More affairs of state

More evidence of a tight contest looming in Queensland while Mark McGowan reigns supreme in Western Australia; and a parliamentary committee in Victoria kicks the upper house electoral reform can down the road.

Not every state this time, but half:

Victoria

The Victorian parliament’s electoral matters committee has tabled the report of its inquiry into the 2018 state election, of which the greatest item of interest is a full chapter devoted to reform of the upper house electoral system. Together with Western Australia, Victoria is the last hold-out of the group voting ticket system that is electing ever-increasing numbers of preference-harvesting micro-party candidates. This reached a new height at the 2018 election, at which parties other than the Coalition, Labor and the Greens won 10 out of the 40 seats in the Legislative Council, including two elected with less than 1% of the vote. However, the report recommended only that a further parliamentary inquiry be held into the matter. The report also recommends no change to the two-week period for pre-polling, which the Liberals and Nationals called to be shortened.

Queensland

Polling of the marginal state seats of Currumbin, Mansfield and Aspley by YouGov for the Australian Conservation Foundation shows a combined two-party result of 52-48 for Labor, compared with an almost exact 50-50 for these three seats in 2017. The primary votes are Labor 37%, LNP 37%, Greens 10%, One Nation 4% and 10% don’t know, compared with 2017 election results of Labor 41.2%, LNP 38.4%, Greens 10.6% and One Nation 8.5%. The poll was conducted from August 17-19 and targeted 200 respondents in each of the three electorates.

Western Australia

A poll for The West Australian by Painted Dog Research showed Mark McGowan with an approval rating at 91%, up four from an already stratospheric result in June. Support for the state’s border closure was at 92%, up from 89% in May. The poll was conducted from a sample of 837, with field work dates not provided.

Northern Territory

As related in the dedicated post, the CLP sneaked home in an eighth seat in the Northern Territory election as the count concluded last night, producing a final result of Labor 14, CLP eight, Territory Alliance one and independents two.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,560 comments on “More affairs of state”

  1. Then Alderman bowled Richards for 0 in the second innings.

    Three years later, at the MCG, Richards made 208 and Hughes a miserable pair in his last test.

  2. Scout

    “or the way Jamie Cox or Dene Hills never played for Australia”

    Jamie Cox for sure and Jamie Siddons too – if only they had arrived when we used to pick Mike Veletta.

    Dene Hills was like an earlier version of Ed Cowan.

  3. Jon Faine is getting a bit ahead of himself but what is the consequence of this if all things progress smoothly or not from hereon in.

    “No one can excuse the errors made on hotel quarantine. No one can ignore the decision to bow to the wishes of police that private security be allowed to manage hotel quarantine. No one can turn a blind eye to the failings of contact tracing.

    But those mistakes, terrible as they are, do not disqualify the government from governing. For the opposition to call on Dan Andrews to resign, for the Morrison government to try to force Andrews to go against medical advice, is as astonishing as it is reckless. The Premier may be wounded, but is not walking away.”

  4. Anthony Albanese savages Scott Morrison’s ‘haranguing’ Victorian Premier’
    Describes Prime minister’s rheteoric about ‘team Australia’ as hollow marketing.

    Mundo can dream.

  5. mikehilliard @ #1387 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:07 pm

    Watching Aunty it looks as though it’s a 100% pile onto Dan.

    Yes, they’re even cutting short the replays of Dans daily updates.

    The cartel of the CIA, 7 West media, Nine media, SfM, Duttons Homeland Security, Newscorp, Ita’s ABC, Kimberley Kitchings Labor right, Nath, Charteris are all conspiring to tear down Andrews.

  6. Rex I’m not conspiring to tear down Andrews. He oversaw a debacle. Apparently he can micromanage when people go to parks and what exercise they get yet was seemingly absent from the set up of hotel quarantine. The revelations from the inquiry are startling. Andrews and his Health minister should resign if they had any shame.

    Still, I expect Labor to scrape back in at the next election. The only thing saving them is that the Liberals might have done a worse job and people kind of sense that.

  7. It seems to me that Morrison could do more for some businesses through jobkeeper but he won’t because it would help Victoria. He’ll be stubborn now.

  8. Shellbell @ #1406 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:18 pm

    Jon Faine is getting a bit ahead of himself but what is the consequence of this if all things progress smoothly or not from hereon in.

    “No one can excuse the errors made on hotel quarantine. No one can ignore the decision to bow to the wishes of police that private security be allowed to manage hotel quarantine. No one can turn a blind eye to the failings of contact tracing.

    But those mistakes, terrible as they are, do not disqualify the government from governing. For the opposition to call on Dan Andrews to resign, for the Morrison government to try to force Andrews to go against medical advice, is as astonishing as it is reckless. The Premier may be wounded, but is not walking away.”

    The errors on quarantining can be excused in the same context of the Ruby Princess debacle.

    However, as has been said by many, there is no roadmap in a pandemic and you make decisions/non decisons on the run.

