Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Both federal leaders at low ebbs, but little change on voting intention from the latest Newspoll.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll credits Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, down from 54-46 in the last poll three weeks ago, from primary votes of Coalition 37% (up one), Labor 38% (down two), Greens 10% (steady) and One Nation 3% (steady). On personal ratings, Scott Morrison records his weakest results since his early pandemic bounce in March last year, with approval down three to 46% and disapproval up three to 50%, but Anthony Albanese also records his weakest net rating to date, with approval down three to 37% and disapproval up one to 48%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 50-34 to 47-35. No hard details yet, but the poll will have been conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of between 1500 and 1600.

UPDATE (21/9): As reported in The Australian today, it turns out the poll had a larger-than-usual sample of 2144, which was done to produce sufficient sub-samples from the three largest states for meaningful results on the performance of state leaders. On personal ratings, Daniel Andrews leads the field with 64% approval and 35% disapproval, with Gladys Berejiklian (56% approval and 40% approval) and Annastacia Palaszczuk (57% approval and 38% disapproval) similarly placed. Separate questions on handling of COVID-19 give Berejiklian (56% good, 41% bad) and Andrews (63% and 35%) results almost identical to their personal ratings, whereas Palaszczuk does quite a lot better at 67% well and 31% badly.

We also learn that Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are strong in Queensland (56% approval and 41% disapproval), neutral in New South Wales (46% and 49%) and weak in Victoria (41% and 57%). Morrison is deemed to have handled COVID-19 well by 48% out of the national sample and badly by 49%, reflecting no change since the question was last posted in August. This breaks down to 47% well and 49% badly in New South Wales, 40% and 58% in Victoria and 61% and 36% in Queensland. Fifty-three per cent express more concern with moving too fast on relaxing restrictions compared with 42% for too slow, compared with 62% and 34% when the question was last asked in late January.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,493 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. porotisays:
    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 8:39 pm

    But the problem remains, it gives the media and liberals another attack on “Unions”.

  2. If the protestors turn up Tomorrow, the Vic Police are taking no prisoners…. by which I think they mean they are willing to take a lot of prisoners….
    The gloves are off…. but they are keeping the gloves on because they are worried about getting COVID….

  3. Mavis

    His raison detre is to influence politics, not based on personal enrichment; more a case of raw power.

    Yep. As someone wrote a long while back , backing a winner is first and foremost for Rupes.

  4. Twitter doyenne Ronni Salt gets some bad press, but this is quite good..

    ‘In a scene from the American political satire Wag The Dog, Robert de Niro, playing a political Mr Fixit, lies half-asleep in a plane grappling with a solution for the political crisis about to smash the fictional President about his fictional head.

    The President needs a story. A distraction. Not necessarily a true story, just a story-ish – a diversion to buy them time until the election.

    And the distraction? A war. As his off-sider frantically toys with literalism, insisting America really can’t afford to go to war, De Niro, in an act of perfect metaphor, mutters from underneath his eye blindfold: “We’re not gonna have a war. We’re gonna have the appearance of a war.”

    In the months leading up to the release of Morrison’s much vaunted (and seemingly his own personal property) Doherty Report, I’m convinced Scott Morrison’s strategists had that movie on repeat. I say almost, because I doubt many of them aren’t already word perfect in its dialogue, so close are they to the movie’s main characters of spin-plot-spinners and WhatsApp bothering schemers, determined to save their political boss no matter what the cost.

    https://theshot.net.au/general-news/great-scott-the-grand-narrative-of-scott-morrison/

  5. Choosing to not get vaccinated is nothing short of disgraceful conduct. Especially if they want to exercise their ‘freedumbs’ in the general community. spreading the disease to a far greater degree than otherwise would be the case, tying up essential medical services – thereby jeopardising the treatment of non covid related illnesses.

  6. Mavis says:
    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 9:01 pm
    Morrison meeting Murdoch should not come as a suprise, Rudd sharing bread with him in New York in April ’07. Rudd’s now Murdoch’s most vehement critic, on par with Turnbull, both of them failing to take heed of the Faustian legend. Reference thereof is also drawn to Prince Hal re. Lachlan.

    Most on the Left see Murdoch as an ogre – his editorial policy almost always supporting the Right. But I don’t think it’s that simple. His raison detre is to influence politics, not based on personal enrichment; more a case of raw power.

