Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

No real change from Newspoll, except perhaps to its release schedule.

The Australian has dropped a new Newspoll a fortnight rather than three weeks after the last, perhaps portending a quickening of the schedule as the federal election approaches. Labor’s two-party lead is unchanged at 53-47, from primary votes of Coalition 37% (steady), Labor 37% (down one), Greens 11% (up one) and One Nation 2% (down one). Scott Morrison is up two on approval to 48% and disapproval to 49%, while Anthony Albanese is steady on 37% and down one to 47%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister edges from 47-35 to 47-34. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1545.

UPDATE: The poll also found 59% approval and 31% disapproval for Australia “building and operating nuclear-powered submarines”, which was put to respondents after an introductory spiel explaining the AUKUS deal. Forty-six per cent felt it would make Australia more secure, compared with 14% less secure and 29% for no difference. Seventy-five per cent rated that China posed a significant threat to Australia’s national security, compared with 15% who did not.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,554 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. My son has started calling politicians like Matthew Guy and Dominic Perrottet, ‘seat warmers’. I like the cut of his jib. 🙂

  2. Snappy Tom says:
    Wednesday, October 6, 2021 at 3:36 pm
    Guytaur at 3.06pm

    Re ‘best governments’

    I know people of the Left who love Whitlam and hate Hawke.

    I know people of the self-anointed left who wanted to expel Whitlam, exile Hawke, imprison Keating and shoot Rudd. Lawd only knows what they would have done with Curtin and Chifley. These days they cluster in troll-corner.

  3. C@tmomma @ #1450 Wednesday, October 6th, 2021 – 4:24 pm

    Pale blue dot SyringeSyringe
    @ofpalebluedot

    Good to hear Laura Tingle pointing out that all states & territories have written to the Morrison govt about health funding, not just Queensland. Morrison & Hunt’s attacks on Premier Palaszczuk are beginning to sound unhinged #abc730 #auspol

    I don’t know about ‘unhinged’. ‘Evil’ maybe.

    There’s an election coming real soon. Palaszczuk’s deputy though knows his role.
    “If Scott Morrison wants COVID to come to Queensland the least he could do is fund our health system properly.”
    https://twitter.com/StevenJMiles/status/1445538549038665728

  4. JK Galbraith had ‘conservatives’ nailed many years ago.

    “The modern conservative is engaged in one of man’s oldest exercises in moral philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.”

    Sounds a it like the American version of Christianity. Jesus said something to the effect that the wealthy would find it very difficult get into the kingdom of heaven if they turn their backs on the poor, while the American rich see their wealth as a reward from God for their industriousness and bugger the poor, the lazy bastards.

  5. Bert,

    That looks more like a kids trampoline in that alleged chook pen.

    Maybe Matthew wanted to practice back flips and full circle manouvres after the presser.


  6. Scottsays:
    Wednesday, October 6, 2021 at 4:59 pm
    Its over for Scott Morrison

    Even the S.A Premier is going against him

    Harvey Biggs
    @HarveyBiggs
    · 4h
    South Australia will not be following the Prime Minister’s plan for opening our international border. Premier Steven Marshall says we’ll likely start with a 14 days quarantine for arrivals, & may not open up on the day we hit 80% double dosed.
    —————–

    So 2 liberal Party state governments are following Labor state/territories

    But the criticism of Federal government, LNP types and Murdoch press, Costello 9fax and Stokes 7 news is reserved for labor governed states.

  7. Bystander
    Indeed. Scotty’s flavor of xtianity takes wealth as proof that you are ‘blessed by god’. Poverty and misfortune of course indicates you are likely a norty sinner.

  8. @marquelawyers tweets

    Quite strange: it appears the Premier and his spokesperson don’t understand the public health orders. He’s clearly in breach and their defence is nonsensical. He doesn’t live in an area of concern and is not an authorised worker.

