A preselection, two redistributions and a by-election

An assemblage of random stuff to kick off the new week.

It being the mid-point of the year, we’re about due for Newspoll’s state and demographic aggregates and Essential Research’s dump of voting intention numbers, both of which come along quarterly. In the meantime, there’s the following:

• The Queensland Liberal National Party’s preselection for a successor to Andrew Laming in Bowman has been won by Henry Pike, media and communications director for the Property Council. Pike was the only male candidate in a field of five, and prevailed despite earlier urgings from the Prime Minister for a woman to be preselected. Madura McCormack of the Courier-Mail reports he won in the final round of the ballot of local preselectors with 107 votes against 88 for Maggie Forrest, a barrister. Pike said last week that comments he made on the subject of “f***ing a fat chick” in a group chat twelve years ago, when he was about 21, do not “reflect the person I’ve grown to be”.

• Antony Green has published a report calculating party vote shares for the draft state redistribution in Victoria. Finalised state boundaries for New South Wales will be along at some unspecified point in the probably not too distant future.

• I have published a guide to the by-election for the Queensland state seat of Stretton, to be held on July 24 to choose a successor to Labor member Duncan Pegg, who resigned in April due to ill health and died on June 10.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,143 thoughts on “A preselection, two redistributions and a by-election”

Comments Page 19 of 23
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  1. Yep
    Get registered and off to London for 2 years was often the trajectory.

    I remember in the 70s talking to one nurse who was deeply upset by men getting into nursing and “taking all the charge sister jobs”

  2. Just goes from bad to worse:

    The world’s most transmissible Covid-19 strain has found its way into Australia – with worrying research revealing it may be even more infectious than the Delta variant.

    The Lambda strain has puzzled World Health Organisation scientists after it spread to nearly 30 countries in the last four weeks. The mutation was originally discovered in Peru and is related to 81 per cent of the country’s cases since April

  3. Just got a weird voice message from Italy (country code 39) saying (in a robo-voice, speaking English):

    “Time to stay home. Stay safe and stay home.”

    That’s the full message. Good advice, I guess, but no identification as to who, why or when.

  4. Since I have been wandering down various offshoots of memory lane today, I offer a couple of additional memories sparked by some comments here.

    Yabba, in 1968, living at the time in Cowra, I drove to Sydney to hear Claudio Arrau in recital at the Town Hall one Saturday night. It was during his final tour for the ABC, and, having heard him on earlier occasions I was determined to see/hear him in the flesh one last time. I can still see the perspiration flying from him as he played.

    Ballantyne, also while living in Cowra I used to drive regularly to Bathurst for the ABC concert series there, and can still remember a wonderful performance by Janet Baker (no Dame then) as a very young mezzo. I think it was in 1969. Just wonderful.

    At a later date I might describe the ABC concert in the Lilac Hall in Goulburn, given by Mindru Katz in the mid 1960s.

  5. Oakeshott Country @ #894 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 3:34 pm

    Itza
    In the old days, as a 2nd year but in charge of ED overnight (in fact the only doctor there) I did a Bier’s block for a colles fracture but got a bit ahead of myself in letting the cuff down.
    There is now probably still a middle aged man wandering the streets thinking that he is allergic to local anaesthetic because it makes him fit

    For many reasons the improvements in safety in hospitals in the last 45 years have been spectacular

    I remembering plastering up a dislocated ankle, still dislocated. We plated out are own specimens – urine and blood. And did clotting times for the next dose of heparin by rocking three tubes of blood in the warmth of your hand.

    All the while dressed in angelic white , head to toe, including shoes, the tie the only statement.

  6. @DarylTractor
    ·
    25m
    This is cute. Reporter reveals that they’re thinking of bringing in paramedics to speed up the rollout. Meanwhile plenty of paramedics are still waiting to be vaccinated.

  7. My understanding is that there was one case of Lambda strain in hotel quarantine in April with no community spread.

    No doubt it will eventually enter the community but I wouldn’t say its a case of things going from bad to worse at this stage

  8. Itza Dream
    One of the luckier things that has happened to me was getting into hospital training as I was a single mum, hence Dads advice.
    Most of my colleagues did do the England work experience and a couple to my knowledge never returned.
    While I have travelled overseas it has been mostly for work. My aim was to really know my own country and I can say I have now achieved that wish. I would in the furure like to go to New Zealand.

