Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Further improvement in Scott Morrison’s personal ratings, but otherwise little change in the latest Newspoll.

Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll has the Coalition leading 51-49 on two-party preferred, unchanged on three weeks ago, from primary votes of Coalition 43% (steady), Labor 36% (up one), Greens 11% (steady) and One Nation 2% (down one, and their weakest result since at least the 2019 election). Scott Morrison is up two on approval to 66% and down two on disapproval to 30%, while Anthony Albanese is up one to 44% and up two to 41%, with Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister out from 58-29 to 60-28. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1511.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

915 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. Trump has done a lot of damage to the rules-based international order. Johnston in the UK has also just breached the same order, quite blithely it seems. China is willing to test the order, as has Russia. Looking out, it’s obvious that the compromises that were developed during the 20th century are eroding, year by year. At a time when we really need international collaboration more than ever, the instruments of collaboration are being dismantled or ignored or misused.

    We have been highly reliant on the post WW2 order and were among its authors. It has served us very well. We will be foremost among the losers if the order collapses altogether. We won’t be able to complain too much as things go to pieces. Australia’s ruling party no longer has any in-depth commitment to that order and we are jointly responsible with other countries for the creeping decrepitude of the system.

  2. poroti @ #300 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 4:11 pm

    Darn , we did not manage to qualify as a paper tiger, maybe next year 🙁
    .
    Hu Xijin 胡锡进
    (@HuXijin_GT)
    So far, no opinion leader, let alone political figure, in China, has called for boycotting Australian products. Australia extremely lacks a proper understanding of itself. It can’t even be counted as a paper tiger, it’s only a paper cat. https://t.co/DS164cjf3o
    December 1, 2020

    What sort of rolled gold bs is this!?! I guess the Barley, Wine, Lobsters who died on the Chinese tarmac and Coal sitting in 42 (?) tankers off China is just my imagination?

    I guess whoever this dude is he may literally be correct that ‘no opinion leader, let alone political figure, in China, has called for boycotting Australian products.’

    They don’t have to. A nod’s as good as wink to a blind horse.

  3. @lizzie

    Sorry to hear about the sick Cavalier. Some dogs (I don’t know anything specific on Cavaliers) can be lactose intolerant (diarrhoea after milk), and I assume this would have been manifest already if it were the case with your sick one. Regardless, if there is an inflammatory bowel disease behind this, a temporary lactose intolerance might be present as a consequence of bowel wall lining cells being damaged. I’d stay away from giving milk. Agree that rice is good. Good luck with the Vet.

  4. a

    steve davis @ #303 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 4:22 pm

    For those who think it would be clever to boycott Chinese goods etc.

    https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/retail/so-challenging-why-an-aussie-boycott-of-chinese-products-is-doomed-to-fail/news-story/357750b564b32b47dae0caffa7724dac

    That would be most of us:

    Should Australia try harder to mend our broken relationship with China?
    Yes, we can’t afford to have China offside
    14%
    No, we won’t kowtow to China or anyone else
    86%
    59,460 Voters

  5. No, we won’t kowtow to China or anyone else
    86%
    59,460 Voters

    So 86% just want to trash the Aussie economy then reap what you sow. Accept it, we are minnows in a sea of sharks.

  6. Oh, they don’t like it do they, but boy they have form. They can leak in the ‘public interest’, like leaking stuff to the Daily Toiletpaper about, lemme think, for examples Luke Foley.

    And then there’s that hayseed the very dishonourable Bill Heffernan with the most egregious bull shit story about the very Hon Michael Kirby Ac CMG and rent boys in Darlinghurst.

    Glass jaw guilty hypocrites.

  7. Briefly

    To be fair to Boris Johnson he tried it after the US and China did.

    Just don’t be sure he is getting away with it. See that Polly Toynbee piece in the Guardian featured in the Dawn Patrol.

  8. The only reason they sent thousands jobs offshore to China was for cheap capitalist labour costs, whilst trashing the wests manufacturing bases so the greedy capitalist bastard companies could make bigger profits for their CEOs and shareholders. These companies are the ones responsible for building Chinas economy in the first place. Now all they are doing are whinging about them.

  9. I am listening to Rachael Maddow. One of the hallmarks of the Biden Administration according to Paul Krugman is rejecting a deficit obsession economics.

    If true that’s Hallelujah. No more Reagan Thatcher neo liberal politics.

    Edit: if Rudd Gillard Swan and Tanner educated the Democrats by example thats an excellent addition to their recession busting success.

  10. steve davis @ #309 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 4:32 pm

    No, we won’t kowtow to China or anyone else
    86%
    59,460 Voters

    So 86% just want to trash the Aussie economy then reap what you sow. Accept it, we are minnows in a sea of sharks.

    Always have been. Didn’t stop us standing up to bullies before now. Or should that be, Bully Sharks? 🙂

    I don’t know why people haven’t stated the obvious- there are 7 billion other people on the planet, so I think there will be enough to buy our product. Maybe the days of living on easy street are over?

