The fortnightly Essential Research poll includes the pollster’s monthly leadership ratings, which gives Scott Morrison his weakest results since the onset of COVID-19 – down six on approval to 51% and up four on disapproval to 40%, with his lead as preferred prime minister narrowing slightly from 48-28 to 46-28. Anthony Albanese is up two on approval to 41% and down one on disapproval to 35%. These numbers have been fed into the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, sharpening Morrison’s established downward trend.
Approval of the federal government’s response to COVID-19 has also deteriorated, with a nine point drop in the good rating since last month to 44% and a six point increase in poor to 30%. Among respondents in New South Wales, the good rating for the federal government has slumped from 62% to 44%, and that for the state government is down from 69% to 57%. A range of other questions are featured on matters relating to COVID-19, including findings that 36% would be willing to get the Pfizer vaccine but not AstraZeneca (5% said vice-versa); that 40% believe the vaccine rollout is being down efficiently, down from 43% a month ago (and 68% earlier in the year); and that 64% believe it is being done safely, down from 67%.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1099; full results can be viewed here.
Elsewhere, the Age/Herald yesterday published results aggregated from the three monthly Resolve Strategic polls which compared current voting intention with how respondents recalled having voted in 2019, and found women were more likely to have shifted away from the Coalition (down four points to 37%) than men (down one to 41%). On the subject of Resolve Strategic, Macquarie University academic Murray Goot casts a critical eye over its (and to a lesser extent Essential Research’s) attitudinal polling in Inside Story and takes aim at its refusal to join the Australian Polling Council and adhere to its transparency standards.
I’ve heard that one before.
Grimace
Hello and I hope you are well. I can relate to your business and work/life balance issues. I saw this comment with interest:
“ I’ve been redistributed into Hasluck, so the odious Porter isn’t my problem in the upcoming election and we’ll be getting behind Tania Lawrence and her battle against Ken Wyatt or his replacement.”
Do you have any opinions on Porter’s prospects in Pearce? I realise it is a safe seat but Porter’s behaviour both in office and prior seems so far short of acceptable that I would find his re-election offensive. If you don’t think Labor can win Pearce do you think there is a prospect of a credible independent candidate?
citizen
This is the juicy bit 🙂
We already knew that Scomo and Hunt and Brendan were totally fucking useless, but its good to see this confirmation.
And who would take credit for the Ruddster’s intervention?
You guessed right the first time. Wally Wallpaper!
‘With no news emerging of a bring forward, Mr Rudd subsequently called Treasurer Josh Frydenberg a few days later to make sure that he was aware of the conversation.
A week later, and facing trenchant criticism from state governments about shortages of vaccine supply, and the alarming outbreak of the Delta variant which has now locked down Sydney for an unknown period, Mr Morrison initially announced on Thursday that there would be an additional 300,000 doses of vaccines – including 150,000 from Pfizer – made available to New South Wales.
A story subsequently appeared in The Australian newspaper that evening saying the federal government had secured a deal with Pfizer to lift supply to approximately 1 million doses a week, three times the weekly average of 300,000 to 350,000 a week in May and June.’
Hmmm, So a story thats obviously sourced from one K.Rudd that puts one K.Rudd in a very good light.
FAIL!
What on earth was the federal govt doing?
And here is Rudy’s letter to Wally..
I’m backing Berrettini tonight. He’s got the game to beat Djokovic, evidenced by his semi-final win against Hurkacz, where he served 22 aces, his first serve was hit at an average speed of 125 mph, with 60 clean winners. His only handicap is that he hasn’t played in a grand slam singles final whereas the Joker has won 19, but his stats in the semi weren’t that good, serving only 8 aces, 33 winners, average first-serve speed of 115 mph, he also served 5 doubles; Berrettini, 1.
Lars Von Trier @ #3380 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 7:31 pm
Not paying attention to the efficacy results and ordering heaps more Pfizer back when it became clear that Pfizer/mRNA was the more effective vaccine. And then telling everyone not to get AZ because bloodclots. And then panicking and telling everyone to get AZ because outbreak. And then panicking and shortening the AZ dose interval because outbreak.
