Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

A trend of declining approval for Scott Morrison and the government’s management of COVID-19 starts to bite on voting intention, according to the latest Newspoll.

As reported by The Australian, the normally stable Newspoll series has recorded a solid bump in favour of Labor, who now lead 53-47 on two-party preferred, out from 51-49 at the previous poll three weeks ago. The Coalition and Labor are both on 39% of the primary vote, which is a two-point drop for the Coalition and a two-point gain for Labor, with the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation steady on 3%.

Scott Morrison is down four points on approval to 51% and up four on disapproval to 45%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 38% and up one to 46%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 51-33, narrowing from 53-33 last time. The Australian’s report also relates that approval of Morrison’s handling of the pandemic is down nine to 52% (UPDATE: disapproval is up nine to 45%), and that the government now records a net negative rating on handling of the vaccine rollout for the first time, with approval down 10 points to 40% and disapproval up 11 to 57%.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1506.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,599 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 28 of 32
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  1. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 5:30 pm

    The fact that you are name calling suggest you are not here for a discussion but rather trolling.

  2. Socrates says:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 5:25 pm

    The one of the outbreaks was from SA that went into Victoria, which spread.

    This isn’t the first time they failed.

  4. For all those posters lauding Albanese’s performance as leader of the opposition, well he hasn’t had to do much. Basically, all he has done, is to get out of the way of Slow Mo, Gladys, Hunt and the rest.

  5. As a Victorian, I like to say that South Australia can’t be faulted in it response to Covid outbreaks, same with Tassie, Liberal government or not. NSW on the other hand…

  6. Cud Chewer @ #621 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 5:16 pm

    poroti

    When they built the rail line from France to Spain they sited the Canfranc border station where the rail line could be easily cut off (with explosives). I’m sure we could leave some dynamite in the tunnel north of the Hawkesbury, just in case 🙂

    I wouldn’t mind. I think we’re getting a boat that is going to come into Woy Woy’s new wharf that can take people to Sydney via the ocean. 😀

    Eventually. 😐

  9. A request for our resident Crow Eaters. Could one of you please give me the basic outline of the how and when of your outbreak ?

  11. What happens when the unstoppable force meets the immovable object? Find out today’s exciting episode of PB featuring Recon and Guytaur!

    They dont ‘meet’. It is called Parallel Play.

  13. Cud Chewer @ #1137 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 12:20 pm

    Reco

    BHP got out of production because of ageing and expensive plant. We all know thus so don’t act dumb.

    There’s a doco floating about on youtube about the closing of the BHP plant and the number one reason was the level of production as well as the choice of which plant was going to get the chop. NSW or SA.

  14. Simon Katich at 5:38 pm

    What happens when the unstoppable force meets the immovable object? Find out today’s exciting episode of PB featuring Recon and Guytaur!

    They dont ‘meet’. It is called Parallel Play.

    I think quantum physics definitely comes into play here. Aspecs such as Superposition for instance……

    Superposition the ability of a quantum system to be in multiple states at the same time.

  15. poroti @ #1359 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 5:07 pm

    A request for our resident Crow Eaters. Could one of you please give me the basic outline of the how and when of your outbreak ?

    No.
    Because I dont understand it.

    81yo vaccinated man flies in from Argentina to NSW with his daughter. Quarantines there. Comes out of quarantine. Comes to SA on July the 8th. Gets sick, goes to hospital gets tested positive on the 19th. SAHealth reckon he was infectious from the 14th of July and that to me is odd. However they are treating him as being infectious from the 8th out of caution. Perhaps it is because his daughter initially tested negative. I dont know.

    The assumption is that this has come with him from NSW. But the timing of the ‘infectious period’ muddies that water, doesnt it?

  16. Oh, the 81yo man also tested negative – I assume in NSW but I dont know the date of this test and cant find info in it.

    Officially, they are saying they dont know where the man caught the virus.

  17. Singapore will from Thursday reimpose tightened Covid-19 restrictions
    after relaxing some measures just last week after a new cluster of cases
    including karaoke bar customers and fishmongers.

    Officials on Tuesday announced all restaurant dining will be barred, social gatherings will be restricted to groups of two and wearing masks will be mandatory for indoor sporting activities. The tightened restrictions will last until at least August 18, the coronavirus task force said.

    The National Day Parade planned for August 9 will go ahead but its scale will be reviewed.

    “Some people have also asked why we are tightening measures, if we are planning to live with Covid-19 eventually, and how this fits into our endemic Covid plan,” said Gan Kim Yong, co-chair of the coronavirus task force.