  11. “I am pessimistic about the long term success but we managed to survive the Cold War without destroying the planet. I did not expect that.”

    ***

    Only just…

    You (and Almost Everyone You Know) Owe Your Life to This Man.

    Temperament matters.

    Especially when nuclear weapons are involved and you don’t—you can’t—know what the enemy is up to, and you’re scared. Then it helps (it helps a lot) to be calm.

    The world owes an enormous debt to a quiet, steady Russian naval officer who probably saved my life. And yours. And everyone you know. Even those of you who weren’t yet born. I want to tell his story…

    It’s October 1962, the height of the Cuban missile crisis, and there’s a Soviet submarine in the Caribbean that’s been spotted by the American Navy. President Kennedy has blockaded Cuba. No sea traffic is permitted through.

    The sub is hiding in the ocean, and the Americans are dropping depth charges left and right of the hull. Inside, the sub is rocking, shaking with each new explosion. What the Americans don’t know is that this sub has a tactical nuclear torpedo on board, available to launch, and that the Russian captain is asking himself, Shall I fire?

    This actually happened.

    The Russian in question, an exhausted, nervous submarine commander named Valentin Savitsky, decided to do it. He ordered the nuclear-tipped missile readied. His second in command approved the order. Moscow hadn’t communicated with its sub for days. Eleven U.S. Navy ships were nearby, all possible targets. The nuke on this missile had roughly the power of the bomb at Hiroshima.

    Had Savitsky launched his torpedo, had he vaporized a U.S. destroyer or aircraft carrier, the U.S. would probably have responded with nuclear-depth charges, “thus,” wrote Russian archivist Svetlana Savranskaya, understating wildly, “starting a chain of inadvertent developments, which could have led to catastrophic consequences.”

    But it didn’t happen, because that’s when Vasili Alexandrovich Arkhipov steps into the story…

    https://www.nationalgeographic.com/news/2016/03/you-and-almost-everyone-you-know-owe-your-life-to-this-man/

    A true unsung hero: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vasily_Arkhipov_(vice_admiral)

  12. phylactella @ #308 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 4:30 pm

    Paddy Manning on Stuart Robert’s performance on QT
    https://www.themonthly.com.au/today/paddy-manning/2020/01/2020/1606797994/government-dis-services

    Seconding Albanese’s damning motion, Shorten near-shouted at the government MPs: “This government broke the law, and you have blood on your hands!” Opposition business manager Tony Burke directly attacked Scott Morrison, who was attending via video from the Lodge. Burke had noticed Morrison texting – presumably to tell House leader Christian Porter to gag the Opposition – and commented, “Even when he’s not in the room he can’t cope with debate!”

    The government’s response? That the Opposition members be no longer heard.

    The Morrison government can’t handle the truth. There’s not even a few good men in it.

  13. Poroti

    China is playing a very dangerous game. For the US free passage of Australian ships equals free passage of US ships.

    That’s even more true with multilateral Joe Biden as President.

  14. poroti @ #767 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 4:26 pm

    Up goes the thermostat a couple more degrees.
    .
    China’s state-controlled media has bluntly warned Australia’s warships to stay out of the South China Sea or risk the “bitter pill” of confrontation.
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/chinas-ominous-south-china-sea-warning-to-australia/QTLICZ2QIKV5RZV5WNPTYHVFE4/

    Shirtfront diplomacy. Ride em cowboy. All the way to the ballot box. Eat a few onions on the way.

  15. Poroti

    Thanks (sort of) I had no idea Stuart Robert had a (2017) book out.

    Amazing he had time to write it while a hard working MP. If it really is about Jesus and not himself, I will be fascinated to see how he deals with the parables on tax collectors, loving enemies and helping the poor. He best leave out the one where Jesus throws the money lenders out of the temple.

    Curiously Amazon lists the author as “by Miguel S Kilantang Jr”? Perhaps a man on an MP’s salary can afford a ghost writer. After all, who knows who really wrote most religious texts?

  16. Oh, c@t by the way, last night I think you seemed to think I was some kind of appeaser when it comes to China…No, no…………..
    I have been to China several times and the natives are doing well and like it that way.
    However, the Chinese leaders are paranoid about any criticism whatsoever and they even made Qantas changed its tune (which they did when it came to somehow noting HK as not part of China) when put under pressure. Other Western companies, when they made the “mistake” of insulting China, similarly grovelled as the money was was important than the principle.
    In a city like Shanghai the populace go about their business in much the same way as any other metropolis……However, the cameras are everywhere, but then, so are they in Perth………….

  17. Firefox
    Another close call and a thank goodness for Stanislav Petrov.
    .
    .
    Early on the morning of Sept. 26, 1983, Stanislav Petrov helped prevent the outbreak of nuclear war.