    The ultimate political issue here are Border Control and Aged care oversight. Both are Federal responsibilities.

    So, my guess is the States will be OK. But, there’s a reckoning coming for the Federal Government and they know it!

  9. mundo

    Morrison and his cronies are acting like the boy who cry wolf
    today they claim to sign the same vaccine deal .which they claimed to have sign 3 weeks ago
    Morrison and his cronies , in march closed Australian international borders
    today claim they want Australia to be open ,while the Australia’s international borders still close

  10. Lizzie

    Morison is getting all his ducks in a row to attack Andrews – media, business, politics.

    All he needs now is community support.

    The only problem is the virus, it doesn’t care.

  11. Mavis @ #1412 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:28 pm

    Andrews is clearly supported by the vast majority of Victorians, Murdoch’s minions way out of kilter with public opinion.

    The Feds are pitching their message outside of Victoria. Victoria is a Labor State Federally and Statewise. So, the messages Morrison is sending are to appeal to the rest of Australia wh are not bearing the lockdown necessity we are down here.

  12. The Andrews/Laaaaaaabor pile continues on the ABC into the 7:30 report.
    One nice ‘business’ fellow thinks Andrews should resign because it’s happened on his watch…..hmmm interesting…..

  13. mikehilliard @ #1410 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:30 pm

    Lizzie

    Morison is getting all his ducks in a row to attack Andrews – media, business, politics.

    All he needs now is community support.

    The only problem is the virus, it doesn’t care.

    ‘All he needs now is community support.’
    It’s coming….slowly, but it is coming. Scrooter hasn’t broken a sweat yet.

  14. Scott @ #1409 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:29 pm

    mundo

    Morrison and his cronies are acting like the boy who cry wolf
    today they claim to sign the same vaccine deal .which they claimed to have sign 3 weeks ago
    Morrison and his cronies , in march closed Australian international borders
    today claim they want Australia to be open ,while the Australia’s international borders still close

    And the federal opposition is going to explain that to the average punter when?

  15. The ACT Liberals display so much finesse…

    Liberal Mark Parton has apologised to a gay Greens candidate after he told him he wouldn’t win a seat at next month’s ACT election because he was “too camp for Tuggeranong”.

  16. I have lost count of the number of people I meet who say to me, “This virus thing is complete bullshit.”

    They don’t know anyone who’s got it, so, in their mids it doesn’t exist. They don’t seem to make the connection between low infection numbers on the one hand, andstrict lockdown and social distancing procedures on the other. The latter leads to the former: there are so few cases because there are such strict countermeasures.

    Labor’s GFC response back in 2008-09 was another case in point. It worked so well that some convinced themselves there was no GFC. Some dishonestly did so. Some exploited it politically, as with the virus in Victoria.

    The time for action is now. Everything, including some things that are unnecessary or that it will have no effect, needs to be tried. Only afterwards will we know for sure what was right and what was wrong. No leader could, or should be blamed for erring on the side of caution.

    In answer to the large numbers of media pieces about how this or that hairdresser or fish and chip shop is doing it tough, all I can say is this: it’s a world pandemic. Millions are infected and dying. Stop your whingeing.

  17. C@t

    Steve Waugh has always been a St George boy, occasionally straying over to Canterbury Bankstown for business. He was, last I heard, living on the water at Alford’s Point – just on the southern side of the George’s River from Lugarno.

    Two great memories of him, one buying some stuff – pads I think – from him and his brother in a sports store they had in an arcade in Kingsgrove well before they hit the big time.

    And the second, in 2003 at the SCG when he made a century off the last ball, with the critics cries for his head ringing in his ears. The best fuck you innings of all time.

    https://www.smh.com.au/sport/cricket/steve-waughs-classic-hundred-relived-at-the-scg-20180103-h0cyfw.html

  18. I was there that day as well Sprocket. In the members’ bar with a Steve-Waugh hater at the tea break, dragged him out to watch the last session with me. Two hours later he was a Waugh fan again.

  19. frednk @ #1422 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:45 pm

    After watching the ABC tonight I came away with the view, thank god Andrews is running he place.

    Mundo came away with the view that Freedunk lives with little elves in pink booties at the bottom of the garden…..
    The only thing a sane rational person would think is that Dan Andrews cannot survive the Liberal Party/media campaign against him. And Albo has cut him loose. So there’s no cavalry.
    Enjoy your purple Lamingtons.

  20. sprocket_,
    So the holiday house is up here on the Central Coast? 🙂

    I’ve just caught sight of him a couple of times up here at Erina Fair with his kids.

    He has been sounded out before now too and always politely declined. Last reason he gave was that he was enjoying his retirement.

  21. Greensborough Growler

    The Feds are pitching their message outside of Victoria. Victoria is a Labor State Federally and Statewise. So, the messages Morrison is sending are to appeal to the rest of Australia wh are not bearing the lockdown necessity we are down here.

