The Age/Herald yesterday brought us the third result in its monthly federal polling series from Resolve Strategic, which had the Coalition on 40% (up one), Labor on 36% (up one), the Greens on 10% (down two) and One Nation on 3% (up one). This series doesn’t provide a published two-party result, but based on the last election this suggests a Labor lead of 50.5-49.5, down from around 51-49 last time. Scott Morrison has taken a hit on his personal ratings, down five on approval to 48% and up two on disapproval to 40%, while Anthony Albanese is down a point on both, to 31% and 44% respectively. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 46-23, unchanged in magnitude from 48-25 last time.
Full results from the poll, which was conducted last Tuesday to Saturday from a sample of 1600, can be viewed here. This includes the poll’s usual results for leader attributes and best party to handle various issues, as well as breakdowns for all major questions by region and gender. After last month’s poll unusually found Labor doing better in New South Wales than Victoria, this result reverts to normal. The pollster has also been up and down in its gender breakdowns, having found Labor doing better among women in the second poll a month ago, but little gender gap in the first poll and the third.
lizzie @ #43 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 9:19 am
Better a devon sandwich than a cornish pastie! 🙂
This suggests there was some serious branch stacking attempted by the RW religious types. “Hundreds” would surely represent a significant proportion of total SA Liberal party membership.
This seems to be happening to the Liberal party across Australia, according to other news reports.
Canada:
New Zealand:
Netherlands:
France:
I did like that “grabbed by the billabongs” cartoon except it is we who have been grabbed.
Good Morning
@AmyRemeikis tweets
Today in things the acting prime minister said, Michael McCormack says the Greens “want to destroy the social fabric of society”.
@AndrewPStreet tweets
Not that I want to seem like an LNP apologist, but in Mimbles McMonkfish’s defence you need to contextualise his words with the fact that he’s a fucking idiot.
@oz_f tweets
The disproportionately was already blindingly clear but air strikes vs “flammable balloons” is new levels of absurd.
@NicholasDole tweets
Breaking: The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has broken. Israel says its aircraft have hit Hamas military compounds in Gaza, after flammable balloons were sent into southern Israel, starting fires.
I had enough devon sandwiches as a school student to last a lifetime, as it was the cheapest sliced meat (if you can call devon meat).
On the other hand, devonshire teas are the way to go. Nothing beats a good cornish pastie but they are hard to find locally.
@GrogsGamut tweets
Oh but that ignores that some ALP MPs have tweeted a hashtag about Biloela.
@Breakfastnews tweets
.@mjrowland68: There is no substantial difference in border protection policies between Labor or Liberal?
@RichardMarlesMP: “That’s absolutely correct. We believe in strong borders. Ultimately we arrive at that position as a matter of compassion because loss of life we saw”
____________________
@oz_f tweets
Weird how Labor keeps going out of its way to say stuff like this but their supporters will go absolutely feral if you make this point yourself.
lizzie @ #57 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 7:53 am
That really says so much about their attitudes to women.
Maybe, just maybe, if you think something is inappropriate to say in front of a woman, then it’s probably inappropriate to say anywhere.
citizen @ #52 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 9:39 am
You’ve got to wonder how the average Lib partisan feels about the attempted takeover of the party by extreme Pentecostals …?
@GrogsGamut tweets
Oh excellent, the Morrison Govt is providing $576,000 on a study on how to reduce emissions.
The money is going to known lover of lower emissions… *checks notes*… Rio Tino
guytaur @ #60 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 9:59 am
This will be trouble for Labor once again if they don’t properly address it.
The best position to take for Labor is to argue for increased ABF patrols and resources “to protect our borders” which plays favourably to the white supremacists, while also committing to resettle all remaining offshore refugees/asylum seekers on the mainland which plays favourably to the teals.
Rex
Yes. The Greens will still attack Labor but it’s a much better and consistent argument.
“lizziesays:
Wednesday, June 16, 2021 at 9:47 am
Alan Baxter ♛
@AlanBixter
Given all we export now is coal, and in 10 years the UK won’t be using coal, this “trade agreement” is about as useful as a Liberal Party Prime Minister.
”
Who knows who our PM will be in 10 years time.
If it is Morrison nobody will remember this deal. If it is someone else they will not remember it. 🙂
AdamBandt’s tweet in response response to the Marles’ statement.
@AdamBandt tweets
Attention voters of Macnamara, Griffith, Cooper, Wills, Richmond, Brisbane, Ryan, Canberra, Kooyong & Higgins.
Citizen, are you a Banana Bender? I find regional differences in language interesting. I think devon in Qld is the same as policy in WA and fritz in SA, all made from dairy cows past their use by date.
Victoria says:
Wednesday, June 16, 2021 at 8:54 am
C@t
Exactly right regarding the housing market.
The fiberals are paying lip service. Scotty from Marketing no doubt had an input.
It’s ridiculous that a decrepit old house in the suburbs costs over 1 million these days.
