hope ABC journos feel less fearful about doing their job in accordance with the MEAA Journalist Code of Ethics. And given Tingle’s strident critique of Morrison on the eve of the election, maybe she’s privy to inside information pointing to its outcome?
BeaglieBoy says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 9:02 pm
Upnorth: Salamat po
中华人民共和国
Salamat Pagi
Murph has been saying its close all along, she reckoned at the start of the campaign “Scomoe the great” was the favourite as he was an awesome machine who could campaign better than anybody like ever. I reckon he is ok at staged events but as the debate showed a pretty overrated communicator when actually dealing with real situations. I think The murpharoo is wrong ALP is way out in front at this stage. Every sign shows that the Libs look desperate, is Murph just trying to keep interest in the race or is she Clueless?
zoomster
Thanks for telling us about lizzie’s sendoff – beautiful setting.
He family probably think we are a bunch of weirdos (possibly correctly!) but she is missed by everyone here.
Upnorth:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 8:41 pm
Tingle’s grandparents used to live next door to my parents in Mangerton. I can’t remember seeing Laura but her father John, a former NSW pollie, often visited. He’s 80 & lives in my old stomping ground Edgecliff.
When this mob gets booted I hope ABC journos feel less fearful about doing their job in accordance with the MEAA Journalist Code of Ethics. And given Tingle’s strident critique of Morrison on the eve of the election, maybe she’s privy to inside information pointing to its outcome?
‘Something like…tax deduction for mortgage payments (ie negative gearing) for primary residences, if you agree to pay capital gains on sale.’
Are they that desperate to destroy their economic credibility in a forlorn hope?
I’d go for loan guarantees mixed with deposit assistance. Maybe a government deposit loan scheme that you don’t need to pay back until a house is sold with a capital gain, combined with a government loan guarantee of say 10% of the capital value of a house. Maybe access to super as well.
Q: tax deduction for mortgage payments
Oh God no- imagine the property market overheating even more, and the hit it would make in the budget.
Accessing super again just throws more capital into housing, that super now invests in job creating business.
So Morrison will probably do it- there has been a lot of right-wing crazies pushing for it.
Mavis says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 9:08 pm
Upnorth:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 8:41 pm
Tingle’s grandparents used to live next door to my parents in Mangerton. I can’t remember seeing Laura but her father John, a former NSW pollie, often visited. He’s 80 & lives in my old stomping ground Edgecliff.
When this mob gets booted I hope ABC journos feel less fearful about doing their job in accordance with the MEAA Journalist Code of Ethics. And given Tingle’s strident critique of Morrison on the eve of the election, maybe she’s privy to inside information pointing to its outcome?
中华人民共和国
As a former member of the PKIU amen. She is a “good stick” as we would say Upnorth
I think people need to realise that the media is going to say it’s close because it’s less embarrassing to be wrong about that than it is to be wrong in calling Labor clear favorites. Same goes for bookies, pollsters and psephologists…
”And given Tingle’s strident critique of Morrison on the eve of the election, maybe she’s privy to inside information pointing to its outcome?”
Unless she has powers of clairvoyance or access to a time machine that would seem unlikely. Maybe she’s just refusing to be cowed.
Belated thanks, zoomster
Maybe Morrison will just go the whole hog and give everyone in marginal electorates a free house (except people on unemployment or disability benefits).
Zoomster
That’s a wonderful thing you did today for Zoe/Lizzie 🙂
Steve777
Its bound to benefit the rich theres no doubt about that.
[‘The vast majority of independent candidates vying for a lower house seat have ruled out striking a formal deal with Prime Minister Scott Morrison or Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese, increasing the chances of political instability if there is a hung Parliament.
Two independents – Mayo MP Rebekha Sharkie and Kooyong candidate Dr Monique Ryan — said they wanted a formal written agreement, while Nicholls candidate Rob Priestly left the door open to striking an agreement with either leader.
Ryan said: “In 2019, Prime Minister Scott Morrison made a verbal agreement to the people of Australia to introduce a Commonwealth anti-corruption commission. He did not deliver. In return for my agreement to grant confidence and supply, I will want a formal agreement with deadlines for delivery on commitments.”
Sharkie said: “In the highly unlikely scenario of a hung parliament, I would expect firm, written commitments on a range of issues with clear timelines for delivery.”