    And in doing so, Morrison is reminding the voters in other states (Qld & WA especially) that their premiers are doing a fantastic job keeping the virus out through border closures .

  22. Spray

    I was in the front row of the top deck of the Members with my brothers. A great photo taken of Waugh walking back to a standing ovation with us there. Being a dry area, we were simply intoxicated with the spectacle and the performance.

  23. Christ almighty!

    7.30 treating Melbourne as if the Black Death had reappeared. A young choir boy singing a hymn to despondency with shots of empty streets as a backdrop.

    Returns to studio with Michael Rowland (temp host) saying, “Whew!…… thanks for watching.”

    OVER.THE.BLOODY.TOP.

  24. Bushfire Bill @ #1429 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:48 pm

    I have lost count of the number of people I meet who say yo me, “This virus thing is complete bullshit.”

    They don’t know anyone who’s got it, so, in their mids it doesn’t exist. They don’t seem to make the connection between low infection numbers on the one hand, andstrict lockdown and social distancing procedures on the other. The latter leads to the former: there are so few cases because there are such strict countermeasures.

    Labor’s GFC response back in 2008-09 was another case in point. It worked so well that some convinced themselves there was no GFC. Some dishonestly did so. Some exploited it politically, as with the virus in Victoria.

    The time for action is now. Everything, including some things that are unnecessary or that it will have no effect, needs to be tried. Only afterwards will we know for sure what was right and what was wrong. No leader could, or should be blamed for erring on the side of caution.

    This is what I was alluding to earlier.

    We in Melbourne have been in lockdown for weeks and the Government has just extended that by another two weeks.

    To the cries of open up, I only say that my SIL’s grandparents have both contracted Covid and spent weeks in isolation. The Grandfather is disabled and has openly pined for his wife who was in another hospital in critical condition. She has survived. But, she was never going on a respirator.

    I’ve also had the situation where a client, a young man who is a Police Officer arrested a person who was Covid positive. He had to isolate for two weeks. This is a young man with two toddlers.

    Thankfully, all have been saved so far.

    So, Covid is real, it kills people and the Andrew’s Government is doing all that is right and proper to protect the Community.

  25. Steve Waugh, the fastest hands in the game.

    Mark Waugh’s first test was when he replaced Steve Waugh.

    Richie Richardson’s 180 odd at the Gabba in a team containing Richards and Lloyd.

  26. BB
    “7.30 treating Melbourne as if the Black Death had reappeared. A young choir boy singing a hymn to despondency with shots of empty streets as a backdrop.”

    Yeah just saw that. Bit much. This is not Justinian’s plague, and Melbourne is not Constantinople.

  27. Journalism based on ignorance, willful or natural, is SO easy.
    Using facts to develop an argument needs a lot more -and we don’t see much of this!

  28. Why is the one size fits all, isn’t appropriate when dealing with the virus by the Victoria Government , but the one size fits all is appropriate for Australia , when it comes to Job seeker/ keeper managed by the Federal Government ?

  29. C@tmomma @ #1444 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 8:13 pm

    Bushfire Bill @ #1437 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 8:01 pm

    Christ almighty!

    7.30 treating Melboyrne as if the Black Death had reappeared. A young choir boy singing a hymn to despondency with shots of empty streets as a backdrop.

    OVER.THE.BLOODY.TOP.

    Who do they think they are? A Current Affair!?!

    Remember the African Gangs of Melbourne terrorsing people from going out at night.

    That was bullshit, too!

  30. ”He was, last I heard, living on the water at Alford’s Point – just on the southern side of the George’s River from Lugarno.“

    In The Shire.

  31. Bushfire Bill @ #1429 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 7:48 pm

    I have lost count of the number of people I meet who say to me, “This virus thing is complete bullshit.”

    They don’t know anyone who’s got it, so, in their mids it doesn’t exist. They don’t seem to make the connection between low infection numbers on the one hand, andstrict lockdown and social distancing procedures on the other. The latter leads to the former: there are so few cases because there are such strict countermeasures.

    Labor’s GFC response back in 2008-09 was another case in point. It worked so well that some convinced themselves there was no GFC. Some dishonestly did so. Some exploited it politically, as with the virus in Victoria.

    The time for action is now. Everything, including some things that are unnecessary or that it will have no effect, needs to be tried. Only afterwards will we know for sure what was right and what was wrong. No leader could, or should be blamed for erring on the side of caution.

    In answer to the large numbers of media pieces about how this or that hairdresser or fish and chip shop is doing it tough, all I can say is this: it’s a world pandemic. Millions are infected and dying. Stop your whingeing.

    “This virus thing is complete bullshit!”
    That’s what my son says. He cant get parts for his car. He cant visit his friends.
    He cant go for a drive – anywhere. He’s frustrated.
    It’s selfish, short sighted insanity.

    He has an excuse – he has Asperger’s syndrome and gets frustration anxiety even without the virus. What is the excuse for others?

    This is a pandemic, an emergency. Where are the adults?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *