Utting Research WA poll, Morrison leadership ratings and more

“More” being the Liberals’ slow-motion Dobell preselection and declining prospects for a March federal election.

As the silly season reaches its apex, such news and relevant information as I have to offer:

• A poll by Utting Research on federal voting in Western Australia, published yesterday in The West Australian, is broadly in line with other polling from the state in crediting Labor with a lead of 55-45, a swing of 10.5% compared with the 2019 election. The primary votes are Labor 46%, Coalition 39%, Greens 7%, One Nation 3% and UAP 1%. The poll also has Scott Morrison at 28% approval and 46% disapproval (which is quite a bit worse than his 45% approval and 51% disapproval from the state in the last quarterly Newspoll) and Anthony Albanese at 21% and 44%, while Mark McGowan has 75% approval with no disapproval rating provided. The poll was conducted last Wednesday from a sample of 650.

• US pollster Morning Consult’s monthly tracking polling for various international leaders’ personal ratings has Scott Morrison at 43% approval and 51% disapproval, respectively down three and up five on a month ago.

• The Australian reports the dispute over the New South Wales Liberal Party’s highly incomplete federal preselection process rumbles on, with St Vincent’s Hospital cardiologist Michael Feneley winning the endorsement of John Howard in his bid for preselection in Dobell – putting him at odds with Scott Morrison, who favours Jemima Gleeson, who owns a chain of coffee shops and a preacher at the HopeUC Pentecostal church in Charmhaven.

• David Crowe of the Age/Herald reports that “the Omicron wave has wiped out the idea of a snap election campaign as soon as next month”, hitherto rated “an outside chance for some Liberals who believed it was safer to go to an election in March than to wait until May”.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,159 comments on “Utting Research WA poll, Morrison leadership ratings and more”

Comments Page 60 of 64
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  4. And Liberal shills like Taylormade are still trying to pin the blame on Dan Andrews.

    So that Morrison can take all the credit and Dan take all the blame.

    I’d be really interested to know whether Morrison was the NSW Liberal Party State Director when the Children Overboard crisis was manufactured by Howard and Reith. It seems like just the sort of suggestion he’d make to win the politics.

  5. The big indication that Morrison and his cronies aren’t that confident in the court case tomorrow

    That they do not want more than 1 Judge to hear the case

  6. England to be 2 for 300 at stumps. Boland and Starc will have broken down. Three dropped catches. Nobody will be able to get the pink ball to do anything other than flop about like a badly wounded swan.

  8. It would be very humiliating not only in Australia but around the world for Morrison and his cronies

    If Djokovic didn’t lose any court cases against
    The minister for Home Affairs
    The minister for Immigration

  10. Dramatic footage shows waves rolling through coastal Tongan homes as a tsunami warning has been announced for the whole Pacific island nation.

    The Tongan Meteorological Service issued the warning for all of Tonga on Saturday evening, after ongoing underwater volcanic activity.

    It comes after Hunga-Tonga-Hunga-Ha’apai erupted again on Friday, sending ash, steam and gas 20 kilometres into the air, Radio New Zealand reported.

    The volcano is located about 30 kilometres south-east of Fonuafo’ou island in Tonga.

    The volcano was erupting intermittently in late December.

    Radio New Zealand earlier reported that Tonga Geological Services head Taaniela Kula said the eruption had a radius of 260km.

    It was about seven times more powerful than the last eruption on December 20 last year and continuing to grow, Kula earlier told RNZ.

    https://www.stuff.co.nz/world/south-pacific/300496665/footage-shows-waves-crashing-into-homes-as-tsunami-warning-announced-for-all-of-tonga

  12. In the Snow, article, Morrison says he has read a couple of books on Global Warming, such as David Attenborough’s “but they aren’t climate scientists”.

    Where’s the proof that (a) he has actually read any and (b) that he takes any notice of climate scientists anyway.

