The Australian reports the first Newspoll of the year has Labor drawing level on two-party preferred, after trailing 51-49 in the previous poll from late November. That headline-grabber aside though, the poll finds the pollster maintaining its trademark low volatility, with the Coalition down one on the primary vote, Labor steady on 36%, the Greens down one to 10% and One Nation up one to 3%.
Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese record similarly sized negative movements in their personal ratings, though from a much higher base in Morrison’s case. Morrison is down three on approval to 63% and up three on disapproval to 33%, while Anthony Albanese is down three to 41% and up two to 43%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister narrows slightly, from 60-28 to 57-29. The poll was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1512.
The BludgerTrack poll aggregate has been updated with the results, and currently records a slight Coalition lead of 50.4-49.6 and a trend of very slow decline in Morrison’s net approval since its blowout in late March.
Mavis @ #727 Tuesday, February 2nd, 2021 – 4:19 pm
Well, sorry Marj, but it’s on like Donkey Kong:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-02-02/democrats-bid-to-remove-marjorie-taylor-greene-from-committees/13112588
Don’t think you can beat Mitch McConnell. He’s been around in politics as long as Methuselah.
Marj, you may have Trump and the Trumplicans on your side but you seem to be forgetting a few salient points:
* Donald J.Trump lost the popular vote in 2016 by 3 million votes.
* He lost the 2020 popular vote by 7 million votes.
* After the 2020 election he contributed to YOUR state, Georgia, losing TWO Senators and control of the Senate.
Mitch McConnell doesn’t forgive and he doesn’t forget. Marj, you may think that your fat mouth that is on autopilot 24/7 will win this war, but it’s only just begun and Mitch McConnell has the Democrats working with him against you too. And they’re the ones that control the House, the Senate and the White House. You just control your one vote from an ultra conservative Georgia House district and you are no David to their Goliath. Have fun while it lasts, Marj. Maybe you’ll end up with a slot on Newsmax for your trouble. 🙂
The reason why Morrison is scared of Craig kelly, is it because Craig Kelly is Peter Dutton’s numbers man/supporter and could get enough support for Dutton to replace Morrison.
I can’t stand Scott Morrsion, but I doubt this. Peter Dutton was overlooked in the leadership because there was a view by Liberals voters wouldn’t be able to stomach him in the southern states. I actually even tend to think Dutton’s appeal in Queensland is overrated. Morrison election win in 2019 against the odds gave him a certain gratitude from the caucus which they thought they would be gone for all money.
I really doubt Morrison has a fear of Dutton replacing him. The Liberals also introduced new rules that make it alot harder to topple the PM.
“ Inadequate range and performance, unfortunately.”
Yeah. nah. It doesn’t have to be ‘the answer’ to every scenario involving a tradie for it to be a commercial success and a big step forward. There are quite a number of market niches it fills.
Remember 200km is the range for the base models. You can add on more batteries. So, it depends on what you want to use it for. If you are a genuine inner city courier (and not a show off tradie) then doubling your batteries would be sufficient. If your trade required you to carry say 500kg of kit and you did half a dozen jobs in a day within that 200km base range (like a domestic electrical for example) it would also perfect, even without optimising with extra batteries.
These type of vehicles have a much better chance of a broad take up than the cyber truck.
Of course, once Toyota brings out an EV Hilux in about 2 years, it will be another massive step forward.
Socrates:
Labor cannot change the Greens’ position. Yet Labor refuses to take a position to challenge the Greens, then complains when they lose votes to the Greens.
Um, no. The Greens are losing votes to Labor:
From god above:
Labor steady on 36%, the Greens down one to 10%
As the Coalition are also down, where do you think the votes went from The Greens?
So, thanks but no thanks for the offer of Labor listening to The Greens. 🙂
The new Tesla Roadster looks awesome…
Not to mention the fact, Political Nightwatchman, that Dutts looks terrible since he contracted COVID-19. Even worse than before!
Political Nightwatchman says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 5:58 pm
Morrison election win in 2019 against the odds gave him a certain gratitude from the caucus which they thought they would be gone for all money.
I really doubt Morrison has a fear of Dutton replacing him. The Liberals also introduced new rules that make it alot harder to topple the PM.
———————
Dont be fooled about the media’s narrative on Morrison’s miracle win , the libs/nats were likely always in front , Turnbull suggestion that the lib/nats polling were 52/48 the media did not like turnbull giving that narrative, the reason why turnbull was replaced , is the same reason he was replaced in 2009 Climate policy.
