Josh Butler of the New Daily reports Barnaby Joyce has “dropped hints to an election being called in January, to be held in the first quarter of next year”, while Scott Morrison apparently told the Liberal party room the election would “come around sooner than we think”. However, it appears to have been made clear that this doesn’t mean the election will be this year, consistent with Joyce’s prognosis.
Here’s what we do know, specifically regarding the parties’ recent candidate preselection efforts:
• The West Australian reports Vince Connelly, the Liberal member for the soon-to-be-abolished northern Perth seat of Stirling, will challenge fellow incumbent Ian Goodenough in the neighbouring seat of Moore, rather than pursue Labor-held Cowan as previously indicated. Goodenough is noted for his successes in recruiting members of Pentecostal churches to local party branches and featured heavily in the machinations of the factional grouping known as “The Clan”, whose extensive WhatsApp discussions have now been published in full by The West Australian. The Sunday Times reported yesterday that Connelly’s move had angered unidentified “senior” Liberals, who must be privy to polling remarkably different from any available to the public, since they appear to believe he should be able to win Cowan from Labor.
• A Liberal National Party preselection held last weekend for Dawson, which will be vacated with the retirement of George Christensen, was won by Andrew Willcox, former tomato farmer and mayor of Whitsunday. Willcox won a local party ballot ahead of Chris Bonanno, a Mackay councillor and unsuccessful candidate for the state seat of Mackay last year, and Charles Pasquale, a Burdekin farmer. Meanwhile, the Courier-Mail reports Henry Pike has been endorsed by the LNP state executive to succeed Andrew Laming as candidate for Bowman, which would appear to put to rest suggestions he might be elbowed aside despite having won the local party ballot.
• Labor has finalised candidates in several of the theoretically winnable Queensland seats currently held by the Liberal National Party: Rebecca Fanning, a Queensland government health policy adviser, in Longman (margin 3.3%); Elida Faith, local president of the Queensland Council of Unions and unsuccessful candidate in 2019, in Leichhardt (4.2%); Madonna Jarrett, a director at Deloitte Australia, in Brisbane (4.9%); Mike Denton, Australian Workers Union delegate and Caltex Lytton oil refinery worker, in Petrie (8.4%); and Rowan Holzberger, electorate officer to Senator Murray Watt, in Forde (8.6%).
• Labor also has candidates in place for the two Liberal-held seats in Tasmania, both of which it held before 2019. Bass will again be contested by Ross Hart, who held it from 2016 to 2019 and has since been the principal of a Launceston law firm, while Braddon will be contested by Chris Lynch, Burnie councillor and project co-ordinator at the St Giles Society, a charity assisting the disabled.
• Tracey Roberts, who has spent 10 years as the mayor of Wanneroo, has been endorsed as Labor’s candidate in Christian Porter’s northern Perth seat of Pearce.
• Tom Richardson of InDaily reports Louise Miller-Frost, state chief executive of the St Vincent de Paul Society, is “set to receive cross-factional support” to become Labor’s candidate for the marginal Adelaide seat of Boothby, which will be vacated with the retirement of Liberal member Nicolle Flint.
Finally, as we head into what will likely be a quiet-to-silent week on the opinion poll front, a fair and balanced selection of privately conducted polling:
• Polling on the importance of climate change as an election issue and the future use of fossil fuels, conducted for the Australian Conservation Foundation by YouGov from a sample of 15,000, has been published in the form of interactive maps by the Age/Herald. These show results at electorate level, presumably from around 100 respondents each.
• The Centre for Independent Studies has published a survey it commissioned from YouGov concerning “attitudes to a post-Covid Australia”, conducted in early August from a sample of 1029. The libertarian think tank’s take on the results, which are in line with those of a similar exercise conducted by the same pollster for The Australian last week, is that “we are a nation of ‘Karens’ tut-tutting over people not following ‘the rules’”. While it took fine parsing of small sub-samples to get there, the report observes that Coalition voters were the most likely to support “government restrictions on civil liberties because of the pandemic” in New South Wales, whereas Labor voters were markedly more so in Victoria.
According to the paper I linked at 7:32, Wind Turbine Syndrome does not affect people in WA.
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Nor people who get paid for turbines to be situated on their properties.
