Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition

Primary vote movement from Newspoll in favour of the Coalition and against Labor, as the government sneaks back into the lead on the two-party headline.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest Newspoll finds the Coalition sneaking back into a two-party lead of 51-49, after a 50-50 result three weeks ago. The primary votes are Coalition 43% (up two), Labor 34% (down two), Greens 12% (up one) and One Nation 3% (steady). Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are little changed, up one on approval to 65% and down one on disapproval to 31%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively down four to 39% and down one to 40%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is out from 58-29 to 59-27.

The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a larger-than-usual sample of 2068, which suggests we will be seeing state breakdowns in the coming days showing leadership and COVID-19 performance ratings for the state governments and Premiers.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

520 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition”

Comments Page 1 of 11
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  1. zoomstersays:
    Sunday, September 20, 2020 at 9:12 pm
    nath

    Sheep are far more influential than just that.

    I didn’t realise until recently that the black death was responsible for the rise of sheep and thus the industrial revolution.
    _________________
    Fascinating. I wonder if a new breed was also partly responsible. I noted recently that the Texel breed is now all the rage.

    600k AUD will get you this beauty:

    https://www.sheepcentral.com/british-texel-ram-lamb-sets-a-new-world-record-sheep-price/

  2. From previous thread –

    The other day, researching units for my history class, I mused that there needs to be a definitive book on the role of sheep in history.

    Did a quick on line search, and there is one…published in August 2020.

    I’ve ordered it, of course.

    zoomster, I’m not sure where you’re coming from, but you might find this interesting:

    Flanders in Australia: a personal history of wool and war. By Jacqueline Dwyer

    From the late 19th century to the 1950s, many wool buyers from the Flanders region of France and Belgium emigrated to Australia with their families to establish careers as buyers for the woollen mills of Europe. Although originally they had no intention of remaining here permanently, many stayed, establishing a prosperous and vibrant French community.

    A peaceful period of business building ended suddenly in 1914 when the Flanders men of Australia returned to the defence of their homeland. Their villages, towns and fields became the site of some of the worst killing of World War One. They fought and died in battles all along the Western Front.

    Jacqueline Dwyer’s grandfather came to Australia in 1889 and her father, Jacques, saw action with both French and Australian units.

    Through the life of this family a story of immigration, commerce and war is brought vividly to life.

    https://www.historyvictoria.org.au/product/flanders-in-australia-a-personal-history-of-wool-and-war-by-jacqueline-dwyer/
    (disclaimer: I knew the author, recently deceased)

  3. ;Newspoll Preferred PM: Morrison 59 (+1) Albanese 27 (-2) #auspol
    GhostWhoVotes
    @GhostWhoVotes
    ·
    3m
    #Newspoll Albanese: Approve 39 (-4) Disapprove 40 (-1) #auspol
    GhostWhoVotes
    @GhostWhoVotes
    ·
    4m
    #Newspoll Morrison: Approve 65 (+1) Disapprove 31 (-1) #auspol

  4. Most other governments who have handled COVID-19 competently (or at least, be seen to) have had massive poll leads.

    The South Korean incumbents just won in a landslide and New Zealand is headed for the same.

    It’s curious that despite Scott Morrison’s high personal approval ratings, it hasn’t translated to a significant polling lead for the government.

  5. 14 cases overnight but six older cases reclassified to get to 8.

    Some of the 14 might be reclassified themselves.

    Victoria has led Oz in reclassifications, along with other things.

  6. The only thing surprising about it that it’s not 55-45.

    Morrison is in trouble. I know that sounds counterintuitive, but it’s true.

  7. This is a BAD newspoll for labor. They should be doing better. Victoria is trending to safety, and the Liberal government is talking about tax payer built and owned powerplants. Labor could really be putting a few dents in the “better economic managers theme” right now. Especially with the budget just ~3 weeks away.

  8. Zoom

    Sheep are far more influential than just that.

    I didn’t realise until recently that the black death was responsible for the rise of sheep and thus the industrial revolution.