The liberal party rules are the same as Labor party rules to replace the leader , if there are talks Albanese can be replace so can morrison
The Ute Men do not want to talk about electric utes.
Labor and the Greens talking about electric utes is electoral poison.
JUST DO NOT DO IT.
If Labor MUST talk about electric utes declare strongly that there is not nearly enough grunt or range in the current EV utes so that is a wait and see what new technology will bring.
Apart from that, focus on EV assembly plants for small urban runabouts in the Hunter and Townsville. Price on the road should be no more than $25,000.
‘Spray says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 4:43 pm
boerwar @ #751 Tuesday, February 2nd, 2021 – 4:39 pm
Avignon had, at times, three popes.
Ah yes. The Avignon cluster.’
Good one.
So it looks like only Russia and Saudi Arabia beat us to the wooden spoon when it comes to road transport decarbonisation, with the worst policies of ‘developed’ G20 nations overall. Even slightly worse than the final days of the US trump regime.
Business as usual on planet Oz
Australia’s climate policies rated worst of major developed economies
https://reneweconomy.com.au/australias-climate-policies-rated-worst-of-major-developed-economies/
Australia has the weakest climate policies of the largest developed economies in the world, behind the likes of Germany, France, the UK, Canada, Italy and even the US, according to a new assessment from Bloomberg New Energy Finance.
BNEF’s newly published G20 Zero Carbon Policy scoreboard, which grades the climate policies of the world’s 20 biggest economies, put Australia in 10th position, ahead only of countries with economies traditionally considered developing.
Q
Where is the real graph?
The one where the single biggest CO2 emitter in the world comes first with 28% of the world’s emissions?
C@t
“Not to mention the fact, Political Nightwatchman, that Dutts looks terrible since he contracted COVID-19. ”
The virus got in via the probic vent.
Quoll attacking Australia for its carbon emissions when China emits 28% of global emissions, with no immediate sign that it will get that down in order to keep the earth’s temperature below 4 degrees, is yet another example of self-loathing Western lefties giving CO2 spewing China a clear run.
Mr Dutton has lost his mojo.
He tried to serve up a snide covid snark to the WA premier who then knocked Dutton out of the ball park in response.
Kakuru @ #797 Tuesday, February 2nd, 2021 – 6:22 pm
I thought he resembled this guy 😆
Quoll says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 6:15 pm
Australia’s climate policies rated worst of major developed economies..
For this, we have two parties to thank: the LNP and the Greens. Between them, they have absolutely fucked up the politics of climate change in this country. The burden on the Greens is heavy: they purport to want to arrest climate change but constantly run interference for the LNP, who have made great political profits by running hard with climate change denialism.
Dont be fooled about the media’s narrative on Morrison’s miracle win , the libs/nats were likely always in front , Turnbull suggestion that the lib/nats polling were 52/48 the media did not like turnbull giving that narrative, the reason why turnbull was replaced , is the same reason he was replaced in 2009 Climate policy.
The liberal party rules are the same as Labor party rules to replace the leader , if there are talks Albanese can be replace so can morrison
It’s not being ‘fooled by the media’s’ narrative. Peter Dutton brought on the challenge on Turnbull because he thought he was going to lose his seat. Scott Morrison saw an opportunity and apparently didn’t discourage Dutton from challenging . But then joined the race and stole Dutton’s thunder. Apparently Dutton has felt somewhat used by Morrision after the whole exercise after it all happened.
The Liberals are now into there third Prime Minster and are considered favorites at the next election. They also didn’t want Dutton last time either. And they know there credibility will be completely shot by another change.
You can’t just paint that as buying the media’s spin. When there is nothing tangible to back up your assertions.
IMO, he should go.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-02-02/collingwood-eddie-mcguire-wrong-to-say-proud-over-racism-report/13112374
Socrates says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 4:41 pm
…..Labor cannot change the Greens’ position. Yet Labor refuses to take a position to challenge the Greens, then complains when they lose votes to the Greens.
The problem is not that Labor lose votes to the No Windmills Party. This trend has evaporated. The problem is that their campaign against Labor drives votes to the LNP. The Greens are a working dog for the LNP. They round up voters and muster them for the LNP. This is their historic function – the schismatic gambit – in Australian politics.
Political Nightwatchman says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 6:29 pm
You can’t just paint that as buying the media’s spin. When there is nothing tangible to back up your assertions.
————
The reason for Turnbull to be replaced was not that the libs/nats were going to lose
Majority of Liberal Party members did not like Turnbull’s Climate policy in 2009 and goes for the same in 2018 when Turnbull lost his leadership again.