Is the Windfarm Commisioner still a thing? I understand he has Bob Brown on speed dial…
26 March 2021 10:12am
The role of the National Wind Farm Commissioner, Andrew Dyer, will be further expanded by the Australian Government to cover new major transmission projects.
To reflect the expanded role, the National Wind Farm Commissioner will now be known as the Australian Energy Infrastructure Commissioner.
Since 2015, the Commissioner has played a key role in helping community members and stakeholders work through issues related to wind farm development and operations. In 2018, the government expanded the Commissioner’s role to include managing concerns relating to large scale solar and storage installation.
The role will now also involve facilitating the resolution of complaints and concerns about new major transmission projects, and assisting to identify and adopt best practices for project deployment.
https://www.energy.gov.au/news-media/news/national-wind-farm-commissioner-role-be-expanded
Steve777:
I’ve often said wind turbine syndrome appears to be a uniquely east coast phenomenon in Australia!
High cholesterol is considered an underlying risk factor with covid!
I’ve never had windfarm syndrome (none near me), but I definitely have chainsaw syndrome.
A US Professor does a useful Q&A on matters vaccination… including parsing the headline data in the sensationalising media.
https://emilyoster.substack.com/p/vaccine-efficacy-by-the-numbers
So the way to justify extra doses is we have avoided “x” number of cases and “x” number of deaths.
No-one will begrudge NSW extra doses (I’m in SA) but you have to be transparent about it. That is the main issue here which people don’t seem to understand or don’t want to understand.
What don’t people get about it?
‘I don’t want to play: new song highlights racism in AFL’ (and article)
https://indigenousx.com.au/i-dont-want-to-play-new-song-highlights-racism-in-afl/
Summer flights stranded as aviation staff shortages loom
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/summer-flights-stranded-as-aviation-staff-shortages-loom-20210906-p58p63.html
”
Granny Annysays:
Tuesday, September 7, 2021 at 10:51 pm
Morrison flew home for Father’s Day in a RAAF VIP aircraft. I wonder if any of the crew were fathers who were denied to chance to be with their kids?
”
RAAF crew knew what they have signed up for when they got those jobs.
Kirky
It is more than that. The other states did not begrudge NSW getting an extra allocation to deal with the outbreak.
What is the point of a national plan, when the other states are not getting their fair share of vaccines to facilitate this.
And to add insult to injury, Morrison and co have been paying out on the other states about not enough vaccines being administered.
You can’t make this shit up.
Good Morning
A question. While I think Newscorpse is doing Greenwashing is that fact enough for Labor to win the next election?
In the US – ‘Exponential’ increase: More than a quarter million children contracted COVID just last week — the most ever
COVID-19 infection cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are skyrocketing, due to the delta variant, still large numbers of Americans who refuse to get vaccinated or wear masks, and children going back to school, many with no mask or vaccine mandates.
Well over a quarter-million children contracted COVID-19 just last week, according to a joint report from the Children’s Hospital Association and the American Academy of Pediatrics which tracks all cases at the state level. It is the highest number of child coronavirus cases ever reported, ABC News reports.
https://www.rawstory.com/children-and-19-2654932802/
I just can’t help but feel that we are being kept in the dark or even lied to by the Federal and NSW Governments both to cover up failure and incompetence and also to advance hidden agendas that do not include the best possible public health outcomes.
Steve777
Lack of transparency certainly degrades trust and suspicion increases
It seems it’s the aesthetics of wind turbines that upsets some Dutch locals:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-dutch-wind-idUSTRE7AF1JM20111116
Weak.
”
Shaun Carney says Mattew Guy has quite a job ahead of him and that he must challenge old culture of state Liberals.
https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/as-new-leader-guy-needs-to-challenge-old-culture-of-state-liberals-20210907-p58pgx.html
”
Did you see how Carney packaged that Guy, who is recycled again as a leader. “Must challenge the old culture of state liberals” as if he is freshly minted new leader who was never in leadership position.
Speaking of a lack of transparency degrading trust and increasing suspicion.
@AlboMP tweets
Scott Morrison announced an integrity commission 1000 days ago.
A question. While I think Newscorpse is doing Greenwashing is that fact enough for Labor to win the next election?
Of course not. The Coalition will pretend to be addressing Global Heating with token measures that don’t affect fossil fuel profits, while condemning measures that actually work as damaging to jobs and the economy. Newscorp will be pushing both messages.
