Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

Anthony Albanese draws level on preferred prime minister as Labor maintains its commanding lead on voting intention.

As reported in The Australian, the latest fortnightly Newspoll records no change for either major party on voting intention, with Labor retaining a lead of 55-45 on two-party preferred and 41% to 35% on the primary vote. For the minor parties, the Greens are down a point to 8%, One Nation is steady on 3% and the United Australia Party is down one to 3%, with all others up two to 10%. Anthony Albanese has drawn level with Scott Morrison on preferred prime minister for the first time since Morrison’s post-bushfires nadir in February 2020 at 42-42, after Morrison led 42-40 last time. Morrison’s approval rating is down two to 41% with disapproval steady at 55%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady at 44% and down one to 42%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1520.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,117 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

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  1. I was talking about commentary NOT from Mark Reilly, a well-known *****.

    Most of what I read/saw was highlighting it was “personal”, “a low blow”, “petty”.

  2. sprocket_ says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 8:48 pm
    I’m not presenting myself as something I’m not…

    He is 100% correct in his sincerity.. he acts like an idiot buffoon & he is one.

  3. Cronus @ #1027 Tuesday, March 15th, 2022 – 8:13 pm

    He must have a very different version of the bible.

    Do you mean this one:
    Deuteronomy 20: 16-17
    “16 But in the cities of these peoples that the Lord your God is giving you for an inheritance, you shall save alive nothing that breathes, 17 but you shall devote them to complete destruction, the Hittites and the Amorites, the Canaanites and the Perizzites, the Hivites and the Jebusites, as the Lord your God has commanded.

    The completely unambiguous word of god! A real sweety, that one. I can see why it appeals to Scomo.

  4. C@t at 8.57pm

    Mark Riley had to go back to 1998 because he’s 1) desperate; and 2) clearly a fully paid-up member of the widespread media anti-Labor bias conspiracy.

    Remember, the ‘factual’ basis for the ‘red-Albo’ slur is from three or four decades ago.

    Pathetic, disgusting and corrupt.

  5. Rewi:

    I meant milliseconds, and I think (I cannot stress the word ‘think’ in this enough) that it’s something like 487 milliseconds from each second.

    A microsecond (μs) is a millionth of a second, and a millisecond (ms) is a thousandth of a second. So 487 milliseconds is almost half a second – a considerable change to say the least.

    Knocking off 487μs from each second would gain us 17 hours over 1461 days. To gain three days you’d need to shrink each second by more like 2053μs, or just over 2ms.

    All clocks made for “old time” would be drastically slow, losing more than 7 “new time” minutes every day. But far worse than that, solar time would drift by the same amount, such that after 244 days local solar noon would be at midnight on the clock.

  6. Yabba, try Deuteronomy 25:11-12…

    11 If men get into a fight with one another, and the wife of one intervenes to rescue her husband from the grip of his opponent by reaching out and seizing his genitals, 12 you shall cut off her hand; show no pity.

  7. Snappy Tom:

    11 If men get into a fight with one another, and the wife of one intervenes to rescue her husband from the grip of his opponent by reaching out and seizing his genitals, 12 you shall cut off her hand; show no pity.

    This seems oddly specific. Almost like Mr Deuteronomy himself might have suffered a squirrel-gripping at the hands of some forthright young lady during a neighbourly quarrel.

  8. Anyway, to think that people would change their view of someone who has been in front of them in politics for decades on the say so of a desperate and flailing Prime Minister is to take them for fools.

  9. caf

    So what you’re saying is we need to change the speed of the Earth’s orbit. No probs.

    Here’s my next scheme: abolish Tuesdays.

  10. Leviticus 15:19-23

    19 “Whenever a woman has her menstrual period, she will be ceremonially unclean for seven days. Anyone who touches her during that time will be unclean until evening.
    20 Anything on which the woman lies or sits during the time of her period will be unclean.
    21 If any of you touch her bed, you must wash your clothes and bathe yourself in water, and you will remain unclean until evening.
    22 If you touch any object she has sat on, you must wash your clothes and bathe yourself in water, and you will remain unclean until evening.
    23 This includes her bed or any other object she has sat on; you will be unclean until evening if you touch it.

    Think of all the “unclean” seats on trains and buses and in waiting rooms. I can’t see how a man following the scriptures could ever sit down in the modern world.

    It reminds me of a story from A.J.Jacobs (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Year_of_Living_Biblically). During the year he was following all the biblical rules, he did something to piss off his wife. She was menstruating at the time, so she went to each of the chairs in the house and sat on them.

  11. Americans are apparently panic-buying potassium iodide to counter radioactive sickness:

    [‘As Russia’s assault in Ukraine intensifies, fear of radioactive fallout from accidental or intentional attacks on Ukraine’s nuclear plants, or from the use of a nuclear bomb, has triggered surging demand for potassium iodide pills.

    In such an event, there’s the frightening risk of large amounts of radioactive iodine (or radioiodine) being released into the atmosphere which can be breathed into lungs as well as contaminate water, soil, plants and animals, according to the Centers for Disease Control…

    ….

    Large manufacturers of potassium iodide approved for sale in the United States have seen their inventories rapidly depleted in recent weeks, coinciding with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

    As supplies in the market dry up, price gouging has set in. On eBay (EBAY), four boxes of Thyrosafe potassium iodide tablets were listed for $132.50 on Monday. Another listing for a box of IOSAT 130 mg pills was selling for $89.95 each…

    Anbex, Inc., based in New York, is a leading supplier and produces 65 mg and 130 mg IOSAT potassium iodide tablets. Its website currently shows a message saying, “We are currently out of stock of IOSAT potassium iodide 130mg and 65mg tablets…”.

    https://edition.cnn.com/2022/03/14/business/potassium-iodide-pills-demand-surge/index.html

    I just went on eBay to check it out & could buy 60 x 65mg tabs for $19.99. I wonder if Clive has ordered in bulk yet? It would probably work out as well as his purchase of 1m doses of the hydroxychloroquine.

  12. Time zone chat has sucked me in. Whilst living in Broken Hill in the early 90s, before daylight saving was aligned in the eastern states, Broken Hill had its own time zone (globally) for around a month as it operates on SA time but daylight saving was determined by NSW.

  13. Camelot have lost the licence to run the UK National Lottery …

    Phantom Power
    @PhantomPower14
    The lucrative National Lottery – a stealth tax on the poor financing causes the UK Govt was once responsible for – has been awarded to a Czech Billionaire with links to Russian gas who’ll cream 10% off every ticket sold.
    10:04 AM · Mar 15, 2022·Twitter for iPhone

  14. Rossmcg
    😆 Loved this bit. As someone said, McGowan perhaps, the great lesson for WA was just don’t do what they did. Sounds so much more diplomatic the way SfM says the same thing.
    .
    “Premier McGowan has had the opportunity to have a ringside seat when it comes to what’s happened on the east coast and management of COVID, and I’m sure all those lessons are being applied here in Western Australia,” he said.

  15. Kevin Bonham
    @kevinbonham

    Better Premier Malinauskas leads 45-40. Personal ratings v similar to #Newspoll despite the voting intention blowout – Marshall -2 (46-48) Malinauskas +19 (51-32) #savotes

    I’d be interested if a LOTO anywhere failed to win an election with personal ratings that dominant inside a campaign period. Usually incumbents hang on because the voters don’t have confidence in the opposition, and particularly the opposition as personified by their leader. Not too much sign of lack of confidence in Malinauskas in those numbers.

  16. c@t

    Yes finally – the high profile one of course is Roman Abramovich (Chelsea Football Club) – although I don’t think the sanctions are as severe as EU/US
    __________________________________________________________
    Re DST – big fan here 🙂

    I even remember the 1968-71 experiment of permanent summer time. Us schoolkids were all issued smart hi-viz armbands for the dark mornings 🙂
    https://www.rospa.com/lets-talk-about/2019/october/let%E2%80%99s-go-back-to-1968

  17. Looks like the Liberals’ internal polling is telling a similarly dire story to that one commissioned by the Greens.

    Yup. The Man Shaker has been very deferential to the WA Premier in quite striking contrast to his previous positions. Someone has pretty clearly told him to stfu and stop digging himself into an even bigger hole than the one he was already in.

  18. Poroti

    McGowan said it many times, almost daily: don’t do what NSW did.

    Then he added that he was watching SA closely, who if I remember correctly opened up and ditched masks early and had a lot more cases, and deaths, than we have seen.

    Went for lunch today, wore a mask to the pub door, showed my phone, got stamp on the wrist, sat down and took off the mask..

    Happy to do that.

  19. Henry says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 7:38 pm
    I’ve never understood why WA (Perth in particular) doesn’t have summer hours.
    What’s the point of it being light at 4.30am in the morning when the majority can’t appreciate it. Real pain in the arse conducting business with WA during summer too it must be said.
    Used to love the trials of summer hours in Perth when was I lad in Perth, loved riding my bike to the beach during the daylight in the evening.

    Daylight saving in Perth is just horrible. I like to get up early and go out…sometimes a swim, sometimes, when it’s not too hot, for a run or some exercises. If the clocks are re-set it’s usually quite dark in the mornings for several months when it would usually be clear, bright and cool. DS really upsets morning exercise routines.

    And in the afternoons daylight saving means it’s still very hot at 6.00 or so in the evening. It’s a nightmare trying to get small children to bed when it’s broad daylight and hot-as.

    Perth has a permanent 20-odd minutes of Daylight Saving. This is more than enough. Thankfully most people who live here agree with me.

  20. The UK Foreign Minister, Liz Truss, is a perfect fit for Morrison’s government.

    ‘1. Russia’s Kommersant newspaper quoted two diplomatic sources as saying that during their closed-door meeting on Thursday Lavrov had asked Truss if she recognised Russian sovereignty over Rostov and Voronezh – two regions in the south of the country where Russia has been building up its forces.
    Kommersant said Truss replied that Britain would never recognise them as Russian, and had to be corrected by her ambassador.

    2. The UK Foreign Secretary was mocked by Maria Zakharova, Russia’s foreign ministry spokesperson, for failing to know the difference between the Baltic and Black seas, which are more than 700 miles apart.
    It came as another senior Kremlin official dismissed British diplomacy as “absolutely worthless”.

    Truss told the BBC’s Sunday Morning show that “we are supplying and offering extra support into our Baltic allies across the Black Sea”.

    Zakharova noted that the Baltic nations of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania lie off the Baltic Sea, not the Black Sea, which is hundreds of miles to the south.

    “The Baltic countries are called so because they are located precisely off the coast of this [Baltic] sea. Not the Black [Sea],” the Russian official wrote on Facebook. “If anyone needs to be saved from anything, then it is the world from the stupidity and ignorance of Anglo-Saxon politicians.”’

  21. Extracted from Rossmcg’s post:

    [‘Mr Morrison said Mr McGowan was not his opponent and accused federal Labor leader Anthony Albanese of pretending to be the Premier.

    “Western Australians are being invited to make a choice about who they want their Prime Minister to be, not who they want their Premier to be,” he said.

    “I’m not pretending to be someone else, I’m not seeking to ride on someone else’s coattails when it comes to being re-elected as Prime Minister.

    “My opponent is trying to pretend to be everything from John Howard to Mark McGowan or even Bob Hawke, and you can’t present yourself to the Australian people you’re something that you’re not.”]

    Morrison’s really lost it and you’ve got to wonder who’s advising him. Then again, he is on his Lord’s mission, in consequence of which, most likely only takes instructions from his Maker when wearing out the carpet, on his knees, in deep prayer, seeking a second miracle. Sainthood requires two miracles, he’s going to fall short by half.


  22. Lars Von Triersays:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 8:06 pm
    Ita Buttrose was once asked what you do if you had 6 months left to live and said “I would move to Adelaide and marry an accountant – it would feel like a lifetime”.

    Spot on.

    Lars
    Nath once said that you will be back when you are fresh and ready.
    Are you fresh and ready to for federal election?


  23. citizensays:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 8:18 pm
    Granny Anny says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 6:37 pm
    It looks like Morrison is talking out of both sides of his mouth again.

    He is currently in WA. The online version of the West Austrlian has a headline where Morrison says that nuclear subs will be ready before 2040, (maybe December 2039) and that they will spend a large proportion of their time in WA.

    Presumably they will spend some time at sea. If a large proportion of the remaining time will be spent in WA, why do we need a base on the east coast, and if we do spend billions on an east coast base, how much use will it get?

    How can Morrison be confident that subs will be here before 2040 if no decision has been made as to where they will come from.

    Morrison is like the real estate agent who tried to sell us a house in a newly developing area in 1992. If we mentioned that it would be nice to have a local shop, he would say “one will be built over there”. And so on for his other promised amenities that of course have never eventuated. We didn’t buy through him.

    By the time Morrison has circumnavigated Australia, he will have promised multiple submarine base facilities for the non-existent submarines, just like our dodgy real estate agent.

    Morrison performance is like someone selling Sydney Harbour bridge to people in various other States. 🙂

  24. I take it you then have a nap in the afternoon briefly after your morning exertions..
    Not all of us have that leisure time available during the day, summer hours makes perfect sense for the working hoi polloi.
    IIRC the last referendum on the issue in WA was a close result in the scheme of things.

  25. Morrison remark about Albo’s weight loss just reeks of desperation. IMO, he’s on the verge of totally cracking under the pressure of an impending electoral wipeout. We can expect a lot more of this in the coming weeks.

  26. “Morrison remark about Albo’s weight loss just reeks of desperation. IMO, he’s on the verge of totally cracking under the pressure of an impending electoral wipeout. We can expect a lot more of this in the coming weeks.”

    It was a pretty pathetic school yard attack, but consistent with the ‘slob idiot who fails at everything’ re-election strategy.


  27. Ashasays:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:20 pm
    Morrison remark about Albo’s weight loss just reeks of desperation. IMO, he’s on the verge of totally cracking under the pressure of an impending electoral wipeout. We can expect a lot more of this in the coming weeks.

    Other than Tasmania and Victoria, Morrison appears to have promised Sub base for every other State in Australia.
    QLD – Brisbane
    NSW – Newcastle or Port Kembla
    SA – Adelaide
    WA – Perth

    Maybe he will promise Sub bases for Tasmania and Victoria during campaign proper. What is there to loose. Promise even moon. 🙂

  28. “Pakistan 2/160 346 runs behind making a stand”

    They can’t make it figjam Starc and his coach overruling leadership group would never fail they are gods.

  29. It was a pretty pathetic school yard attack, but consistent with the ‘slob idiot who fails at everything’ re-election strategy.

    Yes and no. It is a pathetic strategy. But it is a potentially effective strategy – they are clearly aiming squarely at Albanese’s character – the weight loss is neither here nor there, it’s just an opportunity to put the line out there that Albo is insincere, a fake, a pretender who is two-faced, a sly politician. It doesn’t matter what the context might be they will just try to get that framing out as often as possible.

    There is probably some assumption that people don’t “know” Albo or haven’t made up their minds or whatever – that has come up a lot from the media side lately, I don’t know if that’s reflecting stuff being fed to the media by the government although it seems quite likely – and that leaves scope for the government to leap in and “define” Albo.

    Of course it’s projection, but if the LNP can bring Albo down to Morrison’s level in enough voters’ minds then they have a chance to bring it back to a “well might as well stick with what we’ve got rather than risk change” reaction from those voters.

