The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor leading 54-46, out from 53-47 three weeks ago, from primary votes of Coalition 35% (down two), Labor 38% (up one), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 3% (up one). Scott Morrison is down two on approval to 46% and up one on disapproval to 50%, while Anthony Albanese is steady on approval at 37% and down one on disapproval to 46%. Morrison leads 48-34 as preferred prime minister, out marginally from 47-34. More to follow.
UPDATE: The poll also finds 35% saying Anthony Albanese and Labor would be better at “leading Australia’s response to the global climate change crisis”, 28% favouring Scott Morrison and the Coalition, and 21% saying both would be equal. It also find a continuation of a significant shift on what the federal government should prioritise out of energy prices, carbon emissions and preventing blackouts, which has now been asked four times going back to 2017. From July 2018 to February 2020 to the present, the response for carbon emissions has escalated from 24% to 43% to 47%, while energy prices has declined from 63% to 42% to 40%. Preventing blackouts has been steady, going from 9% to 11% to 10%. I am not able to access a sample size of the poll because I can’t get The Australian’s online printed edition to work, but the poll will have been conducted from Wednesday to Saturday.
UPDATE 2: The sample was 1515 – the methodology statement for the poll can be viewed here.
Steelydan
… that plus being a liberal in all but name…..Loves a mine does our Anna.
_____
Interesting that “being a liberal” is reduced to “loving a mine.”
It’s almost 19th century. I suppose that’s when the Master Servant Act was in vogue.
ajm:
Tuesday, October 26, 2021 at 8:59 pm
[‘Quite some time ago I was in conversation with a person who worked at a senior level in her office. Despite this person being the epitome of a seasoned political operative to themselves, they were in absolute awe of her ability to read the public mood and decide what to do in response.’]
For sure, her old man passing on his secrets. With Newman, his persona was angst. Most times you see Palaszczuk she’s a delight, smiling, positive. If only Albanese could ape Anna’s appeal but he’s only a man.
I would hope the ALP has more sense than to try to exploit the tragic disappearance of a young girl for political gain.
Rakali @ #1045 Tuesday, October 26th, 2021 – 9:33 pm
I wonder. The Scots Language Centre says that the origin is obscure but was first recorded in the 15th c.
““yon glakyt Scottis can ws nocht wndyrstand. Fulys thai ar.”
from Henry the Minstrel’s (who is perhaps better known as Blind Harry) Acts and deidis of Schir William Wallace ca 1478.”
Trans: We can’t understand those stupid Scots. They are fools.
Naturally I totally disagree with this – except for a couple of my cousins! 🙂
Lars
Your thought’s on the point Cannon- Brookes was making?
Compare what the UK has set in stone:
“UK 2050 plan? 21 docs. 1868 pages. Heat & building strategy. Heat pump grants. EV incentives. End gas boilers by 2035, ICE sales by 2030! Treasury reviewed. CCC approved. Pathways for every sector to 2037. Legally binding. 5 year targets.”
To Morrisons pathetic document that hopes something might happen.
Doesn’t matter whether a billionaire or a pauper points it out.
Poor deflection.
Its okay, David, I’m sure Borbidge is used to people forgetting who he is.
Asha,
I’m sure no one in any Party will react to an out of context smear.
One of the first elections I ever paid attention to was the 2001 QLD state election, when I was twelve. I don’t recall a whole lot about it, except for some of the Labor ads which featured a slogan that has, for whatever reason, stuck in my memory to this day: ”Don’t bring Borbidge back.”
Asha I’m sure you are correct. I can’t even spell his name. 🙂
Been There says:
Tuesday, October 26, 2021 at 9:42 pm
Lars
Your thought’s on the point Cannon- Brookes was making?
Compare what the UK has set in stone:
“UK 2050 plan? 21 docs. 1868 pages. Heat & building strategy. Heat pump grants. EV incentives. End gas boilers by 2035, ICE sales by 2030! Treasury reviewed. CCC approved. Pathways for every sector to 2037. Legally binding. 5 year targets.”
To Morrisons pathetic document that hopes something might happen.
Doesn’t matter whether a billionaire or a pauper points it out.
Poor deflection.
_______________________________________
Investment tip: Don’t bet your life savings on 29 year forecasts from any politician. Australian or auslander
Rakali
https://www.scotsman.com/whats-on/arts-and-entertainment/scottish-word-day-glaikit-1623571
poroti
it didn’t have the most useful/iconic Scots word “Dreich” (because its not an emotion, I suppose).
——–
“Dreich” – meaning dull or gloomy – topped a poll to mark Book Week Scotland, led by the Scottish Book Trust.
It beat off contenders including “glaikit”, “scunnered” and “shoogle”.
The charity said the first recorded use of the word “dreich” was in 1420, when it originally meant “enduring” or “slow, tedious”.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-50476008
Asha:
Tuesday, October 26, 2021 at 9:51 pm
So you were born in 1989. Given your tender years, you’re doing quite well with your political analysis.
