Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Primary vote movement from Newspoll in favour of the Coalition and against Labor, as the government sneaks back into the lead on the two-party headline.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest Newspoll finds the Coalition sneaking back into a two-party lead of 51-49, after a 50-50 result three weeks ago. The primary votes are Coalition 43% (up two), Labor 34% (down two), Greens 12% (up one) and One Nation 3% (steady). Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are little changed, up one on approval to 65% and down one on disapproval to 31%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down four to 39% and down one to 40%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is out from 58-29 to 59-27.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a larger-than-usual sample of 2068, which suggests we will be seeing state breakdowns in the coming days showing leadership and COVID-19 performance ratings for the state governments and Premiers.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

520 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

Comments Page 5 of 11
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  1. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #199 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 11:34 am

    lizzie @ #193 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 9:27 am

    I find it difficult to breathe through a mask, so drop it from my face while driving. Would I be fined? Up till now I didn’t think so.

    In the last 24 hours, Victorian police:

    Issued a total of 177 fines to individuals for breaching the Chief Health Officer directions, including:
    13 for failing to wear a face covering when leaving home for one of the four approved reasons
    6 at vehicle checkpoints

    I would think that if you are the sole occupant of the vehicle then there would be no reason to wear one, otherwise I would say you would need to do so.

    Perhaps they were just asked to demonstrate they actually had one?

  2. lizzie says:
    Monday, September 21, 2020 at 9:06 am

    Victoria

    The more detail that is revealed about the hotel quarantine ‘debacle’, the more I understand that Dan Andrews is being very brave in saying he will take responsibility, because it was not an error of his that started everything off. Witness the Health bureaucrat refusing his (I think rational) suggestion that the travellers should be housed near the airport, not in the CBD.
    ——————————-
    Lizzie
    I heard that and its not believable because if premier through premier and cabinet orders something to be done then no public servant will veto the premier. Independent agencies operate differently but even there they will follow the government’s policy direction.

  3. Bh @ #197 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 11:33 am

    Shellbell and Spray
    What is so remarkable about detailing the taxi driver’s log book or digital stuff they probably use nowadays.
    Seems a simple task or am I missing something?

    Nothing remarkable about the technology, I was referring to the public dissemination of the detailed information. I think Shellbell was as well.

  4. A NYT doco maker reflects on his time in Australia and the US situation.
    ………………………………………………………………
    TIMES INSIDER

    What I Saw When Australia Burned

    ……………That was in January. As a producer/director for the documentary TV series “The New York Times Presents,” I spent about two weeks on the continent with my crew, recording the experiences of survivors.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/18/insider/new-york-times-presents-wildfires.html?action=click&module=Well&pgtype=Homepage&section=Reader%20Center

  5. Monday morning I had a glossy colour brochure entitled “Truth about Covid 19” stuffed in my mail box…..it alleges that the Chinese government deliberately created the covid19 virus in Wuhan and then allowed it to be spread around the world…..one of the promoters of the brochure is listed as (Steve) Bannon WaRoom (ex-Trump ultra conservative etc). The other sponsors are unknown to me….one entitled Himalaya Australia and also three groups only identified by Chinese letters and obscure logos. Just wondering how widespread this scare mongering, xenophobic material is being circulated in Australia and is it being done courtesy of Australia Post???

  6. Robert @ #213 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 10:21 am

    Monday morning I had a glossy colour brochure entitled “Truth about Covid 19” stuffed in my mail box…..it alleges that the Chinese government deliberately created the covid19 virus in Wuhan and then allowed it to be spread around the world…..one of the promoters of the brochure is listed as (Steve) Bannon WaRoom (ex-Trump ultra conservative etc). The other sponsors are unknown to me….one entitled Himalaya Australia and also three groups only identified by Chinese letters and obscure logos. Just wondering how widespread this scare mongering, xenophobic material is being circulated in Australia and is it being done courtesy of Australia Post???

    Yep, it would be a costly exercise, so they must be pretty cashed up.

    Feeling the social media ban.

    Did it come with your regular mail or was it separate?

  7. Robert, I wonder if it’s related to the Epoch Times, which seems to be increasingly visible these days? It’s a Falun Gong organ. Pro-Trump, far Right, blames every world misery on the CCP.

    Could do without it IMHO.

  8. One for Rakali
    .
    On this day
    In 1745 George II’s troops were defeated by Bonnie Prince Charlie’s Highlanders at the Battle of Prestonpans, at East Lothian, Scotland;

  9. Gee Ruston sounds super confident in this media conference. Not.

    Is this a reannouncement or are these income support measures
    something that was cobbled together last night?