    Very interesting. A book I found lying around in a remote workplace in the Atacama desert: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/173258.In_the_Wake_of_the_Plague

    suggested that the people of the Middle Ages when confronted by the plague, thought it was a cattle “murrain” that was spreading the devastating illness.

    Is this idea related to the rise of sheep farming?

    Also, my remote workplace in the Atacama, which I still think myself amazingly lucky to this day to have ever worked in such a specular place, can be found in the Google maps ref: https://www.google.com.au/maps/place/Hotel+Casa+Don+Esteban/@-22.9252093,-68.2048607,17z/data=!4m16!1m7!3m6!1s0x96a84c7aa92abf3f:0x7af4614cacf997d1!2sSan+Pedro+de+Atacama,+Antofagasta,+Chile!3b1!8m2!3d-22.9087073!4d-68.1997156!3m7!1s0x96a974e5547fde7d:0x83935e9624703390!5m2!4m1!1i2!8m2!3d-22.9246524!4d-68.2025584

  9. south says:
    Sunday, September 20, 2020 at 10:49 pm

    That’s like it saying it’s bad for Biden – even though toxicity of the media and general low IQ of the population.

  10. south @ #18 Sunday, September 20th, 2020 – 8:49 pm

    This is a BAD newspoll for labor. They should be doing better. Victoria is trending to safety, and the Liberal government is talking about tax payer built and owned powerplants. Labor could really be putting a few dents in the “better economic managers theme” right now. Especially with the budget just ~3 weeks away.

    How and what, especially considering the budget will be the first real indication of how they propose to manage the economy.

  11. Back in 2013 Tim Harford wrote about Robert Allen’s work on why the industrial revolution started in the UK rather than China. Allen put it down to economic incentives – labour was expensive in the UK, but energy was cheap while the opposite applied in India and China.
    https://timharford.com/2013/01/what-really-powers-innovation-high-wages/

    He doesn’t refer to the plague in any of this. But I have heard how the black death revolutionised society in England (both in the TV series A History of Britain) and more recently an episode of Planet Money. It’s also interesting that much of Eastern Europe managed to maintain their feudal system and so didn’t see the rates of growth of Western Europe.

  12. Barney,
    Sorry i didn’t respond earlier, deep in lambda functions!

    I have been saying for a while that it’s going to be an austerity budget. Whilst Morrison is throwing cash around it doesn’t scan with FBerg saying on insiders that his inspiration is Thatcher. It all doesn’t fill me with confidence that the LNP has seen the way on progressive economics.

    I expect the theme of the budget will be:
    “lets help our mates out, oh and all of that welfare this year. That was really just a loan were taking the money back from the forward spending on wellfare. IE there ins’t welfare anymore”
    Or more simply:
    “If you weren’t so shit you wouldn’t be so poor, your circumstance in life are all your own fault and if you had more bootstrap potential you wouldn’t have hit the skids. Your starvation is directly related to your lack of virtuousness”

    Labor should be trying to set expectations high, talking about all the good dreamy uncosted ideas it has so people start thing about that stuff. So when the government return to form and the actions of the LNP display the contempt of my above quotes. Then the voters will fall a long way down and hopefully the smack will wake them up.

  13. They won’t be swayed.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/sep/21/coalition-tax-cuts-blasted-by-former-reserve-bank-boss-in-new-ad-campaign?CMP=share_btn_tw

    Meanwhile, the progressive thinktank, the Australia Institute, is funding the new advertising campaign declaring that tax cuts won’t create jobs or pump prime the economy. The campaign is endorsed by former Reserve Bank governor Bernie Fraser, former Liberal leader John Hewson, Nobel laureate Peter Doherty, the chief executive of the Australian Council of Social Service, Cassandra Goldie, and a number of academic economists and former officials.

    In statements endorsing the campaign, Fraser said: “The unfolding Covid pandemic is a stark reminder to all policymakers of two fundamental truths: that while many of us work and spend in economies, we all live and die in communities; and, secondly, the most vulnerable groups in those communities are always hit the hardest in major crises like this pandemic.”