  9. Oakeshott Country @ #899 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 3:43 pm

    Poroti
    Aspirating before injecting should be second nature.
    Having said that, I don’t think the paper is all that conclusive as the main evidence is a mouse model in which the full injection was deliberately intravenous and there are theoretical reasons why the vaccine could increase the risk of clots without reference to the injection technique

    If the mechanism is a misplaced immune response, then it seems a stretch to blame the portal of entry, or in this case, how quickly it gets into the vascular system. Unless the ‘bolus’ effect has something to something to do with it.

  10. NSW Health allowed about 160 year 12 students at St Joseph’s College at Hunters Hill to be inoculated against COVID-19 with the Pfizer vaccine, even though the program has only officially been rolled out to people aged 40 and above.

    Multiple sources familiar with the situation told the Herald that HSC students at the high-fee independent high school were bussed to a vaccination centre at the end of last term for their first shot, and are due to have their second shot when school resumes.

    But it’s not how it might seem.

    In response to a query from the Herald, the college’s principal Ross Tarlinton said the school approached the Sydney Local Health District in May to inquire about the possibility of vaccinations for students given many were boarders from remote, regional and Indigenous communities.

  11. Bushfire Bill says:
    Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 3:48 pm
    Just got a weird voice message from Italy (country code 39) saying (in a robo-voice, speaking English):

    “Time to stay home. Stay safe and stay home.”

    That’s the full message. Good advice, I guess, but no identification as to who, why or when.

    A bit of friendly advice from the Mafia to stop doing something that upsets them?

  12. My first concert was Billy Thorpe and the Aztecs, in sleepy Hamilton, NZ , 1964. Very exciting sitting near the front but my ears took a hammering.

  13. citizen @ #900 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 3:45 pm

    I can’t claim any early concert visits but did appear on a 2GB radio quiz show for children “Pied Piper” when I was eight. Somehow I beat a 13yo girl (she looked huge to me) to win a “big book”.

    My first flight was won in a contest when I was ten, in a Fokker Friendship from Mascot down the coast to Wollongong and back. I disgraced myself by being airsick but strangely have been a good flyer since then.

    Radio! I loved the radio. Surely better for the imagination of an expanding mind than the telly? Who remembers the (radio) Qban Sweet Show? I think that was it. The girl who sang the Watermelon Song with a piece of plastic watermelon as a prop beat my sister on her violin, not too hard to do, that.

  14. I read that only 4% of this cohort at St Joseph’s College are indigenous. The rest will be the usual suspects: doctors’ sons, lawyers’ sons, etc. So, it looks like having a handful of indigenous kids at your school comes in handy.

    I suspect that if this lot have been able to jump the queue, so will some of the others. It’s just that nobody is broadcasting the fact.

  15. ItzaDream @ #881 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 3:18 pm

    Ballantyne @ #819 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 1:43 pm

    Gosh, all these memories of “first concerts”. I went in a completely different direction. My first concert was a performance of Mahler’s “Resurrection” Symphony – Leonard Bernstein conducting the London Symphony Orchestra – soloists Dame Janet Baker and Shiela Armstrong – Edinburgh Festival Chorus. Etherial!

    Unbelievable. What a debut. Do you remember how you felt? Too young to know how good it was? My first grown up concert was Mahler Song of the Earth, with Yvonne Minton, SSO, Town Hall. Much was lost on me, until “Der Abschied” (“The Farewell”), which changed you forever and moments of which I can still hear today. (Her Solti recording my favourite by a long shot)

    I remember it like it was yesterday, it was 1973. Goose bumps and the most incredible rush when the choir sang “Aufersteh’n, ja aufersteh’n wirst du, Mein Herz, in einem Nu!”

    Absolute silence at the end that seemed to last forever and then thunderous applause. I floated on a cloud back to my hotel that night. Both Baker and Armstrong were superb and the Festival Chorus made your spine tingle.

    Das Lied von der Erde is sublime – I love the Ferrier recording. Der Abschied can make me cry.

    Another memorable Mahler concert, but for different reasons, was in Cincinnatti in 2002 – a lovely performance of the Mahler 1st, preceded by Strauss’s Vier Letzte Lieder sung by Barbara Hendricks. Alas, two days later I had an MI in a small town in Tennessee although I doubt if they were related! A helicopter ride to Knoxville and all was well – a stent and a week in hospital.

  16. Ballantyne @ #919 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 4:11 pm

    ItzaDream @ #881 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 3:18 pm

    Ballantyne @ #819 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 1:43 pm

    Gosh, all these memories of “first concerts”. I went in a completely different direction. My first concert was a performance of Mahler’s “Resurrection” Symphony – Leonard Bernstein conducting the London Symphony Orchestra – soloists Dame Janet Baker and Shiela Armstrong – Edinburgh Festival Chorus. Etherial!