We’re going to end up with less resistance to covid because of all of that*, even if we get everyone vaccinated. The goal should be maximizing resistance, not doing panic measures to get out of an outbreak that should have been controlled (and should be controlled) using lockdowns.
And also letting the PM be vaccinated with Pfizer if they were going to tell everyone else to get AZ. The optics of that are just terrible.
* Barring some sort of Pfizer/mRNA booster program, for which there’s currently no tangible plan. And which is about as hard to manage as the initial vaccine rollout, which is still proceeding at a glacial pace. Perhaps we can have everyone vaccinated and boosted by the end of 2023, maybe?
I do think that the Morrison government could pay a big political price for the lack of Pfizer. But it will only be in proportion to the outbreak numbers before we get to an adequate number of vaccinations.
Problem with the Rudd letter is that we won’t hear about it in either the News Ltd or Nine publications.
Had roles been reversed, the noise would have been deafening.
Lars the Liberal turd polisher
Come October/November we’ll come to terms with the fact that the country needs a 3rd dose and will be asking if this bunch of incompetent fools are capable of negotiating the extra deliveries.
Z,
The tV report said the dog had attacked and killed another dog a couple of weeks ago.
Asha Leu says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 7:48 pm
Come September / October – most people will have been vaccinated
I’ve heard that one before.
______________________
Do the maths Asha – if there’s 25% of people or about 6.5 m who have had one dose they will get another dose in the next 12 weeks .
We are currently sticking 880K people per week so even at current rates thats 11m shots in 13 weeks or 35% fully vaccinated + 25% with one shot.
Given the doses are increasing ( if the ABC is to be believed because of one K.Rudd) then 80% is easily achievable.
Of course when I pointed out that in Rudd’s Memoirs he claimed that Jim Chalmers cried and begged for his seat after spreading nastiness about Rudd it was claimed by Labor supporters here that Rudd is a highly unreliable source for the truth….
Lol AR – end of 2023. I see your in the steve777 faction – I cant remember his first prediction I think it was September 2025 from memory.
Lars
I think you will find NZ is ahead of their scheduled commitments not 6 months behind like Australia.
Also NZ has approved & ordered J&J vaccine which will put them further ahead of Australia.
a r
My mum was telling me about an article on real estate. The guy who heads AstraZeneca in Australia sits on a $25 million salary and bought a $8 million mansion with spare cash.
Its good to have close ties to the Liberals..
Cud Chewer says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 7:54 pm
Lars the Liberal turd polisher
Come October/November we’ll come to terms with the fact that the country needs a 3rd dose and will be asking if this bunch of incompetent fools are capable of negotiating the extra deliveries.
_______________________
Your just moving the goal posts.
Your like the amateur military strategist arguing about the merits / mistakes of Operation Market Garden in May 1945. No one will care.
It’s more about who has the best plan for winning the peace.
Recon
The sources in that article aren’t just Rudd.
Cud Chewer says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:01 pm
Recon
The sources in that article aren’t just Rudd.
________
I have no reason to doubt him in either case.
On a related matter, the hospitalisation rate is not looking good:
https://twitter.com/Mike_Honey_/status/1413341404630183936
We need the vaccine. I can see why they have shortened the AZ time interval. Don’t mess with delta.
Zo0mster
Exactly!
People be careful with dogs around babies.
I’m sure if Rudd is talking shit it would be easy enough to confirm that with the people at Pfizer.
Sceptic says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 7:58 pm
Lars
I think you will find NZ is ahead of their scheduled commitments not 6 months behind like Australia.
Also NZ has approved & ordered J&J vaccine which will put them further ahead of Australia.
_________________________
Actually if you look at the google counts per country:
NZ has about 10% fully vaccinated and 15% partially vaccinated. We have about 8% fully vaccinated and 27% partially vaccinated.
Its highly likely we’ll overtake NZ on the fully vaccinated metric in the next 4 weeks. Its probably the third world transport system which will slow up the Kiwis.
Lars the unreconstructed Liberal voter.
However you polish that turd, it won’t change the fact that this government has failed, utterly, miserably. Starting with the unbelievably amateur treatment of Pfizer mid last year.
