Roy Morgan has produced its second federal poll in a fortnight, and will hopefully make a regular habit of this going forward. The poll credits Labor with a bare lead of 50.5-49.5 (Morgan’s rounding being done to increments of half a percentage point), down from 51-49 last time. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up 1.5% to 41.5%, Labor is down half a point to 34.5%, the Greens are up half a point to 12% and One Nation is up half a point to 3.5%. State two-party breakdowns have the Coalition leading 51-49 in New South Wales, 56-44 in Queensland and 52-48 in Western Australia, but with Labor leading 55-45 in Victoria, 52-48 in South Australia and 57-43 in Tasmania.
The poll was conducted by telephone and online surveys over the previous two weekends from a sample of 2782. Since we will presumably be hearing more from Morgan in future, it’s worth pointing out that the company is not a member of the Australian Polling Council, and thus does not observe the standards of transparency demanded of its code of conduct.
Other news:
• Peter Law of The West Australian reports that Labor’s candidate for the key Perth seat of Swan will be Zaneta Mascarenhas, an engineer who runs an energy management consultancy. This comes after the state party’s Left-dominated administration committee blocked the nomination of the only other contender, former South Perth councillor Fiona Reid, on the grounds she had run as an independent candidate at the 2017 state election, to the displeasure of the Right faction Shop Distributive and Allied Employees Association. Mascarenhas is aligned with the Left faction Australian Manufacturing Workers’ Union. The West’s report also relates that Tania Lawrence, a manager at Woodside who ran unsuccessfully for Labor in Darling Range at a state by-election in 2018, is the party’s only nominee in the seat of Hasluck.
• Pollster John Utting has told The West Australian that his recent polling leads him to expect that Labor will win Swan and possibly Pearce. He also believes that Labor will “probably” win the election off the back of wins in Chisholm, Boothby, Longman and potentially Leichhardt, Braddon and Bass, although they could potentially lose Eden-Monaro and Macquarie. Utting has polled extensively for Labor and provided polling for The West Australian five months out from the March state election that had the measure of the eventual result.
• Roxanne Fitzgerald of the ABC reports a complaint has been lodged with the Human Rights Commission accusing the Australian Electoral Commission of discrimination against indigenous voters, having failed to provide sufficient polling facilities to remote communities and directly enrol people who do not receive mail at a residential address. The complainants are Matthew Ryan, mayor of West Arnhem Regional Council, and Ross Mandi, chairman of Yalu Aboriginal Corporation in Galiwinku, with the support of the Maritime Union of Australia and the United Workers Union.
Lars 7:07
The 1921 Government of Ireland Act allowed the Parliament of Northern Ireland to reverse the decision to leave the Irish Free State by simple vote. If that was still in place we would see the end of the Northern state within 18 months.
Now it requires a plebiscite which can only be called if the Secretary for Northern Ireland believes there is a strong chance of success. Under a Tory and Unionist government the evidence for possible success would have to be very strong indeed. I’ll give it 10 years
C’MON THE RAPTURE!
Wellingham’s comments were fine because Andrews will be asked questions and will answer them.
She should be criticized for standing next to Fittler and supporting the cockies. 🙁
sprocket_ @ #2389 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 7:55 pm
That looks like an old photo to me too.
C@t
He still has a gig on the news most nights & he was part of Rachel’s hit squad.
davidwh @ #2399 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 7:59 pm
Never has, never will support the Cane Toads. 😀
nath, this photo was taken pre-game tonight – agree? (Hint: sQomo wouldn’t be seen dead with Gladys)
LMAO. Even C@t is fact checking sprockets work now.
meher baba says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 7:55 pm
Scott: “Morrison absolutely insane comment on thursday , claiming NSW will not go into lockdown because the NSW government will get on top for it”
Certainly an incorrect prediction. We’ve seen plenty of those in the past: eg, by every poster on PB (including me) before the counting started on election day 2019!
———————————-
Yes Elections and other predictions , were not about a virus and people lives
Well C@t doesn’t want me to pick on her again.
Arthur @ #2068 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 7:35 pm
‘I hope that makes my feelings known.’
You’re hot for Gladys?
Lizzie @ #2401 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 8:00 pm
But you’ve got to wonder how influential he is, considering people can see with their own eyes how unnecessarily negative he is .
It is now the “Ampol” state of origin, not the “holden” state of origin
sprocket_ @ #2105 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 8:01 pm
Where’s a fucking blunderbuss when you need one.
They’re oblivious the fuckers. They think they’re untouchable.
