Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Primary vote movement from Newspoll in favour of the Coalition and against Labor, as the government sneaks back into the lead on the two-party headline.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest Newspoll finds the Coalition sneaking back into a two-party lead of 51-49, after a 50-50 result three weeks ago. The primary votes are Coalition 43% (up two), Labor 34% (down two), Greens 12% (up one) and One Nation 3% (steady). Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are little changed, up one on approval to 65% and down one on disapproval to 31%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down four to 39% and down one to 40%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is out from 58-29 to 59-27.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a larger-than-usual sample of 2068, which suggests we will be seeing state breakdowns in the coming days showing leadership and COVID-19 performance ratings for the state governments and Premiers.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

520 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

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  1. Victoria @ #450 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 9:23 pm

    And in the Oz

    See new Tweets
    Conversation
    Catherine King MP
    @CatherineKingMP
    The Deputy PM needs to explain this one.

    Why did the Government pay $30m for a piece of land they themselves valued at $3m?

    Per hectare, they paid 22 times as much as the NSW Gov paid for neighbouring land.

    And the seller was a Liberal donor…
    Government paid 10 times more than airport land value
    The federal government spent nearly 30m purchasing a small parcel of land for the Western Sydney Airport despite it being valued at a 10th of the price, in an acquisition process that was unethical…
    theaustralian.com.au
    5:49 PM · Sep 21, 2020·Twitter fo

    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/government-paid-10-times-more-than-airport-land-value/news-story/a0b8b9f68519c0e3787013bdf8cfc825?__twitter_impression=true

    How bad does it have to be for The Australian to arc up about it!?!

  2. ‘Victoria’s experience shows once again that targeted lockdowns are effective in containing the coronavirus: driving down infections, relieving pressure on hospitals and medical staff, and creating space for contact tracing and mass testing….’

    ‘….For some lockdown skeptics, China’s experience was easy to dismiss: the country is an authoritarian, one-party state, and its methods could not necessarily be applied in democracies.

    But the situation in Victoria proves that the lockdown strategy does work elsewhere, and that, given the proper information and reassurances, people are willing to make the sacrifices required to contain the virus…..’

    https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/09/21/australia/australia-coronavirus-lockdown-intl-hnk/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

  3. zoomster @ #455 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 9:29 pm

    ‘Victoria’s experience shows once again that targeted lockdowns are effective in containing the coronavirus: driving down infections, relieving pressure on hospitals and medical staff, and creating space for contact tracing and mass testing….’

    ‘….For some lockdown skeptics, China’s experience was easy to dismiss: the country is an authoritarian, one-party state, and its methods could not necessarily be applied in democracies.

    But the situation in Victoria proves that the lockdown strategy does work elsewhere, and that, given the proper information and reassurances, people are willing to make the sacrifices required to contain the virus…..’

    https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/09/21/australia/australia-coronavirus-lockdown-intl-hnk/index.html?__twitter_impression=true

    So far.

    But, another close down will be fatal for the Government.

  4. C@t

    Indeed.

    Meanwhile this is a good read

    Greg Jericho
    @GrogsGamut
    ·
    2h
    Everyone must stop what they are doing and wrap their eyeballs around this from
    @JohnBirmingham
    on Qanon.
    QAnon: the origins of an alternate reality
    Everyone sort of remembers the pizza guy, but no one remembers the mobster. The pizza guy was Edgar Welch, a stupidly chivalric mouth breather possessed of an AR-15 and the righteous certainty that…
    aliensideboob.substack.com

    https://aliensideboob.substack.com/p/qanon-the-origins-of-an-alternate

  5. So are there actually any elderly Justices left on the SCOTUS?

    Breyer is in his 80s (and in the liberal side of the divide), so it is essential that Biden wins, so he can think about retiring (or in case he suddenly dies) and it won’t be an 8-1 court.

    On the conservative side, Thomas is in his 70s. After that, I believe Alito is either in his early 70s or late 60s and Roberts is in his mid 60s.

  6. So more Liberal corruption.This time over airport land. Just when you think the Liberal scum couldnt go any lower and they always do. The most corrupt govt in history and the punters cant see the shit for what they are.

  7. Indeed…..

    See new Tweets
    Conversation
    Peter van Onselen
    @vanOnselenP
    Who on earth was the Treasurer at the time who let that happen?! At least it wasn’t a Liberal donor they bought it off at such an inflated price…that would have made it so much more dodgy.
    Quote Tweet

  8. It would be wiser for those opposed to nath to keep their powder dry, now that he has gone. The incessant talk about him no doubt tickles his whiskers, but also tends to generate sympathy that those responsible presumably feel he does not deserve.

  9. Thanks Port Power.
    Just won 2 footy tipping comps.
    $300 worth of fuel at the local servo and $80 meal voucher at the local bistro.

  10. Suck shit Benson and Newscorp scum:
    Simon Benson
    NATIONAL AFFAIRS EDITOR
    15 minutes ago September 21, 2020

    A majority of Victorians have backed Daniel Andrews’ management of the second COVID-19 outbreak, with two-thirds of voters across the country also rating the state’s lockdown as “about right”.

