As reported by The Australian, the final Newspoll for the year records Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 53-47, from primary votes of Coalition 36%, Labor 38% (steady), Greens 10% (down one) and One Nation 3% (up one). Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are unchanged at 44% approval and 52% disapproval, while Anthony Albanese are respectively up two to 39% and down three to 45%. The report says Morrison is down one on preferred prime minister to 45% and Albanese is down two to 36%. The poll also finds 47% expect Labor to win the election compared with 37% for the Coalition. It was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1518.
If.
See Dave Sharma’s leaflet from a day or so ago. He’s gone from “A Modern Liberal” to just another MP that happens to like blue.
The LNP will not an election with a primary vote with a 3 in front of it. The lowest primary vote the LNp have ever won an election on was 39.51% in 1998 and they came within a whisker of losing that. They only survived because of One Nation preferences.
Ven says:
Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 10:43 pm
”
Bludging Bloossays:
Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 10:38 pm
Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 10:07 pm
Bludging Bloos @ #24 Sunday, December 5th, 2021 – 7:06 pm
Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 10:01 pm
So why have our elections become so Presidential in nature?
Are they really presidential? The focus is still on winning seats in the house….
But the campaign focus is on the leaders.
The “leaders” are tokens for “value sets”. The personas are more like constructs than “people”. They are characters in screenplays. They are interchangeable and mutable. They play dress-ups and act out staged pieces. Politics, like most other public spectacles, is taken as “performance” or as “story”. Very few people think it’s “real”. It is mostly just yet more tv….more programming, more fiction, more ephemera, more “media”.
”
If what you post is true or continue in future, pretty soon we will not have a functioning democratic government.
Leaders are dispensable. Not a problem. They are elected by their party colleges. That’s completely ok. PMs exercise a lot of power but can be instantly dismissed by their colleagues. Good. Most voters get that. They approve, on the whole. Poor leaders have been removed without ceremony and without appeal. Very very good. This is as it should be. It is also a theatrically-charged spectacle. Voters entirely understand that.
B. S. Fairman says:
Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 11:17 pm
The LNP will not an election with a primary vote with a 3 in front of it. The lowest primary vote the LNp have ever won an election on was 39.51% in 1998 and they came within a whisker of losing that. They only survived because of One Nation preferences.
Yes….the reactionary plurality is decaying. Excellent.
From primaries of Coalition 36, Labor 38, Green 10, One Nation 3 (leaving “Someone Else” with 13), I get a 2 PP of Labor 0+38+8+1+6 = 53.
Labor’s 38 looks high compared to its recent performance in actual elections. On the face of it, The Greens and One Nation swap 1%, Labor is steady. The change in the Liberal vote isn’t mentioned – maybe they swapped a point with “Someone Else” or maybe they remained steady too. But apparently the numbers haven’t been significantly shifted by a fortnight in which the Government has really looked like a clown show. Maybe people who get all their news from the Daily Rupert and commercial TV think that the country is going swimmingly.
So, are we still fucked, or not? This is all getting very confusing. The ups and downs are giving me indigestion.
Bushfire Bill says:
Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 11:28 pm
Yes….the reactionary plurality is decaying. Excellent.
So, are we still fucked, or not? This is all getting very confusing. The ups and downs are giving me indigestion.
We probably are. The campaign proper has not begun yet. It will be mercilessly untruthful about Labor. And even if Labor succeed, the LNP and their idiotic auxiliaries will set out to destroy the Government.
Are the Graphs pages broken? They don’t have the latest poll points plotted and the date line says ‘Invalid Date’
Simply, there is a rusted on anti Labor vote
They do not vote Liberal, they vote anti Labor
Hence the highjacking of the Liberal Party post Howard to a right wing ideology driven party
So, at the core that austerity delivers confidence and that confidence will trickle down (hence can do capitalism)
Plus another tenant being that the most effective form of regulation is self regulation (hence, again, can do capitalism)
I repeat, it was Menzies (with Holt as his treasurer) who increased Company and personal tax rates and increased the pension
And, I again repeat, Malcolm Fraser saying the Liberal Party was no longer a liberal party
But, no matter the Liberal Party feting Menzies as their founder, they have moved to IPA and religious right agendas AND they retain the vote they do because of the anti Labor vote
Not a vote for the Liberal Party per se
Remember, Rudd self described (and was) socially progressive but economically conservative to attract enough of the anti Labor vote
And, this anti Labor vote is strongest in Regional Queensland, the Federal result in Regional Queensland giving us the “government” we currently have
Then you get Katter, Hanson and Palmer as products of Regional Queensland
My take anyway
Labor and its cultists here, seem to forget that One Nation often peels off a lot of Labor voters, voters Labor has failed so badly they look to Clive and Pauline as a hope for something better, fairer, than being left behind.