”
The SMH editorial says that Morrison cannot stop women’s safety being an election issue. It reckons that if he is saying that he wants to take women’s issues off the political agenda, he is dreaming.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-cannot-stop-women-s-safety-being-an-election-issue-20210907-p58pm0.html
”
But according to L’arse , Women’s safety will not be an issue by October 2021.
Lizzie
Maybe Shorten like most of us falls for the culture war attacks on the left and Albanese is not.
Renewing the focus to transparency and trust is common to both Andrews and Albanese.
It is usual and proper when medically discussing death and the cause of death (eg mortality and morbidity meeting) to note co-morbidities eg diabetes, hypertension, in someone who has died from a coronary occlusion/heart attack.
The death Certificate requires
https://www.racgp.org.au/download/documents/AFP/2011/June/201106bird.pdf
I have never felt anything sinister about the way Public Health mentions “underlying conditions”.
In his attempt to shore up NSW votes with unfair vaccine distribution, Morrison has forgotten that NSW only has 47 seats, and the rest of the country 104.
People wondering why NewsCorp has gone all green?
Got a couple of ads on Facebook yesterday- one from Coles, welcoming News Corps new focus on climate change blah blah blah……the backflip from Murdoch was because they were losing advertisers.
(maybe you had worked it out already, I am a bit slow).
Steve777
Yeah but being able to call out the Greenwashing could well resonate. Newscorpse has a record with crazy thanks to Trump and the pandemic.
Hence “Hyacinth”.
Q: I have never felt anything sinister about the way Public Health mentions “underlying conditions”
It is the way politicians have been mentioning “underlying conditions” that has been sinister- it is a qualification they always slip in, with an implication that disease and death therefore is ‘expected, not a real tragedy, perhaps even their own fault’…..
”
Emergency doctor, David Berger, pooh poohs the use of the phrase “underlying health conditions” that he says applies to most of us. It’s quite a spit.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/underlying-health-conditions-that-s-almost-all-of-us-20210904-p58otg.html
”
“Underlying health issues” always jarred with me Gladys reported deaths in her press conference. I mean it is rare for people in their 50s, 60s, 70s, 80ss and 90s not to have atleast one underlying health issue.
It’s all the little lies that add up.
Her nickname was Mrs Bucket.
She actually does look a bit like her…
@AWUnion tweets
Today we commemorate the reading of the ” Manifesto of the Queensland Labour Party ” at the Tree of knowledge in Barcaldine. This was the final stage in the formation of the great @AustralianLabor Party.
In 1891 the wool industry was central to the Queensland and Australian economy. The treatment of shearers was poor, working in backbreaking conditions for little pay. The Amalgamated Shearers’ Union of Australasia aimed to remedy the position of the shearers.
Tension arose when the pastoralists proposed reducing the shearers’ wages, which at the time was £1 per hundred sheep. The shearers protested by going on strike, a crippling blow to the wool industry. Barcaldine became the central point for the dispute.
.
While the strike was unsuccessful, it led to calls for a new political party to represent the interests of working people, which later led to the formation of the Labor party.
The Amalgamated Shearers’ Union of Australasia would go on to become the Australian Workers’ Union, which continues to play an important role in the fabric of Australia’s industrial and political landscape.
C@t ,
Agree, though the anti-abortion win in Texas was just what I was dreading , with Trump stacking the Supreme Court. It will be dangerously uncertain for women, blacks and minorities in years to come (unless Biden appoints extra liberals.)
And whatever happens there, does influence our politics, unfortunately.
It’s pretty phenomenal how badly Scomo can screw up the marketing of ideas.
Sending doses to hotspot areas, from less or un affected areas is a good idea.
The problem was that instead of announcing and justifying the policy, Scomo continued to insist it was done on a population share and found sneaky ways to hide the doses (nsw takes doses from Poland/UK and later Victoria gives doses to Poland/UK, then say with a straight face that nsw is not taking doses from Victoria because it’s technically the truth)
All he needed to do was publish how many mRNA doses each state was getting, explain that nsw was getting more by borrowing them from other states, explain that nsw would be paying back the other states – either when other states experience an outbreak, or by a certain date.
