Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition

A middlingly good reaction to the budget according to Newspoll, which does not record significant changes on voting intention or leadership approval from three weeks ago.

The latest Newspoll in The Australian has the Coalition leading 52-48, out from 51-49 last time, from primary votes of Coalition 44% (up one), Labor 34% (steady), Greens 11% (down one) and One Nation 3% (steady). Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are unchanged at 65% approval and 31% disapproval, while Anthony Albanese is steady on 39% approval and up three on disapproval to 43%. Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister nonetheless narrows slightly, from 59-27 to 57-28.

The poll shows a broadly favourable response to the budget, which is rated good for the economy by 42% and bad by 20%, compared with 44% and 18% last year – although a lot more of the favourable response is merely quite good (35% compared with 29% last year) rather than extremely good (7% compared with 15%). Twenty-six per cent expect it will make them better off financially compared with 23% for worse off and 51% for uncommitted, which is less strong than last year (34% better off and 19% worse off) but fairly strong by historical standards.

Troublingly for Labor, 54% expressed more trust in “a Coalition government led by Scott Morrison” to “guide Australia’s recovery” compared with 32% for “a Labor government led by Anthony Albanese”, and only 33% felt Labor would have done a better job on the budget compared with 49% for a worse job. This compares with 37% and 45% last year and is their weakest net result since the Coalition came to power in 2013, although it’s within the error margin of 2015, 2016 and 2017.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1527.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,240 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition”

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  1. Other MB: “Andrews is fine and is only getting hammered because some people choose to BS in the inquiry when they clearly knew who made the decisions and why.”

    So who made the decisions?

  2. So I hear Morrison is now standing behind Gladys. Poor Gladys. She deserves to go, but should be allowed to resign and walk out on her own terms, not be done over by Scotty From HR.

    There is a small poll in the Fairfax coverage of the Qld election that suggests Scomo visiting Qld has done the LNP vote about as much good as Bob Brown visiting Qld in 2019 did the Greens vote.
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/poll-call-day-8-donations-in-the-spotlight-as-electorate-fractures-20201013-p564j8.html#p51c0e

  3. Eden Gillespie
    @edengillespie
    If you have screenshots of Julia Gillard’s portrayal by the media over the controversy of her ex-boyfriend Bruce Wilson please DM me. Working on a story for
    @TheFeedSBS

  4. @davidbewart
    ·
    55s
    Darryl Maguire destroyed his phone and laptop and he told his assoc to do the same during icaac investigation.

  5. Gladys simply must go.

    When you’re the Premier you cannot mix business and pleasure, especially with a colleague who has a dubious history.

    It’s completely inappropriate and untenable.

  6. “If you have screenshots of Julia Gillard’s portrayal by the media over the controversy of her ex-boyfriend Bruce Wilson please DM me. Working on a story for”

    Fair enough. She was PM when she was involved with that dodgy union organiser…….oh wait…..that was 20 years earlier before politics! And she dumped him well before the matter was referred to the Royal Commission (like 25 years earlier, not two years later).

  7. Jodi McKay
    Follow @JodiMcKayMP

    This is why we can’t trust Gladys Berejiklian (a thread) #nswpol

    She knew Daryl Maguire was getting commissions for brokering property deals as far back as 2014. She even congratulated him in private texts and asked for details. #nswpol

    She knew Maguire was $1.5 million in debt and knew that he was working on something in Badgerys Creek that he believed could clear his debts. When Maguire told her a land deal was done, she replied “I don’t need to know about that bit”. #nswpol

    In another taped call, Maguire talked about introducing his ‘little friend’ to someone and asked if the Premier knew who he meant. She again replied “I don’t need to know”. #nswpol
    She knew Maguire took property developer Louise Waterhouse to Berejiklian’s office and arranged a meeting with Jock Sowter from the Roads Minister’s office. She denied knowing about it, until ICAC played a recorded phone call in which he told her. #nswpol

    She knew Maguire was directly intervening in a private business deal between Australian-based agribusiness UWE and a Chinese company, and she knew that UWE was not in his electorate. #nswpol

