Resolve Strategic: Coalition 40, Labor 36, Greens 10

Another poll finds Scott Morrison’s personal ratings on a downward trajectory, but still very little in it on voting intention.

The Age/Herald yesterday brought us the third result in its monthly federal polling series from Resolve Strategic, which had the Coalition on 40% (up one), Labor on 36% (up one), the Greens on 10% (down two) and One Nation on 3% (up one). This series doesn’t provide a published two-party result, but based on the last election this suggests a Labor lead of 50.5-49.5, down from around 51-49 last time. Scott Morrison has taken a hit on his personal ratings, down five on approval to 48% and up two on disapproval to 40%, while Anthony Albanese is down a point on both, to 31% and 44% respectively. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 46-23, unchanged in magnitude from 48-25 last time.

Full results from the poll, which was conducted last Tuesday to Saturday from a sample of 1600, can be viewed here. This includes the poll’s usual results for leader attributes and best party to handle various issues, as well as breakdowns for all major questions by region and gender. After last month’s poll unusually found Labor doing better in New South Wales than Victoria, this result reverts to normal. The pollster has also been up and down in its gender breakdowns, having found Labor doing better among women in the second poll a month ago, but little gender gap in the first poll and the third.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,521 comments on “Resolve Strategic: Coalition 40, Labor 36, Greens 10”

Comments Page 13 of 51
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  1. Nick Feik
    @NickFeik
    ·
    13h
    The Vic community keeps showing up, keeps sacrificing, and the fed govt keeps throwing it back in their faces.
    Commonwealth slashes Victoria’s Pfizer supply by 20,000 doses a week
    theage.com.au

  2. Wouldn’t the ADF support offered (Liberals always with the military solution), have been stepping on the toes of the SES, whose raison d’etre is storm clean-up, National Parks and Energy workers? Who seem to have done an admirable job without the ADF ‘support’.

  3. “zoomstersays:
    Thursday, June 17, 2021 at 9:18 am
    Apparently it’s now evil for the major parties to campaign in Western Australia!

    Please Remind me how much Greens vote was in recent legislative Assembly and Council elections. Only on last day they barely squeaked past WA Labor for 1 seat and one of the last seats declared. IMO, if not for preference whisperer they would not have got even that (I know., I know, they do not have a deal with preference whisperer. But they benefited anyway.)

  4. And I was complaining about use of fossil fuels to create an over-supply of unnecessary plastics, earlier this week when lizzie was offline. So I would appreciate it if I wasn’t automatically placed into the Fossil Fuel Lover camp.

  5. Very disappointing to see Madeleine King doing Little Fingers’ dirty work re fossil fuel gas.

    Undermining Albanese’s focus on manufacturing and sustainable jobs will keep Labor in Opposition.

  6. I am in agreement with those that think the position on gas to be espoused by Labor’s Madelaine King is a misstep. Regardless of any merits of the position, it presents poor optics, as it muddy’s the water. Take a leaf out of the Coalition playbook. Drop any nuance. Simplistic slogans, repeated over and over.

  7. Rex Douglas @ #609 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 9:54 am

    Very disappointing to see Madeleine King doing Little Fingers’ dirty work re fossil fuel gas.

    Undermining Albanese’s focus on manufacturing and sustainable jobs will keep Labor in Opposition.

    True. On the other hand, at least Madeleine King is being honest about Labor’s pro-fossil fuel policies. Unlike Albo, Bowen, Marles … etc etc …

  8. C@t

    Did you notice my comments earlier about plastics being recycled into hydrocarbons and recycled via that pathway?

  9. I treat anyone who would join such a “men’s only club” with suspicion. I daresay if you looked into their past they would have been regular visitors of “Costello’s” in the cross back in the day.
    I wonder how many of the ex-politicians of the club used to regularly “Pray” in the prayer room?

  10. Re Zerlo @8:47. “Murdoch controls the government – controls the message.”

    Murdoch / Newscorp don’t control the Government but they do provide it with a number of propaganda outlets.

  11. lizzie @ #614 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 9:57 am

    C@t

    On manufacture of plastics. Onya.

    The problem appears to be with the food area. I saw photos of individually-plastic wrapped passionfruit, whose skin you would think is tough enough to withstand whatever exigencies might come its way before it gets eaten. However, I was truly gobsmacked when I saw a photo from Japan, which seems to be the source of a lot of the problems, of individually plastic-wrapped red grapes, inside a cardboard container, wrapped in plastic!

    Why?

  12. P1,

    Little Fingers’ Otis Group has a political blade to Albanese’s throat.

    Albo has made it as clear as he can that manufacturing and sustainable jobs is his agenda.

  13. Is it just a coincidence that this undermining from Little Fingers group comes just days after they lost the preselection battle for Hawke ….?

