Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Newspoll finds the Coalition lagging still further behind Labor on voting intention, despite a more mixed picture on leadership ratings.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll records Labor’s two-party preferred lead out from 53-47 to 54-46, with the Coalition taking a three-point tumble on the primary vote to 36%, Labor up a point to 40%, the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation steady on 3%. Despite this, Scott Morrison is up two on approval to 49% and down two on disapproval to 47%, and has slightly widened his lead as preferred prime minister from 49-36 to 50-34. Anthony Albanese is up two on approval to 40% and up one on disapproval to 47%. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1528.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,192 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. Two Victorian women with COVID-19 have died at home, the Department of Health confirms.

    One of the women, aged in her 40s, is from the Darebin council area and the other woman, aged in her 60s, is from Hume.

  2. Coalition MPs want more school chaplains to help children suffering mentally due to ‘alarmist’ climate activism
    MPs ask Scott Morrison to fund chaplains in every school, saying global warming alarmism is causing ‘mental health problems’ in young

  3. Expat follower:

    Boerwar “Morrison had a chance to show inclusive and decisive national leadership. He blew it.”

    For once i can agree with you. Lets hope we dont say something similar about Albo “had a chance to show he could lead and blew it”
    _____________________________________

    For better or worse, since 2019 one has actually had the legal responsibility to lead and the powers that go with it. The other could only hope to do so.

    The extent to which the actual Prime Minister has gotten away with sharing (or even allocating) blame to the powerless leader of the Opposition while claiming whatever credit was to be had for anything for himself is astonishing.

  4. C@tMomma “Sure, if you want a show pony as your leader, then vote for Scott Morrison, but if you want someone who doesn’t have to buy a clue via focus groups, then Albanese is your man. Not a show pony, more like a reliable draught horse”

    again am not sure why people think i am a fan of Morrison; i just think he has an effective gameplan in the works that needs to be countered by a credible effective leader. The only time i was relieved to have Scott Morrison is when he became PM instead of Dutton.

    Sorry if i and a few million others dont take your word for it re Albanese, he has some obligation to show it himself? And if he cant find a way to do it, ScoMo wins like he did in 2019 which was bloody sad enough

  5. TPOF “The extent to which the actual Prime Minister has gotten away with sharing (or even allocating) blame to the powerless leader of the Opposition…”

    i think even that raises Albo’s profile too much… he has been nonexistent since taking on the leadership, the fear is that this is his optimal path. Seems like a nice enough chap, but so did Beazley

  6. “Two Victorians die at home from Covid-19
    The Victorian department of health has confirmed a woman in her 60s from Hume and a woman in her 40s from Darebin, both local government areas in Melbourne’s north have died of Covid-19. They passed away at home, the statement confirms.

    They are believed to be the first fatalities from Covid-19 in the state this year.”

  7. Sceptic 6:23 pm

    The Shire Liars focus group work must have thrown up Hope as being his only Hope.

    The number of time he’s used Hope!

    Hope is perfect for Scrott. With ‘hope’ you don’t have to deliver. With the big bonus of not being in lie for blame as a hope is not in any way a promise.

  8. Morrison badly handled both vaccinations and quarantine. Too much emphasis on the economic factors at the expense of people. Don’t see him coming back from this.

  9. ‘Expat Follower says:
    Tuesday, August 31, 2021 at 6:12 pm

    Boerwar “Morrison had a chance to show inclusive and decisive national leadership. He blew it.”

    For once i can agree with you….’
    ______________________
    Given the scale of the bugger ups and the scale of death directly attributable to those buggerups, he must resign. He is unfit for purpose.

  10. Sceptic @ #1050 Tuesday, August 31st, 2021 – 6:20 pm

    Coalition MPs want more school chaplains to help children suffering mentally due to ‘alarmist’ climate activism
    MPs ask Scott Morrison to fund chaplains in every school, saying global warming alarmism is causing ‘mental health problems’ in young

    That’s just BS and they know it.

    By the way, have they stopped to think that children are actually becoming scared witless that their world is burning down or being consumed with floods and cyclones/hurricanes BECAUSE of Climate Change?

  11. Morrison badly handled both vaccinations and quarantine. Too much emphasis on the economic factors at the expense of people. Don’t see him coming back from this.

    I dont think he weighed up economic factors and health. Short sharp lockdowns, restrictions and mask mandates as well as faster vaccinations and better quarantine were good for both the economy and the health of individuals and society. No brainer IMHO.

