Not the WA election thread

New draft boundaries for Victoria and WA to be unveiled next Friday, plus other matters from the federal sphere.

To keep a general discussion post somewhere near the top of the page, I offer the following:

Paul Osborne of AAP reports the Australian Electoral Commission has confirmed that the draft federal redistributions for Victoria and Western Australia will be published next Friday. The latter has been the subject of particular media attention over the past week, owing to the potential for Christian Porter’s seat of Pearce to be abolished.

• John Anderson, who served in the House of Representatives from 1989 to 2007 and as Nationals leader and Deputy Prime Minister from 1999 to 2005, has announced he will seek preselection for the Nationals-designated number two position on the New South Wales Senate ticket. The position is available as a hangover from the Section 44 debacle, which caused the party to lose a seat to the Liberals in the recount that followed Fiona Nash’s disqualification. It was reported last month that state Nationals leader John Barilaro might also seek the position, though this would seem to be rather optimistic of him.

Kevin Bonham offers a long-range big-picture account of historical opinion polling, which concludes it would be highly unusual for a federal opposition polling only as well as Labor is right now to actually win an election.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,462 comments on “Not the WA election thread”

Comments Page 28 of 30
1 27 28 29 30
  1. Lars Von Trier:

    Sunday, March 14, 2021 at 7:31 pm

    [‘Mavis can McKay be removed before the election?’]

    I’m not sure but do think that little would be achieved by
    dumping her two years out from the election. This latest poll may compel her to get out more often, with the intention of becoming more known in the electorate. A smart way of doing this is to hold Shadow Cabinet meetings in the regions.

  2. BW

    It may be worth getting advice on her business going bankrupt and finding out what the bankruptcy laws are. Was it personal debt? Was it a business debt?

    Neither – it was the Tresor Republic who decided to audit her, and then imposed ridiculous fines because they disallowed some of her expenses. And they have never provided a statement of what they disallowed, what she owed, and why the debt kept growing, no matter how much she paid off. She has never even had a credit card.

    Unfortunately in Australia, the ATO is also taking this approach to a lot of small businesses, and bankrupting them.

    Weird for a Coalition who is supposedly business friendly.

    My guess is that there are the same International businesses behind the scenes showing governments how much they can improve their balance sheet by going after Robodebts, whether social welfare payments or tax.

  3. if the media was not corrupt , Morrison should be called embattled after this vaccine promise which was always a political stunt and a lie

    https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/jan/07/australia-to-roll-out-covid-vaccine-in-february-with-goal-for-four-million-jabs-by-march

    Morrison set out a process to begin vaccination, with the first recipients being high-priority groups including 700,000 frontline workers in the health sector, border enforcement, hotel quarantine, aged care, and disability care; and residents of aged and disability care.
    Morrison said starting with 80,000 vaccinations a week, Australia would aim to ramp that up in order to vaccinate four million people by the end of March.

  4. laughtong,

    Thanks so much for posting the original article – I would not have realised what wa really happening otherwise.

    poroti,

    You suggestion that me using credit cards in Australia, and then trying to use them OS in a short space of time is a good one.

    I presume that banks share a lot of information to stop money laundering, so even getting some new Australian credit or debit card, with a different bank, would still raise thew flags – but I will try it.

    And thanks so much everyone for your suggestions!

  5. laughtong

    D&M Is it worth trying to send her one of those travel credit cards with a decent amount of Euro on it?

    That is not a bad idea. Tried to buy one in France, and once again could not use my Australian debit or credit card to pay. But maybe if I buy one her ib Oz, and then send it, it might just work,

  6. Women protesting in London over the murder of Sarah Everard have been subjected to what seems on the face it an overly robust police response, her accused murderer himself being a cop.

  7. @senthorun tweets
    Dear Worried Men,

    If you’re anxious that public demands to make men accountable for sexually abusing women might impact negatively on “innocent men” like you, you should rethink how you treat women. Because you’re definitely not innocent.

    Cheers
    _______________

    @AmyRemeikis tweets

    If people are feeling uncomfortable or anxious about the rage some people are feeling, and how it might blow back on them – good.

    Now you know how it can feel

  8. I’d say there’s a fair chance there will be an announcement of an independent inquiry before the march arrives at Parliament House and before Question Time.

  9. @DrCraigEmerson tweets

    The national #March4Justice in protest against the death of one woman every week from domestic violence, widespread sexual assault and harassment and the belittling of women by powerful men will mark a turning point in our history. There will be no turning back.

  10. Seemingly unusual amount of focus in the article on Tony Piccolo’s personal best for the 5kms and the comparative time when he had his heart attack.

  11. Craig Emerson has decided “turning point” is his phrase of the week. In the running for visionary without responsibility award.

  12. @marquelawyers tweets

    It would be a catastrophic error for a delegation from the march4justice to acquiesce in a private meeting with Scott. Surely that is obvious.

  13. ‘Late Riser says:
    Sunday, March 14, 2021 at 8:44 pm

    Re that private meeting with Morrison:
    https://twitter.com/janine_hendry/status/1370996949961248771

    One tweet in the thread reads, “As a survivor, I have had more than enough these last weeks. You do not have my permission to represent me in a private encounter with a man protecting an alleged rapist. You do not.”’

    That sort of thought had crossed my mind.