    A 44-year-old lieutenant colonel in the Soviet Air Defense Forces, he was a few hours into his shift as the duty officer at Serpukhov-15, the secret command center outside Moscow where the Soviet military monitored its early-warning satellites over the United States, when alarms went off.

    Computers warned that five Minuteman intercontinental ballistic missiles had been launched from an American base…………. — electronic maps and screens were flashing as he held a phone in one hand and an intercom in the other,…………..The alarm sounded during one of the tensest periods in the Cold War. Three weeks earlier, the Soviets had shot down a Korean Air Lines commercial flight after it crossed into Soviet airspace, killing all 269 people on board, including a congressman from Georgia. President Ronald Reagan had rejected calls for freezing the arms race, declaring the Soviet Union an “evil empire.” The Soviet leader, Yuri V. Andropov, was obsessed by fears of an American attack.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/18/world/europe/stanislav-petrov-nuclear-war-dead.html

  18. Simon Katich
    With Scotty a Happy Clapper who believes The End Times are nigh and this headline in today’s paper

    Australia to test hypersonic missiles within months

    It all comes together with Scotty flying to China.

  19. guytaur @ #769 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 4:33 pm

    Poroti

    China is playing a very dangerous game. For the US free passage of Australian ships equals free passage of US ships.

    That’s even more true with multilateral Joe Biden as President.

    The threat came via an editorial from Chinese media. China wont blow up an Australian naval vessel. But they will now see (or portray) Australia sailing through those disputed waters as a deliberate escalation – maybe even a provocation.

    Morrison needs to put on his trousers.

  20. Update on Rowley the Cavalier.

    Just like when you feel better when you enter the doctor’s surgery, Rowley cheered up in the car and walked unaided into the Vet’s rooms. Turns out he has some sort of infection and a liquid-filled gurgling tum (Do ducks come into your yard? No, I replied.), so it’s a plain, restricted rice diet and tablets for a week. And a warning not to give him any rich fatty food, ever.

  21. SK

    Then China has made a mistake as it did with Hong Kong.

    Australia even under Abbott has been a voice of restraint in not running navy ships by multinational forces on a regular basis.

    Restraint not exactly a word you associate with Tony Abbott.

    Edit: A reminder for everyone. President Obama was the instigator of the Asia pivot.

  22. Shellbell

    Winter’s smart! 🙂
    No, he’s small enough to be lifted on to the table and I hold his head. He’s a very docile little dog.

  23. Busy week for Hanson. Having effectively demolished the family court, she now moves of kyboshing delving into the needs, and care and support, of Veterans. What is it with these people.

    One Nation says it won’t support a Royal Commission into veteran suicide because will take two years before it delivers its final recommendations.

    So they’re supporting the Government’s national commissioner — which *never* delivers its final recommendations.

    https://twitter.com/JacquiLambie/status/1333608509359833089

  24. P1 we could start using our own steel again. Have a Christmas lunch of WA lobsters washed down with good old Aussie wine. Make our own electric vehicles. Educate every Aussie to post-graduate level.

    The opportunities are endless.

  25. Well at least this trouble with China will assist Albanese with his buy made in Australia policy.
    _____
    But before we BUY Australian it must be MADE here!

  26. davidwh @ #786 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 5:27 pm

    P1 we could start using our own steel again. Have a Christmas lunch of WA lobsters washed down with good old Aussie wine. Make our own electric vehicles. Educate every Aussie to post-graduate level.

    The opportunities are endless.

    Make your own electric vehicles? You trying to ruin the Aussie weekend mate? Nah. We dig stuff up and run sheep in our utes. And eat meat pies. Watch football. Drink some VB. And…. repeat.

  27. Patricia Karvelas
    @PatsKarvelas
    · 39m
    This is just awful.
    Photo reveals Australian soldier drinking beer out of dead Taliban fighter’s prosthetic leg https://theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/dec/01/photo-reveals-australian-soldier-drinking-dead-taliban-prosthetic-leg

    Charles Harvey
    @CJHarvey56
    8m
    Wonder did
    @ScottMorrisonMP
    know this photo was floating around before he opened his big mouth. His mouth has really cost Australia dearly. His 500 strong taxpayer funded personal promotion team must be working overtime to try and create a voter friendly image for him.

  28. This is sick

    Amy Remeikis
    @AmyRemeikis
    Photo reveals Australian soldier drinking beer out of dead Taliban fighter’s prosthetic leg

    How can Morrison defend that, and where is the outrage

  29. BK @ #792 Tuesday, December 1st, 2020 – 5:41 pm

    poroti
    I said “MADE”, not “BUGGERED”!
    It’s Coopers for me.

    You are spoiled up here for local beer. Mismatch, Uraidla, Lobethal, Prancing Pony, Silver Whatsits, Left Barrell. Some of those have some no fuss table beer as well as the fancy over flavoured knock your socks off stuff. Why waste your time on that swill Pale Ale from down on the flats?

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