Even today it was explicit that Albo’s tafe and uni funding wasn’t about kids, it wasn’t about giving kids a chance to choose to study what they want and are good it, it was for business. targeted for business, what business needed. Not about the kids at all, they are just going to be unpaid, insecurely employed economic inputs of no importance. Labor has been about business before people for 40 years now and the people have noticed.
for the vast range of morons here who support the ‘go with a no ambition plan and win the election and worry about climate change whenever’:
https://youtu.be/23nDxPSIoAw
Bring on the climate crimes tribunals. now!
And just to add, this anti Labor vote plus the promotion it gets thru media, is the reason Labor’s election wins have all been narrow
And as few as they have been
There is also the credibility given by NGO appointments from Liberal Party identities, including our Courts and GG appointments (from the Military so “you are safe with us”)
A Labor vote of 54% on a 2PP basis is as high as it is going to get until Labor becomes the party of government due to an extended period in government
Look at the States, Newman, a one term government in Victoria, the expectation of a one term government in SA and WA
In all of these States Labor is now the entrenched party of government
Instead of scaring the horses, they bring onto the streets those who do scare us
I heard the first half of Albo’s speech on the car radio today (then I arrived at my destination). It was good. I think that he got the mix of hope and negativity about right. He avoid the traps that ensnared Bill Shorten in 2019. He even reminded me a bit of Kevin in 2007.
I hope he gets the strategy right. He might be ahead in the polls now but the dark side has nearly all of the money and all the big megaphones. Labor needs to counter this while simultaneously getting across a message of hope and exposing the mendacity, corruption and incompetence of those who now have their hands on the tiller.
Leaders are dispensable. Not a problem. They are elected by their party colleges. That’s completely ok. PMs exercise a lot of power but can be instantly dismissed by their colleagues. Good. Most voters get that. They approve, on the whole. Poor leaders have been removed without ceremony and without appeal. Very very good. This is as it should be. It is also a theatrically-charged spectacle. Voters entirely understand that.
I don’t agree, politicians can change leaders but they must use the power wisely. And it hasn’t been used wisely in the last decade. It really has been amature hour, and Paul Keating challenging Bob Hawke in his fourth term after Hawke was Prime Minster for almost nine years. Just can’t be compared to the ambition, number crunchers, and polling obsession that has driven the challenges over recent years.
It’s also given ammunition to the public. That politicians are all in it for themselves, there all scheming, and their unrelatable. If Scott Morrison loses the next election, I hope it’s the end to this era. It hasn’t reflected well on both sides the calamity that it has been.
WeWantPaul @ #60 Sunday, December 5th, 2021 – 8:52 pm
How stupid to target training towards employment.
Much better to continue to allow business to keep importing workers.
The thing that annoys me about polling is that some people don’t understand it because no matter how good a political party is it will never score 100% even if wages and profits were growing 100% and everyone had a BMW in the driveway and a billion dollars in the bank because there will still be people that don’t like the government.
53-47 is a strong TPP position for the ALP and they wont want the number to blow out too quickly.
The Liberal Party never was a liberal party. It started out as a conservative party but now combines crony capitalism with right wing populism.
At its core, it is the political wing of big business, of corporate Australia. It represents Money. In fact, back in the days before anyone knew about “think tanks”, the IPA actually had a big role in founding the Liberal Party.
Now in a democracy, Big Money needs allies to make up the numbers. Traditional conservatism won’t get it there. That’s where “aspiration”, the dogwhistle, the culture wars, the war drums and Churchianity come in.
The equation is simple ,
2016 Federal election , lib/Nat’s lost 14 seats , with a declining combined primary vote of 3%,
Labor gain 14 seats with a increase of 1% in the primary vote.
