Weekend bulletin board

Two days out from Newspoll (presumably), an open thread and a summary of the site’s recent wares.

A new thread is needed, but I’m way too busy right now to produce content to hang it off like I normally would. So beyond pointing out that Newspoll should be along on Sunday evening if its recent form is any guide, I can only draw your attention to other recent posts on next week’s South Australian state election, the situation in Ukraine and related international matters (courtesy of Adrian Beaumount), and a Tasmanian state poll that suggests the Gutwein government’s dominance isn’t quite what it was. Beyond that, over to you.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

755 comments on “Weekend bulletin board”

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  1. Sandman @ Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 8:47 pm

    “Social Services Minister Anne Ruston said the 2.1 per cent increase in payments was “the largest increase since 2013””

    I am not sure that she is helping the cause?

  2. Grime, you must not have ‘bypass paywalls clean’ installed.
    “From March 20, the rate for a single person receiving an age pension, disability support pension or carer payment will rise by $20.10 a fortnight to $987.60, while for a couple it climbs $30.20 to $1488.80 a fortnight.”

  3. bug1 @ #702 Sunday, March 13th, 2022 – 8:54 pm

    Grime, you must not have ‘bypass paywalls clean’ installed.
    “From March 20, the rate for a single person receiving an age pension, disability support pension or carer payment will rise by $20.10 a fortnight to $987.60, while for a couple it climbs $30.20 to $1488.80 a fortnight.”

    I do but it persists for reasons unknown??

  4. Oh come on Grime, you could take the Mrs out for a cup of coffee once a fortnight but your petrol costs getting there and back will make a mess of that. Yeah, stick to the cat food !!

  5. “I don’t think we need another Govt agency. Surely the ADF is capable of this work.”

    @Rex:

    On the odd occasion, yes. Though it’s unsustainable long term, especially with climate change. Mass volunteering in Australia is slowly dying out, as much as we’d like to think otherwise. Volunteer emergency services are really starting to struggle keeping up with the frequency and extent of the natural disasters that are impacting us, when they still have to keep their bills paid somehow.

    ADF can help in a pinch, but with increasing instability and uncertainty internationally it’s risky continually committing the ADF to domestic recovery operations when they might be needed in their primary role elsewhere, making them slow to react to an unexpected escalation and potentially leave domestic recovery operations high and dry (no pun intended).

    It makes a lot of sense to establish a commonwealth emergency response agency to supplement state based services for protracted incidents and leave the ADF to be able to respond to other events much more rapidly. A federal emergency management agency doesn’t preclude the ADF from helping, it just means they won’t be hamstrung if they’re needed elsewhere in a hurry.

    Climate change is also going to bring instability to the globe, as disasters start making some areas unliveable, that will create security pressures ADF will have to deal with.

  6. Bennelong Lurker @ #564 Sunday, March 13th, 2022 – 3:54 pm

    Itza @ 1.54 pm:

    I have always thought the particular quality of his “sound” comes from the incredible strength that seems to lie in Arrau’s fingers.

    Absolutely, and which that video shows to tremendous effect. They’re big hands, and big fingers, and seem to weigh heavy (not the right word, which I can’t find right now) on the keys, with perfectly equal weight, even in the ‘piano’ parts. I’m a bit besotted with it, in case that wasn’t noticed. I don’t have any recordings, and all credit to you. Schnabel was the go to guy in our house when I was growing up. We went to a little soiree the other evening in the Utzon room. Simone Young played. Impressive, if not concert platform material. I think we’re lucky to have her. Rave reviews from Vienna about the Peter Grimes she just conducted, not exactly the Austrians cup of tea. She noted, in conversation, that the younger audiences these days are much more ‘internationalised’, and accomodating. Not that, for example, the Germans playing Carmen would ever work, she quipped.

  7. The Pension rise for March is based on the CPI increases for the September + December 2021 quarters.

    The big increases in the CPI for the March and June 2022 quarters will affect the pension increases on 20 September 2022.