Then, he needed to explain what binding agreement he struck with nsw to ensure that Gladys uses the extra doses to make nsw, and therefore the rest of australia, safer. That would include NSW closing down the loophole that allows NSW residents to travel from the ACT to NSW for non essential reasons without an exemption.
States didn’t like the idea of permanently losing doses to NSW, so that NSW could open up quicker. It’s asking states to kill some of their own citizens to keep the NSW GSP from crashing too much.
He is honestly the worst PM in living history at marketing.
Steve777
She took charge of all the table arrangements for the international dinner (G7? can’t remember) right down to the colour of the napkins. It was probably the height of her career (except when she danced on the table at Howard’s election).
Well said by the Dr.
.
.
Underlying health conditions? That’s almost all of us
We are being indoctrinated into believing that the increasing COVID-19 death toll is confined to the infirm. It’s a cynical fiction, and a dangerous one.
David Berger
Emergency Doctor
https://www.smh.com.au/national/underlying-health-conditions-that-s-almost-all-of-us-20210904-p58otg.html
Lizzie
Albo is right. Why pick a fight in that space.
It’s exactly what Morrison wanted.
Raf Epstein RetweetedVicGovDH @VicGovDH·
Reported yesterday: 221 new local cases and 0 new cases acquired overseas.
– 36,716 vaccine doses were administered
– 42,429 test results were received
poroti
Yesterday Andrews made a point of emphasising the number of young, healthy people who have Covid now.
Victoria bubbling along at 221 cases from 43000 tests.
@PinkNews tweets
Feminist icon Judith Butler compares TERFs and so-called ‘gender critics’ to fascists
https://www.pinknews.co.uk/2021/09/07/judith-butler-gender-trans-feminism-terf/
How it’s going in the US
@briantaylorcohen tweets
Just a reminder that we could quite literally pass legislation codifying Roe right now by eliminating the filibuster but 2 centrists have decided that protecting an arcane Senate procedural tool is more important than protecting a woman’s bodily autonomy.
”
Peter Dutton has, without quite saying so, given us a new defence doctrine. For the first time, we are going to embrace asymmetric warfare as the offensive party rather than the defensive party. It’s a revolution, lauds Greg Sheridan.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/defence/defence-must-act-on-peter-duttons-new-doctrine/news-story/a668c1dfe74218ebf758b9575b17707c
”
Does that mean Australia goes to war with countries like China, Indonesia without being those countries starting war? Does it expect US and UK to help in those circumstances?
Australia was part of all wars which UK and US were involved since start of Boerwar. Hence, does Australia expect US and UK to help if it is the offensive party?
Without US and UK backing and firepower there is very little chance of that doctrine succeeding.
Victoria records 221 COVID cases as state edges closer to vaccination target
Contact tracers have been able to link 98 of those cases to existing outbreaks.
The cases were among 42,429 test results processed on Tuesday, when 36,716 vaccine doses were delivered at state-run sites.
The Victorian government has committed to a slight easing of restrictions once 70 per cent of Victorians aged 16 years or older have had at least one dose of a COVID vaccine.
That sits at 61.6 per cent, based on the Tuesday update from the federal Department of Health.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-09-08/victoria-covid-cases-lockdown-restrictions/100442520
The Hum
Humm ? What will we rort today?
Humm ? What lies will we tell today?
Humm ? What announcement will we make today?
Humm ? What does Jen think?
Humm ? Where will I go for my next holiday?
Humm? Will my hair transplants be ready for spring?
Humm? Why does everyone think I’m a lying ____?
Morrison and Berejiklian are underlying health conditions.
Coorey reckons he’s got criticisms of Morrison and Berejiklian. He’s saving them up for later.
@timdunlop tweets
Too many journalists are convinced that if “Twitter” “thinks” something, it is, by definition, wrong &
they must oppose this “view”. So, they end up destroying the only reason for their professional existence, holding power to account, and end up an apologist for it instead.
@DougCameron tweets
Just listened to @PhillipCoorey running cover for Morrison on ABC with @frankelly08 His take on the vaccine disparity between States:“Will be used an excuse and a reason to attack the federal govt.”
Phil, it’s justification to attack this corrupt, biased govt not an excuse.♂️
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Lizzie I know you posted DougCameron. I added for the context
guytaur
Good moming 🙂