  14. Socrates says:
    Thursday, June 17, 2021 at 9:35 am

    “ Federal Labor’s Madeleine King defends gas as ‘critical’ to Australia’s needs
    Opposition frontbencher will tell industry Labor’s support is predicated on gas being a transitional fuel during the shift to net zero emissions”

    Yep. The Greens and the Libs are trying to wedge Labor on gas, in the same way they’ve managed to do with coal. This will not happen. We have almost no coal in WA, but gas is huge. King represents Brand, a seat in WA. There will be no wedging on gas. None. The electoral mechanics of this are very, very straight-forward.

    If there are bludgers who pine for the defeat of the reactionary Parties, they will be hoping that Labor can defend its seats in WA and NSW, and regain some ground in QLD. Unless this happens, Labor cannot win. The splitters will try to ensure that Labor lose and they will try to use gas to that end.

    It’s possible – not likely, but possible – that Labor could win a couple of seats here at the coming election. Those seats would be Hasluck and Swan. Labor will have no chance whatsoever in those seats if a gas wedge gets a run. In such a situation, Labor could lose almost all the seats it now holds. So hang on for the ride. The splitters will be trying to stir on gas.

    The reactionaries will be rubbing their hands together and counting their seats.

  15. Carrick Ryan
    @realCarrickRyan
    ·
    1h
    They’ve found time to write a new Religious Discrimination Bill… but not a Federal ICAC Bill.

    That’s all we need to know.

  16. Cud Chewer @ #617 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 9:59 am

    C@t

    Did you notice my comments earlier about plastics being recycled into hydrocarbons and recycled via that pathway?

    No I didn’t! I’m torn. Is that a good thing or a bad thing?

    *We can keep using plastics and cut down on our use of hydrocarbons as a result, or
    * Using plastics puts more hydrocarbons out there?

    Hmm?

  17. Biff, aka Mark Latham, has taken to twitter calling Helen Dalton, MP a Greens politician (how do you like them apples Quoll?) and insists on referring to FriendlyJordies by the last part of his hyphenated Surname: Markovina.

    What’s wrong Marky? Leaving left out? I’m sure Jordie could remedy that, if he could be arsed in taking down a non entity like Latham.

  18. Griff @ #601 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 9:48 am

    rhwhombat,

    My thoughts are that Peter Collingnon has a greater risk appetite than some of his peers (and the wider public at present). But we are all should be able to provide our point of view.

    For example, I think his understanding of aerosols (as of last month at least) remains dated 🙂

    https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/imj.15287

    Griff:
    I “look forward” to your detailed and well-referenced rebuttal of Peter’s “dated” understanding. Please point out, specifically, the peer-reviewed clinical & epidemiological data & reports that support your condescention. Some time before the next “mismanaged” community outbreak in Oz would be nice – if only so we can all work out who (other than the usual suspects) to put in the tumbrils this time – and over the next 5 years or so.

  19. Cud Chewer

    Do you mean I can throw all the very thin plasticky wrappings into the recycle bin? And what about flat containers without a recycle number? I’ve always been careful to obey the rules were have been given on numbers in triangles.

  20. Michael West latest on friendlyjordies:

    Late last night the Facebook Page, ‘The Common Sense Brigade!’ set up by the FriendlyJordies team to act as a community hub for anti-LNP meme creation was registered as a ‘dangerous organisation’ by Facebook and taken down.

    The Common Sense Brigade! Facebook page allegedly breached Facebooks Community Standards on dangerous individuals and organisations with dangerous organisations defined as those that engage in:

    *Terrorist activity
    *Organized hate or violence
    *Mass or serial murder
    *Human trafficking
    *Criminal or harmful behaviour

    The taking down of the page comes a day after it was revealed that FriendlyJordies producer Kristo Langker was arrested by the NSW Police’s Counter Terrorism Fixated Person’s Unit on June 4. Langker, a journalist with a press pass to the NSW Parliament, has been charged with stalking Deputy Premier John Barilaro outside the NSW Parliament hours before his arrest.

    The video detailing the arrest, released on the FriendlyJordies YouTube channel, was briefly delisted by Google, which meant it was not searchable on YouTube or Google, nor was it visible in the channel’s subscriber feeds.

    A Facebook spokesperson told Michael West Media that “this Group was removed from Facebook as the admins repeatedly approved posts that violate our Community Standards”.

    Apparently, the action that resulted in the ban was that admininstrator of the Facebook page had approved an image of John Barilaro’s face Photoshopped on images of Mussolini as well as an image of Barilaro Photoshopped to be standing next to Hitler and Mussolini.

    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/the-state-v-friendly-terror-suspect-google-facebook-2sm-dragged-in-to-barilaro-affair/

    I’m not going to post the picture out of concern for Mr Bowe’s bank balance. 🙂

  21. “No I didn’t! I’m torn. Is that a good thing or a bad thing?”

    Its a good thing. Plastics are made of hydrocarbons. Apply energy and you get back those hydrocarbons. The question is really cost of energy and this is where we should be using all that cheap solar power that is “surplus” to grid requirements – by creating uses of cheap electricity that do things like reprocess garbage.