Like times gone past, people will be awaiting inheritances to be able to afford their own abode
Land prices are inversely related to the discount rate (interest rates). Since we have a negative discount rate at the moment, there’s no theoretical limit to land prices. As the discount rate rises – see the 3 year bond market – land prices will cease rising. If the discount rate becomes positive and rises to, say, 3% or so, then land prices will certainly fall. Because land prices are so elevated – really, at speculative levels – they could fall a long way. This would surely have a knock-on effect on household spending.
While measures to control land prices invariably fail, the discount rate can be controlled quite easily. There is very obvious speculative over-heating in the market for housing (ie, land) at present, driven by the decline in the real discount rate. This cannot last for long.
Granny Anny @ #68 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 10:17 am
Devon is as Australian as the Chiko Roll … and you don’t want to know what goes into either one!
@JordonSteel tweets
Thanush & Ramsi spent 7+ yrs in detention.
Let’s be really clear about one thing – if these 2 young men had come to Australia under a Labor government, they would be in the exact same situation as they are under the Morrison government today #AusPol #TimeForAHome #HomeToBilo
guytaur @ #67 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 8:16 am
Of course there is no difference between a policy and how you choose to implement a policy.
Some of the real world impacts of the trade deal:
Will corporations be enabled to sue the Australian Government?
Will Australia use the exploitation of cheap backpacker labour to undercut Australian worker wages and conditions?
Will the FTA do what the Tories intended and undercut UK environmental regulations and worker conditions?
citizen
I’d never heard of “devon meat” till I came to Oz. Also, we called it a pasty, not a pastie. My grandmother used to make them every week.
@AP tweets
The Southern Baptist Convention has tamped down a push from the right at its largest meeting in decades, electing a new president, Pastor Ed Litton, who has worked to bridge racial divides in the church.
Barney
Quoting a Labor politician verbatim is just that.
The answer to Shi’s rhetorical question is for her to put up the 2019 and early 2020 samples. As she well knows.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202106/1226242.shtml
Rex Douglas says:
Wednesday, June 16, 2021 at 10:10 am
Rudd made a very serious mistake when he closed down the so-called Pacific Solution when there were no arrivals by sea. This was simply a gesture to the Tampa-indignant. It was pointless, unnecessary and politically self-destructive. Within weeks the price was being paid in the revival of human trafficking, lost lives, media sensation and lost votes. Rudd made a very generous political gift to Tony Abbott and the Greens too. Terrible, terrible, terrible policy and politics.
Labor will not make the same mistake twice.
Rex Douglas
A little concerned if they noticed what happened to their next door neighbors.. Headlines from The West Australian.
Johnson’s Snorker War is still go.
@JeremyPoxon tweets
Laborists, even your leaders say that your refugee policy is the same as the liberals’. So maybe stop screaming at us for pointing it out
Devon was common in NSW, In Newcastle a variation was “Empire”
The meat was German Sausage or something similar until 1914
Let’s be clear. Bandt is a political broker for human traffickers. He should be charged with inciting crime.
Devon/fritz/polony/Belgium/Windsor sausage – it’s all a bunch of baloney (balogna).
Medical advice. If treated for the pain of a kidney stone via the bottom, don’t eat a Devon roll while in recovery.
MacQ dictionary word map of this meat:
https://www.macquariedictionary.com.au/resources/aus/word/map/search/word/Empire%20sausage/Hunter%20Valley%20and%20North%20Coast/
N
Lock Him Up!
That’s a phrase that should have some resonance for you.
Aiming for the title of Australia’s General Flynn?
Jaeger
😆 In the spirit of ANZAC add from over the Tasman Sea “Luncheon sausage”.
guytaur @ #76 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 8:25 am
Quoting someone is meaningless if you don’t understand what they are saying.
Barney
I can’t help it if you don’t understand what Marles said.
That’s your problem.
guytaur @ #91 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 8:38 am
What was he talking about?
Granny Anny
I am also fascinated by the derivation of words, and also accents. Lately I have been struck by the changes in the Australian accent (I know there has been a study on the vowel shift). Where did the pronunciation of “whopper” as “whoppah” come from? And “year” is pronounced “yeee” by many.
Straightfoward article on nature, right?
If you think so, you have been dudded.
A gold star to any Bludger who gets the prop link.
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202106/1226228.shtml
Bucephalus says:
Wednesday, June 16, 2021 at 8:38 am
The Tamil family has lost 7 court cases including in the High Court. I would like to know which other laws they are going to not follow if they are given permission to remain? Which other laws won’t suit them?
And yet they let this lot IN!
As a result of that scam of asylum seekers coming by air there are currently over 27,000 unsuccessful asylum seekers living in the community.!
I wonder what the other G7 leaders are saying behind Morrison’s back.
lizzie @ #96 Wednesday, June 16th, 2021 – 8:48 am
Big difference as well is that Andrews is the subject of a conspiracy theory, whilst Morrison is linked to a person who peddles conspiracy theories and has used language associated with those theories in a speech.
Suggestion on Twitter
😆
Barney
True.