Nothing on voting intention, but there’s a bunch of polls around the place, the most useful from my perspective being the first fortnightly Essential Research survey of the year, as it includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings. Scott Morrison is at 46% on both approval and disapproval, respectively steady and up two since last month, which is the first time he has failed to record a net positive result since immediately before the onset of the pandemic in March 2020. Anthony Albanese is likewise equal on approval and disapproval, in his case at 39%, with approval down one and disapproval up three. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 42-34, in from 42-31 last month and likewise his weakest result since March 2020.
There’s more bad news for Morrison on COVID-19 management, with the federal government recording a net negative result for the first time, its positive rating down six to 35% and negative up six to 38%. There has also been a sharp decline in the positive ratings for every state government except Victoria, most noticeably in the case of Western Australia, where the positive rating is down twelve to a new low of 66%. This remains nineteen points higher than nearest rival Victoria, up four points to 47%. New South Wales is down seventeen to 37%, now the lowest of the five, with Queensland down eleven to 46% and South Australia down fourteen to 43%. The results for the smaller states especially should, as always, be treated with caution here, but the near-uniformity of the sharp downward turn is impressive.
Respondents were also asked if various matters related to COVID-19 were likely to influence their chances of voting Coalition, an exercise I’m dubious about since it’s clear that many party loyalists respond without regard to the fact that their vote choice isn’t in doubt. For what it’s worth, 37% rated themselves less likely on account of Scott Morrison’s recent performance and 19% more likely; 30% and 15% ditto because of recent case numbers; 38% and 12% because of the shortage of rapid antigen tests (note the perversity of being more likely to vote Coalition on this basis); 22% and 19% because of reduced border restrictions; and, in the one net positive result, 23% and 27% for the Novak Djokovic affair.
The poll also finds 37% believe the choices of those who wish not to be vaccinated should be respected versus 63% who don’t, of whom 41% consider the unvaccinated ill-informed and 22% selfish. It was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1062.
Various other polling around the place:
• A poll by Painted Dog Research for The West Australian recorded a 71-29 split in favour of the McGowan government’s indefinite postponement of the reopening of the state’s border. Respondents were also offered a poorly framed question as to whether they “agree the McGowan government could have done more to prepare to open up on February 5”, to which 51% agreed and 29% at least purported to disagree, notwithstanding the obvious absurdity of such a position. The poll had a sample of 637 Western Australian respondents; no field work date was provided, though obviously it was done after Thursday’s announcement.
• YouGov has conducted a poll for the News Corp tabloids that covers an extensive range of issues, but not voting intention, results for which are seemingly being published bit by bit (the full questionnaire is here). There have been two reports from this that I’m aware of, one dealing with state government COVID-19 management. Thirty-five per cent of New South Wales respondents rated their government’s performance positively, 28% neutrally and 34% negatively; Victorians, 42%, 21% and 36%; Queenslanders, 61%, 20% and 19%; Western Australians, 85% positively, 6% neutrally and 8% negatively; South Australians, 48%, 29% and 21%; and Tasmanians, 65%, 21% and 11%. Another report related results on election issue salience, in which respondents were asked to pick two issues out of eight, with 58% choosing cost of living, ahead of 37% for health care, 34% for the economy and 32% for climate change. The poll was conducted December 27 to January 10 from an overall sample of 2297, with state sub-samples ranging from 257 in Tasmania to 507 in New South Wales.
• The Conversation reports on a Deakin Contemporary History Survey of “a representative, random sample of more than 5,000 Australians” finding that 60% overall believe the current date of Australia Day should be maintained, but with a clear age effect in which 53% of those born 1986 or later felt otherwise, with 46% favouring no change.
• According to an AAP report, a CoreData survey of 1292 respondents finds more than 80% of those under 26 and more than 70% of those aged 27 to 41 “support moving the date for the sake of improving relations with the Indigenous population” – a formulation that presumably elicits a more favourable response – which plummeted to “just over 30%” among the 56 to 75 cohort and 25% of those over 75. All that’s revealed of those of in the middle is that “the majority still supported keeping the holiday on its current date”.
• A Roy Morgan SMS poll of 1372 respondents posed the not-all-that-useful-to-my-mind question as to whether as to whether January 26 should be identified as Australia Day or Invasion Day, breaking 65-35 in favour of the former. Cross-tabs here if you’re interested.
citizen says:
Sunday, January 30, 2022 at 7:21 pm
Morrison’s next photo opportunity – is he game?
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Only if the bull has been euthanised.
Bushfire
I thought the story if Bubsy’s rescue by you and then his life in the refugee and subsequent adoption by another butcherbird family heartwarming as well as interesting from an animal behaviour point of view.
Not something you would expect from a species known as a fearsome predator.
Rossmcg says:
Sunday, January 30, 2022 at 7:32 pm
Bushfire
I thought the story if Bubsy’s rescue by you and then his life in the refugee and subsequent adoption by another butcherbird family heartwarming as well as interesting from an animal behaviour point of view.