    @samanthamaiden tweets

    NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet denies breaching health orders after Sydney Harbour photo | news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site

    https://www.news.com.au/national/nsw-act/nsw-premier-dominic-perrottet-denies-breaching-health-orders-after-sydney-harbour-photo/news-story/4cafe98599765710b9a93b935faae476

  9. Thanks C@t, I’ll take that as a compliment.
    Regarding the weapons used by the Australian Army in Vietnam.
    The L1A1 SLR was the standard rifle used throughout the army. As said elsewhere chambered for the 7.62x51mm round or .308 NATO.
    Rather heavy and a bit scary for people that had never fired a rifle before regarding recoil and very hard hitting.
    The L2A1 AR, more or less as above but with a heavier barrel, larger magazine capacity, folding bi-pod and selective fire. (Could fire semi auto, single shot with each squeeze of the trigger or fully automatic, squeeze the trigger and hang on).
    The home grown Owen Gun, a 9mm “machine Carbine” (don’t ask me why they got that designation, I haven’t got a clue) They received the royal order of the boot after a decree from on high that they could not be fired with ammunition older than that manufactured in 1954. The only ammo obtainable by the battalion serving in Vietnam at that time was manufactured in 1940 (but it was Ok for use in the Browning pistol. What was the difference in weapons? Stuffed if I know) so it was goodbye Owen Gun and hello AR16 after a brief fandango with the AR15 which was generally considered rubbish.
    There were other weapons used in Vietnam.
    We were still using these weapons in the 80’s(when I was a cut lunch commando) along with re-chambered Korean war vintage Bren Gun’s. designated L4A1 (my personal favourite)

  10. @AlexGreenwhich tweets

    The NSW adult population has just reached 70% double vaccination! Thank you to all the doctors, pharmacists, nurses, and health care workers for delivering millions of jabs to the NSW community

  11. “Why is Matthew Guy doing a presser in front of a chook pen?”

    This particular chook pen is famous, because it’s the only one in Australia that Scotty Morrison didn’t claim to build.

  12. ” He doesn’t live in an area of concern and is not an authorised worker”

    Not sure that is the analysis. He is entitled to claim he can go into the city for work as work not possible from home but I doubt he can exercise as part of the work.

  13. mundo @ #1462 Wednesday, October 6th, 2021 – 6:06 pm

    Bert @ #1446 Wednesday, October 6th, 2021 – 5:18 pm

    Ven @ #1341 Wednesday, October 6th, 2021 – 12:24 pm


    sprocket_says:
    Wednesday, October 6, 2021 at 10:17 am
    Why is Matthew Guy doing a presser in front of a chook pen?

    May be it is Lobster farm with some chooks in it. If so, it makes sense. 🙂

    Free range “bin chicken’s” perhaps?

    Bin Chickens.

    Them n all. Spelling? Do you want 50c?

  14. It is an interesting intersection of the orders.

    Be odd if you are allowed to go to work that you are not allowed to go and get something to eat or walk around the block to stretch your legs etc

  15. NSW Premier Poperrottet and his deputy Toole look like a classic duo of over promoted seat warmers and will be easy beats at the next NSW state election.
    Labor leader Minns must think he is the luckiest Opposition leader in Australia.

  16. D&M,

    Yes, am retired and free most days so look forward to the catch-up.
    Envy your driving trip …I used to lease a car in France and would drive it to the UK, Italy, etc. Loved Antibes and look forward to our next visit.
    Regarding senior travel insurance my 87 yr old MIL was full of praise re her Probus Travel Insurance. She was hospitalised in Alaska with pneumonia and later flown to Oz first class with a nurse. HI has preexisting health issues but we had no problems qualifying early 2020 . The premiums were reasonable though that was 18 months ago so maybe things have changed.