    I suspect Morrisons actions can be explained by;
    1. Morrison knew lockdowns werent his decision so he sniped from the sidelines in the hope of winning some votes from disgruntled peeps and shoring up the vote of the usual suspects.
    2. Lockdowns and restrictions are regulations. Governments doing what governments can do when needed for the good of society. That is not the sort of government Morrison leads and he doesnt want that sort of thing getting a good reputation.

    Shallow, I know, especially in a pandemic. But thats Morrison to a tee I reckon.

  12. Welp.

    A new bill passed in parliament last week could see the future of the Country Liberal Party at a federal level solely in the hands of dumped Senator Sam McMahon.

    The Party Registration Integrity Bill increased the number of members a party needs to be registered from 500 to 1500, unless it has a member in the Federal Parliament.

    It’s understood the CLP has more than 500 members but fewer than 1500.

    If Senator McMahon – who lost preselection to Jacinta Price in June – decided to quit the CLP, the party could lose its registration.

    When contacted, Senator McMahon confirmed she had been approached to join other parties – including the Liberal Democrats and Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.

    https://www-skynews-com-au.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/country-liberals-future-could-be-in-hands-of-dumped-senator/news-story/4893e80c3e64184eeabb65fff557f65e?amp=&amp_gsa=1&amp_js_v=a6&usqp=mq331AQIKAGwASCAAgM%3D#amp_tf=From%20%251%24s&aoh=16303993188759&csi=0&referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&ampshare=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.skynews.com.au%2Faustralia-news%2Fpolitics%2Fcountry-liberals-future-could-be-in-hands-of-dumped-senator%2Fnews-story%2F4893e80c3e64184eeabb65fff557f65e

  13. @MrKRudd tweets

    Memo to Murdoch’s “editors” who somehow woke up with the same front page idea. We all hate lockdowns. But NSW/Vic are in one because Morrison bungled quarantine & vaccines. You gave him political cover. Now NSW faces month #3 of lockdown with 17,921 cases & 871 in hospital.

    Edit: Sorry photos of front pages were included.

  14. Expat Follower (6.30pm)

    You are one of a number on this blog who have criticised Albo for being ‘non-existent’ (your term) or not doing enough of this or that.

    I’ll counter: Albo is running to a carefully considered plan, and has done so virtually from day one. The plan kept Labor in touch when the ‘rally round the flag’ effect was strong, particularly early in the pandemic. The same plan now sees Labor in a good position and signs of some panic from Morrison.

    The reverse of right wing nut job is not left wing nut job but being the only adult in the room: Albo.

    It is no accident that Albo has often been a key Labor tactician.

    For what its worth, in 2013 almost 60% of Labor rank and file voted for Albo as leader. The Right organised the parliamentary member vote to overcome that overwhelming endorsement of Albo and install Shorten, who would have made a far better PM than Morrison but had enough baggage to be targeted.

    I believe an Albo-led Labor wins in 2019, because he brings less baggage and has the tactical nous to say no to the big target strategy.

    Here ends the rant (temporarily)!

  15. Simon Katich says:
    Tuesday, August 31, 2021 at 6:44 pm

    I suspect Morrisons actions can be explained by…’
    ________________________
    Political self preservation. Everything else is expendable.

  16. boerwar @ #1066 Tuesday, August 31st, 2021 – 6:19 pm

    Simon Katich says:
    Tuesday, August 31, 2021 at 6:44 pm

    I suspect Morrisons actions can be explained by…’
    ________________________
    Political self preservation. Everything else is expendable.

    Self preservation is being a proactive government in the face of the pandemic from the get go. He nearly did it. Shutting the internaitonal border and Jobkeeper/seeker was a good initial step. Both were a little slow in coming and needed fine tuning. But credit where it is due. Then his true character surfaced and it led to him f’ing up everything else… the rest is low down dirty back to the wall self preservation.

  17. Snappy Tom,

    Shorten won the leadership fair and square. So, stop whingeing about might have beens.

    Bill did a terrific job making Labor competitive again after 2013. in 2016. Yes, he fell sort in 2019. But, he’s accepted that loss and got on with the job of making Labor electable again.

    I’m totally behind Albo. But, you don’t win by traducing the contribution of Members like Bill Shorten.

  18. SK

    Good summary. That includes going against ideology not only with regulation but also with no strings attached income support for a good public health outcome and then not.

  19. Fellow Adelaide bludgers are any of you having trouble with your internet? We are in Burnside Council and NBN has been abysmal (slow or not working) last two days. I am typing this on my iPhone.

    iiNet say there is an NBN outage. NBN say there is no outage and to contact ISP. Aaargh! What do I do?

    This is hopeless for working at home.