  15. Scott @ #2954 Saturday, January 15th, 2022 – 5:20 pm

    The big indication that Morrison and his cronies aren’t that confident in the court case tomorrow

    That they do not want more than 1 Judge to hear the case

    This interview with another tennis player lays out some very dodgy behaviour by the Morrison government:

    Unvaccinated coach claims he was let in. Then Novak arrived and authorities came knocking
    By Staff Reporters

    Filip Serdarusic, Croatian tennis coach and brother of tennis player Nino Serdarusic, told Serbian site Sport Klub he only had to leave Australia after being granted a medical exemption due to Novak Djokovic’s situation.

    He said Australian authorities were playing politics with Djokovic at the expense of others.

    Serdarusic, who arrived in Australia on the same medical exemption as the world No.1, told Sport Klub journalist Sasa Ozmo that on the day Djokovic arrived, Australian immigration authorities called him at 10pm and asked him to attend an interview the following day.

    “There was an opportunity to enter with an exemption. I am not vaccinated and I had coronavirus in October,” he said.

    He added his agent had sent confirmation of this to Tennis Australia, which passed it onto authorities. Serdarusic said he was then given approval to enter Australia around December 10 and arrived with his brother on a flight chartered by Tennis Australia.

    Serdarusic said that a Border Force official had told him he may face 14-day quarantine after finding out he was unvaccinated and had an exemption. Serdarusic told her he wouldn’t have come to Australia had he known he’d face quarantine.

    “Then she called her boss, he looked at the papers, photographed them and told me I could enter the country freely,” Serdarusic told Sport Klub.

    Nino and Filip Serdarusic were in Melbourne for three days and then travelled to Traralgon for a tennis tournament when Djokovic arrived at Melbourne Airport.

    Serdarusic said he then got a phone call from immigration authorities at 10pm and was told to attend an interview the next day. TA sent him a car an hour before his brother’s quarterfinals match as he had to arrive at Immigration by 5pm.

    Serdarusic decided he would not challenge a potential visa cancellation decision.

    “They would have rejected it 99 per cent as they had decided it was no longer valid you’d had COVID. I decided to pack up as I am not as great as Novak to fight. If they’d stopped him, they had to stop us, too.”

    Serdarusic said Djokovic had done everything by the rules.

    “People have all sorts of unpleasant comments. I’ll say only this: When we applied for a visa, we had to fulfil conditions. Neither Novak nor I invented the exemption. We followed their rules and were approved entry. They can strengthen their political cause on him, but they can’t on us ‘little ones’, that’s why this is happening,” Serdarusic said.

    “He [Djokovic] is ideal for that before the election, that’s how it seems. If they had let in the Czech [player Renata Voracova, who also left Australia] and me, why not him? I think Tennis Australia had hoped he’d enter like we had done, but everyone knows him. If it hadn’t been for Novak, this wouldn’t have happened to us.”

    https://www.smh.com.au/sport/tennis/live-novak-djokovic-federal-court-appeal-set-for-sunday-after-immigration-minister-cancels-tennis-star-s-visa-ahead-of-2022-australian-open-20220115-p59ofk.html

  16. Whether or not the Victorian government were actually involved, the media coverage and the way the federal government has handled this has basically ensured that the average punter is going to see this as being entirely a federal issue.

  17. Last 1 million cases net increase of 74 people requiring ICU. Greg Hunt
    That surprised I will have to check it.

    Omicron ICU is 10% of ICU admissions compared to other variants. President of the AMA Queensland.

    People are gonna have to settle the down.

  19. Djoker’s booting on the grounds of anti-vax has set the standard.
    Rules out eight tenths of the Grand Old Party coming to Oz to wish the Shliar a happy three more years.

  20. lizzie

    Where’s the proof that (a) he has actually read any and (b) that he takes any notice of climate scientists anyway.

    Scotty believes end times are imminent so I suppose doing anything about climate change would be a pointless. With a ticket booked for a seat on the rapture bus Bullshit Man is feeling relaxed, comfortable and smirkaliciously smug

  21. C@tmomma says:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 5:04 pm
    The Serbian PM said that Morrison should have cancelled Djokovic’s visa before he came to the country and that he didn’t was because it’s all been staged to help him in his election campaign.

    Which, I wouldn’t put it past him.

    _______________________________

    I can’t accept that he is capable of thinking that far ahead. He is the most reactive of reactionaries, as has been demonstrated by every stage of this ongoing farce.

  22. “ The bottom line is that the idea that Djokovic is to have a valid visa cancelled on the basis his presence could incite protests is transparent nonsense. It says, loudly, “we’ve got nothing else”.”

    ____________

    Whereas cancelling his visa appears to have incited the anti-vaxxer protests, with Craig Kelly calling him a political prisoner of the morrison regime this afternoon;

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/craig-kelly-calls-novak-djokovic-a-political-prisoner-at-anti-vax-rally-20220115-p59oh8.html

    Own goal. Much?

  23. “ Omicron ICU is 10% of ICU admissions compared to other variants. President of the AMA Queensland.

    People are gonna have to settle the down.”

    Especially the dead ones.

    Fuck off steam Phallus.

  24. Q: Whether or not the Victorian government were actually involved, the media coverage and the way the federal government has handled this has basically ensured that the average punter is going to see this as being entirely a federal issue.

    When Morrison came out all hairy chested and invoked the ‘being strong on borders’ mantra in a media stunt, he took ownership of the issue…..and the resultant train wreck.

  26. TPOF @ #2971 Saturday, January 15th, 2022 – 5:55 pm

    C@tmomma says:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 5:04 pm
    The Serbian PM said that Morrison should have cancelled Djokovic’s visa before he came to the country and that he didn’t was because it’s all been staged to help him in his election campaign.

    Which, I wouldn’t put it past him.

    _______________________________

    I can’t accept that he is capable of thinking that far ahead. He is the most reactive of reactionaries, as has been demonstrated by every stage of this ongoing farce.

    Except when it comes to planning election influence campaigns ahead, I would proffer.

  28. C@t

    Except when it comes to planning election influence campaigns ahead, I would proffer.

    __________________________

    I’m not so sure about that. He has the tendency to do what was successful last time. It looks like his whole election playbook is to repeat the 2019 tactics. And Labor is ready for him.

  29. There’s a lot of 7 day ‘settling down’ of sick Covid patients going on at homes across Australia bringing the nation to grinding halt.

  30. Lars Von Trier @ #2763 Saturday, January 15th, 2022 – 11:29 am

    Here is the press release from the highly regarded Doherty Institute on “opening up”.

    I don’t know about you but I am ok with specialist health advice and our political leaders acting on it.

    https://www.doherty.edu.au/news-events/news/statement-on-the-doherty-institute-modelling

    Dated 23 August. Not worth a pinch of poop now, just like every single one of your pointless offerings. You do not know the difference between ‘women’ and ‘woman’, or your and you’re. Your brain power has very severe limitations, as is plain to all who partake here.

    I have been building large mathematical models for tens of years, and continue to do so, for multiple, repeat order, clients. The Doherty release you refer to is full of holes. In particular the parameters and algorithms they use to characterise infection transmission mechanisms they have referred to elsewhere, appear to me to be far too simple, and unfit for purpose. They had, in August, no way of simulating concurrent delta and omicron epidemics. They have, presumably, tried to fix this by now. Their August 23 screed has NO current applicability, and as events have shown, was not actually even faintly applicable to the actual unfolding situation. It was, basically, a meaningless puff piece, full of hopeful platitudes, which has proven to be abject nonsense.

    The article says “opening up at 70% vaccine coverage of the adult population with partial public health measures, we predict 385,983 cases and 1,457 deaths over six months”. (Quoting modelling outcomes to single figures is akin to quoting polling figures to 2 decimal places. Ludicrous.)

    One month after actually opening up (Dec 15) at much higher vaccination levels we have 1.61 million cases, and 2,621 deaths.