    Hewson said the government “naively” hoped that tax cuts are good politics, “but they won’t be as they increase inequality and fail to ensure job security and increasing wages with our economy still struggling to exit recession”.

    Guardian Australia understands the government has already signed off on the big-ticket items for the looming budget, including tax cuts and infrastructure spending.

  14. my worst fear : the liberals have reached “plausible climate credibility” first. meanwhile PB partisans shriek “green wedge, green wedge, green wedge”. looks like the morrison liberals will be in power for the rest of our lives. thanks for nothing labor party, albo, fitzgibbon. -a.v.

    Hydrogen power will be central to a new federal energy road map to move away from fossil fuels, as the Prime Minister promises net zero carbon emissions.
    by David Crowe and Katina Curtis

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/hydrogen-to-follow-gas-expansion-in-morrison-bid-for-net-zero-emissions-20200920-p55xfu.html

  15. And alfred venison fails to mention who took a Hydrogen policy to the federal election in 2019. Or give them credit for that.
    Plus ca change…

  16. When did Morrison’s promises ever mean anything?
    Look at his exact words.

    Mr Morrison refused to commit to reaching net zero emissions by 2050, saying the target was “absolutely achievable” but would be met in the second half of the century.

  17. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    An emissions target without a deadline isn’t much of a target says David Crowe.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/an-emissions-target-without-a-deadline-isn-t-much-of-a-target-20200920-p55xg4.html
    In this very interesting – and sobering – article Jess Irvine explains how Treasury Secretary developed the pandemic economic response. Matt Comyn was quite helpful to Kennedy.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/more-pressure-than-in-living-memory-the-inside-story-of-our-coronavirus-response-20200918-p55wxk.html
    Phil Coorey and Matthew Cranston tell us that the states are set to receive billions extra in infrastructure funding on the proviso they use it or lose it in the October 6 budget, which will front end spending to drive the economic recovery from the coronavirus.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/budget-to-front-end-big-infrastructure-spend-20200920-p55xcp
    Shane Wright explains how the biggest collapse in Australia’s population growth since World War I will drive a huge fall in new home construction that could hold back the nation’s recovery from the coronavirus recession.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/housing-demand-to-collapse-as-population-growth-falters-20200918-p55x2t.html
    There is still no sign the government will lay out the detail of the structural reforms and supply-side freeing up of the economy needed to restore Australia’s lost jobs and prosperity proclaims the AFR editorial.
    https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/genuine-reform-leadership-is-real-budget-bottom-line-20200917-p55wpy
    Katharine Murphy tells us that a television advertising campaign – endorsed by a former Reserve Bank governor, a former Liberal party leader and a Nobel laureate – opposing another round of tax cuts will be rolled out this week, as preparations are finalised for the looming October budget.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/sep/21/coalition-tax-cuts-blasted-by-former-reserve-bank-boss-in-new-ad-campaign
    Fast-tracking tax cuts would leave Australia “a weaker state”, and “fail” the Coalition government’s goals for a post-COVID recovery, according to a blistering new campaign headlined by former Liberal leader John Hewson.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2020/09/21/tax-cuts-covid-john-hewson/
    Simon Benson finds something to gloat about in the latest Newspoll.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/coalition-bounces-back-as-voters-desert-labor/news-story/46d58ac8c55d71317106c85a665921ab
    Businesses face a long slog in the courts and potentially years of uncertainty over whether their insurance policies will be paid out for losses caused by the pandemic, explains Adele Ferguson. Some insurance companies might get burned by their own fine print.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/australia-s-insurance-sector-could-face-1b-exposure-20200920-p55xee
    Despite Christian Porter setting up a series of less formal meetings between Australia’s bickering business groups this week, hopes for a breakthrough on IR reform are receding, writes Jennifer Hewett.
    https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/porter-tries-to-get-business-back-on-track-20200920-p55xfo
    Karen Maley says that central banks, including the RBA, are facing mounting pressure to unveil fresh monetary measures to assist the long and protracted economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.
    https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/the-next-steps-the-rba-will-take-to-help-the-economy-20200920-p55xcs
    Women and young people have borne the brunt of the Covid Crisis. They are set to lose again when the Government hands down its $158 billion tax cuts package. Elizabeth Minter reports on the unfairness of the government’s plan for economic recovery.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/advance-australia-unfair-tax-cuts-to-favour-men-over-women-old-over-young-rich-over-poor/
    Melbourne is on track for restrictions to be eased in a week, but there is no relief for businesses hoping for an early reopening in October, despite Victoria recording its lowest number of coronavirus cases in three months.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/a-cause-for-great-optimism-victoria-records-14-cases-20200920-p55xco
    Amanda Vanstone reckons Daniel Andrews’ day of reckoning is nigh.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/daniel-andrews-day-of-reckoning-is-nigh-20200920-p55xe0.html