    What’s left after you have more money than you can pock a stick at? But it’s good to see that dear Jerry’s supportive of her loving spouse. And I wonder what are the terms of the pre-nuptials? Whatever, when Rupert passes I’d be suprised that they’ll there be a mass outpouring of grief except for his loyal lieutenants, who’ll move with almost indecent haste.
    _______________________________
    4 sure – to paraphrase the paramedics they’ll rat the corpse pronto!

  7. Mavis says:

    Whatever, when Rupert passes I’d be suprised that they’ll there be a mass outpouring of grief except for his loyal lieutenants, who’ll move with almost indecent haste.
    _______________
    The line to piss on his grave will be extensive.

  8. As I understand it, that Byron leaker returned a negative RAT (an a town entry I presume) followed by a positive PCR after being in the community.

  9. When, in the fullness of time, Rupert’s sojourn among the living reaches its end, his time comes and off the mortal coil he shuffles, rolling up the curtain and joining the choir invisible, there will be a great outpouring of rhetoric, blather about his being a great warrior for “freedom”, a great communicator, a great Australian who strode the global stage and changed the world, the like of whom will never be seen again. Others might be more inclined to dance in the streets singing “Ding Dong the Witch is Dead!”.

  10. ItzaDream

    Thanks for that clip from the Sydney concert. The redemption motiv must surely rank as one of the most beautiful in all of the operatic canon and brings what has been an epic four nights to an evocative and breathtaking close. Mackerras conducts with great mastery.

    I didn’t respond earlier as I’ve just been watching a 2016 production of Die Walküre from Bayreuth on YouTube. I must say it brought back memories of my 1973 visit there but not in a good way. I appreciate time doesn’t stand still and each director tries to bring a new “look” to the Ring but, for me, this one went a bit too far. Effectively immolating Brünnhilde in a vat of what appeared to be burning oil must surely have caused a problem for Siegfried later on! I was a fan of the Adelaide production, real water and real fire and all. Sadly I didn’t see the Melbourne production but the only Wagner loving friend I still have (the rest may be in Valhalla, who knows?) thoroughly enjoyed it and is eagerly awaiting the cycle in Brisbane later this year – if it happens.

    The aforementioned friend and I tried for years to get tickets to Bayreuth but no dice, year after year, until we just gave up. On reflection it may have been our good fortune as I think I’d have hated what appears to have happened to Bayreuth. Perhaps I’m just getting old but I did enjoy the Wolfgang Wagner production way back then.

  11. Steve777 – will they say anything noteworthy at all about our last 5 Prime Ministers?

    Realistically the most noteworthy will be ScoMo.

  12. Frednksays:
    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 9:03 pm
    So the Lobster with the mobster has come out in support of the protesters.

    And the age has printed a sob story.
    ________________
    Where was the Lobster with the Mobster in this sob story?

  13. Apologies for mis-speaking. It turns out that Rupert has not deigned to present his cheek for Scott to kiss – perhaps he thinks he’s a loser? He has sent his CEO as a proxy, something akin to sending a junior Health bureaucrat to meet the top Pfizer execs…


  14. Scepticsays:
    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 8:09 pm
    Morrison has managed to accomplish what Trump & Putin were unsuccessful at… the demise of NATO

    Incredible isn’t it?

  15. porotisays:
    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 8:39 pm
    How big was the protest today ? Not as big as I thought………………
    ________________
    Some selective editing there. Not surprising considering the tweet is from the head of the Victorian Trades Hall council.
    There is a better photo showing the size of the protest in the Rita Panahi column in the Herald Sun.

  16. poroti @ #1421 Tuesday, September 21st, 2021 – 9:31 pm

    C@t
    Erm , given the father’s length of time in the industry his son would be about 50.

    He’s 65. So he fathered a child at 15?

    Nevertheless and I don’t know if you have children or not, but I have never ceded my role as parent, no matter how old my children are. If they need to be told a hard truth, I will tell them. Especially when it’s for their own good and the health and welfare of them and their family.

  17. Some selective editing there. Not surprising considering the tweet is from the head of the Victorian Trades Hall council.
    There is a better photo showing the size of the protest in the Rita Panahi column in the Herald Sun.