Steve777 says Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 7:19 pm
You mean South Fremantle? They are third on the ladder, and only one game behind leaders Claremont, so I guess that are in with a chance.
davidwh @ #2405 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 8:03 pm
I’m Tonka Tuff, dwh. Go your hardest! 😀
And there goes Josh Ado-Carr for The Blues first try!
It may well be an old photo. And it may be a surprise to you to find that most of Australia doesn’t follow Mungo Ball.
But she posted the photo. Is she not wearing a mask when she is supposed to, or is she trying to deceive us into believing an old photo was taken today?
Either way it’s reprehensible.
And i would not call what Morrison said as a prediction either
It was a political statement playing on politics only ,
Bugger . That’s why I’m a Lions supporter these days. 🙂
Interesting fact OC – I didn’t know that.
I think the Sec of State – has to call a border poll if in there opinion it appears there is a majority in favour. I’d guess a Sec of State could ignore a majority – but then there could presumably be a court challenge if they unreasonably refused to call a border poll.
It does seem like a logical move for the Unionists to switch their allegiance to the Alliance Party – if the unionist majority is gone , best to make the N.Ireland Assembly work in a United Ireland.
I think the Second DUP leader obliquely advocated something like this 2 or 3 years ago. The slow learners in the DUP didn’t work it out though.
Donaldson seems like a bigoted idiot – should be fun to watch him.
Fulvio Sammut says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 8:07 pm
It may well be an old photo. And it may be a surprise to you to find that most of Australia doesn’t follow Mungo Ball.
But she posted the photo. Is she not wearing a mask when she is supposed to, or is she trying to deceive us into believing an old photo was taken today?
Either way it’s reprehensible.
____________
Reprehensible to post an old photo? You Sir are a hanging judge.
There are times I think PB has a slight anti-Liberal bias. 🙂
I knew it was an old photo because Morrison had too much hair on top, and no one in the photo was wearing a mask. 🙂
They should take the water bottle off Langer and kit him out to play
BC
Sucking up to William?
Strong South Fremantle connection there.
davidwh says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 8:10 pm
There are times I think PB has a slight anti-Liberal bias.
——————————–
Are you saying it needs more liberal/nats supporters 🙂
And he could still play better than most of the current crop Shellbell.
I recall a certain multi-handle commenter posted numerous old, unflattering and doctored photos of the ALP Opposition Leader, Bill Shorten. With nary an acknowledgment.
shellbell @ #2420 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 8:11 pm
Throw in Darren Lockyer and Cam Smith and they might have a chance.
Scott it would be nice if ModLib and Rhed would make a comeback.
Fluvio Sammut had one job. To make anti NSW posts.
shellbell says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 8:11 pm
They should take the water bottle off Langer and kit him out to play
———————————–
Or should have flown Barnaby to play for QLD
Look guys. I rely on all your cynicism and scepticism to keep me grounded in reality. Please don’t give up.
Its one thing to want more Liberal voices here but they need something to argue for because this lot don’t give them much to work with.
No thanks Scott. I can live with loosing with a little dignity still intact.
davidwh says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 8:14 pm
Scott it would be nice if ModLib and Rhed would make a comeback
———–
Lol davidwh
davidwh says:
Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 8:16 pm
No thanks Scott. I can live with loosing with a little dignity still intact.
——————-
But Barnaby is a winner 🙂
True Mexican. I’m hanging in for when Labor is back in power so I can criticize them. Don’t see much point in trying to justify some of the poor management of the current government.
I’ve obviously been successful at it, to draw an anguished response from you!
Rossmcg says Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 8:12 pm
Nope, I’m a Claremont supporter. Have been since they perennial cellar dwellers in the mid 70s.
My mother is a South Fremantle supporter though. My father supported Subiaco, my brother supported East Perth and one of my sisters supports Swan Districts. I’m not sure about my other sister.
sprocket_ @ #2424 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 8:13 pm
I did.
But you see, there’s a big difference between the two of you. You have integrity. 🙂
Scott there a line that shouldn’t be crossed even where Origin is concerned. I just accept the cockies have a bloody good side at present.
Oh sprockets I don’t mind a bit of obvious satire. I fondly recall your Scomo Bus work. But that kinda worked well for him in QLD. I don’t even mind your well timed interventions into photo journalism. It’s been amusing so far!
Woo Hoo! What about that! 😀
Morrison has called another emergency meeting with state/territories premiers and chief ministers
No doubt Morrison will once again come out of the meeting blameless and taking credit for the lockdowns
Mitchell looking a bit Olsen Filipaina around the tummy
davidwh fair enough 🙂
davidwh @ #2423 Sunday, June 27th, 2021 – 8:10 pm
Given the number of Liberal concern trolls who post here, I am not all that surprised! 🙁
I wonder if Sportsbet will take a place bet on QLD?