    Why you’re 20 times more likely to catch COVID indoors.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/coronavirus/2020/09/20/indoor-coronavirus-risk-covid/
    Wayne Swan tells us why weakening superannuation is a once-in-a-100-year mistake.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2020/09/20/wayne-swan-superannuation-mistake/
    Alexandra Smith reports that NSW Nationals MP Leslie Williams has quit the party in disgust and will join the Liberals, saying she could not condone the reckless and unreasonable behaviour demonstrated over the past week.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/unhelpful-and-politically-reckless-nsw-nationals-mp-quits-to-join-liberals-20200920-p55xeg.html
    Daniel Andrews has raised hopes of easing coronavirus restrictions sooner, committing to update the state’s road map out of lockdown as the daily infection rate plummets.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/premier-raises-hopes-of-easing-restrictions-sooner-than-planned-20200920-p55xfj.html
    More revelations about the besieged icare outfit.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/icare-staff-got-tickets-to-buble-concert-flights-and-shopping-vouchers-20200918-p55ww8.html
    A national bet on hydrogen power will be central to a new federal energy road map to move away from fossil fuels, as Scott Morrison promises a plan to achieve net zero carbon emissions. What is mossing though, is a commitment as to when in the second half of this century that will be achieved.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/hydrogen-to-follow-gas-expansion-in-morrison-bid-for-net-zero-emissions-20200920-p55xfu.html
    Fewer than 1% of Australian manufacturing jobs are in gas-intensive industries that would materially benefit from a massive gas industry expansion proposed by the Morrison government, according to an upcoming analysis from The Grattan Institute.
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/sep/21/coalitions-gas-plan-would-help-fewer-than-1-of-manufacturing-workers-report-finds
    Unemployment support will be slashed by $300 this week. This won’t help people find work explains The Conversation.
    https://theconversation.com/unemployment-support-will-be-slashed-by-300-this-week-this-wont-help-people-find-work-146289
    The SMH editorial demands that aged care funding must be tied to higher standards and transparency.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/consumer-affairs/aged-care-funding-must-be-tied-to-higher-standards-and-transparency-20200920-p55xfk.html
    Labor has written to the auditor general asking him to investigate how Pauline Hanson came to use a novelty cheque with her face on it to announce a $23m taxpayer-funded federal grant to build a stadium in Rockhampton.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/sep/21/labor-wants-pauline-hanson-investigated-over-23m-rockhampton-stadium-novelty-cheque
    According to Dan McCauley, doctors have warned that infection control failings in hospital and aged care settings are putting Australia’s COVID-19 recovery at risk as a new study details healthcare workers’ struggle to access personal protective equipment.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/failure-of-leadership-health-workers-denied-proper-gear-20200918-p55x10.html
    Australia has sleepwalked into a society where profit trumps quality care says Emma Dawson.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/21/australia-has-sleepwalked-into-a-society-where-profit-trumps-quality-care
    There is a more fundamental threat to humans than the current pandemic and it encompasses much more than global warming, writes Brian Feeney.
    https://independentaustralia.net/environment/environment-display/humans-are-under-threat-from-more-than-just-the-pandemic,14317
    Jennifer Duke wonders what habits will we keep post-COVID.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/from-toilet-paper-hoarding-to-tap-and-go-what-habits-will-we-keep-post-covid-20200915-p55vq3.html
    Lucy Brogden writes that parliaments must do more to protect mental health of MPs, 20% of whom she says experience a mental health issue. Her husband Jon was one of them.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/parliaments-must-do-more-to-protect-mental-health-of-mps-20200919-p55x8p.html
    Australia should persist in republicanism because it is our best chance to improve the lives of each and every citizen, writes Dr Robert Wood.
    https://independentaustralia.net/australia/australia-display/an-australian-republic-why-it-remains-our-best-choice,14310
    Britain is at a tipping point on COVID-19, Health Minister Matt Hancock said on Sunday, warning that a second national lockdown could be imposed if people don’t follow government rules designed to stop the spread of the virus.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/britain-at-covid-19-tipping-point-second-lockdown-possible-health-minister-says-20200920-p55xhu.html
    Matthew Knott sets out to understand why so many Americans are renouncing citizenship.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/tax-and-the-trump-effect-why-so-many-americans-are-renouncing-citizenship-20200911-p55ups.html
    Jared Mondschein explains why the fight over the Supreme Court could make the US presidential election even nastier.
    https://theconversation.com/this-is-why-the-fight-over-the-supreme-court-could-make-the-us-presidential-election-even-nastier-146541
    QAnon conspiracists believe in a vast paedophile ring. The truth is sadder says Moira Donegan.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/20/qanon-conspiracy-child-abuse-truth-trump
    Robert Reich writes that rushing to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg, McConnell shows power trumps principle.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/19/ruth-bader-ginsburg-mitch-mcconnell-donald-trump