    “Our direction has not changed. However, when we outline our plans to live with Covid. We also emphasise that we needed to significantly raise our vaccination rate,” he said, adding that infections needed to be kept under control to protect the unvaccinated, especially the elderly.

  18. Mavis. Thanks for the search term. She (Sydney III) had a very varied career. About your rank, would that equate to an army clerk?
    As a writer would you have been involved with creating the RoP for various ships? If so your efforts would be included in the link I previously supplied.
    If you were involved, how often did you think to yourself….bullshit….bullshit… etc etc.

  20. In other words, Singapore gets that “living with covid” only makes sense in the context of herd immunity. I suspect NZ will also go down this path. I hope we can learn.

  21. Jaeger

    at 5:54 pm
    Queensland man escapes COVID-19 hotel quarantine in Perth using bed sheet rope

    Welcome to the cells of Sandgropia Mr Bananabender. Teh locals have shown they are not afraid of giving a bit of cell/jail time for covidiots.

  22. When they built the rail line from France to Spain they sited the Canfranc border station where the rail line could be easily cut off (with explosives). I’m sure we could leave some dynamite in the tunnel north of the Hawkesbury, just in case

    Europe’s unluckiest train station gets new lease of life as hotel

    Once-grand Canfranc was known as the Titanic of the mountains, but fell into disrepair thanks to fire, derailment and war

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/19/canfranc-europe-unluckiest-train-station-hotel

  23. Sohar @ #1360 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 5:35 pm

    As a Victorian, I like to say that South Australia can’t be faulted in it response to Covid outbreaks, same with Tassie, Liberal government or not. NSW on the other hand…

    Yep all have done well cleaning up Morrisons quarantine failures, except for Gladys who didn’t learn the lessons of 2020.

  24. Mavis @ #1246 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 2:17 pm

    poroti:

    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 2:00 pm

    [‘Mavis

    .These guys no doubt saved many diggers’ lives but they’re being treated like lepers brown people guilty of being muslim .’]

    I too think that racism may be a factor. I’ve never known servicemen to burn their medals. It is a measure of what they think of this government and Dutton would be beside himself.

    My late uncle was a WW2 vet. When he received his medals, he signed for them but never opened them (delivered in the mail ffs). His remaining brother and sister never even new he had them until we turned up to clean his unit out and found a couple of unopened parcels.

  25. Holdenhillbilly @ #1367 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 3:50 pm

    Singapore will from Thursday reimpose tightened Covid-19 restrictions
    after relaxing some measures just last week after a new cluster of cases
    including karaoke bar customers and fishmongers.

    Officials on Tuesday announced all restaurant dining will be barred, social gatherings will be restricted to groups of two and wearing masks will be mandatory for indoor sporting activities. The tightened restrictions will last until at least August 18, the coronavirus task force said.

    The National Day Parade planned for August 9 will go ahead but its scale will be reviewed.

    “Some people have also asked why we are tightening measures, if we are planning to live with Covid-19 eventually, and how this fits into our endemic Covid plan,” said Gan Kim Yong, co-chair of the coronavirus task force.

    “Our direction has not changed. However, when we outline our plans to live with Covid. We also emphasise that we needed to significantly raise our vaccination rate,” he said, adding that infections needed to be kept under control to protect the unvaccinated, especially the elderly.

    Singapore are also cracking down on transiting passengers.

    They now don’t allow any flights from Indonesia.

    So if you want to travel to Australia from here, according to the local Consulate, you have the one Garuda flight a week or you can try transiting through Malaysia or Doha.

  27. C@tmomma @ #1320 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 4:35 pm

    I just heard an interesting factoid on the Channel 9 News. Apparently some people are waiting up to 4 days to get their Covid test results back in SW Sydney.

    So, of course they are going to be out and about while infectious!

    They’re not very bright if they don’t isolate straight after the test. The nurses tell you multiple times to go straight home and wait.

  28. C@tmomma says:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 6:04 pm

    Considering you were also abusive and made accusations of me as well.

    that says everything.

  30. Mark McGowan is a class act.
    All over everything. And then some.
    Any way he can be dropped into Grayndler?

  32. If only Morrison was competent enough to accept Pfizers offer last year…

    Barrie Cassidy
    @barriecassidy
    ·
    6m
    We’ll there you have it. If only they had been vaccinated there would be little need for lockdowns.
    Quote Tweet
    casey briggs
    @CaseyBriggs
    · 1h
    Only one of the locally acquired cases in NSW from 4-10 July was fully vaccinated.

    92% had received no doses of a COVID-19 vaccine.

  33. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-20/ms-represented-women-politicians-ideas-ignored-gender-deafness/100305240

    Australia’s broadcasting commies or c….

    Other than that every workplace should be safe and there’s lotsa stuff that makes no sense and is probably not legal, I find it hard too care.

    It would explain though why the system can’t behave in a manner conducive, for yet another reason, besides power unbalance, corruption, lack of transparency, to advance Australia, fair, and I am convinced diverse teams do better.
    Then again with many HR departments full of women, same for legal, even marketing how come this hasn’t been sorted yet. Besides supposedly even the autocrat theocrazy that’s the PM supposedly listens to Jen?

    How about instead of focusing on specific segments, focus on all disadvantaged groups irrespective of features that people can’t change such as race, gender, ability etc?

    Age would be.

    Poverty would be.

  34. Am I the only Bludger not to have had the swab stick up the nostril?

    Maybe I really DO live in Snoozeville NSW?

  36. Israel:

    Earlier this month, the ministry lowered its projection of 95.3 per cent effectiveness across all coronavirus variants, to admit the vaccine provided just 64 per cent protection against delta. It said the vaccine was 93 per cent effective in preventing severe disease and hospitalisation, compared with the 97 per cent reported in the medical journal The Lancet in May.

    However Haaretz reports that figures supplied this week by The Gertner Institute, which studies epidemiology and health policy, suggest the real figure was significantly lower.

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/world/coronavirus-pfizer-less-effective-in-over50s-and-against-delta-find-israeli-researchers/news-story/b0de7db6becf35863fb789b3920750c4

  38. Bushfire Bill
    My hooter also remains unswabbed. But then living here in McGowanville the need for one has been few and far between.

  39. Am I the only Bludger not to have had the swab stick up the nostril?

    Both nostrils and down the back of the throat. Not recommended.

  41. Rex Douglas @ #654 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 6:05 pm

    C@tmomma @ #1320 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 4:35 pm

    I just heard an interesting factoid on the Channel 9 News. Apparently some people are waiting up to 4 days to get their Covid test results back in SW Sydney.

    So, of course they are going to be out and about while infectious!

    They’re not very bright if they don’t isolate straight after the test. The nurses tell you multiple times to go straight home and wait.

    I think the problem is they can’t wait 4 days because they have a precarious existence and they probably rationalise it to themselves that they will just do this and that before they may have to be locked down with a positive test.

    I can put my own hand up and say I stopped at the shops on the way home from getting a test once. I admit I only got the test because I was there with my son who had to get a negative test before he could start his new job and I was almost 100% sure I didn’t have Covid and I’m a reasonably intelligent person who made a relatively rational decision, but there you go, at the end of then day we’re only human.

  42. BB
    About a year ago I had a nasal and throat swab test. The nurse promised me she’d make me reach and tear up. She was not wrong!

  43. Bushfire Bill
    Re your “Maybe I really DO live in Snoozeville NSW” and both of us not being “up nosed” .There might be a pattern forming. Excitement means swabs 🙂

    “In 2000, Lonely Planet named Perth “Dullsville”

  44. The thing that wasn’t mentioned today:

    @NSWHealth
    6h
    There were 62,860 COVID-19 tests reported to 8pm last night, compared with the previous day’s total of 75,845.

    So 1.2 times as few tests. So if we multiply todays 78 x 1.2, we get 94. So Numbers are still the same….

  47. Big A Adrian says:
    Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 2:53 pm

    Thats funny, I actually thought Julia Gillard came up with the phrase “cash for clunkers”.

    I was in the USA at the time, it was very much an Obama thing and it was very much a thing in the USA before Australia.

  49. Cat
    “Dr Nicole Spurrier seems like a very competent SA CHO.”

    She is a career doctor in the SA public health system (originally a paediatrician) and also qualified in epidemiology, so ideally qualified for covid. She is not a political appointee and highly respected.

    SK
    “A request for our resident Crow Eaters. Could one of you please give me the basic outline of the how and when of your outbreak ?”

    IT could be either the 81 year old picked it up in hotel quarantine on the way back via Sydney or via an untraced contact to the removalists who came to SA. The removalists were not fully forthcoming with details of their trip. So they don’t know yet. Hence they are locking down, because it is possible there is other untraced transmission within SA now. Exactly the same approach as WA, Qld and Vic have taken in their recent cases.

  50. Alpha Zero @ #671 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 6:28 pm

    The thing that wasn’t mentioned today:

    @NSWHealth
    6h
    There were 62,860 COVID-19 tests reported to 8pm last night, compared with the previous day’s total of 75,845.

    So 1.2 times as few tests. So if we multiply todays 78 x 1.2, we get 94. So Numbers are still the same….

    Shouldn’t there be more testing as a result of certain people being ordered to be tested every 3 days?

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