    Unbelievable. What a debut. Do you remember how you felt? Too young to know how good it was? My first grown up concert was Mahler Song of the Earth, with Yvonne Minton, SSO, Town Hall. Much was lost on me, until “Der Abschied” (“The Farewell”), which changed you forever and moments of which I can still hear today. (Her Solti recording my favourite by a long shot)

    I remember it like it was yesterday, it was 1973. Goose bumps and the most incredible rush when the choir sang “Aufersteh’n, ja aufersteh’n wirst du, Mein Herz, in einem Nu!”

    Absolute silence at the end that seemed to last forever and then thunderous applause. I floated on a cloud back to my hotel that night. Both Baker and Armstrong were superb and the Festival Chorus made your spine tingle.

    Das Lied von der Erde is sublime – I love the Ferrier recording. Der Abschied can make me cry.

    Another memorable Mahler concert, but for different reasons, was in Cincinnatti in 2002 – a lovely performance of the Mahler 1st, preceded by Strauss’s Vier Letzte Lieder sung by Barbara Hendricks. Alas, two days later I had an MI in a small town in Tennessee although I doubt if they were related! A helicopter ride to Knoxville and all was well – a stent and a week in hospital.

    VLL before a MI kinda works!! Hope all is well. I think I have more versions of VLL than anything else.

  17. Quasarsays: Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 4:03 pm

    My first concert was Billy Thorpe and the Aztecs, in sleepy Hamilton, NZ , 1964. Very exciting sitting near the front but my ears took a hammering.

    *****************************************

    I well remember seeing Billy Thorpe at my small Gippsland town – the music was unbelievably loud – and there was a trickle of blood running down from the ear to drip off Billy’s face ……

  18. Quasar at 4:03 pm
    Hamilton in 1964 , The Aztecs would have been wondering “How the hell did we end up here ? ” 🙂

  19. Itza
    A lot were certainly past their prime.
    I remember seeing Yvonne de Carlo in No No Nanette at the Theatre Royal in Adelaide.

    My Aunt was a huge fan and begged me to go with her. We saw the Saturday matinee show and it was painful. DeCarlo still looked great but was obviously on something. She stumbled through it, literally. and my poor old Aunt was left deeply disappointed.
    Sometimes it’s preferable to have your dreams left unfulfilled it seems. Said Aunt did not mention her again.

  20. The St George Illawarra Dragons have terminated the contract of prop Paul Vaughan for his breach of NRL biosecurity guidelines, and handed out more fines to the 12 teammates he hosted at his house on the weekend.

  21. Dandy Murray @ #916 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 4:09 pm

    After shutdown of Indian Point Nuclear Plant, New York’s power was replaced with fossil fuels, making its electricity 46 percent dirtier
    https://environmentalprogress.org/indian-point

    Discuss.

    If you already have nuclear capabilities, you should use (and keep using) them; and if you don’t then building out renewables and storage is more efficient than trying to develop nuclear capabilities from scratch*?

    *And purchasing nuclear capabilities from an external supplier would be just so, so wrong.

  22. Dandy Murray @ #917 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 3:39 pm

    New York’s Indian Point nuclear power plant closes after 59 years of operation
    https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=47776

    After shutdown of Indian Point Nuclear Plant, New York’s power was replaced with fossil fuels, making its electricity 46 percent dirtier
    https://environmentalprogress.org/indian-point

    Discuss.

    Discuss? Do you know what blog you are on? This is the argument blog. Although you will often find yourself in the abuse blog without knowing it. Polite discussion is up the hall in room 12A.

  23. Not really into music until I went to Uni so my first real “ concert outing “ was AC/DC in 1975 at Cloudland in Brisbane. I was hooked from then on.

  24. ItzaDream

    Thank you. I think I might be up there with you on my collection of VLL recordings! Im Abendrot makes me melt but it’s difficult to separate any of the four.

    I remember saying to the doctor in Sevierville TN when he told me I was having a heart attack that I couldn’t possibly be as I was on holiday 🙂 The silly things one says. The stent lasted 18 years before a regular check up picked up a narrowing and I ended up in St Vincent’s in January last year for a single bypass. All’s well. The surgeon said the artery used in the procedure was good for another 20 years – which will put me in my 90’s so I’d be satisfied with that. LOL


  25. Dandy Murray says:
    Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 4:09 pm

    New York’s Indian Point nuclear power plant closes after 59 years of operation
    https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=47776

    After shutdown of Indian Point Nuclear Plant, New York’s power was replaced with fossil fuels, making its electricity 46 percent dirtier
    https://environmentalprogress.org/indian-point

    Discuss.

