Essential Research: COVID-19, leader attributes and more

A new poll finds a dip in the federal government’s still strong ratings on COVID-19, with only a small minority of respondents planning to skip the vaccine.

The latest fortnightly Essential Research poll does not include leader ratings or voting intention, but does have the following:

• The regular question on COVID-19 response finds the federal government’s good rating suffering a seven point dip to 62%, returning it to where it was for several months before an uptick in November, with the poor rating up two to 14%. The small sample results for mainland state governments also record a drop for the Victorian government, whose good rating is down ten to 49%, while the New South Wales government holds steady at 72% and the Queensland government’s drops three to 73%. As ever, particular caution must be taken with the Western Australian and South Australian results given the sample sizes, but they respectively retain the best (down three to 85%) and second best (down one to 78%) results out of the five.

• The poll finds 50% of respondents saying they will get vaccinated as soon as possible, 40% that they will do so but not straight away, and 10% that they will never get vaccinated. Variation by voting intention is within the margin of error. By way of contrast, a US poll conducted by Monmouth University last month produced the same 50% result for the “soon as possible option”, but had “likely will never get the vaccine” markedly higher at 24%. This increased to 42% among Republicans, and doesn’t that just say it all.

• The poll includes a pared back version of the pollster’s semi-regular suite of questions on leaders’ attributes in relation to Scott Morrison, but not Anthony Albanese. The consistent pattern here is that Morrison is a bit less highly rated than he was last May, but substantially stronger than he was during the bushfire crisis in January. However, he has done notably better on “good in a crisis” (from 32% last January to 66% in May to the current 59%) than “out of touch” (from 62% to 47% and now back up to 59%), whereas his gains since January on “more honest than most politicians” (now 50%), “trustworthy” (52%) and “visionary” (41%) are all either 11% or 12%. Two new questions have been thrown into the mix: “in control of their team” and “avoids responsibility”, respectively 56% at 49%.

• Respondents were asked to respond to a series of propositions concerning “the recent allegations of rape and sexual assault from women working in Parliament”, which found 65% agreeing the government has been “more interested in protecting itself than the interests of those who have been assaulted”. Forty-five per cent felt there was “no difference in the way the different political parties treat women”, though the view was notably more prevalent among men (54%) than women (37%), and among those at the conservative end of the voting spectrum (53% among Coalition voters, 41% among Labor voters and 30% among Greens voters).

• A number of questions on tech companies found an appetite for stronger regulation, including 76% support for forcing them to remove misinformation from their platforms.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1074; full results here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,565 comments on “Essential Research: COVID-19, leader attributes and more”

Comments Page 50 of 52
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  1. SK

    [Yet your comment was that we should ignore a journalist quoting an anonymous source.]

    Yes because that is a reasonable response when I have something direct from the police. No one has to accept what is written by the police but treating it as though it does not exist (not you) ain’t much of an argument.

    Buongiorno incompetently coupled a serious question (whether the five month supposedly COVID-related delay in the NSW Police investigation was reasonable) with the wholly unsupported accusation that the delay was caused by interference from the NSW government.

    This enabled the highly trained advocate to focus exclusively on dismissing the irrelevant and mischievous latter claim, whilst scrupulously going anywhere near the heart of the matter.

  2. N-Briefly
    Are any of the safer well heeled Liberal seats like Nedlands and Cottlesowe viewed as female seats?

    By female seats i mean have a majority women population and an interest in social policies.

  3. Question please for those in the West:

    Does Stokes’ West Australian have the same extremely pro-Porter articles and editorial as Murdoch’s Oz today?

  4. I love this meme that women are left or right.

    Total nonsense. But, tells you more about the posters than it tells you about women.

  5. This enabled the highly trained advocate to focus exclusively on dismissing the irrelevant and mischievous latter claim, whilst scrupulously going anywhere near the heart of the matter.

    And I wasnt going anywhere near the latter claim. I found it a surprising and unfortunate thing for a seasoned journo to say – but I dont follow Bongiorno on twitter.

  6. N says:
    “Saturday, March 6, 2021 at 5:17 pm
    I’m curious to see how the Higgins and Porter matters affect the Lib vote in the WA election. WA voters will be widely and deeply repelled by the disclosures. Will this be expressed at the ballot box? The Liberal vote was already at the point of collapse. Will it subside into the low 30s or less? Will they be obliterated?“

    Exactly how are you going to empirically measure that?

    And given the disastrous polling figures are you just going to claim you are correct when the voting matches the polling?

  7. GG
    It was Greg Sharidan that said women were trending left and men were trending right.

    It is a generalisation but the Liberals are slipping in areas where the population is more feminist in its outlook we see this in Higgins and Kooyong where the Liberals primary votes are at decade lows.