If lib/Nat’s combined primary vote decreases , Labor primary vote increases , Labor wins comfortably
Parramatta moderate @ https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/12/05/newspoll-53-47-to-labor-12/comment-page-1/#comment-3767614
Using my federal 2pp estimator widget (https://armariuminterreta.com/projects/australian-2pp-estimator-2022/), I get 53.4-46.6. It does depend on rounding though, as all I have to go on are the published primaries (which are rounded to nearest %).
Newspoll uses a last-election preferences model which apparently combines data from both recent state and federal elections. It did quite well in 2019 as it correctly predicted the shift to preferencing the Coalition amongst One Nation voters (the Newspoll error in 2019 was entirely down to faulty primaries).
53-47 is just about as good as it ever gets for Labor.
The discussion on PB is terrific, interesting, catalytic and completely biased. But!
The fact is, that 67% of Australians have everything that matters and measurable in home ownership. Most of these 67% of Australians have acquired wealth through home ownership. Some have acquired amounts of wealth they’ve only dreamed about.
Home owners can borrow against their home wealth to extend homes, fill up refrigerators in their homes, pay of the excesses of credit cards and buy very nice cars.
Unlike the PB cohort, the home owners really don’t like politicians of all types. They like Morrison and the liberals if they keep getting more of everything, Albanese represents a risk. Covid and climate change are things they hear about on TV but they are on TV, not in their homes.
If the gravy train keeps puffing along, Australians just keep loving it.
Morrison will spent millions of public money reminding voters that Morrison and the liberals gave you, the voter, everything.
They will spend more money telling you that Labor will make house prices fall, the Unions will take all your jobs and you will live in poverty.
Morrison is still the PM because of house prices. Morrison may still be PM after the next election regardless of the polls.
The fact that the majority of liberal politicians are deceitful, self-centered, lying fornicators is of no concern to the majority of voters readying themselves for a Christmas splurge.
Morrison spices his “curry bullshit” with fear, racism, warmongering and sexism. The voters feel very comfortable.
This gravy train just goes on and on. How good is that?
Labor only wins government when it’s all just “bubble and squeak”.
Morrison is going to push the train a little further than he’d have liked, or wanted to, but hey?
The budget is drowning in a sea of red, the GBR is disappearing, China is suspending trade, Covid is in its early days and climate change is because of the Greens.
The PM goes to Bathurst to sit in a “big dick” car, visits BBBBs to tell the fans “he holds the mop”, most of the wheat was harvested and he, Morrison, is the “turkey”.
They love it!
The disappointment with this latest poll for many on PB is palpable.
Australia, the very lucky country, and the voters just keep gambling along.
https://www.pollbludger.net/2021/12/05/newspoll-53-47-to-labor-12/comment-page-2/#comment-3767704
The 67% home ownership figure is from 2016 and is likely to have declined since then.
It is also the percentage of households, not the percentage of Australians. It treats a single retiree who owns their own home the same as a sharehouse full of uni students, despite different voter numbers. Adult children still at home are also excluded from the figure and they do get the vote.
Also, there are plenty of home owners who don`t like the Coalition.
Haven’t we been here before at the last election? Looks like a similar theme building for this one too.
Morning all. Steady poll numbers are good with Labor in front and the time before the election dwindling. Not much more will happen from here to the Christmas break, with most of the journos having left Canberra.
As well as the lower Liberal PV, there is not much there from One Nation or Clive (other?) either, which is surely good news for Labor. I don’t see how the LNP can win majority government from these numbers, and a vote for the Liar from the Shire is also a vote for the Beetrooter.
Meanwhile we have several issues emerging from problems with likely summer flooding, diesel fuel, logistics and Omicron that have one thing in common – no sign of any plan from the Morrison government to fix them.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/icac-not-a-consideration-as-liberals-say-berejiklian-shifts-thinking-on-federal-tilt-20211205-p59f0f.html
Of course it wouldn’t! Adverse ICAC findings are only an issue for Labor.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/bushfire-affected-community-asks-for-water-storage-gets-dance-lessons-20211205-p59ew2.html
The Herald Sun has now properly reported the Victorian state poll that was discussed yesterday, which turns out to be from Redbridge. The undecided component that was ignored in the original report was 9.7%, and after its exclusion the primary votes are Labor 36%, Liberal 32% (Nationals I guess were part of the 5% for “another party”), Greens 8%, UAP 8% and One Nation 5%. Labor’s two-party lead is now said to be 54-46, whereas yesterday the report said 52-48, which I surmised was arrived out by distributing all preferences 50-50. It was conducted November 26-28 from a sample of 2442.
https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria/victorians-voters-turning-against-labor-liberal-parties/news-story/fe9e1fd08c90c8ee6fdc85da23fd4e32
An important insight into what is happening in Western Sydney, after the GladysGhettoes…
“A lot of sole traders or small businesses haven’t reopened, there’s still a lot of anxiety around.”
