Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Labor edges back into the lead on two-party preferred, but very little change overall from the latest Newspoll.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor returning to a 51-49 lead on two-party preferred after a tied result last time, from primary votes of Coalition 41% (steady), Labor 37% (up one), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 3% (steady). Changes on leadership ratings are likewise very modest, with Scott Morrison up a point on approval to 55% and down two on disapproval to 41%, while Anthony Albanese is up two to 40% and down two to 45%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is barely changed at 53-33, compared with 53-32 last time. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1513.

UPDATE (29/6): The Australian has published further results from the poll relating to COVID-19, including a fourth go at the question of how the Prime Minister has handled the situation. This series records a pattern of decline since his debut result of 85% good and 14% poor in April last year, to a current showing of 61% good (down nine over the last two months) and 36% bad (up nine points). Satisfaction with the government’s handling of the vaccine rollout is down three to 50% compared with two months ago, with dissatisfied up three to 46%. A new question on whether Labor would have done better turns up a neutral result, with 25% saying better, 36% no difference and 27% worse.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,469 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

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  2. Cameron C. @ #149 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 9:35 am

    Did you know that if Matt Hancock married his mistress, she would have the same name as Gina Rinehart’s maiden name! How about that!

    Hope you all had a chuckle in these grim times.

    And if Gina Rinehart married the ex, she’d be the new Gina Coladangelo!

  3. Ven,
    Here’s a tip for you if you want to post a link. You can delete everything in the link, up to and including the ? and it will still work. 🙂

  4. C@tmomma @ #153 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 9:40 am

    Ven,
    Here’s a tip for you if you want to post a link. You can delete everything in the link, up to and including the ? and it will still work. 🙂

    It’s weird how you sometimes get those long links, sometimes not. I’d posted the same article earlier, directly from the Guardian, and it came out as the short version. It must be a secondary sourcing issue?

  6. ”
    lizziesays:
    Monday, June 28, 2021 at 7:29 am
    Alexander lives in a world of his own. Confesses he doesn’t know Barnaby well but is qualified to prophesy a long career.

    He does seem to have a clear view about the direction of the country, he is a very good communicator and he will have his work cut out for him managing his own party. I just don’t know him well enough to know his temperament. But judged against the criteria I’ve outlined for a good and successful long-term leader, there’s quite a chance Joyce could be a success.
    ”

    Our so called MSM is so bad now that we have very few good apples and a few ordinary apples.

  8. I did like the reports that Hancock had left his wife.

    A different slant on ‘he came home to find all his worldly possessions dumped in a pile on the street’.

  10. Ven says:
    Monday, June 28, 2021 at 9:26 am

    You keep plucking numbers out of thin air to back up your argument.
    ————-

    Not plucking numbers out of thin air , 2016, 2019 federal election

    The margin between Labor and the lib/nats combined primary vote , around 9%

    Libs/nats 76/77 seats= 42/43% combined primary vote
    Labor 68/69 seats = 33/34 % primary vote

    –

  13. If I was Jim Chalmers I’d be out there today making fun of Frydenberg and the Liberals for all their dumbarse past pronouncements about debt and deficit.
    Don’t let the punters forget as usual.
    I would be armed to the teeth with killer lines.
    I’d play the politics for all it’s worth.
    Which as we all know is plenty.
    Just ask the killers in the Liberal party.
    The media should not be allowed to just pivot from debt bad to debt good with out any blow back.

  14. ”
    Victoriasays:
    Monday, June 28, 2021 at 7:31 am
    Checking out Twitter comments from the likes of Dr Kerryn Phelps and others. They stated that the beaches and parklands of Sydney were packed and people not practising social distancing.
    A little concerning to say the least.
    ”

    Possible because yesterday I saw a overhead shot of one of the beaches in TV newswhich was relatively crowded. When I commented that people are not following social distancing rules of lockdown, my partner said that they may be exercising outdoors. Could it possible because they are Coalition areas there is less police presence?

  15. Player One @ #159 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 9:47 am

    ItzaDream @ #121 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 8:58 am

    A view from outside.

    I look at Australia and see a claustrophobic and insular place, which appears disconnected from the world that is putting itself back together after the pandemic.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/27/when-i-look-at-australia-from-the-us-i-see-an-insular-nation-that-has-turned-its-back-on-its-own

    The view is much the same from inside 🙁

    Yes, for many indeed. The punchline comes at the end, when he questions the worth of his passport and where he might most want to be. It reminds me of a conversation I had with a leftie journo in the change rooms of Sydney’s Boy Charlton pool, where at the height of the Tampa children overboard affair, he said ‘I think I am falling out of love with my country’. It happens.

  16. Mundo,

    Based on you response to BW, you state that you are for the Labor cause. In that case, some reflection may be in order. There is a large spectrum for expression of doubt, from a gentle inquiry, to repetitive concern trolling. Where do you honestly think your posts fall on this spectrum? Once you have done so, consider whether your posts are truly furthering your stated cause.