For climate change we need europe and china to align, there needs to be a per capita weighting and a weighting that takes into account emissions since 1900, so that those who’ve been heavily polluting for 120 years are expected to do the heavy lifting early, those countries should really be carbon negative by 2030 to give the countries who’ve contributed much less to the problem to take a longer more sensible transition.
If they can do that an impose crippling trade stopping import tariffs on anyone who isn’t on board our grandchildren have a small chance of a poor future.
If we don’t they have no chance at all.
@Asha – for long, I’ve feared I was the youngest person to post here (outside of a few of our Greens spruikers)
jt1983 says:
Tuesday, October 26, 2021 at 10:05 pm
@Asha – for long, I’ve feared I was the youngest person to post here (outside of a few of our Greens spruikers)
__________________
what is the multiple between ur age and the oldest poster on here? I am guessing 3.1
Mavis:
1988, actually. Though my hairline and right knee seem to be under the impression that I was born a few decades earlier!
WeWantPaul says:
Tuesday, October 26, 2021 at 10:04 pm
For climate change we need europe and china to align, there needs to be a per capita weighting and a weighting that takes into account emissions since 1900, so that those who’ve been heavily polluting for 120 years are expected to do the heavy lifting early, those countries should really be carbon negative by 2030 to give the countries who’ve contributed much less to the problem to take a longer more sensible transition.
If they can do that an impose crippling trade stopping import tariffs on anyone who isn’t on board our grandchildren have a small chance of a poor future.
If we don’t they have no chance at all.
_______________________
Utopian.
“Utopian.”
The irony of the only way out of the spiral of climate catastrophe that is well underway being an impossible dream, isn’t lost on me.
Too hard don’t try?
Lars,
“Investment tip: Don’t bet your life savings on 29 year forecasts from any politician. Australian or auslander”.
More deflection (and a weird, irrelevant one at that).
Obvious even you are embarrassed by Morrisons pathetic “plan”.
Well GG, I tried your pathway – I installed Medicare Express Mobile app – but couldn’t find any link or suggestion as to how to connect my COVID Vaccination certificate with the Service NSW app.
Thanks for the advice, but no go this end.
I’m actually trying to do this on behalf of myself, my wife and four other neighbours, plus 2 family members.
We’re completely buggered as to how to make it work. 11 university degrees between us and we feel like idiots.
BB
We’re completely buggered as to how to make it work. 11 university degrees between us and we feel like idiots.
—–
a piece of paper, or what they say now “Hard copy”. 🙂
BB,
Everything is better in Victoria.
I’m sorry for your personal choice to live in NSW.
Obviously things are different there.
I got to really learn how it feels to be an old man when I went to a Super Smash Bros tournament at UQ a couple of weeks ago. I’m pretty sure most of the people there hadn’t even been born the first time I played a Smash Bros game.
Thankfully, there’s plenty of Labor events on at the moment where I can feel like a youngster again!
Asha:
Tuesday, October 26, 2021 at 10:08 pm
[‘Mavis:
1988, actually. Though my hairline and right knee seem to be under the impression that I was born a few decades earlier!’]
Do keep a check on you right knee, it could be terminal. Anyone who thinks a receding hairline is a problem should perhaps defer to old Dame Joan who died of old age, but not before her swan song:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLksCaHV3Ac
Rakali, I have a PDF version “live” on my phone ready to bring to the foreground on demand. Have had to use it a few times. Checks are cursory. So I guess I’ll stick with that for the time being.
I was forced to use MyGov to access a payment summary early last year, after my former workplace aparently decided emailing them out was too much effort. Just confirming my identity was a nightmarish process. You’d think the government would want to make it easier for us to pay our taxes, not harder!
https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/vaccinated-people-are-less-likely-spread-covid-new-research-finds-n1280583
Worth reposting.
If you are a close contact of someone infected with covid and who is also fully vaccinated with Pfizer, you’re 65% less likely to become infected yourself (than if the person was unvaccinated). However..
If you are a close contact of someone infected with covid and who is also fully vaccinated with Astra Zeneca, you’re 36% less likely to become infected yourself.
That’s two thirds less transmission versus one third. A stark difference, no?
Loris:
Jesus, that’s… concerning.
Hopefully discontent with the state and federal governments results in a better preference distribution than last time.
BB
I try to leave the pdf up on a pdf viewer app. The problem is that I have a lot of apps and the pdf viewer tends to end up way back in the pile. Plus the pdf viewer app sometimes decides to die.
That’s what I do Cud.
On a related matter, what is the point of your constant negativity, gloom and doom re. AZ v. Pfizer?
Some of us had no choice as to which jab we got. We can’t change that. So why go on and on and on about it?
It’s really getting a lot of people down. You’re becoming the pandemic equivalent of Briefly: never anything positive to say.
Asha, I deleted my post because I thought it was old news (in News Ltd last weekend). But here’s the link in case anyone’s interested – shows 17% primary vote for UAP in Western Sydney
https://redbridgegroup.com.au/uap-surge-in-western-sydney-nsw/
CC apparently a Pfizer booster improves that substantially.