The emotional scars left by the harsher restrictions, which included a curfew and limits on travel, may take longer to heal.
“I think there’s scarring just in the fact that we woke up every day to hear about cases in our community. So many of us were doing the right thing, but still felt targeted.
“I just feel like the restrictions have lifted but the community is in the same space.”
The state government appears to have little sympathy. The minister for western Sydney, Stuart Ayres, told reporters last week that the region needed to drop its “victim mentality”.
“I completely reject the idea that we live in a two-tiered city,” he said. “The government made decisions to attack the virus where the virus was.”
But community leaders insist the lingering sense of division from the rest of the city and fear that restrictions could return has not only weighed down the economy, but deepened other socioeconomic challenges.
A report on the impacts of the lockdown, prepared by the Western Sydney community forum and the Western Sydney migrant resource centre, found the approach taken by authorities had a detrimental impact on social cohesion.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/dec/05/a-city-divided-as-sydney-comes-back-to-life-scars-of-lockdown-linger-in-the-west
Confessions @ #75 Monday, December 6th, 2021 – 3:22 am
Why is Maguire a disgraced former MP and Berejiklian not?
Both are subject to current ICAC inquiries and both left Parliament because of those inquiries.
Maguire was found corrupt by ICAC in Operation Dasha
Tom the first and best
“Also, there are plenty of home owners who don`t like the Coalition.”
So Tom, why is it that the figures for polling across a range of polls put Labor at a soft two party preferred of 53%, despite the obvious dilemmas, problems, inconsistencies, deceit, rorting and lack of transparency from the much talked about failing Morrison LNP government?
My point is that 53% Labor lead, given the facts related to this Morrison government, is a very low score. And within reach of a Morrison government willing and able to “buy” their win at
the next election.
I don’t mind being wrong.
How do you explain that many Australians prefer a corrupt, deceitful,fornicating, hypocritical mob of pricks, headed by the two fat male fat slobs, are able to still be in government and are still very close to being re-elected?
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
Shane Wright briefly looks at Albanese’s election attack plan.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/pm-drives-around-mt-panorama-as-albanese-spells-out-attack-plan-20211205-p59exi.html
Emma Dawson says we are now in the final quarter and it’s Albo’s time to kick. She contrasts the two leaders’ Sunday. Quite a good read.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/it-s-the-final-quarter-and-it-s-albanese-s-time-to-kick-20211205-p59evy.html
Lisa Visentin and Shane Wright say that the Coalition and Labor are gearing up for long election campaign on trust.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/renewal-not-revolution-labor-leader-anthony-albanese-lays-out-election-pitch-20211205-p59evl.html
The SMH editorial says that Albanese must make compelling case for change to oust Morrison.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/albanese-must-make-compelling-case-for-change-to-oust-morrison-20211205-p59ezx.html
Michelle Grattan writes that Labor’s “Powering Australia” climate policy, released on Friday, is carefully calibrated to the politics.
https://theconversation.com/view-from-the-hill-albaneses-43-emissions-reduction-target-by-2030-has-some-political-cover-173161
The Australian reports that Morrison has told the head of Nine that he is unhappy with the way he is being treated by several of its journalists. Sean Kelly, a former adviser to Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard, Peter Hartcher, the SMH and Age political and international editor, AFR columnist Laura Tingle, and Nine papers’ Thursday political columnist, Niki Savva were named. How precious!
