Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

A trend of declining approval for Scott Morrison and the government’s management of COVID-19 starts to bite on voting intention, according to the latest Newspoll.

As reported by The Australian, the normally stable Newspoll series has recorded a solid bump in favour of Labor, who now lead 53-47 on two-party preferred, out from 51-49 at the previous poll three weeks ago. The Coalition and Labor are both on 39% of the primary vote, which is a two-point drop for the Coalition and a two-point gain for Labor, with the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation steady on 3%.

Scott Morrison is down four points on approval to 51% and up four on disapproval to 45%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 38% and up one to 46%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 51-33, narrowing from 53-33 last time. The Australian’s report also relates that approval of Morrison’s handling of the pandemic is down nine to 52% (UPDATE: disapproval is up nine to 45%), and that the government now records a net negative rating on handling of the vaccine rollout for the first time, with approval down 10 points to 40% and disapproval up 11 to 57%.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1506.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,599 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  2. Are there not border checks in place to stop people leaving the Sydney metro area?

    NSW Health has confirmed the local government area of Orange in the central west region of NSW will go into a seven-day lockdown from midnight tonight, after a person from the COVID-19 hotspot of south-west Sydney visited the area while infectious with the virus.

    The lockdown will also affect the residents in the local government areas of Blayney and Cabonne Shire Council.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-news-live-nsw-and-victoria-covid-19-cases-continue-to-grow-victorian-lockdown-extended-20210719-p58b1n.html

  3. C@t
    Shouldn’t there be more testing as a result of certain people being ordered to be tested every 3 days?

    The problem may be that Sydney has reached capacity to process the tests..
    It’s taking 3 days + to get results in some areas instead of 1

  6. Gladys Alphabetian is to HRH Scrotum Scrotty as Anastas Mikoyan was to Comrade Stalin.
    A pat on the head.

  7. As if people needed any more reasons not to rely on social media for their information.

    There has been a collective sigh of relief from the Coffs Harbour community after the number of venues feared visited by a positive COVID-19 case was reduced to just one.

    Coffs Harbour MP Gurmesh Singh yesterday alerted the community via a Facebook post that the Hoey Moey pub and two venues in the Park Beach Plaza shopping centre were exposure sites.

    But today, NSW Health has confirmed only the Hoey Moey’s bottleshop is a venue of concern after a person from Sydney visited the outlet at around 4:00pm on Thursday July 19.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-20/downgrade-of-coffs-harbour-covid-19-exposure/100306796

    A trigger happy local member obviously hoping to bask in the importance of being a reporter of news for his constituency. Looks like it’s backfired on him though. The Plaza manager sound very annoyed!

  8. C@tmomma @ #1400 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 4:38 pm

    Alpha Zero @ #671 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 6:28 pm

    The thing that wasn’t mentioned today:

    @NSWHealth
    6h
    There were 62,860 COVID-19 tests reported to 8pm last night, compared with the previous day’s total of 75,845.

    So 1.2 times as few tests. So if we multiply todays 78 x 1.2, we get 94. So Numbers are still the same….

    Shouldn’t there be more testing as a result of certain people being ordered to be tested every 3 days?

    There was a report saying that testing is reaching capacity hence the longer wait times for results.

  9. C@tmomma @ #1396 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 6:24 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #654 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 6:05 pm

    C@tmomma @ #1320 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 4:35 pm

    I just heard an interesting factoid on the Channel 9 News. Apparently some people are waiting up to 4 days to get their Covid test results back in SW Sydney.

    So, of course they are going to be out and about while infectious!

    They’re not very bright if they don’t isolate straight after the test. The nurses tell you multiple times to go straight home and wait.

    I think the problem is they can’t wait 4 days because they have a precarious existence and they probably rationalise it to themselves that they will just do this and that before they may have to be locked down with a positive test.

    I can put my own hand up and say I stopped at the shops on the way home from getting a test once. I admit I only got the test because I was there with my son who had to get a negative test before he could start his new job and I was almost 100% sure I didn’t have Covid and I’m a reasonably intelligent person who made a relatively rational decision, but there you go, at the end of then day we’re only human.

    I hope others have more good sense.

  11. ”
    boerwarsays:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 12:58 pm
    GG
    Good post, IMO.
    Fortunately for Labor in this instance, the MSM and the shock jocks and the premiers are as one on Labor’s messages. For once.
    ”

    From BK Dawn Patrollers
    ‘Jennifer Hewett says that Victoria’s approach has quickly replaced NSW’s as the “gold standard”, with political fallout as helpful to Andrews as it is damaging for the leader more fondly nicknamed “our Glad”.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/political-costs-of-lockdowns-add-up-to-a-harsh-winter-20210719-p58b2c
    ‘

    BW, BK
    So Dan the Dictator became Dan the man. 🙂

  12. One of my rellies works in a rural Coles.

    Woman rushed in without a mask to buy chocolate.

    ‘I’ll be really quick, I promise.’

    Was told, ‘No worries. Just hold your breath for the entire time you are in the store.’