    Nick Bonyhady provides today’s nomination for “Arseholes of the Week” in telling us that the nationwide YHA Australia chain of hostels has been accused of systematically underpaying backpackers by classifying them as volunteers but requiring them to do regular work.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/hostel-chain-accused-of-15m-underpayment-to-volunteers-20200918-p55wyl.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Jim Pavlidis

    John Shakespeare

    Michael Leunig

    Matt Golding


    Johannes Leak

    David Rowe

    From the US



  18. “thanks for nothing labor party, albo, fitzgibbon. -a.v.”…

    If you vote Labor last because you disagree with “labor party, albo, fitzgibbon”… You only have to thank yourself for a permanent Coalition government into the future!

    Face your own responsibility!

  19. Thanks BK for a pleasant Monday morning’s Dawn Patrol.

    Stephen King has written that one of the most asked questions he gets is – “Where do you get your ideas from ❓ ” So in an adventurous spirit I ask myself why the current Federal Gummint apparently have no ideas about anything much. Why doesn’t someone in Government ask the contributors to “The Australian” or members of the “IPA” ❓

    From theBK Files. 👇👇👇

    Phil Coorey and Matthew Cranston tell us that the states are set to receive billions extra in infrastructure funding on the proviso they use it or lose it in the October 6 budget, which will front end spending to drive the economic recovery from the coronavirus.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/budget-to-front-end-big-infrastructure-spend-20200920-p55xcp

    The obvious next stop is to increase the GST and also increase the range covered to “everything”.

    Good morning all – now back to the Dawn Patrol –🛩️

  20. 51% Coalition vs 49% ALP from Newspoll?….
    I can happily live with that at this stage… Let’s see how that alleged “ScuMo leadership effect” translates at state and territory levels, before the next federal election. Next appointments: ACT and Qld!

    ———-
    Pre-emptive reply in case anyone wants to “remind” me that state elections are different from federal election: Does this mean that if the LNP wins in Qld there won’t be any call from the Coalition for the Federal ALP leader Albanese to resign?… Or is the “State different from Federal” argument only valid when the Coalition loses?… I call that the: “Mitch McConnell Effect”.