  14. ‘Shellbell says:
    Sunday, March 14, 2021 at 8:40 pm

    Seemingly unusual amount of focus in the article on Tony Piccolo’s personal best for the 5kms and the comparative time when he had his heart attack.’

    haha. No empathy?

  15. @senthorun tweets
    Dear Worried Men,

    If you’re anxious that public demands to make men accountable for sexually abusing women might impact negatively on “innocent men” like you, you should rethink how you treat women. Because you’re definitely not innocent.

    FUCK. RIGHT. OFF.

    I have never raped, bashed or abused any woman. And if you think that just shows how too far gone and up myself in my righteous male ego trip I am, then:

    FUCK.RIGHT.OFF.

    Your answer to the allegation that all males objectify all women, is to objectify males.

    Come up with a better solution than unremitting anger and threats. Men are listening.

    But I know I personally don’t deserve to be lumped in with the rapists and perverts simply because of an accident of birth (as if I had a fucking choice as to which chromosome linked up with which other chromosome), and neither does 99.99% of my gender.

  16. mundo says:
    Sunday, March 14, 2021 at 8:46 pm
    Hope everyone is prepared for the Newspoll cold shower?
    ____________________________________
    Naturlich!

  17. BB

    Wow. Triggered big time.

    Qualifiers ignored.

    Your reaction suggests you have abused women in the past. The post does not say all men. Any association is in your mind.

  18. Newspoll will be a surprise for me if Labor are ahead. There is no doubt that Smoko will have a greater approval rating and PPM than Albo.

  19. You added this after I read your post:

    Your reaction suggests you have abused women in the past. The post does not say all men. Any association is in your mind.

    What a pissant you are. Always delivering judgements, leaving yourself in a state of sainthood, naturally.

    You just can’t fathom the favt that some people are normal, not fuckwits with a persecution complex like yourself.

  20. BB

    You were hair triggered to react and complain because I edited in the allotted timeframe. Again read the tweet you reacted to with outrage.

    It triggered you. You saw all men. No such statement was in the tweet.

  21. Pathetic. “I should read Twitter.” Says it all you loser. What a life you must delude yourself you lead.

    Twitter! FFS…

  22. mundo @ #1057 Sunday, March 14th, 2021 – 8:46 pm

    Hope everyone is prepared for the Newspoll cold shower?

    If you have any sense of these things at all you will realise that support holds up…until it doesn’t. When the levee breaks you can’t just bowl up another picfac to substitute as a finger in the dyke.

    Just ask Kevin Rudd. The tide went out and it never came back.

  23. “@senthorun tweets
    Dear Worried Men,

    If you’re anxious that public demands to make men accountable for sexually abusing women might impact negatively on “innocent men” like you, you should rethink how you treat women. Because you’re definitely not innocent.”

    Make up a class of people, how they are feeling, fire a shot high and wide over their bows and count your likes.

  24. The tweet was addressed to “Dear Worried Men”.

    You’re the one who needs to re-read.

    “Man-Bull”… What a joke.

    “Man-Child” would be more accurate.

  25. BB

    I don’t totally agree with shellbell.

    However Shellbell is streets ahead of you in rational response to the tweet.

  26. Bushfire

    I can see why you are angry and I disagree with guytaur’s interpretation, but I have to say that the majority of statements by ‘survivors’ have not blamed all men. They are merely begging for a culture change by the powerful.

  27. Just ask Kevin Rudd. The tide went out and it never came back.

    Say the woman who, on June 26th, 2013, publicly abandoned her forever-fem-friend Julia Gillard in less time than it takes to flush a pub dunny, telling all how vitally important it was to Get Behind The Eternal Leader Again, Kevin Rudd.

    “The Queen is dead! Long live Whatsisname!”

  28. Bushfire Bill
    Claiming to be innocent is a sure fire sign you are guilty . You have a double whammy, male and Caucasian which means you are absolutely definitely totally a misogynist and a racist . If you confess to your sins they might go easy on you. 😆

  29. Bushfire Bill playing Piers Morgan to c@tmomma’s Megan Markle. This blog really does have something for everyone!

  30. SB, Guytaur does a slick line in Labelling Others. Anyone but himself, of course. He’s the perfect Man-bull. It’s a wonder he survived the school playground with an attitude like that.

  31. Do we have a time frame in which to expect the tail to wag the dog regarding a latest federal newspoll.
    It is interesting to see the headlines proclaiming a liberal landslide at the next NSW elections as with what hit the headlines as a report from internal polling in the once was a river of gold.
    How accurate was the polling in WA? Within expectations or something more?
    Some of the State leaders appear above board across this broad land, is Gladys included in this list?
    And Super Morro from Gunnamatta Bay, with three rostered days off a week, a member of the above board club or not?
    Hanging out for the clues in unraveling the mysteries of voterland.
    The results are there somewhere, but the town crier has been found to maintain strange acquaintances.
    The great leveller.

  32. Crikey posted earlier in the week some ‘PMO briefings’ (unverified afaik) that some options touted were a) in the case of Porter, there would be a short enquiry before his return (I don’t think the latter is possible, this still is being poorly managed, worse worser worsest, with a momentum of its own) and b) the incompetent Reynolds would be disappeared into some Govt organisation or similar at comparable pay, or a diplomatic posting, far far away.

Comments Page 28 of 30
1 27 28 29 30

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *