Newspoll and Essential Research coronavirus polling

Among many other findings relating to COVID-19, the strongest evidence yet that Victorians are unswayed by news media narratives concerning their state government.

The Australian today reports Newspoll findings on COVID-19 and leadership approval from Victoria and Queensland, which were targeted with expanded samples (608 and 603 respectively) in the poll whose main results were published yesterday:

• Daniel Andrews is up five points on approval from late July to 62% and down two on approval to 35%, whereas Scott Morrison is down six on approval to 62% and up seven on disapproval to 33%. Andrews is reckoned to be doing very well in handling COVID-19 by 31% (up four), fairly well by 31% (down three), fairly badly by 13% (down five) and very badly by 22% (up four), while Morrison is on 26% for very well (down five), 45% for fairly well (down one), 15% for fairly badly (up three) and 10% for very badly (up one).

• Annastacia Palaszczuk’s ratings are only modestly changed, with approval down one to 63% and disapproval up four to 33% as compared with the poll in late July, while Scott Morrison is down five to 67% and up four to 28% as compared with the poll in late June. Both leaders’ COVID-19 ratings are a little weaker than they were in late July: Palaszczuk records 32% for very well (down five), 36% for fairly well (down eight), 16% for fairly badly (up eight) and 13% for very badly (up seven), while Morrison has 34% for very well (down six), 43% for fairly well (up three), 13% for fairly badly (up two) and 7% for very badly (up one).

• The national sample was asked about the restrictions in Victoria and Queensland, which naturally required lengthy explanation (the framing of which seems reasonable enough). For Victoria, the results were 25% too strict, 61% about right and 10% too lenient; for Queensland, 37% too strict, 53% about right and 7% too lenient.

• The balance of concern is nonetheless moving away from “moving too quickly to relax restrictions”, down 20 points since mid-July to 56%, to “moving too slowly to relax restrictions and harming economy, jobs and mental wellbeing”, up 19 points to 39%.

Today also brings the fortnightly Essential Research poll, as related by The Guardian with the full report to follow later today:

• Respondents were in favour of both Scott Morrison’s handling of COVID-19 (a 61% approval rating, up two on a fortnight ago) and Queensland state border closures he wants lifted (66% support, including 70% among Queensland respondents). Forty-seven per cent of Victorian respondents approved of the state government’s COVID-19 management, unchanged from a fortnight ago, while the rating for the New South Wales government was up seven to 67%.

• Thirty-three per cent of respondents felt tax cuts for high income earners should be brought forward from 2022, as the government has signalled it will do, while 38% believe they should be scrapped and 29% believe the government should stick to the original timetable. Twenty-one per cent believe they would be an effective economic stimulus, compared with 41% for moderately effective and 38% for not effective.

• Asked which technology they preferred for future energy generation, 70% favoured renewables and 15% gas and coal.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1081.

UPDATE: Full Essential Research poll here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,641 comments on “Newspoll and Essential Research coronavirus polling”

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  1. This question of using private security. I have already read before that it was the PM’s recommendation.

    Unless the reporting is very poor, I find it hard to understand the questions. So glad I don’t have to answer any.

  2. Yes Mundo, but I must admit to feeling a little sympathy for the ole Crank, as its clear that Poll Bludger is all she has got. Zoomster is just a fantasist.

  3. Clem Attlee:

    1. – Seeking common cause with the mundos is unlikely to be profitable, neither in the long term nor even in the short term.

    2. – what’s with all the silly names? Crankmomma etc and from several of the mundos: catmoaner, dill and the truly kindergarten vintage “girlwood”. Name calling opens the door to “shattlee” etc. in fact in relation to “the mundos” autocorrect suggests “them undos”, which seems uniquely apposite!

  4. lizzie @ #1390 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 2:52 pm

    marquelawyers
    @marquelawyers
    ·
    21m
    It’s been 2 days since Alan Tudge’s conduct was declared criminal by the Federal Court, and he is still a minister.

    Albo rang Scrooter and said it was ok and Labor didn’t want to make any trouble for the government during this difficult time. He added , if there was anything, anything at all he or the Labor party could do to smooth things over, Scrooter just has to ask.
    He wished Alan well, and that was that.
    Damn civilised if you ask Mundo.

  5. E. G. Theodore @ #1407 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 3:29 pm

    Clem Attlee:

    1. – Seeking common cause with the mundos is unlikely to be profitable, neither in the long term nor even in the short term.

    2. – what’s with all the silly names? Crankmomma etc and from several of the mundos: catmoaner, dill and the truly kindergarten vintage “girlwood”. Name calling opens the door to “shattlee” etc. in fact in relation to “the mundos” autocorrect suggests “them undos”, which seems uniquely apposite!

    Shattlee 🙂 Not bad, Edge Hooter.

  6. Lizzie, in your own way, with your own themes, you’re just as repetitive as Mundo.
    The difference is Mundo doesn’t mind.
    Coz repetition is Mundos thang.

    Lizzie, in your own way, with your own themes, you’re just as repetitive as Mundo.
    The difference is Mundo doesn’t mind.
    Coz repetition is Mundos thang.

  7. Yep.

    Nick Feik
    @NickFeik
    ·
    2h
    There’s a big difference between announcing things and delivering on them.