  21. First polling after Ginsberg death is somewhat of a nothingburger… for Dotard.

    ‘The national opinion poll, conducted Sept. 19-20 after Ginsburg’s death was announced, suggests that many Americans object to President Donald Trump’s plan, backed by many Senate Republicans, to push through another lifetime appointee and cement a 6-3 conservative majority on the court.

    The poll found that 62% of American adults agreed the vacancy should be filled by the winner of the Nov. 3 matchup between Trump and Democratic former Vice President Joe Biden, while 23% disagreed and the rest said they were not sure.

    Eight out of 10 Democrats – and five in 10 Republicans – agreed that the appointment should wait until after the election.

    The poll found that 30% of American adults said that Ginsburg’s death will make them more likely to vote for Biden while 25% said they were now more likely to support Trump. Another 38% said that it had no impact on their interest in voting, and the rest said they were not sure.

    The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 1,006 American adults, including 463 Democrats and 374 Republicans. It has a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-ginsburg-poll/majority-of-americans-including-many-republicans-say-wait-for-election-to-replace-ginsburg-reuters-poll-idUSKCN26B0TN

  22. lizzie @ #31 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 6:46 am

    When did Morrison’s promises ever mean anything?
    Look at his exact words.

    Mr Morrison refused to commit to reaching net zero emissions by 2050, saying the target was “absolutely achievable” but would be met in the second half of the century.

    So, he has taken fine sentiments, and bastardised them? Situation normal for Scotty from Marketing.

  23. Grain of salt and all but that’s another encouraging poll result for the Greens. It’s good to see the left continuing to support us as we take the fight up to the Coalition.

    What’s going on with the drop in Labor’s PV though? I seriously thought Albo stepped it up a little over the last couple of weeks. It doesn’t seem to be working though.

    Laborites, particularly those of the Labor Right who frequent this blog, would be better off focusing their attacks on the Coalition instead of wasting their time attacking the Greens.

  24. Great article on QAnon and Trump by Moira Donegan:

    QAnon is an elaborate fiction dreamed up by Trump fans to meet the psychological needs of those who cannot allow themselves to admit what is plain as day to everyone else: that the man they voted for and support is mendacious, narcissistic, incompetent, corrupt and horrifically unfit, both morally and intellectually, for his office. He is so ostentatiously unfit to be president that the only way even his most ardent supporters can justify his position is to elevate their own denial into a baroque theology in which his opponents are Satanic pedophiles, and he is the defender of the children.

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/20/qanon-conspiracy-child-abuse-truth-trump

  25. Thanks for the https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/09/20/newspoll-51-49-coalition-8/#comment-3483503, it sounds like worth reading.

    Here’s to hoping that after Spanish Habsburgs, Napoleonic French, Sitzkrieg and Blitzkrieg parking the EU in Brussels/ Strasbourg/ Luxembourg and NATO HQ nearby put an end to the endless flattening and marauding.
    Though when I grew up – my family is from the Holland/ (Dutch) Brabant border area south of the Dutch rivers, and we all know Belgian food is more French and less Dutch 🙂 – the Red Army supposedly was going to breakfast in Berlin, lunch in Paris, and dine in Barcelona.

    Vlaanderen.be: “Flanders is the [Flemish]-speaking northern portion of Belgium and one of the communities, regions and language areas of Belgium.”
    Along the Dutch border, Flemish, along the French border, French, and along the German/ Luxembourg – which has its own Letzebuerg or something- border, also German.
    Many Belgians I worked with were language wonders, though I found north of Brussels generally more ready to switch to a non native one.

  26. alfred venison says:
    Monday, September 21, 2020 at 6:39 am

    my worst fear : the liberals have reached “plausible climate credibility” first. meanwhile PB partisans shriek “green wedge, green wedge, green wedge”. looks like the morrison liberals will be in power for the rest of our lives. thanks for nothing labor party, albo, fitzgibbon. -a.v.

    The Liberals have a “plausible climate credibility” yet the Greens chant Labor must oppose, Labor must oppose. Kindly explain that.

  27. This bullshit from the right has gone on for far too long. The damage that has been done to the Victorian economy from the extended lockdowns is nothing compared to what it would have been if the virus had been allowed to run rampant in a “business as usual” environment. Saving lives is more important than making money.