Not something you would expect from a species known as a fearsome predator.
_________
Yes but BB’s getting on and is no longer as fearsome as he was.
Lizzie @ #1750 Sunday, January 30th, 2022 – 7:23 pm
nath is a fly larva.
Listen Nath. The more you try to gaslight me, the stronger I get. So do your worst. Bubsy loves me, not you.
And birds know a thing or two about character.
Mythology of Australian “Sportsman’s ship” will take a battering at AO tonight if player entry is anything to go by.
Bushfire Bill says:
And birds know a thing or two about character.
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Not likely, otherwise this Jackdaw should have launched a full attack.
Re the Rowe cartoon: I find what’s on Josh’s phone screen very illuminating.
Nostra, what happened to the Liberal Party in WA will happen to them federally.
And there is more science behind my prediction that there is behind yours.
Until last year’s US Open final I thought of Medvedev as a dour Russian but he did display a sense of humour of sorts when lifting the trophy – reference thereof is made to Kipling.
Following some of his antics at the AO (one of which was where he admonished the umpire even though it appeared that Tsitsipas was receiving coaching instructions from his old man), I’ve reverted to my original opinion of him.
Accordingly, I’m supporting Nadal tonight, to really piss off
Novax, for his anti-vaccine position.
I further think that Goolagong-Cawley’s presence at the women’s presentation was highly appropriate, negativing somewhat the poor decision of Tiley banning Peng Shuai tee shirts, predicated it seems by Navratilova’s intervention, et al.
”
lizziesays:
Sunday, January 30, 2022 at 3:45 pm
Trish-artist, photographer & thalidomide survivor @footsiephotos
·
3h
My chemist finally got some #rat tests in. I asked for my free ones as per fed govt saying card holders can get some for free only to be told that these rat tests weren’t the free ones..
@GregHuntMP why? Profit over safety yet again by this govt.
Everything is made as difficult as possible
”
How does a Chemist or a Customer distinguish between a free RAT and paid for RAT?
The pay for RAT has a price sticker on its tail.
Ven
Easy. The Chemist can add a little ‘extra’ to the prices charged for a ‘non Free RAT’ .
Free RATs aren’t in a cage?
Ven says:
How does a Chemist or a Customer dinguish between a free RAT and paid for RAT?
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Maybe the free RATs have a liberal party logo on with the words “Not For Lifters only Leaners”
Will see what happens tomorrow, will try and get mine.
Only if the bull is an ingredient of a Vindaloo curry, I suspect.
Dr F McS
”It is expected in a Campaign to dress up like Sailor/Construction worker/Policeman/Bikie/Cowboy/Native American and it has a pretty good novelty value to see how comfortable/uncomfortable they are. But FFS, every day?
A one-man homage to that Village People video?
I really miss Cud Chewer’s contributions to this blog.
@Steve777
He has already done construction worker so only a few to go, be a fun montage to tune Go West as I cant wait to see him campaign out there
#Newspoll if released tonight should be about 9:30-9:50pm Sydney time yes?
If it’s not an even greater disaster for the Libs than the last one, we can expect the return of Lars about then, Zerlo.
I predict Newspoll will get released if and when the people who run the Australian want it to be.
If I were running the paper I’d pick and choose which polls to release in the interests of my preferred result at the actual election. Which means I would very well hide a few polls in the next few weeks.
Canadian PM, Family Moved To Secret Location Amid Protests: Reports.
beguiled
This is ridiculous for a PM, who just won an election.
https://www-ndtv-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.ndtv.com/world-news/canadian-prime-minister-justin-trudeau-moved-to-secret-location-amid-protests-over-vaccine-mandates-report-2737641/amp/1?amp_gsa=1&_js_v=a8&usqp=mq331AQIKAGwASCAAgM%3D#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=16435342969364&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ndtv.com%2Fworld-news%2Fcanadian-prime-minister-justin-trudeau-moved-to-secret-location-amid-protests-over-vaccine-mandates-report-2737641
What is happening Five eyes countries.
All the leaders of US, UK, NZ, Canada and Australia are in deep political trouble due to Vaccinations.
India gave over 1.5 billion vaccinations to its citizens.
Nostradamus, in vino veritas.
If the polls don’t get released then they are another anti-democratic tool
Nadal is in ALL sorts of trouble.
Re zoomster at 6.46 pm
Those who use glyphosate (Round-up) would do well to follow the precautions mentioned at:
https://www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/gp-opinion/exploring-the-issue-of-roundup-and-cancer-risk
Other reports and statements are at: https://usrtk.org/pesticides/glyphosate-health-concerns/
If a Sam Kerr led Oz cannot get past South Korea, Gustavsson has to go
Ven @ #1762 Sunday, January 30th, 2022 – 6:52 pm
Chemist – They’re all paid. The free ones are the ones the government has paid for in advance. If they haven’t done that, there are no free ones.