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/media/laurie-oakes-goes-to-work-for-the-abc/news-story/8146d6228b8a1770e3f377ac7ae3c435
Federal spending on aged care will double by the end of the decade and put even more pressure on the budget, shows new actuarial research that warns older Australians may have to draw on their savings to help them into their later years.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/aged-care-spending-will-need-to-increase-even-more-actuaries-warn-20211205-p59evd.html
Scott Morrison’s reaction to the Kate Jenkins’ review was to make it very clear that it wasn’t just his side that behaved deplorably towards women. Whilst no doubt true, it’s a pitiful comeback which invites a response, writes Kay Lee.
https://theaimn.com/scott-morrisons-themtoo-moment/
A surge in tax revenue from everyday workers, companies and superannuation funds plus lower-than-expected unemployment levels are helping the federal budget recover from the fiscal fallout of the COVID-19 recession. But Shane Wright reports that new figures from the Finance Department also show the budget is still on track for one of the largest deficits on record, leaving which ever party wins next year’s federal election tough decisions on how to repair the economy.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/tax-revenue-surge-improves-budget-bottom-line-but-big-deficit-awaits-20211205-p59ewv.html
‘Technology not taxes’ is not enough. A price on carbon is needed to make more expensive lower-emissions innovations the cheaper option, urges Ross Garnaut.
https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/voluntary-climate-action-won-t-reach-net-zero-20211204-p59eru
Does the Liberal Party’s claim to be “superior economic managers” stack up? No. We dig back to Harold Holt, through 60 years of Australia’s Treasurers, to find the best and worst. A Callum Foote investigation.
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/treasurer-measurer-exploding-the-liberal-election-myth-of-superior-economic-managers/
Labor’s climate policy slakes the thirst of economic rationalists hanging out for someone – anyone – to deliver a rational response to the climate challenge, explains Stephen Hamilton.
https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/labor-delivers-a-liberal-plan-for-climate-action-20211204-p59ern
In another dismal display of the inability of Australian politics to deal with climate change, the Labor Party felt obliged to lower its target to win the election, laments Alan Kohler.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2021/12/06/climate-change-labor-policy-kohler/
The AFR’s editorial declares that Labor’s plan to use the safeguard mechanism as a carbon price will cut the cost of decarbonising and open up the opportunities it brings.
https://www.afr.com/policy/energy-and-climate/labor-turns-to-the-market-to-fix-climate-20211202-p59ecx
Australia’s lobbying laws only apply to a small part of the lobbying industry, do not identify who is lobbying who and the sanctions are laughable, argue Ian Hunter and Don Jones.
https://johnmenadue.com/paying-the-piper-the-lobbyists-who-need-to-be-rigorously-controlled/
Jenna Price is disgusted with the government after Financial Counselling Australia released a heartbreaking report on a new form of credit which is turning people’s lives upside down. The BNPL industry is wreaking havoc.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/buy-now-pay-dearly-later-how-consumers-are-indebted-with-late-fees-20211203-p59ehq.html
With prices rising surprisingly rapidly this year in the US and Britain – we’re witnessing a battle between financial markets, who fear inflation, and central banks, writes Ross Gittins.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/panicking-financial-markets-could-stuff-up-another-global-recovery-20211205-p59ewt.html
Yet another NDIS horror story from Luke Henriques-Gomes.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/dec/06/terminally-ill-ndis-patient-facing-re-hospitalisation-after-funding-cut-for-24-hour-nurse
Haileybury College. Hale School. St Ignatius College. Toowoomba Grammar. A common thread links all the men caught up in recent sexual assault and harassment allegations that have plagued the federal parliament – each one attended an elite private boys school, writes the AFR’s Julie Hare who really goes to town on the toxic brew of privilege, entitlement, expectation and protection that enables the worst aspects of elite schoolboys’ behaviour.
https://www.afr.com/work-and-careers/education/a-reckoning-is-overdue-for-private-school-boys-behaving-badly-20211205-p59ew3
Debate over creating federal integrity commission should not drag on as public trust in institutions continues to wane, a former government watchdog has warned. Speaking to a Canberra audience of senior public servants recently, former Commonwealth Ombudsman Michael Manthorpe, who spent more than four years in the role until this year, said it was an important oversight mechanism to establish, and soon.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7536841/dont-drag-feet-on-federal-icac-former-watchdog-says/?cs=14264
Residents of a Blue Mountains community that lost 12 houses in the Black Summer bushfires are pleading to be pork-barrelled after they unsuccessfully applied for a grant to secure their water supply, only to become the bewildered recipients of dance lessons, reports Harriet Alexander.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/bushfire-affected-community-asks-for-water-storage-gets-dance-lessons-20211205-p59ew2.html
The Victorian Liberal Party has shot down an internal push to formally oppose gender quotas – decried by one member as “Marxism” – and has instead committed to adopting programs to recruit, train and mentor more female candidates to increase their numbers in state and federal Parliaments.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/liberals-shoot-down-internal-push-to-oppose-gender-quotas-20211205-p59ev6.html
Many Australian boards are struggling to prepare their companies or organisations for climate change, with almost half the country’s directors saying they don’t know how to tackle the issue, reports Patrick Hatch.