C@tmomma says: Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 6:05 pm
That is a photo of someone who is missing more than few screws. Horrific.
Scott says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 6:35 pm
Political Nightwatchman says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 6:29 pm
You can’t just paint that as buying the media’s spin. When there is nothing tangible to back up your assertions.
————
The reason for Turnbull to be replaced was not that the libs/nats were going to lose
Majority of Liberal Party members did not like Turnbull’s Climate policy in 2009 and goes for the same in 2018 when Turnbull lost his leadership again.
The LNP have made huge political gains by resisting measures aimed at alleviating climate change. They will not relinquish this position easily, if at all. It has helped keep them in power most of the time since 1996.
Scott
Yep 2009 Truffles was on the verge of signing up to a bipartisan agreement with Labor re carbon prices etc. To lock in climate action.Then along came the scum Minchin + Robb , the face of the fossil cartel fuckers to prevent that happening.
boerwar @ #813 Tuesday, February 2nd, 2021 – 6:24 pm
China is on track to exceed their Paris commitments, which were significant.
Australia is not on track to meet our commitments, which were paltry.
Which country deserves harsher criticism?
The movements in this poll all seem to be within margin of error, certainly the voting intentions, so I din’t think that we can draw too many conclusions.
Forget about Albanese getting rolled for Labor leadership, it’s Morrison who might be looking real shaky if the next few polls start showing a trend away from his radicals.
‘The reason for Turnbull to be replaced was not that the libs/nats were going to lose
Majority of Liberal Party members did not like Turnbull’s Climate policy in 2009 and the same in 2018 when Turnbull lost his leadership again.’
Majority of the Abbott backers still held a grudge and wanted a get square after Turnbull successfully challenged Abbott for the Prime Minstership. Turnbull’s sold out to the right on climate change and it wasn’t a factor in him losing the leadership in 2019.
They also believed the polls they were going to lose. You taking your evidence off Turnbulls word.
“The real hero behind Britain’s ability to take the fight to Germany and stay in the ear up until the Americans were finally drawn in was Joe Chamberlain.”
He did remarkably well considering he died in 1914. 🙂
The Ute Men do not want to talk about electric utes.
—————
Sure. But keep in mind many people have utes for work mainly because of the tax implication (fbt). There are a lot of trades and professionals who have utes who would be happy to buy an EV one. Some don’t need it to be 4WD capable. Some don’t need it to carry heavy loads.
Plenty of tradies drive vans. Just last month I was working alongside a sparky who arrived in a Honda Jazz.
Political Nightwatchman says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 6:56 pm
They also believed the polls they were going to lose. You taking your evidence off Turnbulls word.
——————————————————
We will continue to agree to disagree
Trubble at NI border with England.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-55895276
SK
There is absolutely no point in talking technical points about EV utes.
It is a cultural matter.
Albanese should announce right now that peoples’ utes are 100% safe and that suggestions to the contrary by the Coalition are outright political lies.
Them as what ‘ave…
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-55884596
It absolutely was because they were scared of losing under Turnbull (or at least having a huge fight) that motivated the party to remove him. Turnbull was never liked by a majority of the party room and they saw him as too soft and “small L” liberal (even after he shifted positions to placate the party.) However, in 2015, they were facing the high possibility of being a one-term government under Abbott and they saw the illusion of popularity that Turnbull had and took the plunge on him (reassuring themselves that he can be bound to their ideology and reminding themselves it’s still better to be in government under him than in opposition under someone else.)
After Turnbull’s dismal performance in 2016 and his failure to subsequently rebuild any momentum in support, despite the Opposition Leader being as popular as haemorrhoids, they saw no value in sticking behind him any more and decided that if they were going to struggle at the next election, they might as well do it fighting for their values, not some urbane intellectual liberalism that is out of step with most of the party.
It should be noted that by “they” I mean the cross section of MPs that supported Turnbull in 2015 but flipped in 2018. The hard right had always opposed him. Also, it should be said that there were a few who stuck with Turnbull because they thought the idea of changing leaders again ludicrous. Added to all of that, Morrison positioned himself as “loyal”, only running if Turnbull was out and positioning himself as a compromise candidate, against the too moderate Julie Bishop and the too extreme Peter Dutton.
Winning in 2019 proved to any doubters that it was the right move and put the final nail in the coffin of the idea that the Liberal Party needs to reinvent itself as some sort of intellectual, small-L liberal party that just happens to be for small government and pro-business. No, the reactionaries played their hand and proved it was their party and their message that wins them elections.