  18. Dropping in to get my large mocha,extra shot on the way to work I had a look at the local Sandgroper newspaper The Worst Australian newspaper. Gladys might like to avoid WA. Apart from the front page slash someone posted earlier there was plenty of Gladys love on the inside. One was 1/4-1/3 page item with v. large font quoting Gladys declaring she does not regret a single decision she has made regarding covid. The accompanying picture has her with a mask dangling off one ear.

  20. With, I think three premiers speaking now or the next little while, it makes perfect sense for Chalmers to hold a presser.
    Nobody would show up.
    But usual snipers could then say how stupid he was to try and get coverage while three premiers were speaking.

  23. If I was Jim Chalmers …..

    ___________________________

    But you’re not and it doesn’t look like you would ever be able to put yourself in his position (as indeed I can’t). It’s very easy to yell repetitious insults and directions from the sidelines when your biggest risk is being thrown out for wildly overstepping the mark.

    Put another way, just because you paid good money for your ticket doesn’t mean that you get coaching privileges.

  24. Well there you have it. Chair of the Citrus growers ass of SA doesn’t have a problem with Joyce becoming Nats leader as the problem isn’t upstream it is the amount of water being dedicated to the environment.

    I hope they get screwed. only they still wouldn’t blame their politicians… it would still be the greenies fault.

    F em. I am buying my oranges from California now (that is a joke).

  30. @reclaimthenews
    ·
    46m
    I see #joshfrydenberg is popping up everywhere today. Good time to remind everyone what a hypocrite this plonker is, and how he treated his fellow Victorians and the Premier. Note yesterday
    @Bowenchris supported Gladys and all Premiers regardless of party.

  31. The mindset what would be good to see is

    For People to keep on telling Morrison , the lib/nats are toast at the upcoming federal election

  33. Ven @ #179 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 10:05 am

    ”
    Today is when Frydenberg releases the next intergenerational report. Shane Wright has a stab at what its contents will include.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/debt-deficit-and-grey-haired-covid-19-upends-economic-future-20210627-p584n3.html
    ”

    What Frydenburg said on ABC breakfast is that Australia will have debt and deficits for next 2 generations.

    ‘Debt and Deficit as far as the eye can see’. 😀

  35. NeinNews reporter has the drop on Sydney numbers…

    ‘I’m hearing NSW case numbers are around 20, in excess of 50k tests which is great. Not all of these cases were in iso, which isn’t great. Expect the numbers to bounce around all week. @9NewsAUS

  38. ”
    For almost thirty years, there has been a tussle between the courts and government in Australia over immigration detention. Alas, the High Court called a truce on Wednesday with a 4-3 decision which is as unprincipled as it is harsh, argues Frank Brennan.
    https://johnmenadue.com/the-high-courts-surrender-to-the-morrison-dutton-immigration-detention-regime/
    ”

    Australian High Court is turning into US Supreme Court. This is what happens when a country has LNP government for 19 out of last 25 years

  39. ItzaDream @ #165 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 9:53 am

    Yes, for many indeed. The punchline comes at the end, when he questions the worth of his passport and where he might most want to be. It reminds me of a conversation I had with a leftie journo in the change rooms of Sydney’s Boy Charlton pool, where at the height of the Tampa children overboard affair, he said ‘I think I am falling out of love with my country’. It happens.

    Yes, I know how he felt. And I can certainly trace that back to Howard’s influence. That man and his legacy remain a blight on this country.

  41. Speaking of Back in Black . Scrott from Marketing ‘borrowing’ ideas again.
    .
    John Key NZ circa 2014

    Flimflam man Australia.

  44. Ven

    “Australian High Court is turning into US Supreme Court. This is what happens when a country has LNP government for 19 out of last 25 years”

    Not really (or at all). All the three minority judges were appointed under the Liberal govt. Two of the four majority judges were appointed under ALP.

  45. ItzaDream @ #187 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 10:12 am

    C@tmomma @ #172 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 10:00 am

    ItzaDream @ #170 Monday, June 28th, 2021 – 9:56 am

    There’s a wattle bird outside with its beak deep in a Banksia.

    I’ve counted up to 30 Sulphur Crested Cockatoos, 4 Brush Turkeys and a couple of Pink and Grey Galahs at my place recently. I have no idea why. 😉

    No cats about?

    No. It’s a dog area. We’ve been well brainwashed around here to keep the number of cats to a minimum, we had the Convener of the NSW Greens, Hal Colebatch, living around here until recently. Our booth numbers are very Green/Labor inclined. 🙂

  49. With South East Qld now required to mask up again from today, the Deputy Premier Stephen Miles made this quite valid point.

    “”Our international borders are supposed to be closed right now and yet somehow the number of people waiting to come to Australia from around the world hasn’t really gone down since Christmas, despite thousands of arrivals each and every week.”

    As of the end of April the Federal government was permitting 50,000 arrivals per month! Obviously somebody in the airline industry has got at Morrison and/or Dutton to turn their money tap on again.

    If these numbers continue we will continue to average another Covid outbreak per week.

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