  8. Does Stokes’ West Australian have the same extremely pro-Porter articles and editorial as Murdoch’s Oz today?

    No. The big story in The West today is actually Brittany Higgins, who was “left feeling cut off and let down by Linda Reynolds as she suffered a breakdown alone weeks after alleged attack”. This is the front page lead and takes up most of pages three and four. All there is of Porter is on page seven: “Hale graduates call for sexual consent classes after Porter allegations”. The only opinion piece is from Michelle Grattan: “Why Porter should stand aside”.

  9. Citizen

    the West Australian leads with and devotes two pages inside to a detailed account of how Brittany Higgins was “abandoned” when she came to Perth with Reynolds for the election campaign.

    On Page 7 there’s is a story about former students at Porter’s school calling on social media for better sex education.

    Way back inside is a Michelle Grattan column saying Porter should stand aside.

    So in a nutshell no one making apologies for Porter.

    Edit : I’m Too slow for William!

  10. The gender thing with the Libs is, of course, one of the reasons why it is former Liberal seats electing women independents.

  11. Mexicanbeemer @ #2457 Saturday, March 6th, 2021 – 5:39 pm

    GG
    It was Greg Sharidan that said women were trending left and men were trending right.

    It is a generalisation but the Liberals are slipping in areas where the population is more feminist in its outlook we see this in Higgins and Kooyong where the Liberals primary votes are at decade lows.

    A lot of that is urban consolidation from big blocks of land developed in to multiple units populated by non traditional residents.

  12. The West Australian story isn’t be true, buce was telling everyone, that because he’s a bloke, he knew better than Ms Higgins and that she was well supported and got a promotion.

  13. GG
    That might explain some of it but most of those areas have not seen any real redevelopment in recent years and recent redistributions have pushed Higgins and Kooyong into suburban areas that have seen less impact by new apartments.

  14. GG:

    I love this meme that women are left or right.

    Total nonsense. But, tells you more about the posters than it tells you about women.

    The left or right distinction pre-dates the granting of woman suffrage* in any modern jurisdiction, so it could be that the question is ill posed. Men do seem more likely to exhibit the ideological discipline intrinsic to the left or right distinction. Many women might prefer to be prefer to be both left and right – after all, who said one has to choose?

    * Homage to Mary Wollstonecraft – and not a day goes by when we should not all regret her untimely demise – she was sorting it all out.

  15. The interesting thing for me about the Higgins story is that she spent weeks in Perth on the government payroll campaigning for the liberals, attending functions in a blue t shirt with her minister.
    A new slant on government funded campaigning ?
    Didn’t Dan Andrews have trouble with staff campaigning in the red shirts affair?

  16. Indeed

    [marquelawyers
    @marquelawyers
    ·
    1h
    Compare what has been written and said about the Porter story by female and male commentators, and you’ll understand how we got here.]

  17. Mexicanbeemer @ #2469 Saturday, March 6th, 2021 – 5:51 pm

    GG
    That might explain some of it but most of those areas have not seen any real re-development in recent years and recent redistributions have pushed Higgins and Kooyong into suburban areas that have seen less impact by new apartments.

    Labor in Victoria picked up Hawthorn which is a part of Kooyong.

    The trend is Labor’s friend.

  18. Citizen

    The West also devotes a lot of space inside (parts of four pages) to a story about a staffer “brutally sacked” by WA Health Minister Roger Cook last year after many years of “Labor loyalty”
    Can’t see it doing much harm.

  19. E. G. Theodore @ #2470 Saturday, March 6th, 2021 – 5:55 pm

    GG:

    I love this meme that women are left or right.

    Total nonsense. But, tells you more about the posters than it tells you about women.

    The left or right distinction pre-dates the granting of woman suffrage* in any modern jurisdiction, so it could be that the question is ill posed. Men do seem more likely to exhibit the ideological discipline intrinsic to the left or right distinction. Many women might prefer to be prefer to be both left and right – after all, who said one has to choose?

    * Homage to Mary Wollstonecraft – and not a day goes by when we should not all regret her untimely demise – she was sorting it all out.

    You have obviously met my wife and children!

  20. GG
    Hawthorn is an example of what i referred to because the ALP did really well in the Hawthorn end where there has been some development but they did really well in the Camberwell end which hasn’t seen anywhere near the redevelopment and Hawthorn has always been more ALP friendly than Camberwell.

  21. Bucephalus says:
    Saturday, March 6, 2021 at 5:39 pm
    N says:
    “Saturday, March 6, 2021 at 5:17 pm
    I’m curious to see how the Higgins and Porter matters affect the Lib vote in the WA election. WA voters will be widely and deeply repelled by the disclosures. Will this be expressed at the ballot box? The Liberal vote was already at the point of collapse. Will it subside into the low 30s or less? Will they be obliterated?“

    Exactly how are you going to empirically measure that?

