Federal election minus 35 days

The campaign’s first leaders debate locked in, plus various electorate-level brush fires and candidate announcements.

As the campaign enters a lull over the Easter extended weekend, there is at least the following to report:

• The first leaders’ debate of the campaign will be held on Wednesday, to be hosted in Brisbane by Kieran Gilbert of Sky News and with the leaders to face questions from 100 undecided voters.

Stephen Lunn of The Australian reports the Australian Electoral Commission will be operating 550 pre-poll booths at this election, up from 515 in 2019. The period for pre-poll voting has been reduced since the last election from three weeks to two.

• Liberal Ben Small has had to resign from his Western Australian Senate seat after becoming aware he was a dual citizen of New Zealand, where his father was born, which somehow escaped the notice of all concerned when he filled Mathias Cormann’s vacancy in November 2020. His term was shortly to expire in any case, and he will return if elected from third on the party’s Senate ticket at the election.

Paul Starick of The Advertiser reports that Liz Habermann, who came close to winning the regional seat of Flinders from the Liberals at last month’s South Australian state election, will shortly announce her candidacy for the corresponding federal seat of Grey, held for the Liberals by Rowan Ramsey.

The Age reports Zoe Daniel, the former ABC journalist challenging Liberal MP Tim Wilson as an independent in Goldstein, has apologised over an article she wrote in 2017 in which she said then US President Donald Trump was “satisfying his wealthy Jewish donors” when he declared Jerusalem to be the capital of Israel. The electorate’s 6.8% Jewish population as of the 2016 census was the third highest in the country, behind Wentworth and neighbouring Macnamara.

• A spokesperson for the Law Society of New South Wales told the Daily Telegraph that Sarah Richards, the Liberal candidate for the marginal Labor seat of Macquarie in outer Sydney, may have broken the law in describing herself as a qualified solicitor on her LinkedIn profile. Richards holds a law degree, but ceased to be a practising solicitor in 2007.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,259 thoughts on “Federal election minus 35 days”

  1. Case in point is the relationship between Alan Jones and Plibersek.

    Her numerous appearances on his Sky show were completely nauseating.

    It was as if her dear friend wasn’t the person who helped orchestrate the Cronulla riots and who has denounced Labor at almost every turn for decades.

  2. Our current private health system is a continuation of what we’ve always had, pre-Medicare and since. Howard boosted it.

  3. nath @ #1145 Sunday, April 17th, 2022 – 4:18 pm

    Labor shouldn’t legitimize Sky News at any point. It is a propaganda outfit pure and simple.

    Sky have Labor people on there as punching bags and to be set up as a Fool. For some reason there are those that will still go on.

    For me, the message will be that no matter how often Sky put shit on Labor, they will always turn up to eat it.

    As long as there are some people watching who you might get to change their vote it’s worth it. There won’t be any changing in the other direction so it’s a Win/Null proposition.

  4. ltep @ #1149 Sunday, April 17th, 2022 – 4:23 pm

    I’d say that most likely Mr Morrison is tired, as anyone would be that was leading a campaign.

    Does the leader always know how the tracking polls are going? I seem to recall mention that Keating wasn’t given the tracking polls in the 96 campaign.

    Morrison has always been totally poll-driven. He’d know.

  5. nath @ #1151 Sunday, April 17th, 2022 – 4:23 pm

    Case in point is the relationship between Alan Jones and Plibersek.

    Her numerous appearances on his Sky show were completely nauseating.

    It was as if her dear friend wasn’t the person who helped orchestrate the Cronulla riots and who has denounced Labor at almost every turn for decades.

    I reckon quite a lot of women sitting in the room while their husband watches Alan Jones might think that Tanya is a nice lady and have a sneaky vote for Labor in the privacy of the polling booth.

  6. Oh. Don’t worry. Her account has been hacked

    “But some rushed to the defence of Ms Ibrahim, questioning whether her account was hacked. “Think you’ll find her account’s been hacked. Notice how recent her lists are and how prolific they’re added to vs how prolific she’s tweeted in the past,” one man tweeted.”

    Might have been SfM that tweeted – hey.

  7. I can imagine an advisor to Paul Keating telling him to do Sky.

    “PM. We might get 5 extra votes in Eden Monaro”

    Keating: “Go on Sky? What am I a fucking punk?”

  8. “But some rushed to the defence of Ms Ibrahim, questioning whether her account was hacked. “Think you’ll find her account’s been hacked. Notice how recent her lists are and how prolific they’re added to vs how prolific she’s tweeted in the past,” one man tweeted.

    Also the same bloke claims he saw the Easter Bunny out and about early this morning.

  9. ALP starting to have a go at Anne Ruston. Via the Guardian Blog

    Senator Nita Green
    @nitagreenqld
    Anne Ruston voted against a Senate inquiry into GP shortages in our country.