    Yes, when I think of objectivity and lack of bias, I too immediately think of a Rita Panahi column.

  18. Ballantyne @ #1415 Tuesday, September 21st, 2021 – 9:16 pm

    ItzaDream

    Thanks for that clip from the Sydney concert. The redemption motiv must surely rank as one of the most beautiful in all of the operatic canon and brings what has been an epic four nights to an evocative and breathtaking close. Mackerras conducts with great mastery.

    I didn’t respond earlier as I’ve just been watching a 2016 production of Die Walküre from Bayreuth on YouTube. I must say it brought back memories of my 1973 visit there but not in a good way. I appreciate time doesn’t stand still and each director tries to bring a new “look” to the Ring but, for me, this one went a bit too far. Effectively immolating Brünnhilde in a vat of what appeared to be burning oil must surely have caused a problem for Siegfried later on! I was a fan of the Adelaide production, real water and real fire and all. Sadly I didn’t see the Melbourne production but the only Wagner loving friend I still have (the rest may be in Valhalla, who knows?) thoroughly enjoyed it and is eagerly awaiting the cycle in Brisbane later this year – if it happens.

    The aforementioned friend and I tried for years to get tickets to Bayreuth but no dice, year after year, until we just gave up. On reflection it may have been our good fortune as I think I’d have hated what appears to have happened to Bayreuth. Perhaps I’m just getting old but I did enjoy the Wolfgang Wagner production way back then.

    That Castorf production caused a storm. I can’t go past the Chereau/Boulez (Centennial) Ring. We lucked out one year with the Wagner Society, and then couldn’t go, and I thought well that’s that, and then got a full season (no Ring, the Parsifal was outstanding) about 8 years ago, with some help from the inside, and sat directly behind Merkel, and Mr Merkel, after security clearance, sitting next to her body guard, distinguished only by the wiggly wire coming out his collar into one ear, and that he stayed awake. I loved every minute of it.

    I loved Adelaide, and have a blow up mounted photo (official) from each one of the four. Loved it. Melbourne was fantastic; Neil Armfield, who goes for the humanity, all the time, and really nails it a lot of the time. Brisbane might make it with restrictions, I’ve got some tickets, double vaccinated, masks – long time to wear a mask in a theatre!

  19. @kateRose
    @kateju9
    Their has been a report a construction worker has taken his life on site in Melbourne
    #Riots are instigated by
    #FEWE part of Gov
    social Media
    HOW DARE PUBLICLY NOT Up pointing index PP SHAME THIS BEHAVIOUR
    @LiberalAus
    @AustralianLabor
    @JulianHillMP
    @FatherBob
    @CFMEUJohnSetka

  20. poroti:

    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 9:05 pm

    [‘Yep. As someone wrote a long while back , backing a winner is first and foremost for Rupes.’]

    Yes, he even backed Whitlam in ’72 until the shite hit the fan. I’ve read variously that his son is even worse than his no-good father. I’m giving Lockie the benefit though.

  21. Remember how we were being told that the number of covid cases won’t matter when everyone is vaccinated? Well take a look at the UK graphs..

    https://graphics.reuters.com/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps/countries-and-territories/united-kingdom/

    Compare the graph of cases to the graph of deaths.
    At the peak in January there were about 60,000 cases and 1,300 deaths. A case fatality rate of 2%. Fairly typical the world over.

    Then in June cases started to climb again, but not so much deaths. The case fatality rate dropped to 0.3%. So everyone goes hey, all we need to do is to get vaccinated and the number of cases doesn’t matter because “deaths have been uncoupled”.

    Problem is that now, cases have been 35-40k, but look at deaths. Deaths are on a slow but steady climb. The UK is now averaging 160 deaths a day. Now the case fatality rate has gone back to 0.5%.

    To give a feel for this, this would in Australia be equivalent to 26,000 deaths per year. When a typical flu season kills 800-1800 and a bad flue kills 5,000.

    Either covid has gotten deadlier in the UK, or more likely, we’re seeing the UK slowly giving up on accurately detecting (testing) and reporting cases. Deaths however are harder to hide.

    The bottom line here is that despite vaccines, there’s always going to be a ratio between (real) cases (whether properly accounted for or not) and deaths. And this will set an upper limit on what is acceptable.