    She advised him how to push the Minister for Trade to help fix the problem, and said she ‘didn’t care’ if he caused trouble for the Minister. Maguire had taken money from UWE in the past & had discussed being appointed as a board member or adviser after his Parliamentary career.
    She knew Maguire was advocating for property developers in Sydney and she received representations about a developer’s specific project direct to her private inbox. #nswpol
    She knew Maguire had various outside business interests but never checked whether he was complying with the Ministerial Code of Conduct or the code of conduct for Members of Parliament. #nswpol

    She continued to maintain a relationship with Maguire even after he was disgraced at ICAC back in 2018, and only cut off contact with him in September this year after she was called before ICAC. #nswpol

  8. TPOF @ #1058 Tuesday, October 13th, 2020 – 1:47 pm

    “If you have screenshots of Julia Gillard’s portrayal by the media over the controversy of her ex-boyfriend Bruce Wilson please DM me. Working on a story for”

    Fair enough. She was PM when she was involved with that dodgy union organiser…….oh wait…..that was 20 years earlier before politics! And she dumped him well before the matter was referred to the Royal Commission (like 25 years earlier, not two years later).

    Exactly. Check out the difference in the 2 730 report intros….
    Sales last night….
    https://iview.abc.net.au/video/NC2001H161S00
    ‘it surely has to be one of Gladys worst days of her life’…. ‘She denies any wrongdoing.’.
    https://www.abc.net.au/7.30/alleged-slush-fund-mastermind-speaks-on-awu-scandal/4395542
    ‘For years claims and counter claims have swirled around Gillard’… ‘Gillard has long denied wrongdoing BUT! the opposition have ramped up attacks’.

  9. TPOF

    There was weeks and weeks of MSM reportage and not forgetting Julia Gillards marathon press conference.
    She was expected to remember things from 25 years earlier which had nothing to do with her being PM. Yep. They were heady days.
    Sigh……

  10. lizzie @ #985 Tuesday, October 13th, 2020 – 12:25 pm

    Is it true that Victoria has “the longest lockdown in the world”? It’s not a classic lockdown when we can go shopping, go to parks, some can go to work, etc etc.

    There were a few children in the Daily Dan press gallery today having a tantrum. Didn’t reflect well on their professionalism.
    The Premier, as usual, was on top of his brief.

  11. TPOF
    “Fair enough. She was PM when she was involved with that dodgy union organiser…….oh wait…..that was 20 years earlier before politics! And she dumped him well before the matter was referred to the Royal Commission (like 25 years earlier, not two years later).”

    Something something Unions something something JuLiar something something..

  12. Socrates says:
    Tuesday, October 13, 2020 at 2:07 pm
    So I hear Morrison is now standing behind Gladys. Poor Gladys. She deserves to go, but should be allowed to resign and walk out on her own terms, not be done over by Scotty From HR.

    There is a small poll in the Fairfax coverage of the Qld election that suggests Scomo visiting Qld has done the LNP vote about as much good as Bob Brown visiting Qld in 2019 did the Greens vote.
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/poll-call-day-8-donations-in-the-spotlight-as-electorate-fractures-20201013-p564j8.html#p51c0e

    I just voted. Currently Morrison hurt LNP 78%, helped 22%

  13. C@tMomma:

    I said this yesterday. How does an intelligent, politically savvy woman get to become Premier of NSW but still think she can play the ‘Dumb Broad’ card? It’s implausible.

    Perhaps she has a “transactional” view of sexual activity, as some men do. By “transactional” I don’t mean “quid pro quo” but instead that she considers the physical activity entirely self contained. In that case it is somewhat plausible she would ignore his mutterrings, as he’s obviously a bit dim.