    Labor established the inquiry because we know it’s never been harder to see a doctor.

    If Ruston is Health Minister after the election nothing will change.

    We need a Labor Government.

  10. ajm says:
    Sunday, April 17, 2022

    I reckon quite a lot of women sitting in the room while their husband watches Alan Jones might think that Tanya is a nice lady and have a sneaky vote for Labor in the privacy of the polling booth.
    ___________
    I reckon that’s the kind of thinking that has taken hold of Labor since Keating. With the obvious results.

    Andrews won’t go on Mitchell, and Mitchel’s reasonably sane.

    Meanwhile his federal colleagues line up for the humiliation fetish of being on Sky.

  11. Much as I think Sky News and Sky After Dark belong in the toilet, Albo would be labelled a coward if he didn’t front up to that debate. He’s actually got nothing to lose, the format no doubt will suit Morrison down to the ground and Kieren Gilbert won’t be that impartial a moderator, so if Albo is perceived to have scored a win by their 100 undecided voters or supposedly undecided voters, that will help a lot.
    Then again if most of those 100 voters are really LNP hacks and Albo gets a hard time, while Morrison gets soft cuddly questions, you’ll know it was a setup.

  12. Emma
    @emma__jayne14
    Given the media’s recent blasting of Anthony Albanese’s preparedness, I’m waiting for the front page onslaught over Scott Morrison’s cognition, given he just bleated “Mr Speaker” 3 times at a presser.

  13. I think the biggest prop to the private hospitals, but one that is not mentioned much, was the effective transfer of Repat Hospital Services to the private in 1992. There was still a considerable WWII population and the private hospitals were filled by Vets for the next 15 years,

    At the same time the Repat hospitals in NSW and Vic were sold to the state hospitals for a large “negative” price. In the end Faulkner sold the Repat hospitals in Qld and WA to Ramsey and they were a big part of his resurgence.

  14. I admit to being shocked by this number – 2,000 – the enormity of the problem starting to materially manifest, to my closeted comfort. They look like containers, essentially, with outside facilities, like toilets, to be provided. Mini-villages they are calling them. Much needed. The question is, for how long? You have to ask, is there a master plan to permanently rehouse these people, on safe ground.

    Sportsgrounds, showgrounds and crown land will be transformed into “mini-villages” to accommodate thousands of Northern Rivers residents left homeless after the devastating floods.

    The NSW government will send up to 2,000 modular homes to communities across the Tweed, Byron, Ballina, Richmond Valley and Lismore local government areas.

    The temporary homes, which will cost a total of $350 million, will be supplemented by supporting infrastructure and amenities like toilets.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-17/nsw-government-funds-housing-pods-floods-affected-communities/100995910

  15. Evan Parsons says:
    Sunday, April 17, 2022 at 4:37 pm

    Much as I think Sky News and Sky After Dark belong in the toilet, Albo would be labelled a coward if he didn’t front up to that debate.
    ___________
    Just like Marty McFly, Albo shouldn’t let being called ‘chicken’ get to him.

  16. ItzaDream ,
    It will be a massive failure of policy if Lismore is allowed to be rebuilt.
    They need to move that town.

    What’s described in that article sounds like a Internally Displaced Persons camp you’d see after some conflict in the 3rd world. People usually just end up there for a while.

  17. ItzaDream says:
    Sunday, April 17, 2022 at 4:45 pm

    Go on Sky. Show no fear. Shine light on the darkness.
    ___________
    But I assume you think Daniel Andrews boycotting Neil Mitchell is a wise and considered decision?

  18. Looking forward to Probyn talking about the disaster for the PM for a good week…

    “He doesn’t even know where he is!”

    *serious expression*

    “He needs to get ahead of this”

    And all the other journos will solemnly nod their heads.

  19. Another Liberal MP follows Tudge.

    “Rachelle Miller, who accused Alan Tudge of bullying during relationship, makes historical claim against another Liberal MP”

    “The former government staffer who accused senior Liberal MP Alan Tudge of abusing her while in a consensual relationship, has alleged another Liberal politician sexually harassed her more than a decade ago. “

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-17/rachelle-miller-allegations-historical-claim-other-liberal-mp/100996320

  20. Of course if Albo’s big enough to attend a Sky News debate, Scott Morrison should agree to appear on Q&A during this election campaign for a grilling by voters, but we know he won’t.
    Albo should probably avoid that program too, its ratings are down the toilet, it’s pretty irrelevant now, not the powerhouse it was back in 2019.

  21. south @ #1173 Sunday, April 17th, 2022 – 4:46 pm

    ItzaDream ,
    It will be a massive failure of policy if Lismore is allowed to be rebuilt.
    They need to move that town.

    What’s described in that article sounds like a Internally Displaced Persons camp you’d see after some conflict in the 3rd world. People usually just end up there for a while.

    Exactly my thinking. Or sort of upmarket refugee camp. I understand it being on ovals and the like, but it also takes them out of general use.

  22. The rules of media management are pretty clear when it comes to politics.

    Rule 1: Do a deal with the proprietors – see Whitlam 1972, Hawke 1983, Rudd 2007

    If Rule 1 not possible then:

    Rule 2: Support the journos and programs that support you or at least give you a favourable hearing.

    Rule 3: Avoid those journos and programs that you know will give you a rodgering.

    See for instance how ScoMo avoids 730 like the plague. The same applies to SkyNews for Labor. Passing strange that Labor fell for it – who are they going to have on the panel with Keiran Gilbert – Rita Panahi and Rowan Dean ?

  23. Lars Von Trier says:
    Sunday, April 17, 2022 at 4:55 pm

    The same applies to SkyNews for Labor. Passing strange that Labor fell for it – who are they going to have on the panel with Keiran Gilbert – Rita Panahi and Rowan Dean ?
    _______
    Paul Murray will be loitering around the crowd I’m sure.

    Of course, if it is a bit of a set up, as someone suggested it might be, well there’s always 2025.

  24. They should move the Queensland border south to take in Lismore.

    Queensland Emergency Services are much more adept at dealing with Natural Disasters. Indeed the Palaszczuk Government (in partnership with Feds after much gnashing of teeth) is spending over $700m in South East Queensland to move or retrofit houses that flooded recently. The whole town of Grenville was moved after the floods a decade ago.

    Once the border is moved South the “perfidious” daylight saving can be lifted from the good folk of the Northern Rivers and they will enjoy State of Origin much more.

  25. D Day Minus 34

    Bluey notes that the Morrison’s Tudge Sludge is still oozing around. Bluey wants to know who the mystery Liberal MP is who is helping milk the taxpayer for a six figure sum + legal costs. NOT GOING TO GO AWAY.

    Various religionists are piling on. First we have Morrison’s wide-eyed captain’s pick religionist Deves getting stuck her religious victims of choice. Deves even managed to link her crusade to the Holocaust. One assumes the Jewish Defence League is giving Deves a pizzling over that. The NSW Treasurer has called for Morrison to sack Deves. The Foreign Minister refused to endorse a Liberal candidate.

    Another religious group signed a letter. Wants climate action. Hillsong seems to have played itself out of the game for the nonce. Yet another religious lot are pissed off cos Morrison did not deliver their desire to discriminate legally. Some Pentecostals are going to campaign against five Liberals who made them cross about not freeing up their ability to discriminate cos Jesus told them to. Another lot have written to the parties wanting to know their stand on various religious issues. Bluey reckons that the Trans stuff will give Morrison a leg up in the rural and regional bloke vote but that all the rest gives the Teals a small leg up. Bluey notes that someone political grandstanded a look-at-moi on the issue but that nobody looked. Curious? Mate, Google it.

    Bluey notes the traditional country stench around the $438 million Urannah Dam. Nice little earner for the contractors. Nice little $150,000 donation for the Queensland branch of the hyuk hyuks, plus a nice little taxpayer subsidy for the coal industry and the irrigation industry. Someone actually cobbled together a business case for this one. Failed it, apparently. Bluey reckons it has White Elephant written all over it. Losers? Taxpayers, anyone who is getting hammered by climate change, and of course biodiversity. Speaking of the latter, Morrison casually kicked in couple of hundred million of the taxpayers into the already monstrously subsidised Tasmanian forestry sector. Two seats worth a hundred million each? Wowie Zowie.

    The shit sheet of Liberal dirty election tricks grows by the minute. Before, they were doing colour me Teal, and ‘Who, me, a Liberal?’ and now they are all doing Malinauskus. Bluey is enjoying the corflute wars because they make work for idle hands and because corflutes make zip difference.

    Bluey has just about given up on the MSM. He reckons it has been bought by rich folks who want to stay rich and who buy a bunch of shameless hacks. Ten years of Coalition white-anting of the ABC is paying dividends with one of their hack incompetently and accidentally spilling the beans on her Lobotomized Labor shit/hit list. Will she get the royal order? Pig’s arse she will.

    Morrison’s continued flood payout bastardy is not helping the campaign in the north-eastern corner of NSW.

    Morrison’s bonus to Aged Care Industry workers is still chaotic.

    Marles and Bowen preforming well on 7.30 and on Q&A. Chalmers and Albanese did a good presser in Cairns yesterday.

