As reported by The Australian, the normally stable Newspoll series has recorded a solid bump in favour of Labor, who now lead 53-47 on two-party preferred, out from 51-49 at the previous poll three weeks ago. The Coalition and Labor are both on 39% of the primary vote, which is a two-point drop for the Coalition and a two-point gain for Labor, with the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation steady on 3%.
Scott Morrison is down four points on approval to 51% and up four on disapproval to 45%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down two to 38% and up one to 46%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 51-33, narrowing from 53-33 last time. The Australian’s report also relates that approval of Morrison’s handling of the pandemic is down nine to 52% (UPDATE: disapproval is up nine to 45%), and that the government now records a net negative rating on handling of the vaccine rollout for the first time, with approval down 10 points to 40% and disapproval up 11 to 57%.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1506.
The more Gladys underlines the need to lock down hard now to deal with Delta, the more she underlines that they left it too late, to lock down hard.
She is for me far too wordy, too ingratiating, and too the victim of her own double speak – “I am certain the XYX will happen, hopefully”.
Berejiklian’s major domestic pathogen transfers:
Ruby Princess
Bondi
@mjrowland tweets
Victoria has extended its lockdown by a further 7 days (12 days in total).
SA has just gone into a 7-day lockdown.
NSW is in the midst of a 5-week lockdown.
Australia’s vaccination rate for 16yo+ stands at 13.7%
Or 11% of the general population.
#covid19aus #auspol
Here’s a lesson for you Guytaur:
A final tool available to government for promoting domestic production over imports is the protectionist subsidy. This less will explain, illustrate and evaluate the impact of a payment from the government to domestic producers meant to reduce imports and protect domestic jobs and firms.
This lesson also examines the economic justification for protectionism.
https://econclassroom.com/protectionist-subsidies/
whiskey. check
coffee beans. check
toilet paper. check
masks. check
Chris O’Keefe
@cokeefe9
·
53m
NSW: 78 cases. 63k tests, 27 infectious in community.
@9NewsAUS
Quote Tweet
Chris O’Keefe
@cokeefe9
· 1h
Hearing NSW numbers are a bit better today. Major issue brewing around testing delays. Doctors/surgeons demanding negative results to get basic healthcare and procedures, but their patients are waiting 5 days+. @9NewsAUS
Recon
Just one exanple. The world needs steel. The world will alwayas need steel. You’re saying that we cannot make and export steel profitably.
I say bullshit. Your ‘market’ is broken. There is no way a state of the art, green steel making plant fed with local iron ore and cheap solar energy would not make a profit.
You need to rethink what is wrong with your ‘market’. Hint: it really isn’t one.
Has oakeshott country regaled us yet with how much superior NSW health is.
Recon
Not all subsidies are protectionism.
It’s that simple.
Victoria @ #344 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 11:31 am
Yep. ‘Green shoots’ with a light dusting of Covid. 🙄
Itzadream
I havent followed GladysB today. But is there a roadmap yet from her.
NSW needs some idea of how and why they need to do restrictions and time frame etc.
Victoria @ #384 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 11:56 am
Of course not. He slinks away until the coast is clear and then uses an abstruse conversation with Lars and Recon about Northern Ireland politics to make his reappearance.
Cud Chewer says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 11:56 am
Recon
Just one exanple. The world needs steel. The world will alwayas need steel. You’re saying that we cannot make and export steel profitably.
I say bullshit. Your ‘market’ is broken. There is no way a state of the art, green steel making plant fed with local iron ore and cheap solar energy would not make a profit.
You need to rethink what is wrong with your ‘market’. Hint: it really isn’t one.
_________________
A bit odd then that BHP got out of steel making. Don’t they like making money? It’s successor BlueScope shifting production to India. They must not like making money either.
C@t
With vic and sa busy. Where is NSW going to get the support they need to continue with the contact tracing effort.
GladysB has been dissing Palaszczuk fo months, so no love there.
guytaur says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 11:56 am
Recon
Not all subsidies are protectionism.
It’s that simple.
__________
You claimed that subsidies to the car industry were not protectionism, now you claim that some are and some aren’t. Well, in relation to the car industry, it was Protectionism.
C@t
He had lots and lots to say about Victoria.
Thought he would be much more attuned to what is going on in his own beloved state.
In NSW its 41 infectious in the community – Gladys straight out lied.
Is Gladys just recycling her old speeches?
Drought: “green shoots”.