  20. For anyone who may be suffering, as I am, with anti-vaxxers in their circle of acquaintances- here is a tonic which will cause you to think.

    Sam Vaknin is a clinical psychologist, and YouTuber. He was originally sceptical about vaccines, but now has a simple, but very articulate assessment of anti-vaxxers- they are mentally ill.

    And he explains why..

    https://youtu.be/EK-fcZd_qWQ

  21. @Simon Katich

    You give SfM too much credit, the Jobkeeper/seeker response was not the Govt idea but a response forced on them.
    The initial plan was for everyone displaced from work to use Centerlink but the scale of it swamped the system and was a total failure

    Hence the introduction of jobkeeper a bit later after a bi push by the ACTU

  22. When contacted, Senator McMahon confirmed she had been approached to join other parties – including the Liberal Democrats and Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.

    I’ll bet she has!

  23. Socrates:

    Internet is fantastic for being unreliable just when you need it most!

    I’m sorry I don’t have any ideas as to the source of your troubles, but you can always use your mobile as a hotspot to get you through.

  24. The SIN-AUS Pfizer swap from a Singapore perspective. Straits Times has an article including this Facebook post by their PM.

    Lee is having a sly dig at Morrison – helping out a less fortunate neighbour with some of theirexcess stocks. Singapore has 80% vaccinated and the vaccines to be repaid later by Australia will be used in giving booster shots to their population.

    Singapore and Australia have agreed to a dose sharing arrangement of COVID-19 vaccines. We will send them 500,000 doses of our existing Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine stock, and they will return the same amount to us in December. The doses will have more potential use for us as booster shots then.

    Our two countries enjoy a warm and long-standing friendship, and this is another example of our Comprehensive Strategic Partnership. Glad to support their efforts to get Australians vaccinated as soon as possible. Countries must be united in the battle to quell the pandemic, so that we can all move into the new normal. Singapore is ready to do our bit. – LHL

    https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/australianz/australia-agrees-covid-19-vaccine-swop-deal-with-singapore

  25. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-31/pregnant-woman-with-covid-in-newcastle-icu/100421900

    Itza
    That is so sad. I hope she will be OK.

    We’re also on a knife edge with our grandson and his partner who are expecting their first child.
    They, too, have struggled to get an appointment for Pfizer.

    Our grandson has now had his first AZ shot. Expectant Mum has been given an appointment for 1st November with baby due on 20th.
    I’m feeling a lot of anger with Gladys and can no longer watch her spinning her way through her pressers. Surprisingly, Barilaro has cut the spin.

    Newcastle seemed so safe a short time ago.

  26. Expat Follower

    D&M i’m not asking you to do anything except when quoting someone actually use their words and not your own. Low marks for that, scaled down further for a purported educator lol

    You assume I care about what marks I get 😀

  27. Snappy Tom,

    maybe you are right – i guess there is only one way we will find out.

    Really, i dont know about invoking who the rank & file of a party would select as leader as testimony to their electability. I give you Hague, Duncan-Smith, Corbyn from the UK. If up to rank and file, Abbott or Dutton would have been Lib leader. I’d trust the parliamentary reps much more.

    I’ve made this observation before, that to win federal government from opposition the ALP has needed a leader that captures the imagination/goodwill of the aussie people. Whitlam, Hawke, Rudd. This isnt true for the coalition, why this be the case is a different discussion (as is why its only federal ALP governments that get slaughtered when tossed out). But this will be the first time a leader with an Albanese approach succeeds. Shorten did indeed try and replicate his more charismatic forbears at least on a policy front. I dont know if the policies were the problem or people just didnt like or trust Shorten as a numbers or union hack or his personal style.

    People may not dislike nor distrust Albo as much as they did Shorten, i grant you, but that is different from saying that they actively like and trust him. Question is whether this matters. I think it does. I am happy to be wrong, but would not bet on being wrong. It mightnt matter if the Coalition were as despised as people here think they are. I dont believe that is true either, present polling notwithstanding. Its possible that the rot irretrievably sets in, but i wouldnt take it as a fait accomplis. And i can see ScoMo has a ‘get our lives back’ gameplan, however cynical or opportunistic one may want to call it, that has potential to be quite effective. So lets see who proves correct…

    And at the risk of being overly insulting “key Labor tactician”… is that meant to be a good thing?Labor tactics this century with the singular exception of 2007 have been diabolically god awful.

  28. BH:

    I can’t watch Gladys anymore either. Her performances have gone from disinterested to sociopathic in the total out of context language from her as to what is happening in reality. Ie faux cheer at relaxing restrictions while the state records the highest Covid case numbers ever in Australia, or blithely disregarding the highest number of one day deaths reported this outbreak.