    So we will always need to keep the retransmission rate under 1.0. Which means the freedom lovers are going to be terribly fucking disappointed come xmas.


  22. Taylormade says:
    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 9:18 pm

    Frednksays:
    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 9:03 pm
    So the Lobster with the mobster has come out in support of the protesters.

    And the age has printed a sob story.
    ________________
    Where was the Lobster with the Mobster in this sob story?

    Story? All we get from the Lobster with the mobster, nightly, is a 30 second sound bite, which he uses to make a fool of himself. Same routine as offered by the previous guy. It got dull then.

    Tonight, instead of condemning the anti vaxers and right wingers it was a bitch over the requirement that it would be mandatory to keep the industry open.

  23. C@tmomma at 9:36 pm
    He must have started bloody young in the industry. Which I suppose he did back in the days of leave school asap and ‘get a trade’, so Junior about 40 then, hardly a toddler. For sure you will be a parent until you die aged 100 but expecting kids to obey all your wishes and follow orders is a tad unrealistic.

  24. There’s a pretty simple explanation for your doom and gloom analysis cudchewer.

    Basically the UK and the US populations were amongst the first to be fully vaccinated. Six months later the efficacy of those doses is declining and surprise surprise infection and death is climbing.

    Same thing happened in Israel until they widely rolled out the 3rd shot and those rates are now coming down.

    Sadly for Biden the USA FDA last week declined a 3rd shot for other than 65+.

    Sadly for you cudchewer it won’t be the doom and gloom scenario here either.

  25. What has Scott decided to buy?

    After commissioning, Minnesota (Virginia class submarine) remained at the General Dynamics Electric Boat shipyards in Groton, CT for over two years. A broken pipe joint was discovered in the vessel’s nuclear reactor. The pipe had been tampered with in order to make the part appear within specifications.[7][8] Although a failure of the pipe would not result in a reactor incident, it would affect the reactor’s ability to produce steam used for propulsion.[8]

    The same issue has been discovered on two other boats in the class. A Navy investigation determined that two other ships had the same issue, and the U.S. Justice Department commenced an investigation of the contractor responsible for the defective parts.

    Repairs took 3 years! Original cost of doctored part.. US$10,000

  26. poroti @ #1435 Tuesday, September 21st, 2021 – 9:50 pm

    C@tmomma at 9:36 pm
    He must have started bloody young in the industry. Which I suppose he did back in the days of leave school asap and ‘get a trade’, so Junior about 40 then, hardly a toddler. For sure you will be a parent until you die aged 100 but expecting kids to obey all your wishes and follow orders is a tad unrealistic.

    Sorry, but when it’s a matter of life and death, they should.

  27. Taylormade:

    Tuesday, September 21, 2021 at 9:33 pm

    [‘There is a better photo showing the size of the protest in the Rita Panahi column in the Herald Sun.’]

    Seriously, cobber, you’re not suggesting that Panahi has credibility or the outfit she works for?

  28. Sucked in Australia.
    .

    Almost nine in 10 Australians will face higher average tax rates over the next decade despite the federal government’s three-stage income tax cut plan………..By the start of the next decade, with the budget still running a deficit of $52 billion, the share of government revenue coming from personal income tax will be at its highest rate since 1999.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/tax-cuts-to-soon-disappear-as-budget-relies-on-workers-to-recover-from-covid-19-20210921-p58tfj.html

  29. https://www.smh.com.au/national/prime-minister-s-nephew-on-the-cusp-of-jail-fined-26k-over-building-offences-20210921-p58tfm.html

    A nephew of Prime Minister Scott Morrison has narrowly avoided jail after carrying out illegal and defective building work for multiple clients in an apparent bid to fuel a cocaine habit.

    Mitchell James Cole pleaded guilty in July to 17 charges relating to his conduct in soliciting work from four clients while he was unlicensed and uninsured between May 2018 and July 2019. Each of the clients lost between $4000 and $20,000 after Cole either did not do the work he was paid for, or did defective work on their properties.
    —————–

    Scotty is a crime lord.

  30. Hey Taylormade,
    If you love reading the Herald Sun you will love reading the Volkischer Beobachter !
    It was a big hit in 1933 in Germany, right up your alley!!!
    You will get a real kick out of it!

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