https://www.theage.com.au/business/companies/where-to-start-boards-struggle-with-climate-change-risks-fail-to-act-20211205-p59evz.html
Police are investigating an alleged attack on the home of prominent Sydney anti-racism campaigner and Black Lives Matter rally organiser Padraic “Paddy” Gibson, which he says was carried out by Nazis. This is beginning to get very nasty.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/police-investigate-alleged-attack-on-home-of-paddy-gibson-20211205-p59f0u.html
And now the ragtag collection of RWNJs, anti-vaxxers, UAP idiots and other hangers-on have descended on Ballarat.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/ballarat-traders-brace-for-protesters-as-freedom-leaders-try-to-salvage-movement-20211205-p59ewa.html
Initial data from South Africa, the epicentre of the outbreak of the Omicron variant, does not show a resulting surge of hospitalisations, America’s top COVID adviser said.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/omicron-not-fuelling-surge-in-hospitalisations-fauci-20211206-p59f12.html
The USA Today gives us a picture of what “Covid normal” will mean in the long term.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/is-the-new-covid-normal-a-fresh-variant-every-few-months-20211206-p59f15.html
A US congressman has posted a Christmas picture of himself and what appears to be his family, smiling and posing with an assortment of guns, just days after four teenagers were killed in a shooting at a high school in Michigan. Is America rooted or what?
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/dec/05/republican-thomas-massie-condemned-for-christmas-guns-photo-congressman-michigan-school-shooting
The UK’s new Tory right is fanatical and dangerous – and should be Labour’s prime target, says John Harris.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/dec/05/tory-right-labour-boris-johnson-face-masks-net-zero-keir-starmer
Another “Arsehole of the Week” nomination goes to Peta Credlin who has issued a lengthy on-air apology to Victoria’s South Sudanese community after anger about a program in which she falsely blamed them for a Melbourne COVID-19 outbreak last year.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/peta-credlin-issues-second-apology-to-south-sudanese-community-20211205-p59eys.html
Cartoon Corner
Peter Broelman
David Rowe
Matt Golding
Richard Ang
Jim Pavlidis
Warren Brown
Mark Knight
Leak
From the US
An excellent question for our media!
The Greens, Murdoch and Palmer could still save Morrison. If he wins again we are stuffed.
sprocket_,
I can empathise with the anger in Western Sydney.
I live in one of the so-called “plague” postcodes that was subject to lockdown for a 9 days prior to the extension to Greater Melbourne at the start of the second wave in July 2020.
There was a lot of sneering postcodism online about the lockdown being “their own fault, if they followed rules it wouldn’t have happened, they deserve it”. We had police stationed on a near by street. monitoring travel into the adjoining “non-plague” postcode. Our postcode had 5 cases out of 15,000 residents. Despite 99.97% not having covid we were all tarred as “filthy plaguers”.
People who’d been locked down were angry about being singled out for what felt like very arbitrary punishment even after 9 days.
Thankfully Andrews Government seemed to learn from that experiment and it hasn’t been repeated.
These two chaps are, almost, making F1 watchable.
Equal on points, a crash in the last race may decide it for Verstappen. Who’d bet against that?
Another “Arsehole of the Week” nomination goes to Peta Credlin who has issued a lengthy on-air apology to Victoria’s South Sudanese community after anger about a program in which she falsely blamed them for a Melbourne COVID-19 outbreak last year.
“Liberals” may or may not be racists – some are, some aren’t – but they chase racists’ votes.
The leading story on ABC Breakfast this morning was that fish and chips might cost more because the price of canola oil was rising.
The Australian reports that Morrison has told the head of Nine that he is unhappy with the way he is being treated by several of its journalists. Sean Kelly, a former adviser to Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard, Peter Hartcher, the SMH and Age political and international editor, AFR columnist Laura Tingle, and Nine papers’ Thursday political columnist, Niki Savva were named. How precious!