Bushfires: “green shoots”.
Floods: “green shoots”.
COVID-19: uh, “green shoots”?
In relation to mining subsidies. I believe most of them are in the form of fuel subsidies, which alot of sectors claim too. Fine by me if they end them. The mining industry don’t depend upon them to stay profitable, unlike with the car industry.
guytaur @ #342 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 11:26 am
‘Australia is in far better shape as a result of Labor in the 80’s’
If only this was the accepted wisdom out in punterville.
If only Labor hadn’t walked away from their achievements.
The facts are that successive Labor governments since Fisher on have been responsible for the social and economic ‘architecture’ of Australia.
Without Labor governments we’d be swinging from the trees.
And yet, aspirationals think the LNP is for them.
Victoria @ #1111 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 11:57 am
She’s all over the place, struggling I thought with trying to be all things to all people.
Hazzard went on the attack on anti-vaxxers, and rather than explain and deal with people’s fears, just called them out as being on ‘another planet’. I doubt it shifted anyone.
Chant is very solid today I think. They are now acknowledging help from interstate with case history taking, I think, and from SA I think.
And no, certainly no plan. And off they go, leaving an unfinished and unsatisfactory feeling at least in me. They look a bit at a loss. The steady plateauing of the ‘infectious in the community’ smacks very much of, to use Andrews’ analogy, like they are running alongside the virus, but can’t get in front of it. And may never, without vaccines, which they continue to emphasise.
It was Dan Andrews who called Sydney “out of control”.
Recon
The truth is that decisions of Boardrooms in Western Financial capitals decided slave wages was preferable to paying “high wages” in Democratic countries that support a Liveable Wage.
That’s how much damage the neo liberal model of their is no society has done. We had a coup attempt in the US. We have had the rise of the Chinese dictatorship encouraged instead of support for individual dignity that is part of the human rights framework.
The Liveable Wage is precisely about supporting human rights. As is Universal Healthcare. Dignity of the individual.
The neo liberal model destroys this basic idea at the heart of liberal democracies.
guytaur says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 12:08 pm
Recon
The truth is that decisions of Boardrooms in Western Financial capitals decided slave wages was preferable to paying “high wages” in Democratic countries that support a lovable wage.
That’s how much damage the neo liberal model of their is no society has done. We had a coup attempt in the US. We have had the rise of the Chinese dictatorship encouraged instead of support for individual dignity that is part of the human rights framework.
The Liveable Wage is precisely about supporting human rights. As is Universal Healthcare. Dignity of the individual.
The neo liberal model destroys this basic idea at the heart of liberal democracies.
_______________
Which is why Keating bolstered the social security system along with deregulating the economy. You don’t have to have protectionism to have a decent wage system and a generous welfare system, which Australia has had since the 80s.
Thoughts on the NSW outbreak:
Overall numbers are down. Why? We are flushing out the established concentration in Fairfield and surrounds.
Lower proportion in isolation and higher amount under investigation. Why? We are flushing out the concentration in Fairfield and surrounds. After the shift from the Eastern suburbs to the South-west, we are seeing “green shoots” beyond containment lines. Look to Western Sydney, but there are new (known) exposure sites much further afield e.g. Coffs and Newcastle listed yesterday night. Sewerage testing is concerning.
On a positive note, further restrictions to mobility established over the weekend have yet to impact on numbers. Fingers crossed! I am optimistic with end of August, but hard to say until we see what the latest tightening of restrictions do.
Shorter summary: Don’t mess with Delta.
Recon
The problem is your definition of protectionism.
You see can and think it means must.
Well Vic another 7 days of lock down with 13 news cars of which 9 were in isolation 100% of that time, at that rate Sydney will be in lock down for 2 months if very lucky?
guytaur says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 12:12 pm
Recon
The problem is your definition of protectionism.
You see can and think it means must.
_________________
I think you don’t have a clue what you are talking about tbh.
ATTENTION SKY NEWS:
NSW Heath Minister Brad Hazzard urged people to not listen to advice from people without medical or scientific training.
“Please go and get vaccinated, don’t listen to some of these crazy messages that are coming saying that this is not a dangerous virus.”
Itzadream
I know I keep banging on about a roadmap.
But the modelling is quite accurate.
The govt can set goals of where they expect to be by a certain date provided the restrictions are abided by. Goal setting for the collective is very helpful. Considering NSW opposition and the feds will be supportive.