In another sign the prime minister is damaging the Coalition’s chances of victory, Warringah MP Zali Steggall said she would have “difficulty trusting any undertakings” from a Morrison-led minority government.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/majority-of-independent-mps-and-candidates-rule-out-formal-deals-with-morrison-and-albanese-to-form-government-20220513-p5al36.html
I very much doubt there will be a hung parliament but in the event there is, it stands to reason that the independents will be more amenable to an Albanese government.
Do the Coalition want to bankrupt the country!?! No more tax coming in because everyone with a mortgage puts all their income into paying off their mortgage to the level of what they would be paying to the government in tax instead!?!
Z. Thank you for the apposite representation of Lizzie’s departure. It sounds a bit Ian Anderson Ian Anderson – which may have been appropriate…
A first: Scientists grow plants in soil from the Moon
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/05/220512121840.htm
“I am thinking of you.”
***
We – the hyphenated – demand a royal commission into the circumstances leading to the complete lack of hyphens in the Federal Parliamentary Labor Party! This is outrageous!!
Thanks so much Zoomster. Lizzie would’ve been quite surprised I suspect by the outpouring of grief for her passing.
You have allowed us to participate and I will always remember that. You are a gem.
[‘Unless she has powers of clairvoyance or access to a time machine that would seem unlikely. Maybe she’s just refusing to be cowed.’]
Leading journos are privy to all manner of information, from a wide variety of sources – such as internal polling, which is arguably more accurate than published polls.
This is beautiful.
https://www.reddit.com/r/PoliticsDownUnder/comments/upe95c/rudd_wont_take_any_shit_from_murdoch_media/
Andrew_Earlwood @ #876 Saturday, May 14th, 2022 – 7:16 pm
Why do you keep asking? I’m going to vote for Trog as a write-in candidate … as you suggested. And since Trog is obviously a shoo-in, any preferences after that hardly matter, do they?
Firefox says:
Saturday, May 14, 2022 at 9:27 pm
“I am thinking of you.”
***
We – the hyphenated – demand a royal commission into the circumstances leading to the complete lack of hyphens in the Federal Parliamentary Labor Party! This is outrageous!!
中华人民共和国
Commissioner Fire-Fox with Mavis as lead Council. I have been grilled by a Commission of Inquiry before. I must say not a pleasant experience.
Fuck the Tories.
DB Cooper – haven’t had a chance to click the link and take my chances yet, but if it doesn’t have Benny Hill music I’ll be disappointed.
Newspoll has the 3rd-voice PV at 27%. This compares with 25.2% in 2019, so Newspoll probably have it about right this time, though in view of the disintegration of the Reactionary plurality, perhaps the 3rd voice vote will be more like 3/10 this time.
This is a mark of the change in Australian politics since the early 1990s. Brand disruption has taken hold in politics in the same way as it’s occurred (or is developing) in so many other theatres. Segmentation, pop-up, gig-politics, virtual parties….these are the growing modes of the current decade.
Voters have been disaffiliating from the forces that provided political continuity and certainty through most of the 20th century. This mirrors the atomisation of social, cultural and economic life.
Upnorth at 9.32
Commissar Fire-Fox…
Fixed it for you.
Poll in the Sunday Times tomorrow apparently shows Labor “on track to pick up two crucial electorates”, presumably in Perth.
https://t.co/QpQNBakUFE
The Coalition launch being so late has ended up probably being a tactical blunder with an outside chance of tactical masterstroke.
Probably a blunder because by now any major new promise ought to be seen as the desperate bribe it probably will be.
Outside chance that it ends up brilliant because they go into it knowing they need to turn the pork button up until it breaks off, instead of treating it as a formality of an event if done 3 weeks ago.
Zoom
I only just caught up with your attending Zoe’s memorial today and passing on messages on behalf of bludgers. What a wonderful action you did for her and us. Thank you for your time in the rain 🙂 Zoe was a kind soul whom we all remember fondly. A kind deed was the best way to recognise her life.
Hey bludgers. Do you reckon that this could happen in the News(exit)poll?
-Labor’s PV could go to 39-40%
-Albo’s net satisfaction rating increases to -8
-Albo for the first time since 2020 overtakes Scott in the preferred PM
– Labor’s TPP vote goes up to 54.5%-55%