  10. frednk @ #144 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 10:19 am

    Player One says:
    Monday, September 21, 2020 at 9:09 am

    So the Labor gibbons seem broadly supportive of the Liberal’s new “policy”. They probably think the rest of Labor will grumble for a while about the lack of a target, but then quietly fall into line.

    This is not a good outcome. Unless you are a fossil fuel company, of course.

    P1, the GAS supporter, chants labor must oppose, labor must oppose.

    What an obnoxious individual Player One is. ‘Labor gibbons’, who, it seems, Player One is too gutless to identify specifically to Barney, except for Joel Fitzgibbon (and lol to the play on his surname. Not). Mainly because Player One traffics in baseless snide assertions and assumptions.

    Mr Bowe was right. As usual. And it’s pretty sad that Player One keeps coming back nevertheless. Probably because they have no friends in the real world either.

  11. Spray @ #214 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 12:29 pm

    Robert, I wonder if it’s related to the Epoch Times, which seems to be increasingly visible these days? It’s a Falun Gong organ. Pro-Trump, far Right, blames every world misery on the CCP.

    Could do without it IMHO.

    Actually there’s an idea. Is the fugitive Chinese billionaire who Steve Bannon was living with on his super yacht and leaching off, associated with or funding Falun Gong?

    Also, isn’t it the case that most people throw mailbox bumpf directly in the recycling bin? I know I do. If I haven’t requested it I’m not interested in it. If I want to access a service I don’t look in the mailbox, I go online, read reviews and choose the most highly recommended. Not some guy who drops a leaflet in the letterbox. And I’m certainly not interested in eating more pizza, even if it is cheaper this week from Dominos. 🙂

  12. Spray says:
    Monday, September 21, 2020 at 12:29 pm
    Robert, I wonder if it’s related to the Epoch Times, which seems to be increasingly visible these days? It’s a Falun Gong organ. Pro-Trump, far Right, blames every world misery on the CCP.

    I’ve seen the Epoch Times over a number of years at little display stands in places like shopping centres. Originally it seemed a reasonable source of articles, although with an anti CCP bias because it is produced by Falun Gong. However more recently it has taken on a strong pro-Trump flavour and the Australian edition is very pro-LNP. According to Wikipedia and an ABC (US) article, Falun Gong is heavily involved now in the conspiracy theory movement and this is where their China/coronavirus claims fit.

    It would be interesting to know whether people like Gladys Liu have any connection with this mob.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Epoch_Times

    https://www.abc10.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/verify-unsolicited-paper-spreads-outlandish-covid-claims/103-9290495e-a501-44fa-b7df-0bb0e385328b

  13. So the decision finally comes down to what’s in the best interests of the job service provider.

    Given there is not a lot of work around, isn’t applying for eight jobs a bit of a burden for both job seekers and employers?

    Anne Ruston:

    What we sought to do, it’s a maximum of eight jobs. In economies and market places where there’s good employment, we’ll be seeking people to undertake the search for eight jobs. We understand there’s other parts of our economy that don’t have high levels of employment available. The job service providers will be allowed to make decisions in relation to the number of job searches someone has to do that reflect the market conditions in their area.

    The Guardian blog

  14. “Victoria’s most senior public servant says he is unaware how it was decided to use private security in Melbourne’s troubled hotel quarantine program.
    Department of Premier and Cabinet secretary Chris Eccles appeared before the hotel inquiry today”
    ________________
    Piss poor effort from our top public servant. He should know this. If he doesn’t then he is not doing the job he is paid to do.
    We need a massive clean out once this is over.

  15. Shellbell @ #181 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 11:19 am

    Spray

    From the Guardian – the detail of the contact tracing on the taxi driver is remarkable

    “Trip 8/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool TAFE college, Bigge Street Liverpool 13:03 – Drop off Hoxton Park Road Cartwright 13:14
    Trip 8/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool TAFE college, Bigge Street Liverpool 14:01 – Drop off Glenwari St Sadlier 14:11
    Trip 9/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool TAFE college, Bigge Street Liverpool 08:08 – Drop off Moorebank Shopping centre, Stockton Ave Moorebank 8:15
    Trip 10/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool 14:38 – Drop off Graham Ave Casula 14:44
    Trip 10/9/2020: Pickup Haddenham St Chipping Norton 19:15 – Drop off George St Burwood 19:48
    Trip 14/9/20: Pickup Riverside Road Chipping Norton 15:50 – Drop off The Mill Hotel, Beaconsfield St Milperra 16:04
    Trip 15/9/2020: Pickup Riverside Road Chipping Norton 08:31 – Drop off Birnie Ave Lidcombe 9:11
    Trip 15/9/2020: Pickup Milperra 10:14 – Drop off Riverside Rd Chipping Norton 10:25
    Trip 15/9/2020: Pickup Birnie Ave Lidcombe 15:22 – Drop off Riverside Rd Chipping Norton 16:07”

    Its all from his taxi booking log. All automatic. The control system ‘knows’ where every cab is while they are available for booking, so that it can allocate bookings as they are made, and keeps a complete record of all GPS coordinates at every pickup and delivery.