  14. Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    ·
    45s
    Ask her a question about the code of conduct. It requires the disclosure of intimate relationships. She had a 5 year relationship with a man she wasn’t intimate with? YEP THATS HER LEGAL DEFENCE
    Quote Tweet

    Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    · 2m
    These questions suck. Too long. Get to the point and stop rambling. twitter.com/samanthamaiden…
    Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    ·
    2m
    These questions suck. Too long. Get to the point and stop rambling.
    Quote Tweet

    Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    · 7m
    Someone needs to tell the Labor opposition to stop interrupting when your enemy is making a mistake. The opposition is hopeless. No wonder the NSW premier think she can get away with this twitter.com/samanthamaiden…
    Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    ·
    7m
    Someone needs to tell the Labor opposition to stop interrupting when your enemy is making a mistake. The opposition is hopeless. No wonder the NSW premier think she can get away with this
    Quote Tweet

    Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    · 9m
    God. Watching NSW state Parliament broadcast live is worse than the Senate

  15. citizen @ #1064 Tuesday, October 13th, 2020 – 1:30 pm

    Socrates says:
    Tuesday, October 13, 2020 at 2:07 pm
    So I hear Morrison is now standing behind Gladys. Poor Gladys. She deserves to go, but should be allowed to resign and walk out on her own terms, not be done over by Scotty From HR.

    There is a small poll in the Fairfax coverage of the Qld election that suggests Scomo visiting Qld has done the LNP vote about as much good as Bob Brown visiting Qld in 2019 did the Greens vote.
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/poll-call-day-8-donations-in-the-spotlight-as-electorate-fractures-20201013-p564j8.html#p51c0e

    I just voted. Currently Morrison hurt LNP 78%, helped 22%

    That feels about right. Morrison’s visit to Qld did two things.
    1. It side lined (diminished) the State LNP leader.
    2. It reinforced his personal brand of (thin skinned) blokeness.

    As an aside. Did anyone notice where Dutton (a Frecklington supporter) was during the boss’ visit?

  16. Something something Unions something something JuLiar something something..

    Slush Funds! Infamous associations! Boyfriend accused of misappropriating money! Inappropriate relationship between lawyer and client – Scandal! She helped him with some legal forms!
    Off with her head!

  17. Jodi McKay
    @JodiMcKayMP
    ·
    6m
    No.
    Quote Tweet

    Annabel Crabb
    @annabelcrabb
    · 1h
    I don’t cover NSW politics and I’m from SA and also travelling at the moment on another job… One thing that puzzles me is: Is there actually a circumstance under which it is OK for a serving MP to make a commission off a development deal in NSW? And if so, wow.

  18. Samantha Maiden should spend some time in the NSW upper house. That is the worst.

    Qld found a solution to that problem decades ago, as did NZ

  19. I should clarify my attendance in the Upper House was 2011 so well before Latham but Nile and the elephant shooter, Borsak, were there

  20. The cases in Vic all being linked is super significant.

    Another few days of that and we could see zeros come up.

    Fingers crossed.

  21. Rex
    “No new mystery cases today in Vic – all linked.”

    Potentially quite important. In the past, Brett Sutton has intimated that a decrease in the number of mystery cases is more important than the total number of cases in deciding when to open up.

  22. Meher baba says:
    Tuesday, October 13, 2020 at 2:00 pm

    Other MB: “Andrews is fine and is only getting hammered because some people choose to BS in the inquiry when they clearly knew who made the decisions and why.”

    So who made the decisions?
    ——————————————-
    Meher Baba
    That is yet to be revealed but its becoming clear that Eccles Ashton or Crisp made the decision but instead of just saying so they have been caught out but it is also possible that the Premier upon hearing their advice decided to go with the private security.

  23. “Muriel’s Wedding. OMG. Never a more dark, miserable, uplifting, hilarious movie made. No way would I watch it again.”

    For all the uplifting parts, for me the whole thing will always be overshadowed by the horrible and unjust treatment meted out to the mum – by pretty much everyone.

  24. Mexicanbeemer @ #1076 Tuesday, October 13th, 2020 – 3:23 pm

    Meher baba says:
    Tuesday, October 13, 2020 at 2:00 pm

    Other MB: “Andrews is fine and is only getting hammered because some people choose to BS in the inquiry when they clearly knew who made the decisions and why.”

    So who made the decisions?
    ——————————————-
    Meher Baba
    That is yet to be revealed but its becoming clear that Eccles Ashton or Crisp made the decision but instead of just saying so they have been caught out but it is also possible that the Premier upon hearing their advice decided to go with the private security.