  30. “Ven @ Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:39 pm

    So why not Darwin? ”

    Is this a reference to the Chinese owning a port there, if not I’m claiming that joke!

  31. ” But it is a potentially effective strategy – they are clearly aiming squarely at Albanese’s character – the weight loss is neither here nor there, it’s just an opportunity to put the line out there that Albo is insincere, a fake, a pretender who is two-faced, a sly politician. It doesn’t matter what the context might be they will just try to get that framing out as often as possible.”

    They can’t really bring him down to Morrison’s level the whole country knows Morrison is top shelf useless, best in the Australian lazy stupid conman class. But Albo and Labor’s small target strategy makes a ‘they aren’t telling you what they are going to actually do’ attack quite plausible and possibly effective, because they want to rerun the super effective ‘tax’ campaign from last time.


  32. Griffsays:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:44 pm
    Ven @ Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:39 pm

    So why not Darwin?

    Because Darwin port is leased for 100 years to Chinese
    And
    It will be easy to attack that Sub base
    Thirdly
    There are only 2 Federal seats in NT. 🙂

  33. Henry:

    I have no idea what Bludging’s day-to-day routine is, but I’m really struggling to understand why early morning exercise would force anybody to have to take an afternoon nap.

    On daylight savings syncing with work schedules: it all depends on the hours one works. I’m not sure someone who regularly has to get up at, say, 6am would find it particularly convenient for the sun to still be shining well past 9pm the night before.

    Point being, everyone’s circumstances are different. One thing that shits me about daylight savings is the way it operates under the assumption that everyone has the same work hours, hobbies, and lifestyle choices.

    Once again, the answer to these issues seems to me to be more flexible working arrangements.

  34. Griff:

    So why not Darwin?

    Surely it’s only a matter of time before a sub pen is announced for Lake Burley Griffin. They could put it at Grevillea Park, where the Admirals can almost see it from their office windows.

  35. Henry says:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:20 pm

    I take it you then have a nap in the afternoon briefly after your morning exertions..

    Haha….nah….I wake at about 5.00 usually. I get up soon after and go out for the better part of an hour. I go slow, really, so as not to worsen my knees, which have taken a hammering over the decades. I make breakfast with one of my aged family members. I want to make sure they eat enough. So vegetables and fish and, for them but not for me, eggs or feta, with coffee. Black and plentiful, from a plunger. We eat together and then clean up.

    I try to get to work by 7.30. Sometimes I detour for no good reason. From reluctance or distraction, I suppose. Or from curiosity. I’m not sure which. Then I will work thru the day and, as needs, shop on the way home. At night I pursue my pleasures….drawing, reading, listening to music….cooking occasionally. Fortunately I don’t have too much ironing to do, as this drains the life from my bones. I bludge too much. I’m trying to give it up, but it’s my only vice. I enjoy it more than I should.

    On the too-rare days when I don’t have to work, I go to one of the many lovely parks in Perth and draw or paint. I take my sound gear and listen to Beethoven or Mozart or Handel or Haydn. I wear myself out with a brush and paint or a with ink and a pen or with pencils.

    I love the cool summer mornings. The heat goes on and on in Perth. The mornings from October onwards are often perfect. I’d want to leave the country if DS were introduced.

  36. WeWantPaul @ Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:47 pm

    Yes it was an attempt at humour.

    But seriously, it is interesting that Newcastle makes the shortlist with 50% Chinese ownership. So that is considered safe apparently.


  37. cafsays:
    Tuesday, March 15, 2022 at 10:55 pm
    Griff:

    So why not Darwin?

    Surely it’s only a matter of time before a sub pen is announced for Lake Burley Griffin. They could put it at Grevillea Park, where the Admirals can almost see it from their office windows.

    Ok I can imagine how a Sub gets there. Bring it by a Heavy Multiple wheeler truck and lower it into Lake Burley Griffin by a Heavy crane/ Helicopter.
    But how will it travel underwater and reach sea? 🙂

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