    I don’t know. But I guess if the Liberals do better than expected they will conclude their misogyny hasn’t hurt them (yet). If they do especially poorly, I think there will be soul-searching in Libdom.

    I think there’s little here to rejoice in. The Liberal Party has betrayed the people. Utterly betrayed us. This is a matter of grievance as far as I’m concerned. They really should stand for a society that is free from violence; a society in which everyone, regardless of gender or other differences, will be free and equal. Manifestly, they do not.

  22. Rosscmg:

    The interesting thing for me about the Higgins story is that she spent weeks in Perth on the government payroll campaigning for the liberals, attending functions in a blue t shirt with her minister.
    A new slant on government funded campaigning ?
    Didn’t Dan Andrews have trouble with staff campaigning in the red shirts affair?

    The public purse should pay for these people since the consequence of not doing so is these sorts of arrangements , which look dodgy (but are actually at abou 1 on a 1 to 10 scale of dodginess). There is of course a technical problem involving minor parties rorting such a system.

    A more serious problem is that the current crop of these people don’t know what they’re doing due to having an average age of about 23. This has a large number of undesirable effects. So in fact what’s needed is a limited number of well paid staffers and some sort of means to prevent breaching the limits. The latter is very hard to achieve – consider the somewhat analogous example of the salary cap in the major sporting codes.

  23. Rick Morton
    @SquigglyRick
    ·
    1m

    One of the interesting things I found out on first diagnosis is that women are frequently misdiagnosed with borderline personality disorder when they have C-PTSD. Because, of course, we think of them as “hysterical” but men can have the trauma label.

  24. Zoe Rose
    @z_rose
    ·
    42m
    I offer this thread and any further explanation you like to any journalist who is interested in following up.

    Cc
    @murpharoo

    @latingle

    @samanthamaiden

    @annabelcrabb

    @michellegrattan
    Quote Tweet
    Zoe Rose
    @z_rose
    · 2h
    Some of you may have seen an article on @crikey_news – which I will not link to – asserting that ‘repressed memories’ may have played a role in Christian Porter’s alleged victims recollections.

    The article contains factual inaccuracies. Lots of them.
    Show this thread
    Zoe Rose
    @z_rose
    ·

  25. Vikki Campion is earning a crust at Murdoch’s DT doing her bit for Porter and keeping Rupert happy.

    Whether or not Attorney-general Christian Porter is guilty or innocent, we can’t abandon the principle that everyone is innocent until proven guilty, Vikki Campion writes. (Outside the paywall)

  26. lizzie @ #2487 Saturday, March 6th, 2021 – 6:15 pm

    Rick Morton
    @SquigglyRick
    ·
    1m

    One of the interesting things I found out on first diagnosis is that women are frequently misdiagnosed with borderline personality disorder when they have C-PTSD. Because, of course, we think of them as “hysterical” but men can have the trauma label.

    Not having a uterus (Greek: hystera), men cannot be “hysterical”.

    They can, however, be “dickheads”.

  27. lizzie says:
    Saturday, March 6, 2021 at 6:12 pm
    Has Scotty popped up anywhere today? I’m assuming he won’t be at the Mardi Gras.

    He will probably be at Mardi Gras in the form of someone in a Mark David inspired costume!

  28. As I posted yesterday I have spent the last 2 weeks dealing with the fallout from a blatantly false accusation of sexual assault.
    Even though it took less than a week to resolve the young man who was the victim has finally come back to work but remains traumatised

  29. PvO has been getting a lot of criticism for his defence of Porter and his same-same allusions to Shorten. No doubt that will become a feature of the Insiders discussion tomorrow, unfortunately. Wrong emphasis. There are much broader issues.

  30. You know you’re in trouble when even Barnaby has higher standards than you do …

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2021/mar/06/barnaby-joyce-says-some-of-christian-porters-colleagues-want-his-head-on-a-plate

    He linked his stance on the matter to his own experiences – having been the subject of sexual harassment allegations in 2018, which contributed to his resignation as deputy prime minister. He has vehemently denied the allegations.

  31. Yes, false assault claims are terrible, luckily studies show this is this is only about 3 percent of cases (widely quoted figure this week).
    Basically if a woman makes a rape claim it happened….

  32. Bronwyn Clark
    @BronwynHill1
    ·
    1m
    Replying to @vanOnselenP and @australian
    Come on Peter. You’re one of my most respected journalists of the past few years. I was an ABC journo for 23 years…if a friend of mine had been accused of a serious crime, I would not have been allowed to report on it….and rightly so. With respect, you need to step back.

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