Not like the shit show we were served up here in Victoria,
Recon, I would suggest giving up while your sanity is still intact.
Ouch!!
Christian Porter and barrister facing $550,000 costs bill, court hears
Edit..that’s just Jo Dyer costs
Recon
No I am just not buying your framing.
I don’t see subsidies as having to mean protectionism and nationalism as you have attempted to say it is.
Victoria @ #392 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 12:00 pm
Yeah. And none of it good and said with the same imperious air that Gladys likes to use about Victoria.
Sceptic @ #407 Tuesday, July 20th, 2021 – 12:15 pm
Kerry Stokes can afford it. 😐
Asha Leu says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 12:15 pm
Recon, I would suggest giving up while your sanity is still intact.
______
I’ve never argued with Guytaur before. I’m starting to see what all the fuss is about 🙂
Sceptic:
I wonder if anyone is still going to try to claim Porter beat the ABC?
Reco
BHP got out of production because of ageing and expensive plant. We all know thus so don’t act dumb.
Asha Leu,
Gosh I wouldn’t mind a little bit of being beaten in that manner. Or should a say manna 🙂
So Recon is this protectionism?
https://www.servicesaustralia.gov.au/individuals/services/centrelink/child-care-subsidy
Looking at that Essential polling, I am amazed that we haven’t had the usual horde of ardent and helpful voluntary Bludger advisers to Albanese and the Labor Party drawing the usual mandatory lessons about just how totally incompetent Albanese has been as Opposition Leader.
Cud Chewer says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 12:20 pm
Reco
BHP got out of production because of ageing and expensive plant. We all know thus so don’t act dumb.
__________
You should get all like minded industrial fetishists, pool your money and get in on Australian steel making. Don’t forget to float the company so I can short sell you. 🙂
guytaur says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 12:21 pm
So Recon is this protectionism?
https://www.servicesaustralia.gov.au/individuals/services/centrelink/child-care-subsidy
________________________
If overseas child care providers were competing with ours it would be. Just as with the car industry.
Griff
I’d like to say we will squeak through this outbreak but frankly we are chasing the tail of the virus.
We need to go to the next level. Pre-emptively isolating people. Not waiting on tests.
Any country that can afford to subsidise the wealthy with franking credits (no other country does this), negative gearing to buy your 100th property, tax free SMSF (some as reported this week with $100 million plus balances) ……. to the tune of billions every year, can afford to support their car industry, biotech industry or any other industry deemed important for a modern, diversified economy.
It is just a matter of choices.
It is a pity that the Morrison Government lacks a similar passion for Indigenous employment:
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/jul/20/mathias-cormanns-flights-to-win-oecd-job-cost-australia-11000-a-day
Torchbearer says:
Tuesday, July 20, 2021 at 12:26 pm
Any country that can afford to subsidise the wealthy with franking credits (no other country does this), negative gearing to buy your 100th property, tax free SMSF (some as reported this week with $100 million plus balances) ……. to the tune of billions every year, can afford to support their car industry, biotech industry or any other industry deemed important for a modern, diversified economy.
It is just a matter of choices.
____________
Maybe we shouldn’t be doing either. Better to put that money into Health and Education.
If only Labor hadn’t walked away from their achievements.
And yet, aspirationals think the LNP is for them.
And the missing link is?
John Howard.
He masterfully caused Labor to be embarrassed about the achievements of Hawke and Keating, iirc due to the lingering unpopularity of Paul Keating. Then he created the Howard Battlers and the Aspirationals and he and Costello gave them an ABN and a SMSF as a present. Plus the Coalition kept the foot on the throat of Labor with the Debt and Deficit Disaster malarkey. It worked for a good couple of decades, until they had to embrace it themselves. I only hope many pointed economic questions are asked of THEM in the run-up to the next election, instead of only Labor.
Anyway, this lockdown is somehow more boring than all the others. I’ve got to go and make lunch etc etc… It’s been real.
I see that China, with 28% of the world’s CO2 emissions, and growing, has set up a sham carbon market. They have zero intention of lowering CO2 emissions.
Australia must ignore this sham emissions market and put a just tariff on embedded CO2 emissions in all manufacturing imports. from China as well as from all other future plundering emitters.
boerwar at 12:22 pm
Scrott is giving away government rather than Albo winning government. If it lasts until the actual election a win is a win but it makes for an electorate with sfa ‘adhesion’ to Labor.