  17. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/oct/06/trump-aides-capitol-attack-house-select-committee

    Top Trump aides set to defy subpoenas in Capitol attack investigation
    Source says Meadows, Bannon and others will move to undercut House select committee inquiry – under instructions from Trump

    It seems to me this is a dumb move by Trump and his henchmen. To prevent their testimony Trump needs to be able to use executive privilege to protect those subpoenaed, which he doesn’t have. Or have I missed something? And even if the performance is merely a delaying tactic, I can’t see Biden or Garland blocking the criminal prosecution that will likely follow if they defy the subpoena. They’re acting as if Trump still has the powers he had while President. Are Meadows, Bannon, Scavino and Patel really prepared to be criminally prosecuted just to protect Trump?

  18. ‘Late Riser says:
    Wednesday, October 6, 2021 at 7:07 pm

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/oct/06/trump-aides-capitol-attack-house-select-committee

    Top Trump aides set to defy subpoenas in Capitol attack investigation
    Source says Meadows, Bannon and others will move to undercut House select committee inquiry – under instructions from Trump

    It seems to me this is a dumb move by Trump and his henchmen. To prevent their testimony Trump needs to be able to use executive privilege to protect those subpoenaed, which he doesn’t have. Or have I missed something? And even if the performance is merely a delaying tactic, I can’t see Biden or Garland blocking the criminal prosecution that will likely follow if they defy the subpoena. They’re acting as if Trump still has the powers he had while President. Are Meadows, Bannon, Scavino and Patel really prepared to be criminally prosecuted just to protect Trump?’
    —————————
    They may only have to delay things for another three or so years.

  19. Late Riser,
    I saw an interview with Jamie Raskin where he was asked that exact question and he replied they’re not going to pussyfoot around with those guys, nor allow them to use delaying tactics in the courts. I believe they can throw them in the brig in the White House (?) until they change their minds, or there is another remedy open to them, and they are not afraid to use it.

    I’m sure they believe that the Supreme Court will side with them and they can take it all the way there. Jamie Raskin and Adam Schiff don’t agree with that assessment.

  20. Are earlier discussion on who / what is a “conservative”? It depends upon the context. In terms of political power, I would suggest that it is someone who supports the power elites in their country / community. This could be because they are part of it, because their interests aligh with those of the power elites, or maybe they have been persuaded that they do. In some cases it may be because they simply believe it to be the natural order, or it best guarantees their security from the wicked Other.

    So in different times and different places the power elite could be religious, members of a social group (”nobility”), the military/warrior class, those who own or control most of the land, members of The Party or, as in our case, a plutocracy. Different powerful groups may be aligned to gain and keep power, e.g the plutocrats and the authoritarian strands of the major religion (the USA), the plutocrats and the Party (China) or the Plutocrats and the Military (Suharto’s Indonsia) and so on.

    So conservatives play by the rules (which they mostly made), uphold traditions and respect any umpire (which they mostly appointed) for so long as it benefits them. If it doesn’t benefit them, they don’t.

  21. C@tmomma

    I hadn’t thought of the Supreme Court. Hmm. But the mid terms are only a year off, so perhaps there’s a bit of urgency with the anger. So far it’s been slow and steady, which I’ve put down to making sure the net is tight. We’ll see soon enough, I guess.

  22. Whilst Albo and others seem to be trying make mileage out of 1000 days since a promised ICAC.

    It is about 3650 + days since Labor walked away from doing something themselves when the Gillard government deal included an integrity commissioner as part of the Greens support. As well as limiting and greater transparency in donations and truth in advertising legislation for political advertising.

    To be honest revisiting this Gillard statement below is sounding almost exactly like Smoko here, Gillard’s excuse of already existing ‘strong system of checks and balances’ seems like almost an exact quote of Smoko over recent days.

    Honestly for all the squealing by Labor bludgers a simple review of the history of the issue reveals that Labor has been their own worst enemy and most incompetent when it comes to acting on this stuff.