  28. sprocket_ @ #36 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 7:25 am

    First polling after Ginsberg death is somewhat of a nothingburger… for Dotard.

    ‘The national opinion poll, conducted Sept. 19-20 after Ginsburg’s death was announced, suggests that many Americans object to President Donald Trump’s plan, backed by many Senate Republicans, to push through another lifetime appointee and cement a 6-3 conservative majority on the court.

    The poll found that 62% of American adults agreed the vacancy should be filled by the winner of the Nov. 3 matchup between Trump and Democratic former Vice President Joe Biden, while 23% disagreed and the rest said they were not sure.

    Eight out of 10 Democrats – and five in 10 Republicans – agreed that the appointment should wait until after the election.

    The poll found that 30% of American adults said that Ginsburg’s death will make them more likely to vote for Biden while 25% said they were now more likely to support Trump. Another 38% said that it had no impact on their interest in voting, and the rest said they were not sure.

    The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online, in English, throughout the United States. It gathered responses from 1,006 American adults, including 463 Democrats and 374 Republicans. It has a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-ginsburg-poll/majority-of-americans-including-many-republicans-say-wait-for-election-to-replace-ginsburg-reuters-poll-idUSKCN26B0TN

    Could end up being another one of those beltway issues, significant for those that are involved or interested but, goes over the head of the voters out in the Provinces and suburbs.

    So, as you say, it could end up being another nothing burger as it washes through the news cycle.

    Trump pushing it as an issue might make a few of the Senators in electoral trouble even more risk averse because they don’t want to be on the wrong side of a public controversy.

  29. I make Murkowski now the third Republican Senator to oppose filling RBG’s SCOTUS seat before the election, joining Collins and I thought Mitt Romney had said he wants to wait until after the elction. Just one more needs to oppose and that’s curtains for McConnell.

  30. Paul Barratt
    @phbarratt
    ·
    8m
    Housing demand is heading for collapse

    Perhaps the government could be persuaded to invest in social housing. Not to help the homeless and the undeserving poor, you understand, but to help the building industry.

  31. OMG. These people are a danger to all of us.

    @SkyNewsAust
    ·
    15h
    Sky News host
    @rowandean
    says Australian governments are “directly responsible for the deaths of Australians” whose lives could have been saved, but weren’t, because governments and bureaucrats discouraged the use of Hydroxychloroquine.

  32. The current polls show little or no chnage since the last Election since the last election.

    The Covid pandemic has been a boost to the popularity of incumbent Leaders as voters are more concerned about getting through the crisis than the innards of partisan politics.

    Of course on PB, it’s all politics all the time. But, I doubt that approach resonates that much out in voter land.

    The encouraging thing is that whenever there has been a vote, Labor has come up winners in both Eden Monarao and Northern Territory.

    I reckon the next Election is going to be about jobs and who pays for the massive Government spend that is about to be unleashed.

    Labor remain competitive

  33. Confessions @ #44 Monday, September 21st, 2020 – 7:49 am

    I make Murkowski now the third Republican Senator to oppose filling RBG’s SCOTUS seat before the election, joining Collins and I thought Mitt Romney had said he wants to wait until after the elction. Just one more needs to oppose and that’s curtains for McConnell.

    Don’t forget Martha McSally will likely be replaced by a Democrat from Arizona before the election, who will be sitting in the lame duck Senate.


  34. Firefox says:
    Monday, September 21, 2020 at 7:40 am

    ..

    Laborites, particularly those of the Labor Right who frequent this blog, would be better off focusing their attacks on the Coalition instead of wasting their time attacking the Greens.

    As the Greens are there to attack Labor, I doubt success of Labor is central to your thinking.

    My contempt for the Greens is the serious damage they have done to the environmental movement, it is interesting you consider that a right wing issue.

    As the damage done by the Greens was fundamentally the presenting of environment concerns as a left issue and taking it out of the mainstream I think it is a very telling comment.

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