Mavis:
I badly injured my knee a few years back, resulting in surgery and a lot of physio. Rest assured that I pay a lot of attention to how it’s going. 🙂
(Incidentally, this is one of many reasons why I can react a bit strongly to the proposition that there’s little difference between Labor and the LNP in Queensland: had I hurt my knee while Newman’s workplace comp “reforms” were still law, I would likely be heavily in debt right now.)
Cheers, Loris.
This bit is interesting:
I’m not sure how they worked out the TPP there, but if it was based on 2019 preference flows, you’d have to think that doesn’t bode well for the government.
BB
Knowledge is power and therefore a positive. I didn’t have a choice about getting AZ either, but I intend to get a Moderna or Pfizer booster.
I also happen to have an issue with authorities lying and with the media being too stupid to interrogate those lies.
– We were originally told that shutting down travel would be counter-productive (official WHO line).
– We were told that covid falls to the floor and can’t spread as an aerosol.
– We are still being kept in the dark about the difference between indoor/outdoor risk levels.
– We have been consistently sold the line that all vaccines are equal.
(and some other calculated lies).
Noted, cobber. I wish you well.
Redbridge is a member of the Australian polling council but they don’t state how they calculated their preference flows in their methodology!
They don’t mention anything about asking for respondent preferences, so it must be last election based. Also, they only weight by age and sex, not by household income or education level, which could make a difference to the proportion of UAP supporters
CC, I’m pretty sure AZ is not going to be used for boosters, so I think you will get your wish.
Cheers, Mavis.
@Lars – I wouldn’t dare to guess specifics about other’s ages… 🙂
COVID-19 Vaccine rollout
NSW
85.5% fully vaccinated; first dose 80%
National
74.1% fully vaccinated; 87.1% first dose 80%
How’s your doom & gloom theory going now dear Cud?
I was talking to my brother, who spends a lot more time reading up about Covid and vaccines than I do, the other night, and he mentioned something about Pfizer that I was unaware of: apparently, exercising heavily for the first week or two after a Pfizer dose puts you at risk of – I think – some sort of dangerous clot (I can’t remember what, medicine not being my area of expertise), something that people are now warned about in some European countries but isn’t talked about here. As my brother is a gym junkie, this gave him some pause, as he didn’t know about this when he had his first dose. Luckily, I had both of my doses during a particularly lazy time in my life.
(I might add that I really don’t know how reliable my brother’s info is here, he could well be misinformed.)
JT:
There were several Bludgers who – for the longest time – I was sure had to be either teenagers or in their early twenties. I’d tell myself, “Go easy on them, they’re clearly just a moody teen. They’ll grow up eventually.”
I was a bit shocked when I discovered most of these individuals were decades older than me.
Asha @ #1095 Tuesday, October 26th, 2021 – 10:29 pm
“Age shall not weary them” is one of those double-edged thingies. 🙂
Asha @ #1095 Tuesday, October 26th, 2021 – 10:59 pm
Hey, I am only a few years older than you! 😛
The WHO is on the record saying border closures are not sustainable – referencing the impact on developing Nations
Collateral to this, the WHO referenced the conditions precedent for border openings
I do not recall when this communication from the WHO was bought to my attention but it was during the early going
Not as early as the January 2020 warning as to the “alarming spread” and the “alarming lack of response” but shortly thereafter
When these “early” warnings were issued, citing the USA v China to the annoyance of the then USA President, reported cases outside China totalled less than 100
In regards NSW, the question put from the bench was interesting – if not telling
The answer drawn was telling
The defence of the person of Interest was the typical defence of a Liberal
Attack the man and not address the issue at hand
And that defence has been shot down
The rest of this week will be of interest
What is not being detailed is the actions of the former MP for Wagga Wagga, attempting to secure his future financially whilst still in the Parliament and using his status as a MP (aided and abetted by the then Premier of the State who responded “I don’t want to know about that. Do not tell me”?) to further his own interests
The pork barreling, to me, is the side issue (but of concern to the Federal Government courtesy of their use of pork barreling)
The issue is the actions of the former MP for Wagga Wagga and the former Premier not referring those actions as is the requirement
The Inquiry into the former MP for Wagga Wagga continues, remember
“Its okay, David, I’m sure Borbidge is used to people forgetting who he is.”
Actually, Rob Borbidge featured prominently in a segment from the Dailey show with Jon Stewart. It showed Borbidge brought in tougher gun laws after the Port Arthur massacre even it was detrimental to his politcal career. And politicians in America should follow his lead.
The Left in America loved the segment and it won an Emmy but it misses the mark in historical accuracy. One Nation success in winning 11 state seats in Queensland in 1998 was largely because of federal issues of fears of immigration and speed of globalisation back in the nineties. Yes, gun control was also a part of it but it was mostly driven from immigration.
Borbidge wasn’t a particularly a popular premier and his government wasn’t that well liked. The suggestion it was gun control that cost him the 1998 Queensland state election and he was some kind of a poltical martyr is wishful thinking.
Retired school teachers and Government public servants are the vast majority. Says everything.