    The Australian’s Newspoll shows 62 per cent of voters in the state agree that the Victorian Premier has handled the crisis well, despite hotel quarantine failures and mounting criticism from the business community and medical experts over the prolonged Melbourne lockdown.

    Separately, 61 per cent of voters around Australia, including 57 per cent of Coalition voters, say the ­restrictions, which have locked Victorians at home and prevented them from travelling interstate, were appropriate.

  11. Who is this fool on QandA talking about “constitutional” provisions regarding the Supreme Court?

    My understanding is that the US Constitution does not specify the number of justices on the Court.

  12. My understanding is that the US Constitution does not specify the number of justices on the Court.

    It doesn’t. It’s an Act of Congress that determines that.

  13. So this antsy, patronizing fool, John Ruddick, claiming the Constitution specifies “9” is talking out of his arse? He clearly regards himself as the resident expert on all matters America.

  14. Oh, OK… he’s written a book entitled “Make The Liberal Party Great Again” and writes for The Spectator here in Oz.

    And he can’t stop twitching and interrupting.

    What is this black woman doing defending Trump?

    The show seems to be infected with Trumpistas, both as panel members and asking the questions.

  15. Rational Leftist @ #460 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 9:40 pm

    So are there actually any elderly Justices left on the SCOTUS?

    Breyer is in his 80s (and in the liberal side of the divide), so it is essential that Biden wins, so he can think about retiring (or in case he suddenly dies) and it won’t be an 8-1 court.

    On the conservative side, Thomas is in his 70s. After that, I believe Alito is either in his early 70s or late 60s and Roberts is in his mid 60s.

    Thank you, RL. Breyer’s health, is it okay?

  16. Q. ” Why did Trump lie about COVID?”

    RUDDICK: “He’s an upbeat kind of guy. He’s doing a wonderful job with the virus.”

    [Audience cracks up while Ruddick interrupts, talks over, twitches apparently uncontrollably]

  17. Bushfire Bill @ #473 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 10:01 pm

    Oh, OK… he’s written a book entitled “Make The Liberal Party Great Again” and writes for The Spectator here in Oz.

    And he can’t stop twitching and interrupting.

    What is this black woman doing defending Trump?

    The show seems to be infected with Trumpistas, both as panel members and asking the questions.

    The Trump Kool Aid is the only product that he has ever marketed that has been a raging success.

  18. Thank you, RL. Breyer’s health, is it okay?

    As far as I know he hasn’t had any major health issues but I wouldn’t chance it.

  19. Victoria @ #480 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 10:09 pm

    I’m not watching qanda, but judging from comments here, these are the same people who infect sky news.
    They are horrible.

    I was hoping Hamish Macdonald would bring a breath of fresh air and some intellectual rigidity to the show after Tony Jones. Doesn’t seem like he can, or wants to, control the crazies.

  20. Whenever I don’t watch Q&A it is reported to be fantastic.

    When I do watch it, it’s shit.

    Tonight’s is fucking awful. Who are these Trump crazies? They’re rude, dishonest, dissembling, interrupting crackpots.

  21. Bushfire Bill @ #470 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 9:56 pm

    So this antsy, patronizing fool, John Ruddick, claiming the Constitution specifies “9” is talking out of his arse? He clearly regards himself as the resident expert on all matters America.

    That’s correct. The number of Justices on the SCOTUS can be changed by law by Congress and has been a few times before.

  22. I was hoping Hamish Macdonald would bring a breath of fresh air and some intellectual rigidity to the show after Tony Jones.

    Speaking of Tony Jones I thought he was in China with his wife, who was going to be the ABC’s correspondent there?

  23. BB
    They not going according to the Telecrap:

    They’re staying in ABC Australia, draining the ABC budget while doing ABC bugger all: The posting of the ABC’s power couple, Sarah Ferguson and former Q&A host Tony Jones, to China is over … The ABC has resigned itself to Ferguson and Jones not heading to the alleged People’s Republic for the foreseeable future

  24. sorry, i edited/refined that comment, my bad. they’re threatening to gum up the process now, render it “incompletable” in the time frame allowed and/or before the election.
    its a warning to mitch & a gin up to their supporters.
    *Btw, I appreciated your answer to my question earlier today.*
    what question pray tell? -a.v.

  25. Bushfire Bill @ #489 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 10:15 pm

    I was hoping Hamish Macdonald would bring a breath of fresh air and some intellectual rigidity to the show after Tony Jones.

    Speaking of Tony Jones I thought he was in China with his wife, who was going to be the ABC’s correspondent there?

    Good question given we were informed that all ABC journos were out of China.

  26. The only problem with impeaching a Justice is it requires 2/3 majority in the Senate to convict and remove them. Short of that, it’s a nice gesture but doesn’t change anything. Remember: Trump got impeached last year.

  27. SD, Jones and spouse weren’t booted, but the story is there are no Aussie journos left. So what gives?

    Rhetorical question on my part. I don’t expect you to provide the answer.

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