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/media/laurie-oakes-goes-to-work-for-the-abc/news-story/8146d6228b8a1770e3f377ac7ae3c435
I knew it. The Prime Monster with Authoritarian tendencies wants to turn the independent media into state media so that it will not question him or his government in the run-up to the election and provide a glide path back to The Lodge.
I sincerely hope, for the sake of our fragile democracy, that the aforementioned journalists and Peter Costello, ignore him.
When will the AEC stop the Liberal and National partys misleading and political fraud in federal elections
The Obvious political misleading and fraud
1- Country Liberal party in Northern Territory – which is not the liberal party but the national party
If the Liberal party and National party outside of QLD are different political entities why is the national party allowed to use the liberal party name.
The media would be hounding the AEC to take action against the Labor party , if Labor party members were using another political party to get elected.
Rest of Australia except QLD
2- The liberal and national partys claim of being different political entities is completely misleading and fraudulent
Steve777 @ #87 Monday, December 6th, 2021 – 7:32 am
And with the apology, Peta Credlin has probably been told, in no uncertain terms by the Liberal Party, that they would like the votes of the South Sudanese community in Victoria now, thank you.
Steve777 @ #87 Monday, December 6th, 2021 – 4:32 am
It certainly highlights the propensity to shoot their mouths off about an issue whilst completely ignorant of the facts.
Given that pollsters have corrected for the errors of 2019, one does wonder what the figures would have been had they not amended their calculations.
shellbell @ #80 Monday, December 6th, 2021 – 4:03 am
Thanks, I didn’t realise a finding had been handed down.
What a cry baby Scott Morrison is. The PMO is already said to try to pressure journos who don’t paint him in the best light. Praise to the senior group who refuse to be cowed by him.
More Vic State MPs expected to move on, or be moved on, before the 2022 election. (The first para below though is about what is expected post 2022 and before 2026 – should the electoral gods smile on the government in a year’s time; it suggests that a slew of senior ministers, including Andrews, would retire in the next term):
“Additionally, it is expected within Labor that many of the core group of nine ministers will probably not contest another election after the November 2022 poll, including the Premier, Deputy Premier James Merlino, Trade Minister Martin Pakula, Treasurer Tim Pallas and Police Minister Lisa Neville.
Party operatives are aiming to move on close to 10 Labor MPs before the next election to generate renewal and ensure the party has fresh blood to fill the ministerial bench of future Labor governments. Six MPs have already announced their resignations and this figure may rise further this week.”
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/fresh-faced-minister-to-replace-somyurek-ally-20211205-p59f0x.html
Observer says:
Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 11:45 pm
Simply, there is a rusted on anti Labor vote
——————————————————————–
Goll says:
Monday, December 6, 2021 at 2:44 am
53-47 is just about as good as it ever gets for Labor.
——————————————————————-
Two excellent analyses which say it all. You don’t have to be Mundo to appreciate the problem facing the ALP.
I have been worried for some time about how the insane property market will make voters risk averse.
Just how far does the ALP have to go to change their minds? Do they shift only grudgingly when conservative governments, like the present one, become sclerotic.
Faced with a mainstream media which fails to hold the Morrison mob to account, led by Murdoch, Channels 9 and 7 and a cowed ABC, and the Liberals’ dirt machine, Labor has its work cut out for it just to switch five or six seats.
“Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”….
So far …. so good….
Oh, and good on Albo and the ALP for already unofficially starting the election campaign… Scomocchio was hoping to send everybody to sleep and then, suddenly, announce a surprise election date hoping to catch the ALP unprepared… Ha, ha, ha…. poor Scomocchio, what other desperate “little trick” will he try, to fool the Voting Morons?
Queensland is waiting for your announcement of election day, Scomocchio…. and when we swing…. we truly SWING (just ask Campbell Newman)!
——————-
P.S. I can’t wait to see the Voter De-Moronisation effect that Covid had across Australia, yes including in NSW!
lizzie @ #94 Monday, December 6th, 2021 – 4:44 am
Considering who the names are I don’t think it will have an impact.
I certainly wouldn’t like to be tasked with the job of telling Tingle to go easy on Scotty.
Just imagine if the Labor party website had members of the greens posted on it.
The hypocritical corrupt Liberal and National partys and their propaganda media units would be in a outcry, claiming Labor and the greens were not separate political entity ,
while the media remain quiet that the Liberal party has National party members who were supposed to be different political entities on their website