  29. What a shitshow this vaccination rollout is. We are reduced to doing piecemeal deals to make sure there is enough to go around while others are planning on rolling out boosters. Aboriginals, health care workers, aged care workers, people with disabilities still not vaccinated. All comes down to lack of vaccines. Just an utter disaster.

  30. Expat Follower

    again am not sure why people think i am a fan of Morrison; i just think he has an effective gameplan in the works that needs to be countered by a credible effective leader.

    Right – many of us here have told you why we thing Albo is actually doing quite well. Nothing we have said has ameliorated your thinking.

    You provide no evidence, only “feel-pinions” as to why Morrison’s gameplay will work.

    The Newspoll 54 / 46 to the ALP may be “soft”, but do you know this for a fact? If you do, please provide evidence, and cite your sources.

    The only time i was relieved to have Scott Morrison is when he became PM instead of Dutton.

    Well, you really were not paying attention.

    Dutton would have lost the 2019 Federal election.

    Morrison is an out there and proud Pentecostal. He, as do others of his faith, believe that the end times are at hand.

    I presume you are lucky enough not to have Pentecostals as friends and family members?

    ]Sorry if i and a few million others dont take your word for it re Albanese, he has some obligation to show it himself? And if he cant find a way to do it, ScoMo wins like he did in 2019 which was bloody sad enough

    Fine – you are asking us (us!!) to justify Albo’s strategy to you? Who the bloody hell do you think you are: Jonathan Livingston Budgerigar?

    And you have a few million followers?

  31. Fess
    Today I felt close to tears .. with anger .. at Gladys promising rainbows for Christmas. I fear there will be disappointment ahead for many.

    Do you expect to be home by then? At least McGowan is a bright spot in the day when he throws barbs back at Gladys. Will swap you Premiers plse

  32. DropletMichael West
    @MichaelWestBiz
    ·
    5h
    John Barilaro and his lawyers have just opposed a jury trial in the Federal Court. John is suing @friendlyjordies
    and Google but wants the case heard in front of one person, rather than a panel of his peers and voters.
    Google and FJ both want a jury

  33. Apparently, according to Sky News, we have a shadow pandemic of Mental Health.

    It’s never been a shadow. It’s always been there!

  34. GG

    Yes and peta Credlin is leading the charge. They dont care one iota about mental health.
    It’s just another one of their pathetic campaigns to undermine the vic govt.

  35. D&M you really make me laugh.

    Everything we have is opinion. Your opinions on why Albo is doing well are just yours – you have no facts except in your own head either. You dont have to justify Albo’s strategy or persona to me, he does. Your justification of his tactics counts for two fifths of f.all just as my criticism of his tactics does. We are just psephological speculators, why do you have to make it personal like a child having a tantrum?

    Actually i can see why in that pentecostal hate line which is very telling. You arent concerned with people’s outputs, rather judge them on their inputs i can see. The hypocrisy is mindblowing.

    I’m quite sure Dutton would have lost the 2019 election, but i couldnt abide the thought of him as our prime minister and thus was relieved when Morrisson got the gig instead (and i presumed he would also go on to lose). Is that beyond your comprehension? Were you devastated when Turnbull rolled Abbott because it lowered the ALP’s chance of winning the next election… (dont answer that)

    Do i have millions of followers? Er no, and i assume that your educator background wasnt in the field of reading comprehension. I am one of millions of australians that isnt myopically brainwashed to the ALP and would like to see what i’m getting before i buy. You know, those swing voters you hate so much!

  36. friendlyjordies Retweeted

    Xenophon Davis
    @xenophondavis
    ·
    3h
    #BREAKING Barilaro v Shanks. Deputy Premier opposes application for his defamation action to be heard by a jury. Court denies a jury hearing.

    friendlyjordies Retweeted

    Xenophon Davis
    @xenophondavis
    ·
    2h
    Barilaro v Shanks. On the upside…. Court accepted we can run a constitutional defence of implied freedom of political expression. And….. we are appealing against the ruling denying Jordan a truth defence because of parliamentary privilege.

    _edit ————————————-
    Is this a case of the learned judge thinking only He is smart enough to understand the case, sort of undermines the idea of Justice … might as well be a hearing conducted by the Taliban

  37. Greensborough Growler 7pm

    It was not my intention to ‘traduce’ Bill Shorten’s contribution. I may have taken my frustration about the 2019 election a step too far.

    Expat Follower 7.18pm

    There is a difference between strategy and tactics. I don’t think Labor has always made the best strategic use of Albo. I do think his current tactics are messing with Morrison’s head.

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