  16. Taylormade @ #221 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 11:31 am

    “Victoria’s most senior public servant says he is unaware how it was decided to use private security in Melbourne’s troubled hotel quarantine program.
    Department of Premier and Cabinet secretary Chris Eccles appeared before the hotel inquiry today”
    ________________
    Piss poor effort from our top public servant. He should know this. If he doesn’t then he is not doing the job he is paid to do.
    We need a massive clean out once this is over.

    If he wasn’t part of the decision making process, why should he?

  17. Taylormade
    Boy you guys are really putting a lot of effort into looking stupid.. It turns out it wasn’t Melbourne private security guard, guests and nooky. But in Sydney it was an ADF person that had to be referred to police for such activities.

  18. Barney
    He is the head of Premier and Cabinet so he should know because he is the link between cabinet and the public servants.

  19. Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #220 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 1:31 pm

    So the decision finally comes down to what’s in the best interests of the job service provider.

    Given there is not a lot of work around, isn’t applying for eight jobs a bit of a burden for both job seekers and employers?

    Anne Ruston:

    What we sought to do, it’s a maximum of eight jobs. In economies and market places where there’s good employment, we’ll be seeking people to undertake the search for eight jobs. We understand there’s other parts of our economy that don’t have high levels of employment available. The job service providers will be allowed to make decisions in relation to the number of job searches someone has to do that reflect the market conditions in their area.

    The Guardian blog

    I hate the way this is operating in some areas.
    I have a friend in NW Tassie. 63 year old widow. Does not drive. Lives at present on her own and there is no public transport to the nearest larger town.
    She had been volunteering but moved late last year and basically Covid closed her volunteer options in the new location. She was almost ready to start with one and waiting on a Govt permit for another.
    She is currently being made to apply for 4 jobs, which is difficult given her location and lack of driver’s licence. She is very reluctant to apply for anything that that she could not reasonably undertake, but is finding more and more jobs require a drivers licence for no obvious reason. All this for the pittance the Govt gives out.

  20. frednk
    LOL Premier and Cabinet have been known to be like that.

    Barney
    If the Premier has indicated he wants them quarantined nearer the airport and the decision has been made to do it in the CBD then yes he should want to know more.

  21. Mexicanbeemer @ #232 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 11:54 am

    frednk
    LOL Premier and Cabinet have been known to be like that.

    Barney
    If the Premier has indicated he wants them quarantined nearer the airport and the decision has been made to do it in the CBD then yes he should want to know more.

    The question related to security guards, not the location of the quarantine hotels.

  22. In a statement, Mr Eccles said he did not have a copy of Mr Ashton’s text on his phone, adding: “I do not now recall what, if anything, I did in response to that text message”.
    ________________
    Look out we have another ‘I do not recall’.
    It is not that bloody hard, i can easily recall work conversations from 6 months ago.

  23. Barney
    Yes and the whole project needed to be headed by someone and that someone should be known to Premier and Cabinet so that the department can incorporate that someone’s advice and actions into cabinet briefings so cabinet can make informed decisions which then get transmitted back to the someone.

  24. C@tmomma @ #217 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 1:20 pm

    What an obnoxious individual Player One is. ‘Labor gibbons’, who, it seems, Player One is too gutless to identify specifically to Barney, except for Joel Fitzgibbon (and lol to the play on his surname. Not). Mainly because Player One traffics in baseless snide assertions and assumptions.

    Mr Bowe was right. As usual. And it’s pretty sad that Player One keeps coming back nevertheless. Probably because they have no friends in the real world either.

    I don’t need to identify the gibbons. You identify yourselves almost every time you post on the topic of global warming. Or the Greens. Or (more often than not) both.

    Another identifying characteristic seems to be just how nasty many of you are.

    Especially you, C@t.

  25. Mexicanbeemer @ #235 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 12:03 pm

    Barney
    Yes and the whole project needed to be headed by someone and that someone should be known to Premier and Cabinet so that the department can incorporate that someone’s advice and actions into cabinet briefings so cabinet can make informed decisions which then get transmitted back to the someone.