  15. Had a sniffly nose so went for a covid test today at Callum Park in inner west Sydney this afternoon.

    Two cars in queue.

  17. It’s remarkable how the MSM narrative on Covid has changed. Absolutely no criticism of Victoria so far as I can see* and a comment on the Project about Morrison disappearing yet again.

    On ABC radio news Gladys was saying that construction would be allowed to resume after the two week ban – apparently inspectors found that many builders were not adhering to their mandatory Covid Safe Plans.

    *With possible exception of Sky after dark!

  20. ”
    Reconsays:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 2:22 pm
    DisplayName says:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 2:12 pm

    It turns out the manufacturing debate in Australia was all a question of sticking it to the unions.

    Who knew.
    ______
    That’s how it turned out in Detroit. The unions won so many advantageous conditions that the Japanese beat them on efficiency. The companies were forced to shift production.

    Of course the U.S government could have propped them up, but at what exorbitant cost?
    ”

    DN
    I was never Union member and never wanted to be one. That being said
    If anybody thought that Reaganomics and Thatcherism are anything other than Union busting measures then they are living in a alternate universe.
    Unions were helping left-of-centre parties to win elections in US, UK and Australia till late 70s.
    You can see once Unions are busted many Factories were moved to places where wages are low and Japan, South Korea and Especially China benefited from that. Low income earners, low skilled people and people on steady income lost their livelihoods. Tories were successful in blaming left-of-centre parties or atleast above-mentioned people got angry with them because they thought left-of-centre parties did not protect them. Things got distorted over a period of time and above-mentioned people became supporters of Trump, BOJO and Morrison to smash the prevailing political system. And the rest as you know is history.

  21. Spence
    I don’t think that’s right. We were meant to wear masks from midnight in “shared indoor public spaces” which I take to mean supermarkets etc.

  22. Gladys seems to make a firm decision on shutting something down and then lose her bottle and reverse it after a short time.

  23. NSW RFS @NSWRFS

    Following a request from the US our Large Air Tanker the ‘Marie Bashir’ will fly to the US in the morning to assist firefighters battling more than 80 fires that have so far burnt more than 400,000 hectares across 13 states. We wish the her and her crew a safe deployment. #nswrfs

  25. In Kabul, rockets are being experienced. Get that evidence on Roberts-Smith on the record now, and permit the Afghan translators instant sanctuary.

  26. ”
    C@tmommasays:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 5:37 pm
    Dr Nicole Spurrier seems like a very competent SA CHO.
    ”

    The same Dr., who was bamboozled by Chris Kenny. Then she must be doing something right.

  27. The Good Ship Sydney is springing multiple leaks. As restrictions post transmission are less effective than prevention, the Stage 4 Burnet modelling curve is looking less relevant. I may need to reduce my optimism for an end of August ceasefire.

    Annoying.

  29. Orange is freezing in Winter. Have to remember it’s 862 metres (2,828 ft) above sea level.

    I just checked Blayney – it’s as high as Orange (863 m).

    It was a definite experience to traverse this area at night in winter on the unheated Forbes mail train.

  31. sprocket_ says:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 7:08 pm
    What is it with Morrison? Last seen on Friday 16th – 5 days ago.

    Is there any other PM who goes MIA so often?

    Hair transplant side effects?

  34. “Maybe I really DO live in Snoozeville NSW?”

    There are sleepier towns. But none that you can get to with public transport.

  39. If there is ANY possible Olympic glory opportunity Scotty will be poised ready to photobomb the occasion and claim credit.

  44. Griff:

    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 7:34 pm

    [‘When the Morrison PMship is at an end, what will it be known for? What it be termed?’]

    How did it go so terribly wrong?

  45. The Drum was very informative about the UK situation, long Covid, and the dubious effectiveness of vaxing without changing lifestyles. Snap back to normal sounds like a Morrison fantasy that won’t happen.

  46. Barney in Tanjung Bunga and boerwar

    Thanks for the earlier link to the third set of modelling. Similar end point. While I remain optimistic for an end of August end, I am still apprehensive of the variation of restrictions across NSW leading to an endpoint longer than the modelling suggests.

    Green Day rather than green shoots

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NU9JoFKlaZ0

  47. Alpha Zero @ #701 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 7:17 pm

    ToScomokyo is the rumour

    The big announcement of who will host the 2032 Olympics is scheduled for tomorrow. Is it just possible that Morrison will pop up in Tokyo after an overnight 1o hour flight?

    Far fetched as this sounds, the man is probably desperate at the moment to get some favourable publicity.

  48. Griff at 7:34 pm

    [‘When the Morrison PMship is at an end, what will it be known for? What it be termed?’

    Media lizards probably regaling us with stories of how super dooper Scotty was at hiding all that corruption . So good was he they had no idea of it going on.

  50. Could see a good add campaign for the MIA PM:

    Sydney/Vic/SA lockdown – SfM Where the bloody hell are you??

    Works equally well with bushfires, vaccine roll out…

    I recall the original add campaign was a dud, so pretty fitting

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