    Meanwhile the Coalition shambles is in full swing. Vivek Singha (another Morrison captain’s pick!) insulted Modi, Katherine Deves outed herself as a transphobic Holocaust battler, Ben Small – sacked for being a dual years after the event, Sarah Richards – under investigation for possibly illegally lying about her occupation and Glenn Doyle who went feral with a weird comment about sitting on the fence with respect to women and education. The Darwin Coalition shower have nearly all jumped ship and there is an open NSW Liberal revolt against Morrison. Chaos central.

    The UAP launch was mainly newsworthy cos Palmer fell on his head while One Nation ejected feral candidate Rebecca Loyd for disobedience.

    Bluey continues to enjoy the fact that not a single Teal has costed and budgeted a single policy. Bluey reckons that humans are particularly dangerous when they promise that this time it will be different: Blue Sky political vapourware, folks. When messiahs abound, suckers beware.

    MR SPEAKER MR SPEAKER MR SPEAKER… those on my left… seriously weird stuff from Morrison!

    Bluey was not particularly captured by much in what is a lacklustre campaign. Bluey decided that if Morrison doesn’t know he is not in parliament he should be locked up, his candidates are a shambles, the party organisations in the NT and NSW are a shambles then Morrison should get a minus score. But rich people own the MSM so none of the above actually counts. So Bluey reckons Morrison is worth zero over the last three days.

    Bluey thought that Labor picked up its game at the margins but still not nearly good enough.

    Combined score or Friday, Saturday and Sunday Morrison 0, Albanese 0, Google Boy 0.
    Cumulative score Morrison 2, Albanese 2, Bandt 0, Joyce .5 (for the dam special), Palmer 0, Hanson 0, assorted Teals 0.

  26. Fell for it? Trap?

    The hell? People need to get a grip.

    A given his love of a fight – yes, I ABSOLUTELY believe Keating would go on Sky.

  27. Hmm…Lars/Edwina and Nath once again singing from the same hymn sheet in advising Albanese to avoid the Sky debate.

    I reckon an easy way to work out Labor election strategy is to monitor pollbludger and do the opposite to what these two recommend 😉

  28. Of course Albo and Labor aren’t going after the SkyNoos crowd: they are hoping that Albo does well being on the same stage with ScoMo and that gets reported widely. Of course, that’s high risk – because Albo seems to be struggling and nervous at the moment.

    Plus, one doesn’t know who are going to be in the crowd of 100 ‘undecided’ voters. Morons, obviously. But will they be impartial morons? Or LNP potted plants?

    Kieran Gilbert is a known quantity. Albo can expect gotchas: he’d better be prepared. I suggest a leaf out of Bandt’s play book. But he better be on top of the substance of his stuff. He’d better be prepared to rip ScoMo a new one on integrity and tie that to economic mismanagement. He better be ready to defend the endless attacks on economic management, and alleged weathervane politics, from ScoMo, Gilbert and any plants in the audience. Shorten was good at this ‘town hall’ stuff. I haven’t seen the evidence that Albo is.

  29. As for Morrison not knowing where he was on two occasions now, orientation to place is suspect. Earlier we had “It is a $2.1 trillion economy. That’s right. Twelve zeros.” Time for a mini-mental status exam perhaps?

    A good question for the recall section is to ask who the prime minister is 🙂

  30. Bluey…
    West newspapers have Morrison 5 to Albanese 1….Surely you do not think you are smarter than a State capital daily……? Mr Speaker….What do you think?

  31. jt1983 says:

    A given his love of a fight – yes, I ABSOLUTELY believe Keating would go on Sky.
    _______
    Keating said he wouldn’t be ‘caught dead’ on Q&A. I can’t imagine what he’d say about appearing on Paul Murray or Andrew Bolt.

  32. “ Keating said he wouldn’t be ‘caught dead’ on Q&A. I can’t imagine what he’d say about appearing on Paul Murray or Andrew Bolt.”

    He did go onto 60 Minutes specifically to tear Richard Carlton a new one. He also called out Hewson for an impromptu mid week debate on A Current Affair.

    As if Keating would be scared of Gilbert and ScoMo in this format.

  33. “It is a $2.1 trillion economy. That’s right. Twelve zeros.” Time for a mini-mental status exam perhaps?”

    Well what’s a factor of 10 among friends – national economies, land purchases…

  34. In regards the word “economy”

    Everything has a cost

    Everything has a benefit

    So all advice tendered has an economic foundation

    What will it cost and what will it deliver

    Even within households I would suggest

  35. Laurie Oakes on Keating. Doesn’t sound like someone who would go on SKY:

    In a 2004 interview, Oakes said: “My personal politics are pretty much in the middle, I would think. I’ve voted both ways at various times. I don’t know if perceptions about my politics influence whether people will be interviewed.

    Paul

    Keating used to boycott the program every now and again; not because he thought I was a Liberal but because he thought I wouldn’t toe the line. Paul believed in rewards and punishment.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laurie_Oakes

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