    Indian Point’s owner-operator, Entergy, retired Units 2 and 3 before their operating licenses expired as part of a settlement agreement with New York State. Entergy had been seeking a 20-year license renewal for both reactor units since 2007. However, New York challenged the renewals, citing environmental and safety concerns resulting from the plant’s nearness to New York City. Low wholesale electricity prices and increased operating costs also contributed to Entergy’s decision to retire Indian Point early.

    Not much more to say really. Sort of makes those argue for nuclear power look stupid, to dangerous, too costly.

  26. Simon Katich @ #928 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 4:22 pm

    Dandy Murray @ #917 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 3:39 pm

    New York’s Indian Point nuclear power plant closes after 59 years of operation
    https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=47776

    After shutdown of Indian Point Nuclear Plant, New York’s power was replaced with fossil fuels, making its electricity 46 percent dirtier
    https://environmentalprogress.org/indian-point

    Discuss.

    Discuss? Do you know what blog you are on? This is the argument blog. Although you will often find yourself in the abuse blog without knowing it. Polite discussion is up the hall in room 12A.

    Today it’s the concert blog. 🙂

  27. I take it that St George party boy Paul Vaughn is not the Paul,’Fatty’ Vaughn of Manly, and cross dressing on the Footy Show?

  28. Today it’s the concert blog.

    Just people showing off.

    Someone soon will tell us how close they have been to Robert Smith.

  29. FEDERAL Labor’s spokesman for Northern Australia, Senator Murray Watt, has attacked the appointment of Territory businesswoman Tracey Hayes as chair of the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility (NAIF), accusing the Morrison government of “appointing another mate”.

    “Under the cover of lockdowns across Northern Australia, National Party Minister Keith Pitt has appointed former Country Liberal Party candidate Tracey Hayes as the new chair of the NAIF board – a part-time role paid nearly $120,000 per year,” Senator Watt said.

    “It should be no surprise the Minister has appointed another national mate, given the recruitment process for this highly-paid role was a sham.”

    https://www.ntnews.com.au/news/politics/federal-labors-murray-watt-attacks-tracey-hayes-appointment-as-the-new-head-of-naif/news-story/0d6a92a1cafb962ea8adbe2b0039260a

  30. frednk @ #936 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 4:29 pm

    Not much more to say really. Sort of makes those argue for nuclear power look stupid, to dangerous, too costly.

    It might have made sense if they had replaced it with renewables, but replacing a zero emission nuclear plant with fossil fuels is simply mindbogglingly stupid.

  31. New York’s Indian Point nuclear power plant closes after 59 years of operation
    https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=47776

    After shutdown of Indian Point Nuclear Plant, New York’s power was replaced with fossil fuels, making its electricity 46 percent dirtier
    https://environmentalprogress.org/indian-point

    Discuss.

    The articles didn’t mention decommissioning the sites, and the clean up costs.
    One would assume that these costs would be substantial (before we argue over who’s backyard the various wastes get put in)

  32. Player One @ #944 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 4:17 pm

    frednk @ #936 Tuesday, July 6th, 2021 – 4:29 pm

    Not much more to say really. Sort of makes those argue for nuclear power look stupid, to dangerous, too costly.

    It might have made sense if they had replaced it with renewables, but replacing a zero emission nuclear plant with fossil fuels is simply mindbogglingly stupid.

    Well, Dandy has asked the question. Would it have been better for government subsidies to replace it with similar tech? Bloody hard to open up a new nuclear power plant site these days. They have had a fair bit of time to get themselves set for it.

  33. The oldest of my sisters used to take me to musical movies – Bee Gees St Peppers in 1978 and Starstruck (with the Swingers) in 1982.

    Never understood why Jo Kennedy did not become a star.

  34. OC:

    (This slackness is due to taking nurse training out of the hospitals – discuss)

    1 – I believe there’s at least some evidence that the mixed model (RNs + ENs; led by RNs/CNs/NPs) outperforms RNs only (as well as the old approach). This is plausible as it’s usually the case
    2 – The best student nurses are really, really good. The two best (in my experience) have now come back as RNs (it is however funny being called “darling” by someone less than half my age!)
    3 – The best wards are really protective of quality and quite vicious in kicking out incompetents

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