    Complaining about the likes of Kelly and Palmer and their funding and idiotic advertising, when they supported the current regime with the Libs and stupidly didn’t do anything about the situation when they had the chance with the Greens and cross bench.

    As previously mentioned even post the last election in 2019 Albo has claimed corruption is not a problem he’s ever seen in federal parliament and there seems to undoubtedly be Labor MPs who are less than enthusiastic about any ICAC, as for the Libs and Nats.

    Greens bill for strong ICAC with retrospective investigation powers has passed the senate and is ready to go.

    I’d say it’s wise to not take Labor’s word on anything ICAC until it’s delivered.

    What’s the case for a federal ICAC?
    2014
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-09-10/appleby-whats-the-case-for-a-federal-icac/5733712

    In 2011, the Joint Committee on the Australian Commission for Law Enforcement Integrity recommended a full review of the Commonwealth’s integrity framework with a view to establishing a generalist, dedicated anti-corruption body. The Joint Committee noted that the lack of such a body to date meant “there could be a lot of ‘undisturbed rocks’ that need to be overturned if the public is to be fully assured that integrity in the public sector is being properly maintained and safeguarded.”

    But the Commonwealth has managed to resist the establishment of a standing anti-corruption watchdog. A National Parliamentary Integrity Commissioner, promised by Julia Gillard as part of winning the support of the Greens after the 2010 election, was never introduced.

    In 2012, the Gillard government claimed that there was “no convincing case for the establishment of a single overarching integrity commission”. Rather, the government championed the benefits of the fragmented system of accountability that currently exists, asserting that “no single body should be responsible”. The government explained that by distributing responsibility, “a strong system of checks and balances” is created.

  23. In 2012, the Gillard government claimed that there was “no convincing case for the establishment of a single overarching integrity commission”

    Of course in Green world, the never have to change their mind on anything, otherwise they might actually have to do some self-reflection . Which would harm their perfect egos!

  24. Have a biscuit Quoll.

    You have won the prize for the best Greens attack on Labor today.

    Despite the the fact that to most of us, it was a load of the irrelevant whatabbouterry codswallop that the Labor hating Greens here specialise in.

    Any thoughts about the ongoing debacle of Morrisons pathetic proposal for an integrity commission, or doesn’t that matter because it’s not Labor?

    Cheers, enjoy your biscuit!

  25. Hearing that the election this year is still on the table, may not happen, but all the pre-requisites being massaged.

    And plenty of internal polling going on.

  26. Been Theresays:
    Wednesday, October 6, 2021 at 7:57 pm

    Any thoughts about the ongoing debacle of Morrisons pathetic proposal for an integrity commission, or doesn’t that matter because it’s not Labor?
    ________________
    Sounds like anything will still be better than Gillards.

  27. Quoll says:
    Wednesday, October 6, 2021 at 7:38 pm
    Whilst Albo and others seem to be trying make mileage out of 1000 days since a promised ICAC.

    Quoll…synonym for troll.

  28. Barrie Cassidy
    @barriecassidy
    The federal election campaign has started and this time there’s a real choice. In one of labor’s most marginal seats Corangamite labor has promised an indoor pool on the Bellarine Pen. The Libs have promised an outdoor pool on the same site.

  29. Taylormadesays:
    Wednesday, October 6, 2021 at 8:20 pm
    “Sounds like anything will still be better than Gillards.”

    Oh, Oh, but Gillard, but Labor!

    Give us your thoughts on your beloved leaders pathetic model, as opposed to the proposal put up by Labor and The Greens (yes Greens, some credit there)?

    Just get back on the trampoline with Guy and keep on practising your spinning, because it’s scoring very low at the moment!

  30. Richard Marles 05/10
    “Let me be unequivocally clear: Labor will not require any business to repay a single cent of JobKeeper”

    “Let me repeat that. Labor will not require any business to repay a single cent of JobKeeper.”
    ________________
    Thanks for clearing that up Richard.

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