  8. @Asha says:
    Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 9:04 pm

    An extra $20 a fortnight wouldn’t even cover inflation.
    _________________

    Why do I get the image of a stern matronly mother handing out the change to the recipients with saying “be good and don’t spend it all at once on lollies”

    Not even $7 a week extra for the dole, less than 3 litres of diesel now

  9. As Holdenhillbilly says, it isnt even a bit or pork for the pension battler worried about being put on indue card, just the regular CPI increase dressed up an an announceable.

    We have really wandered into the world of the Hollowmen,

    Adviser 1 – Crikey, inflation is up to record levels, food and fuel costs how can we spin this
    Adviser2 – Well CPI adjustments to pensions and benefits are due and up a record 2.2bill

    Minister – lets announce record increase in weekly pensions and ignore the rest

  10. The decline in the share market in recent months and its impact on superannuation fund balances will mean that many asset-tested part pensioners, myself included, will get more than $20 a fortnight.

    This is a cohort that, anecdotally at least, votes Liberal.

    Because they have bought the idea that the Liberals are better economic managers.

    You only have to remember the scare over franking credits at the last election that caused people who didn’t even own shares to panic to realise how strongly this idea resonates with older Australians.

  11. #Newspoll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 35 (0) ALP 41 (0) GRN 8 (-1) ON 3 (0) UAP 3 (-1) #auspol

    #Newspoll Morrison: Approve 41 (-2) Disapprove 55 (0) #auspol

  12. GhostWhoVotes
    @GhostWhoVotes
    ·
    55s
    #Newspoll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 35 (0) ALP 41 (0) GRN 8 (-1) ON 3 (0) UAP 3 (-1) #auspol

  13. @sprocket_ says:
    Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 9:31 pm

    Albo level on PPM, Coalition ‘strugles’
    ___________
    Excellent I win some internets with PPM – Newscorpse will need a hell of a lot of turn polish to find any good news

  14. I don’t know why people were expecting a bounce. The government had a pretty bad fortnight…. not their worst because their worst is really bad.

  15. Asha,

    “$15 a head is pretty cheap for a party fundraiser. That cost likely covers food too.”

    I remember attending events and on showing your pensioner card you got a big discount, so events like these were far less than $15.

  16. Bludging should be pleased:

    #Newspoll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 35 (0) ALP 41 (0) GRN 8 (-1) ON 3 (0) UAP 3 (-1) #auspol

  17. Acerbic Conehead:

    Yep, pretty much all the ones I’ve been to have had discounts for attendees not earning a reasonable wage.

  18. Pretty good numbers for Albo. He now has higher approval ratings than Scomo.

    Not easy to do that as LOTO. Though it helps if the PM sits around watching people drown during floods.

  19. Greens and RWNJ both go back 1, indies/others up. Was really thinking the LNP primary would shift. Greens at 8 again or is this anouther rouge poll for the greens.

  20. B.S. Fairman:

    I think people must have been expecting some sort of “rally round the flag” effect from the floods, but that tends to rely on the government proving vaguely competent in their response to the disaster, which they, er, did not.

  21. Newspoll Federal 2 Party Preferred: L/NP 45 (0) ALP 55 (0) Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 35 (0) ALP 41 (0) GRN 8 (-1) ON 3 (0) UAP 3 (-1) Newspoll Morrison: Approve 41 (-2) Disapprove 55 (0) Albanese: Approve 44% (0%) Disapprove 42% (-1%). Total score of +2. Preferred PM Morrison 42 Albanese 42 Unsure 16.

  22. Dr Fumbles McStupid

    “Excellent I win some internets with PPM – Newscorpse will need a hell of a lot of turn polish to find any good news”

    That cat could be spending a lot of time on the front pages this week. If that doesn’t work the Morrison’s will soon be adopting a cute pet bunny, and maybe some rescue dogs from the animal shelter.

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