    On Scott Morrison, the announcement artist:
    The announcement artist
    Scott Morrison is good at promising but not at delivering
    themonthly.com.au

  8. Funny ain’t it. My hero is the greatest democratic socialist on the planet, whilst my above critic idolizes a corrupt mining shonk and friend of the Packers. Clearly I pick my heroes with a little more care.

  9. Now there is a blast from the past! Max Merritt and the Meteors……..Back in the Dark Ages there was a pub on the Gold Coast – Lennon’s on Broadbeach – long gone, but Max and his boys played there and the group I was with, slowly getting pie-eyed, bought Max and the boys as much beer as they could drink. The longer they drank, the better they played and the better they sounded………………………

  10. Carrick Ryan
    @realCarrickRyan
    ·
    8m
    I don’t understand why LNP supporters aren’t just as hungry for a Federal ICAC.

    This is not a partisan issue.
    Corruption comes in all political colours.

    But corruption unchecked poses an existential threat to our democracy and is costing us millions.

    Demand it!

  11. Yep, we need Zoomster to keep us all up to date with the machinations of Labor politics in….. Wangaratta. Very Machiavellian up there don’t you know.

  12. The phrases “I can’t recall”, or simply “I don’t know the answer” have been completely bastardised by their use by Liberal Ministers when we all knew they were busy covering their rumps. It’s very sad that the truth is no longer believed.

  13. Everytime I link a post relating to the failures of the fibs. I can be guaranteed mundo makes the usual comment in response. Like a dog returning to its vomit.

  14. clem

    Absolutely know nothing about what’s happening in the ALP in Wangaratta and am definitely out of the loop otherwise.

    Too busy teaching nowadays.

  15. mundo @ #1436 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 3:57 pm

    Victoria @ #1434 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 3:56 pm

    Everytime I link a post relating to the failures of the fibs. I can be guaranteed mundo makes the usual comment in response. Like a dog returning to its vomit.

    Depends on the vomit.

    So endless freakin repetition about ‘failures of the fibs’ and repetition about Labor’s lamentable failures in taking political advantage of ‘the failures of the fibs’
    are different how?

  16. Catherine (Rollison) Williams
    @catrollison
    ·
    1h
    Genuine question. Why is the entire nation obsessed about Victorian private security guards when it’s quite possible the first Victorian resident unlucky enough to contract COVID-19 from a returned traveller was a hotel night manager?

  17. lizziesays:
    Friday, September 25, 2020 at 4:01 pm
    Catherine (Rollison) Williams
    @catrollison
    ·
    1h
    Genuine question. Why is the entire nation obsessed about Victorian private security guards when it’s quite possible the first Victorian resident unlucky enough to contract COVID-19 from a returned traveller was a hotel night manager?
    ______________________
    Surely just another example of the lack of seriousness on display at the Melbourne quarantine regime? The whole regime was racked by incompetence, not just by the use of security guards to run infection control. The Parks Victoria manager who was running two hotels quit his job after a few days because of fears for his own safety.

  18. nath @ #1368 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 1:54 pm

    Mexicanbeemersays:
    Friday, September 25, 2020 at 1:40 pm
    Victoria
    You are not addressing the issue.

    Why is no one in this state government being up front. It is making them look incompetent or shady when a simple outline of events would end the issue.
    ___________________________
    VICTORY HAS A HUNDRED FATHERS AND DEFEAT IS AN ORPHAN

    It’s an uncontrollable urge, isn’t it nath Michael?

  19. Lizzie
    If someone had been upfront at the start then no one besides the Liberals would care. The health department is suppose to be the lead department but for some strange reason they are not owning their decisions.

  20. nath @ #1438 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 3:57 pm

    Don’t see how Mikakos can remain for long after the HWU called her out for ‘breathtaking incompetence’.

    Blithely ignoring the factional antics behind the call, nath Michael. But then you do, blithely ignoring the other half of the story very well. One might say it’s one of your supreme talents.

    Hey, nath Michael, I know you said you would be back before the next election but I didn’t think you meant over a year before! Though that is another one of your many, many talents, opaque sentence structure. 🙂

  21. https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/09/22/newspoll-essential-research-coronavirus-polling/comment-page-29/#comment-3485697

    There were multiple quarantine hotels that had COVID escape form them, it is entirely possible that the night manager caught COVID from the guards but was more diligent in getting tested so got found first and much greater precautions should have been taken to stop the spread between guards and hotel staff so than even the hotel night manager was the one to get it, it did not spread from there.

  22. C@t. I really don’t wish to engage with you after your lies about me targeting Lizzie. Who although calls me ‘nasty nath’ I really have some fondness for.

  23. mundo @ #1439 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 4:00 pm

    mundo @ #1436 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 3:57 pm

    Victoria @ #1434 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 3:56 pm

    Everytime I link a post relating to the failures of the fibs. I can be guaranteed mundo makes the usual comment in response. Like a dog returning to its vomit.

    Depends on the vomit.

    So endless freakin repetition about ‘failures of the fibs’ and repetition about Labor’s lamentable failures in taking political advantage of ‘the failures of the fibs’
    are different how?

    it’s the same thing.

  24. The Commonwealth Government should also be shouldering blame for not paying and running hotel quarantine from a well prepared plan.

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