I guess if you hire people to be sycophants and ass lickers (Brendan Murphy) you kinda expect this to happen. And why was the sick Hunt not phoning up Pfizer when you’d expect him to? Too much time in the prayer room?
Recon says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 7:58 pm
Of course when I pointed out that in Rudd’s Memoirs he claimed that Jim Chalmers cried and begged for his seat after spreading nastiness about Rudd it was claimed by Labor supporters here that Rudd is a highly unreliable source for the truth….
_____________________________
I have never seen any comment from Jim denying or confirming the memoir account. Not sure if anyone else has any more information.
Hmm doesn’t sound like our Scotty 😆
Socrates @ #3402 Sunday, July 11th, 2021 – 5:49 pm
Porter will win easily next time around.
Much was made by the CPG of how the ultra-conservative rural areas of the electorate were redistributed out of Pearce. The know-nothings in the CPG failed to note that the most progressive parts of the electorate, being Whiteman, Brabham and Dayton were also redistributed out.
From within the electorate, there has been very little said about Porter and the sex scandals. A couple of posts on the community Facebook pages got scant attention and were neither muted nor removed, despite our efforts to shit stir.
Unlike the know-nothings in the CPG, I’ve door knocked in every metropolitan suburb of Pearce. The only thing that matters in outer suburban electorates like Pearce is jobs and the economy. Few here care about Porter’s personal behaviour as the Liberals deliver jobs and economic growth.
There is no prospect of an independent candidate getting up in Pearce, of either the left or right. For as long as it is primarily outer suburban, it will be a pure Labor v Liberal contest. Labor are going to have to blast Porter out.
Paying for what we used to own: The strange case of CSL
The 130 million shares in CSL Ltd were sold by the Commonwealth through a public tendering process in May 1994, culminating in the listing of CSL on the Australian Stock Exchange on 30th May 1994. The shares were sold at $2.30 each, yielding $299 million less fees and commissions of $6.6 million
Current MARKET CAPITALISATION $127.04B
Looks not to have been one of Paul Keating’s best moves.
The story begins in 1994 when the Keating Government privatised Commonwealth Serum Laboratories (with the name reduced to a set of initials) through a public float. The share price of $2.30 was a spectacular bargain for investors, who ended up getting their money back 500 times over. That beat even the massively oversubscribed float of the Commonwealth Bank, where investors got about 50 times their money back.
I’ve always viewed the Chalmers story with suspicion, mainly because of how similar it was to an equally unsubstantiated anecdote Latham wrote about Rudd in the Latham Diaries.
Asha Leu says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:10 pm
I’ve always viewed the Chalmers story with suspicion, mainly because of how similar it was to an equally unsubstantiated anecdote Latham wrote about Rudd in the Latham Diaries.
___________________
Your in QLD aren’t you? Can’t you ring up his office and ask for a comment?
Sceptic says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:09 pm
Paying for what we used to own: The strange case of CSL
The 130 million shares in CSL Ltd were sold by the Commonwealth through a public tendering process in May 1994, culminating in the listing of CSL on the Australian Stock Exchange on 30th May 1994. The shares were sold at $2.30 each, yielding $299 million less fees and commissions of $6.6 million
Current MARKET CAPITALISATION $127.04B
____________________
Gawd I wish I had got some back then. I entered at around 130.00 so still can’t complain.
Lars:
Yeah, I’ll get right onto that.
I’m not sure what this re-hashed Chalmers anecdote has to do with… anything.
Asha Leu says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:12 pm
Lars:
Yeah, I get right onto that.
____________________
Thanks, if you can report back tomorrow that would be appreciated.
It appears Wally Wallpaper lied to the media, and through them, to the Australian people.. heaping praise on his sycophants, whilst silent on the true heroes…
‘Mr Morrison conducted an early morning media blitz the following morning, telling the Nine Network’s Today show on Friday:
“We have been working with Pfizer now for quite some period of time to bring forward our supplies … I commend Minister [Greg] Hunt and Professor [Brendan] Murphy and Lieutenant General [John] Frewen for the great job getting those supplies brought forward.”