Customer – There are no free ones. The government has to get its act together and create some first. And not via a post-facto refund of some amount less than what the retailer paid to acquire the test in the first place, either. That strategy will never produce any free tests.
Dr D
I use it in miniscule amounts – perhaps twice a year – precisely because I’m wary of it.
However, the article you link to does end with:
‘‘I wish people would trust experts and keep some perspective. If you seriously want to lower your cancer risk, keep using Roundup and stop drinking.’’
a r @ #1780 Sunday, January 30th, 2022 – 5:37 pm
I thought the Government was expecting the Chemists to wear the cost and reimburse them in a month or so.
Newspollwatch…
Round up is being used in huge quantities in the Industrial agricultural system. So it will be in all foods you eat. Except those farmed under Organic agricultural principles.
I went for a covid test today, being slightly symptomatic, and got thr negative result by SMS inside of eight hours.
nath
As the article says, there’s a greater threat from drinking alcohol.
Now he’s “saved koalas” and “saved the reef” perhaps Morrison could do something for little penguins
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-01-30/time-running-out-for-rockingham-s-little-penguins/100786312?utm_campaign=abc_news_web&utm_content=link&utm_medium=content_shared&utm_source=abc_news_web
Rising sea temperatures might have to be addressed though
zoomster @ #1786 Sunday, January 30th, 2022 – 5:57 pm
But nath has an interest in a bar, not a farm.
zoomster says:
Sunday, January 30, 2022 at 8:57 pm
nath
As the article says, there’s a greater threat from drinking alcohol.
__________________
There’s a great threat from alcohol compared to almost anything. That’s not saying much!
I like the idea of Rafa winning tonight for no other reason than with 21 slams it will force the other non vaxxed idiot to keep chasing his tail in a slam world of diminishing opportunities.
We have no idea of the effects of Glysophate on current generations of children who have been constantly exposed to it from birth in their foods. Decades from now the full impact will be known.
At 18 they can drink alcohol. Fortunately they are not being dosed with it every day from birth.
nath
That’s right, let’s go with feelpinions rather than facts.
Oooohhh it’s not natural, therefore it must be bad (lots of natural things, including some of the ‘natural’ pesticides used by some organic gardeners, are also very very bad for you).
We know a lot about the intergenerational damage caused by alcohol. Not being able to drink until a certain age doesn’t mean that’s when the damage starts.
…next you’ll be rabbiting on about auras….
….but just to reassure you:
‘The very low levels of glyphosate found in the 25th ATDS pose no health concern for Australian consumers, including children.
From a dietary perspective:
At the highest concentration in bread of 0.080 mg/kg, a person of average body weight (around 70 kg) could eat more than 370 loaves (261 kg) of bread every day over their lifetime without exceeding safe levels of glyphosate dietary exposure.
Similarly, there was a single detection of glyphosate in infant cereal (0.011 mg/kg). At this concentration an infant of average body weight (8.9 kg) could consume over 2000 servings (242 kg) of infant cereal every day over several years without exceeding safe levels of glyphosate dietary exposure.’
https://www.foodstandards.gov.au/consumer/chemicals/Pages/Glyphosate.aspx
I’m sure you’ve read hundreds – if not thousands – of studies saying the opposite, just a pity you can’t find any at the moment…
Rossmcg @ #1787 Sunday, January 30th, 2022 – 8:58 pm
Howard tried to save the Orangutans. He still lost. 🙂
“We have no idea of the effects of Glysophate on current generations of children who have been constantly exposed to it from birth in their foods. Decades from now the full impact will be known.
At 18 they can drink alcohol. Fortunately they are not being dosed with it every day from birth.”
It is always cute when the radical far right wing loonies, look back on thirty years that have gone almost entirely they way they wanted, with poor or no regulation, and then suddenly realise that Governments and their regulation are critical … oh wait they should recognise that, but they seem to switch sides without even a basic understanding of what has gone on before, the very stupidest people in a ocean of people who are all stupid.
I spray glyphosate – and/or related herbicides – twice every year on my property to eradicate weeds. This has occurred every year of my short tenure and for way more than a generation before me. Nothing else works nearly as well. That admission might cause a shit storm here, but show me a more effective, more efficient and more economical alternative. It’s the same for most of us landed peasants.
NewsPoll – worst since 2018
Safe levels of Glysophate! I’m sure Monsanto would be pleased to hear it!
Seeing that the Australian regulator says it is following international practice, i.e USA, there’s bound to be many issues with this.
NEWSPOLL
Alarm bells ring as Coalition, PM drop
Popular support for the federal Coalition has slumped to the lowest levels since 2018, with Scott Morrison’s approval ratings also tumbling.
Firefox
So are the Greens not going to oppose Labors High speed rail plan because they have chosen a practical starting point, Newcastle and Sydney, and not a pie in the sky proposal that has no hope of getting up, Melbourne to Sydney.