More affairs of state

More evidence of a tight contest looming in Queensland while Mark McGowan reigns supreme in Western Australia; and a parliamentary committee in Victoria kicks the upper house electoral reform can down the road.

Not every state this time, but half:

Victoria

The Victorian parliament’s electoral matters committee has tabled the report of its inquiry into the 2018 state election, of which the greatest item of interest is a full chapter devoted to reform of the upper house electoral system. Together with Western Australia, Victoria is the last hold-out of the group voting ticket system that is electing ever-increasing numbers of preference-harvesting micro-party candidates. This reached a new height at the 2018 election, at which parties other than the Coalition, Labor and the Greens won 10 out of the 40 seats in the Legislative Council, including two elected with less than 1% of the vote. However, the report recommended only that a further parliamentary inquiry be held into the matter. The report also recommends no change to the two-week period for pre-polling, which the Liberals and Nationals called to be shortened.

Queensland

Polling of the marginal state seats of Currumbin, Mansfield and Aspley by YouGov for the Australian Conservation Foundation shows a combined two-party result of 52-48 for Labor, compared with an almost exact 50-50 for these three seats in 2017. The primary votes are Labor 37%, LNP 37%, Greens 10%, One Nation 4% and 10% don’t know, compared with 2017 election results of Labor 41.2%, LNP 38.4%, Greens 10.6% and One Nation 8.5%. The poll was conducted from August 17-19 and targeted 200 respondents in each of the three electorates.

Western Australia

A poll for The West Australian by Painted Dog Research showed Mark McGowan with an approval rating at 91%, up four from an already stratospheric result in June. Support for the state’s border closure was at 92%, up from 89% in May. The poll was conducted from a sample of 837, with field work dates not provided.

Northern Territory

As related in the dedicated post, the CLP sneaked home in an eighth seat in the Northern Territory election as the count concluded last night, producing a final result of Labor 14, CLP eight, Territory Alliance one and independents two.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,560 comments on “More affairs of state”

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  1. Silly journalist asks question of PM about business leaders objections to vic lockdown. Doesn’t make Morrison state that he agrees, instead assumes he does and allows him wiggle room to sledge Andrews and not have a bob either way.

  2. Greg Hunt also has some notes on epidemiologists who’ve spoken up about the importance of contact tracing for Victoria over the past 24 hours. All critics, of course.

  3. Guytaur,
    I don’t see the desperation from Morrison.
    The CPG is so soft he’ll walk back in his office and high five everyone. And then go unchallenged in his magical thinking.
    His rambling depressingly works.

  4. south

    Daniel Andrews has already rejected Morrison’s assertions.

    He has no direct power here. He can only reject funding for health.
    Very bad look when a pandemic is raging. See Clive Palmer.

  5. Jeebus. Piling pressure on NSW Health. Any outbreak of community transmission will be hard to spin.
    _______
    Easy peasy SK, it’s all Dan Andrews’ fault!

  6. lizzie

    I bet Ghunt did not mention Blakey’s view on “open the borders’ or lock downs and definitely not his view of aiming for elimination. Blakely would give the Fed’s approach an ‘F’ .

  7. Scott Morrison reiterated a call to see the assumptions the Victorian roadmap was based on, particularly to gauge how efficient the modellers thought the state’s contact tracing system is.

    I back Professor Sutton’s judgement over ScottyfromMarketing’s.

  8. How about this Q…. do you, as PM, take any responsibility on the lack of a national hotspot plan considering you are the PM and it has been 6 months since the beginning of the pandemic?

  9. Spray,

    The boomer remover virus hasn’t had the impact on housing prices that I was hoping for. I was planing on walking in and staking a claim on a point piper mansions. Too bad…i guess…everyone survived.

    Next pandemic maybe.

  10. Lizzie

    I do too. Honestly what type of PM attacks a state going through a public health emergency.
    It should not be forgotten by Victorians. It is a disgrace.

  11. This works every time. 😆

    Julian Andrew
    @JulianAndrew63
    ·
    1m
    Nice work whoever the journalist was who again ended #ScottyFromMarketing ‘s press conference as he walked off with “Prime Minister, on sports grants…?”

  12. Question to Hunt about religious pushback on the vaccine gets deflected.
    When will any political heavy say straight out that certain religious people are talking dangerous shit?

  13. Malcolm Farr
    @farrm51
    ·
    3m
    An exciting return rubber but Scott Morrison for second presser avoided questions from Guardian’s Paul Karp @Paul_Karp on sports rorts.

    Paul Karp
    @Paul_Karp
    ·
    2m
    I’m working towards a lifetime ban so I can work from home.

  14. The revelations from the Hotel quarantine inquiry should be enough to sink the Andrews government. Although the government has so far done a good job at combatting the second wave the gross incompetency of the quarantine regime has been a health and economic disaster that Melbourne will take years to recover from. Andrews and his health minister should resign.

  15. Simon Katich
    Yep. And as I said, karma has a way of biting.

    It is not State of Origin FFS. How petty is this man.

    And I completely agree on his efforts at a national plan on hotspot definition and control in order to open state borders. The problem is, what holds it back is that no state trusts this smirk in a suit. And today he showed further evidence of why.

  16. Julian Andrew
    @JulianAndrew63
    ·
    3m
    #ScottyFromMarketing just said in his press conference that “You want your contact tracers to remain match fit,” ie continue to have to trace cases, rather than have minimal cases as in WA.

    WTF?

  17. lizzie @ #1137 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 11:13 am

    Julian Andrew
    @JulianAndrew63
    ·
    3m
    #ScottyFromMarketing just said in his press conference that “You want your contact tracers to remain match fit,” ie continue to have to trace cases, rather than have minimal cases as in WA.

    WTF?

    Yes, much better to have them doing stuff than just sitting around scratching their arses, otherwise people might think they’re a member of the federal Cabinet. 🙂

  18. BTW

    I think Morrison just conceded the Queensland election.

    It’s the first time I can remember all the attacks being against a Premier months or years away from election while a campaign is under way in another state.

  19. Bugler @ #1063 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 12:02 pm

    But he wanted to make the point that his supermarkets have had 10000000 customers and not one case of COVID-19, so why should they be penalised by the roadmap?

    Well, that is simply not true. There have been cases amongst staff in retail and distributon businesses. Quite a few. I guess if the facts don’t fit the narrative, change the facts!

    I believe he made absolutely sure to emphasise ‘his’ businesses. Coles, Bunnings, KMart and Officeworks. Disingenuous, definitely, but that’s how these types roll.

  20. citizen @ #1147 Monday, September 7th, 2020 – 11:23 am

    Time to send in Tony ‘Shirtfront’ Abbott to deal with the foreign rabble:

    Johnson says UK will quit Brexit talks if no deal by October 15

    The key sticking points are European boats’ access to UK fishing waters and state aid to industries.

    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/johnson-says-uk-will-quit-brexit-talks-if-no-deal-by-october-15-20200907-p55syy.html

    This clearly explains why he wanted Abbott!

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