    When you only have a weekend to set it up. 😆 😆

  26. Yabba @ #222 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 1:36 pm

    Shellbell @ #181 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 11:19 am

    Spray

    From the Guardian – the detail of the contact tracing on the taxi driver is remarkable

    “Trip 8/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool TAFE college, Bigge Street Liverpool 13:03 – Drop off Hoxton Park Road Cartwright 13:14
    Trip 8/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool TAFE college, Bigge Street Liverpool 14:01 – Drop off Glenwari St Sadlier 14:11
    Trip 9/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool TAFE college, Bigge Street Liverpool 08:08 – Drop off Moorebank Shopping centre, Stockton Ave Moorebank 8:15
    Trip 10/9/2020: Pickup Liverpool 14:38 – Drop off Graham Ave Casula 14:44
    Trip 10/9/2020: Pickup Haddenham St Chipping Norton 19:15 – Drop off George St Burwood 19:48
    Trip 14/9/20: Pickup Riverside Road Chipping Norton 15:50 – Drop off The Mill Hotel, Beaconsfield St Milperra 16:04
    Trip 15/9/2020: Pickup Riverside Road Chipping Norton 08:31 – Drop off Birnie Ave Lidcombe 9:11
    Trip 15/9/2020: Pickup Milperra 10:14 – Drop off Riverside Rd Chipping Norton 10:25
    Trip 15/9/2020: Pickup Birnie Ave Lidcombe 15:22 – Drop off Riverside Rd Chipping Norton 16:07”

    Its all from his taxi booking log. All automatic. The control system ‘knows’ where every cab is while they are available for booking, so that it can allocate bookings as they are made, and keeps a complete record of all GPS coordinates at every pickup and delivery.

    Yabba,

    As posted earlier, I think the original comment was more about the fact that so much detail was being shared publicly, not that there was any great miracle in being able to obtain it.

    Although what was it that Arthur C Clarke said? Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic!

  27. lizzie

    It’s poor wording – 13 people fined for leaving home without a mask, and 6 weren’t wearing them at vehicle checkpoints.

    In other words, you put your mask on when you come to the checkpoint.

    (At the Vic/NSW border, this instruction appears on a flashing sign…)

  28. laughtong

    My son was penalised because he applied for a job an hour away.

    When he was asked why, he was told that he’d indicated on his form that he didn’t own a car (despite saying on the same form he had access to one).

    The reasoning was that he shouldn’t apply for jobs he couldn’t get to.

    His response was that, as he lived 15 k from the nearest town, that he couldn’t apply for any jobs at all…

  29. zoomster

    Thanks. I have assumed that if a policeman came to the car, I’d put my mask on before opening the window. Perhaps those fined didn’t even have masks to hand.

  30. I’ve been thinking that for a long while about the USA in particular

    Molly Jong-Fast
    @MollyJongFast
    ·
    16h
    I wrote about the death of RBG, the fires, the police brutality, the coming environmental apocalypse and the “president” in ⁦
    @thedailybeast

    Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Death Clinches It: We’re Living in a Dystopia
    We keeping saying it can’t get worse. Now I just wonder, “What’s next?”
    thedailybeast.com

  31. I suspect Freckles is not in step with public opinion, who want things opened up – safely.

    “Queensland’s chief health officer wants to run an AFL grand final test run – but the LNP opposition is not happy:

    200 AFL fans have volunteered to act as guinea pigs and sit in close quarters during the Collingwood-Port Adelaide game at the Gabba on Monday night.

    “Tonight, stadiums have agreed to trial increasing the density for a small number of people a the Gabba stadium,” chief health officer Jeannette Young said.

    Currently, stadiums are at 50 per cent but the plan is to increase capacity to 75 per cent, or 30,000 people, for the grand final on October 24.

    “To suddenly go and increase from 50 per cent to 75 per cent without trialling all those processes doesn’t make sense,” Dr Young said.

    She was not concerned about the risk of infection as outdoor areas were “much, much safer” than indoor venues.

    But Opposition Leader Deb Frecklington accused the state government of putting the interests of AFL players over the health of ordinary Queenslanders.

    “It is staggering double standards when people can’t have more than 10 people in their home but (Premier) Annastacia Palaszczuk wants to trial jamming people into a footy stadium,” she said.

    (via AAP)

  32. GG

    I wasnt sure if he had departed stage left.

    Buce was spruiking the Swedish model at every opportunity.
    Most of us knew it was crap.

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