  22. Cud Chewer @ #634 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 10:12 am

    I’ll just repeat this. We shouldn’t be that concerned with plastic food wrapping. Its fully recyclable.

    Well, it probably was when we could export our recyclable rubbish to China. But, given how much plastic now ends up in the food we eat, I guess we have found a better solution 🙂

  23. No lizzie. Because that’s not how the current recycling system works.

    Sort, clean, re-melt. Works for high value plastics. Doesn’t work for the rest. The sort of recycling we need is the sort of recycling where energy is applied to break down plastics into shorter chain hydrocarbons. Depending on what you want, that could be tar for roads, fuel for planes, or even syngas (CO + H2) which is the basic building block for much of our industrial chemistry.

  24. Andrew_Earlwood @ #635 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 10:13 am

    Biff, aka Mark Latham, has taken to twitter calling Helen Dalton, MP a Greens politician (how do you like them apples Quoll?) and insists on referring to FriendlyJordies by the last part of his hyphenated Surname: Markovina.

    What’s wrong Marky? Leaving left out? I’m sure Jordie could remedy that, if he could be arsed in taking down a non entity like Latham.

    friendlyjordies should ask Twitter to get Biff to take down all Tweets referring to Jordan in that way, for racism. What’s good enough for Barilaro is good enough for Jordan Shanks-Markovina. 🙂

  25. Cud Chewer @ #641 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 10:17 am

    “No I didn’t! I’m torn. Is that a good thing or a bad thing?”

    Its a good thing. Plastics are made of hydrocarbons. Apply energy and you get back those hydrocarbons. The question is really cost of energy and this is where we should be using all that cheap solar power that is “surplus” to grid requirements – by creating uses of cheap electricity that do things like reprocess garbage.

    As CCS doesn’t seem to be working too well, what level of harmful emissions are produced in that process?

  26. zoomster says:
    Thursday, June 17, 2021 at 9:18 am

    Apparently it’s now evil for the major parties to campaign in Western Australia!

    In a very close election, the results in WA might determine the winners. Labor have to hold their seats here and hopefully pick up a couple. There are two possibles – Swan and Hasluck. Pearce is on the list somewhere, but only because Porter is the sitting member. Swan is always winnable but has usually proven to be very difficult for Labor. The margin in Hasluck was blown out badly in the last election.

    The Greens here have almost no resources and very few activists. They cannot campaign effectively, and will depend on Labor (they usually do) to have their Senator re-relected. But that reliance will not stop them from trying to campaign against Labor as they always do. They are the remnant ratbag left here. They will struggle to get much more than 7-8% of the vote….better than that in Fremantle and Perth, and much worse everywhere else.

    Labor have some advantages going into the election. Covid is a plus. The performance of the MacGowan government on the economy and the budget is a plus. The self-harming bumbling of the LNP on China is a plus. There’s a chance we can improve our count. It would be a terrible thing if that chance were wasted.

  27. Cud Chewer @ #640 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 10:17 am

    this is where we should be using all that cheap solar power that is “surplus” to grid requirements – by creating uses of cheap electricity that do things like reprocess garbage.

    Maybe, but not until strictly after we’ve used it to charge enough batteries (or equivalent storage) to last through the night without any coal/gas/fossil-fired energy being required. And that’s a long way off yet.

    We don’t currently have surplus renewable energy, we have deficient storage infrastructure. Adding new energy demands just makes it even more deficient.

  28. “As CCS doesn’t seem to be working too well, what level of harmful emissions are produced in that process?”

    That depends on the precise process, but in theory at least it can be pretty clean. Depends also on what you’re making and what the lifetime of the product is. You can turn plastics back into plastics. You can turn them into medicines. You can turn them into avgas. All of these have different profiles.

  29. P1
    “ And then there is this clanger …

    “It is important that people are aware that the Beetaloo is a world-class, low-carbon gas basin – containing about 3% carbon dioxide,” King will tell the conference on Thursday.
    She must think we are all complete morons. Actually, she is probably not far off the truth there ”

    Yes we are agreed on that one. King’s nonsense is not even a clever lie. There is not much CO2 in natural gas BEFORE you burn it! So no problem if you leave it in the ground. The problem only starts when you burn it… You could say the same about a pile of kindling.

    I say again that AEMO has already said transitional gas is not required. Why spend billions developing something that becomes redundant as soon as you finish building the cheaper to run solar, wind and battery assets? With luck nobody but sucker Australian taxpayers will finance new gas now. My poor taxes 🙁

  30. Player One says:
    Thursday, June 17, 2021 at 10:13 am
    N @ #629 Thursday, June 17th, 2021 – 10:10 am

    King represents Brand, a seat in WA.

    The reactionaries will be rubbing their hands together and counting their seats.
    No, that would be King rubbing her hands in glee that you can hear. And bugger the rest of Australia

    …spoken by a resident splitter and auxiliary to the reactionary Parties, the bludging P1.

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