    In my opinion, the issue is not WHO decided on the HQ security used, it’s the lack of effective safety protocol by the security personnel themselves.

    The witch hunt and the subsequent coverup of who decided to hire, is missing the point. The point is the total lack of safety protocols.

  25. For all the uplifting parts, for me the whole thing will always be overshadowed by the horrible and unjust treatment meted out to the mum – by pretty much everyone.

    Hence why I cant rewatch it. That scene will never been forgotten. Unfortunately, dysfunctional families like that are not uncommon.

  26. Rex Douglas
    There would not have been a witch hunt if there had not been a mass outbreak of Sgt Shultz when it came to the decision. It really is guaranteed to get the hounds running when such a seemingly simple and straight forward query is met with a wall of ‘dunno’.

  27. Poroti,

    Between Holgate and Fahour they have had a couple of the worst CEO’s it is possible to imagine. Imagine thinking that making your product or service worse is a successful model

  28. “Jodi McKay
    Follow @JodiMcKayMP

    This is why we can’t trust Gladys Berejiklian (a thread) #nswpol…”

    So apart from Sam Maiden, who in the media is actually reporting on all this – as opposed to simply making this about Gladys’s bad choice of relationship?

    It seems like poor Jodi is screaming at a brick wall.

  29. Amazing, could our resident Bludger Lounge medicos comment on this.
    .
    How are they sleeping at night, giving this advice?’

    “This is an unfathomable position,” said Dr Michelle Ananda-Rajah, an infectious diseases physician at a major Melbourne hospital. “How are they sleeping at night, giving this type of advice?”

    A doctor is threatening legal action over the federal government’s refusal to seriously acknowledge COVID-19 can spread through the air .Medicos say the federal government’s refusal to seriously acknowledge that COVID-19 can spread through the air could put healthcare workers’ lives at risk and is out of step with scientific evidence.
    https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/experts-accuse-federal-government-of-ignoring-science-on-airborne-covid-spread-20201012-p564ce.html

  30. poroti
    I think the ongoing witch hunt is as much about covering up the lack of appropriate advice and actions from the federal government.

    If you look past, who let the cat out of the bag, the question becomes why didn’t you catch it or minimise the damage. To answer those questions you would have to acknowledge that not providing income support for non Australians who work in the gig economy and not appropriately managing the aged care industry played a big part. Another question would be why the national guidelines were not updated more quickly to recognise the need for fitted masks in health care settings with known cases. Also why was the Victorian government message being undermined by the federal government during the first wave, when it was obvious that Victoria was not meeting the same targets as the other states and the Andrews government was trying to reopen more slowly for this reason.

    As I said the more pertinent questions all point to larger Federal failings and therefore they cannot be asked or answered.

  31. Rex, 3.15pm
    Re Albo’s performance on Q&A last night, I thought he was excellent. Unflustered, humorous and to the point answering all questions. Most comments (apart from a few trolls) were positive. 9 out of 10 I reckon

  32. poroti
    Not a medico but the use of inappropriate masks by cleaners and nurses was seen as part of the reason for the large number of health workers becoming infected in both hospitals and aged care facilities.
    Some hospitals moved to the fitted masks and their cross infection rates decreased. The federal advice is based on a lack of evidence of airborne spread, which is ludicrous because there is also a lack of evidence that it isn’t a means of infection. We are dealing with a novel virus so evidence that has been rigorously tested is not easily available.

    What I would love to know is what are the comparative job acquired infection rates in public hospitals compared to those run under a public/ private model. Has the higher mask cost influenced health decisions made at the local level.

  33. Assantdj

    What I would love to know is what are the comparative job acquired infection rates in public hospitals compared to those run under a public/ private model.,

    If it is anything like the figures I saw a couple of times re nursing home cases/deaths then it would not be a flattering comparison for the private model.

  34. Victoria says:
    Tuesday, October 13, 2020 at 4:15 pm
    Scott

    Interestingly Andrew Clennell from sky news was the only journo today whi held Gladya Berejiklian to account.
    —————————–

    That is pathetic , shows why there is a need for royal commission/ corrupt like commission into the media .

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