    You, l’arse, wouldn’t have a clue, and neither did the Doherty modelling group.

  32. Boerwar at 5:47 pm

    I see that Putin has sent the Spetsnaz into the Ukraine. Plus ca change.

    That’s great, they can share notes with the CIA guys who have recently dropped in to train some Ukraine forces, including very nazi adjacent ones. Be like old times.Plus ca change indeed.

  40. Tony Abbott famously wanted to put a battalion into Donbas to secure the site of the downed Malaysian airline.

    We have to wait 20 or so years to see how the Cabinet articulated ‘are you fucking mad?’

  41. Taylormadesays:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 3:54 pm
    The Age 14/01
    Djokovic was not arriving empty-handed. Along with a tennis bag stuffed with new racquets, he had a visa granted on November 18, a medical exemption approved by separate Tennis Australia and Victorian government expert panels, a travel declaration lodged on January 1 with the Federal Department of Home Affairs and a Border Travel Permit issued by the Victorian government.
    _____________________
    Looks like the Victorian government did its best to get him here.

    This is why Andrews just keep saying who enters Australia is a Federal matter. They organise getting the guy in then say look it was their fault it was all the Feds. Tennis Australia has much of the blame but Victoria was the authority all over the paperwork.

  43. ‘poroti says:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 6:16 pm

    Boerwar at 5:47 pm

    I see that Putin has sent the Spetsnaz into the Ukraine. Plus ca change.

    That’s great, they can share notes with the CIA guys who have recently dropped in to train some Ukraine forces, including very nazi adjacent ones.’
    ===================================
    False equivalence.

  44. Steelydan @ #2487 Saturday, January 15th, 2022 – 6:44 pm

    Taylormadesays:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 3:54 pm
    The Age 14/01
    Djokovic was not arriving empty-handed. Along with a tennis bag stuffed with new racquets, he had a visa granted on November 18, a medical exemption approved by separate Tennis Australia and Victorian government expert panels, a travel declaration lodged on January 1 with the Federal Department of Home Affairs and a Border Travel Permit issued by the Victorian government.
    _____________________
    Looks like the Victorian government did its best to get him here.

    This is why Andrews just keep saying who enters Australia is a Federal matter. They organise getting the guy in then say look it was their fault it was all the Feds. Tennis Australia has much of the blame but Victoria was the authority all over the paperwork.

    Why then did the Vic minister refuse to assist when Border Force asked 3 times and in writing

  45. Around 100,000 Victorians waiting for test results for more than a week have been told their samples are no longer valid due to a backlog.

    Channel Ten reported on Friday the text messages were sent by clinics Melbourne Pathology, Australian Clinical Labs and Dorevitch Pathology to Victorians awaiting their results.

    “Your Covid-19 PCR sample is no longer suitable to be tested and no result can be provided,” the text message read.

    I actually think that much of Covid is now going to gradually fizzle out and the doomsayers will have even more egg on there face but I like pointing out that Victoria is doing about as well as everyone else and I believe in the end the numbers will show Victoria to have been the least capable of handling Covid.

  46. Steelydansays:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 6:44 pm

    Boarders is always a Federal Issue.

    That’s why they kept the asylum seekers locked up.

  47. Steelydansays:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 6:55 pm

    iN NSW you get covid for waiting in line.
    In NSW you can’t get a RAT test because they sold out.
    In NSW they deny you free testing.

    Go fuck yourself.

  49. Boerwar @ #2993 Saturday, January 15th, 2022 – 6:49 pm

    ‘poroti says:
    Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 6:16 pm

    Boerwar at 5:47 pm

    I see that Putin has sent the Spetsnaz into the Ukraine. Plus ca change.

    That’s great, they can share notes with the CIA guys who have recently dropped in to train some Ukraine forces, including very nazi adjacent ones.’
    ===================================
    False equivalence.

    Also true.

    And like, who’s the aggressor here?

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