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-11/kevin-rudd-australia-covid-pfizer-vaccine-supply-senior-execs/100284902
Asha Leu says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:10 pm
I’ve always viewed the Chalmers story with suspicion, mainly because of how similar it was to an equally unsubstantiated anecdote Latham wrote about Rudd in the Latham Diaries.
________
Rudd was upset that his mum had died. He also wasn’t afraid of his seat being taken away from him as Chalmers was. For context, when Chalmers was adviser to Swan he was leading the backgrounding against Rudd when Gillard took over. A couple of years later with Rudd back in the leadership and Chalmers then an MP he was terrified that Rudd would intervene into the preselection for his seat.
More bullshit Nath
Lars
Given CSL produce 1million doses of AZ a week & have done so since beginning of the year.
NZ have to buy their vaccine .. so their commitments were predicated on overseas contracts, they have exceeded their commitments re numbers vaccinated.
Scott was full of shit at the beginning over promised & under delivered.. like all LNP’s
LVT
“Your in QLD aren’t you? Can’t you ring up his office and ask for a comment?”
Can’t you? It’s only you and nath/Recon who seem to care about this episode. Nobody else could give two shits.
And is the veil of secrecy regarding the botched vaccine procurement about to be lifted?
In short, no. Not today at least..
‘A spokesperson for Health Minister Greg Hunt told 7.30 on Sunday:
“The Australian government at all levels have been proactively and continuously engaged directly with Pfizer throughout the COVID-19 vaccine rollout.
“As part of this process, the minister has met with the Pfizer Australia country head Anne Harris on multiple occasions with a view to the announcement Friday on the timeframe achieved and at the level we had hoped for, which was the maximum that Pfizer had indicated might be available.
“While we were made aware of Mr Rudd’s approach, we are not aware this approach had any impact on the outcome.
“The Horizons document released in June referred to the expected base of 600,000 doses per week in August up to the one million per week figure which was achieved on an ongoing basis and we thank Pfizer for their continued support.
“We appreciate all contributions from those outside of government, even if they made no material difference to the outcome.”
KEVIN RUDD GOT US MORE PFIZER
The bringing forward of millions of Pfizer vaccine doses last week followed a back channels intervention eight days earlier by a high-powered network which included a senior business figure despairing of the government’s failure to secure enough vaccine supplies, and a former prime minister.
Senior Pfizer executives told one senior Australian businessman that former prime minister Kevin Rudd could have some influence in Scott Morrison’s absence.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-11/kevin-rudd-australia-covid-pfizer-vaccine-supply-senior-execs/100284902
Goll says:
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:15 pm
More bullshit Nath
______________
Jim Chalmers broke down in tears and begged Kevin Rudd to let him run for Parliament, despite helping orchestrate a carpet-bombing campaign against the former prime minister during Labor’s leadership wars.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/cry-baby-chalmers-treacherous-jason-clare-stupid-wayne-swan-rudd-unloads-on-ex-colleagues-20181021-p50az0.html
Dear Grimace, Do you have a perdition of how many seats can win in the next election? Also any seats that they might come close to winning? Your information would more informative than some newspaper predictions! You know the areas where there could be gains for Labor.
I would be very pleased to hear your thoughts. Thanking you
Monday’s 7.30 Report should be a hoot…
Laura. ” we invited the entire LNP cabinet to comment on tonight’s story, they were all too busy at short notice ”
Laura ” We now turn to our guest Mr. Rudd “….
And Wally Wallpaper just loves to keep thing secret. But he had only so much political capital to spend…
‘Asked whether the bring forward of existing commitments was the only contract variation made with Pfizer last week and whether Australia committed to a large-scale advance order of Pfizer’s 2022 vaccine booster, which is still under development, a spokesman for the Prime Minister said answers to those questions were still commercial in confidence at this stage.
A spokeswoman for Pfizer in Australia said that time differences meant a response to a matter involving Dr Bourla — who resides in the US — would not be available before Monday.
rudd, sporting a covid beard & moe. -a.v.
A spokeswoman for Pfizer in Australia said that time differences meant a response to a matter involving Dr Bourla — who resides in the US — would not be available before Monday (NY or Sydney time ?)
In time for the 7.30 Report
Am hearing the Dutton drums of war are beating louder – with Wally Wallpaper in his sights..