I agree with Simon Katich and others that the ute challenge is greatly overblown. Utes are at most 1/4 of the car market, and even then, most utes are bought by non-tradies for tax advantages, not load carrying need. When I see “utes” sold with carpet and metallic paint, I laugh at the suggestion they will ever see a building site. Go back 20 years and utes were about 8% of the market.
Most private cars (>80%) are driven less than 100 km per day. EVs are perfectly suitable for that. There are already affordable electric delivery vans available in Australia, probably a more important issue for many businesses than utes. Utes are a distraction. If people really need a ute for work fine give them an exemption for that reason. That still leaves EVs suitable for the other 92% of car users.
https://www.renault.com.au/vehicles/electric/kangoo-ze/kangoo-ze
At the risk of some bias, if bludgers want to understand some of the policy issues on climate change and trsansport, so disastrously unaddressed by the current government, there was a recent discussion paper put out by Engineers Australia. Lots of changes are needed, many procedural, but we simply won’t get a 20% reduction in transport emissions, let alone 50% without a large scale roll out of EVs. That was also the conclusion of a 2019/20 ARRB analysis.
https://www.engineersaustralia.org.au/sites/default/files/Learned%20Society/Climate%20Change%20and%20Transport%20Discussion%20Paper%20October%202020.pdf
Moron Prime Minister thinks Bing is tottally fine as a replacement for Google.
I can’t believe 50% of Australia wants this dickhead?
If google leaves Australia it be like a bigger version of golden pulling out.
All you need is an electric ute the tradies think says to the world “I’ve got a big dick” and Bob’s your uncle.
I was in outback Queensland when the EV utes issue hit the election talk during the last federal election.
It was beyond a shadow of a doubt absolute toxic electoral poison for Labor.
The technical details were totally irrelevant.
It was a cultural thing.
Albanese should announce now that Labor supports the ute men’s attachment to their utes.
In the scheme and scale of things it does not matter.
Just do it.
Albanese should announce right now that peoples’ utes are 100% safe and that suggestions to the contrary by the Coalition are outright political lies.
Using those exact words (leave out “political”).
poroti
I feel an conger electric eel advertizing blitz coming on.
Zerlo – Holden?
BW
I am not making comment on the politics of EV. I don’t have a clue what would work in the electorate. Just saying there is a sizeable Ute EV market. Also, I don’t know many tradies that don’t have solar panels. Tradies like money. If a suitable EV Ute is available and saves money in running costs then they will buy it.
There ain’t much you can do for the tradie that likes to have a 4wd work Ute for personal outback trips, toeing a big boat, making a big noise or tailgating hipsters.
boerwar:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 3:59 pm
[‘…Churchill spoke up. Again, and again, and again.’]
borewar speaks up. Again, and again, and again.
Really, cobber, invoking the ghost of Churchill is…?
‘Socrates says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 7:20 pm
Most private cars (>80%) are driven less than 100 km per day. EVs are perfectly suitable for that. ‘
That is the killer point. Forget about coal in a dying industry. Forget about zero/50. That is the sort of meaningless policy chatter for the Greens and Coalition wedgers.
Build some EV assembly plants. Jobs. Jobs. Jobs.
Contracts to put charging stations everywhere. Jobs. Jobs. Jobs.
Contracts to put charging stations in railway station parking lots. Work/ride. Jobs. Jobs. Jobs.
Free charging stations in tourism destinations to help businesses smashed by Morrison’s closing of the Australian borders. Jobs. Jobs. Jobs.
‘Simon Katich says:
Tuesday, February 2, 2021 at 7:31 pm
BW
If a suitable EV Ute is available and saves money in running costs then they will buy it’
Excellent. Just don’t mention the war.
Free EV charging stations in every rural town. Jobs, jobs, jobs.
As a technical guy, at least it’s what I tell myself, I love the mechanical and maintenance simplicity of an EV. As a retired guy with infrequent travel needs I would enjoy the independence of an EV charged at home. Politically, I’d support local manufacturing of this simpler product. I can’t be the only one.
If the Murdoch hacks ask Albo where the money’s coming from the answer is the same as where Morrison’s money is coming from: money borrowed for 10 years at less than the cost of inflation.
LR
I can’t wait for purchase prices to become equivalent. The energy and servicing charges are a fraction in EVs.
We are hanging onto our old banger for der EV tag.
I should add that tradies are irrelevant to what I would buy. I’m waiting for the sweet spot where I can trade in my petrol car.