More affairs of state

More evidence of a tight contest looming in Queensland while Mark McGowan reigns supreme in Western Australia; and a parliamentary committee in Victoria kicks the upper house electoral reform can down the road.

Not every state this time, but half:

Victoria

The Victorian parliament’s electoral matters committee has tabled the report of its inquiry into the 2018 state election, of which the greatest item of interest is a full chapter devoted to reform of the upper house electoral system. Together with Western Australia, Victoria is the last hold-out of the group voting ticket system that is electing ever-increasing numbers of preference-harvesting micro-party candidates. This reached a new height at the 2018 election, at which parties other than the Coalition, Labor and the Greens won 10 out of the 40 seats in the Legislative Council, including two elected with less than 1% of the vote. However, the report recommended only that a further parliamentary inquiry be held into the matter. The report also recommends no change to the two-week period for pre-polling, which the Liberals and Nationals called to be shortened.

Queensland

Polling of the marginal state seats of Currumbin, Mansfield and Aspley by YouGov for the Australian Conservation Foundation shows a combined two-party result of 52-48 for Labor, compared with an almost exact 50-50 for these three seats in 2017. The primary votes are Labor 37%, LNP 37%, Greens 10%, One Nation 4% and 10% don’t know, compared with 2017 election results of Labor 41.2%, LNP 38.4%, Greens 10.6% and One Nation 8.5%. The poll was conducted from August 17-19 and targeted 200 respondents in each of the three electorates.

Western Australia

A poll for The West Australian by Painted Dog Research showed Mark McGowan with an approval rating at 91%, up four from an already stratospheric result in June. Support for the state’s border closure was at 92%, up from 89% in May. The poll was conducted from a sample of 837, with field work dates not provided.

Northern Territory

As related in the dedicated post, the CLP sneaked home in an eighth seat in the Northern Territory election as the count concluded last night, producing a final result of Labor 14, CLP eight, Territory Alliance one and independents two.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,560 comments on “More affairs of state”

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  1. Kronomex – Indeed- maybe the story of lockdown is not that people are restless to BUY BUY BUY, but that people are happy consuming less (and saving more), visiting business less (endless coffees, dinner dates, pilates classes, mall shopping) and are enjoying quiet time of reading, zoom chats, walks and catching up on movies and listening to music?
    Maybe this what is driving the business hysteria to open up- the realisation we dont need many of them at all!

  2. Here comes Fightback.

    The prime minister, Scott Morrison, is due to address the media in Canberra at midday.

    He will be joined by the health minister, Greg Hunt, and the health secretary, Prof Brendan Murphy, to discuss the vaccine agreement and the response to Victoria’s roadmap

  3. I represent 207 Melbourne small businesses. Not one of them wants to re-open and then face another lockdown in the coming months. As painful as this is, they want this virus suppressed & manageable ready for them to rebuild.

    The question journos never ask (or factor in) from a rep from BCA or other industry groups…. who exactly do they represent? What exactly is their real agenda?
    They never back the ALP. Always on the side of the LNP. Even when they disagree over numerous and significant policies of the LNP – they still back them. They are hand in glove with one side of politics. So why on earth are they treated with reverence of an independent expert? They dont care about the listeners unless the listener happens to be a property developer or a major shareholder in a multinational corporation.

    The senior journos and presenters who get these people on their shows seem completely unaware that they strategise over how to win the journo over and use them in their efforts to manipulate public opinion. Oblivious to being propaganda pawns. So they chat like besties – sad really. Have they forgotten what being a journalist actually means?

  4. Scott Morrison… will be joined by the health minister, Greg Hunt, and the health secretary, Prof Brendan Murphy

    Here we go. The dream team. The three amigos.

  5. Good Morning (just)

    I see the right wing are freaking out

    It’s time Labor.

    Just say speaking without empathy or compassion it’s very simple in economic terms. Dead people don’t spend.

  7. mundo

    You obviously meant something by it.

    I can understand you chickening out when it comes to explaining what you meant, however.

  8. I can’t help feeling admiration at the the clarity of Andrews’ explanations and grasp of detail when compared with Morrison’s lists and waffle.

  11. Miundo

    It’s up to Labor people like you to get out the message.

    Ditto Labor supporting economists.
    Leaders like Daniel Andrews can’t say it.
    If labor had a Craig Kelly type he/she could say it.

  13. PhoenixRED
    At this rate, it looks like the US will hit 200,000 dead within he next two weeks.
    Hopefully this appalling statistic will rattle a few journos there.

  15. But he wanted to make the point that his supermarkets have had 10000000 customers and not one case of COVID-19, so why should they be penalised by the roadmap?

    Well, that is simply not true. There have been cases amongst staff in retail and distributon businesses. Quite a few. I guess if the facts don’t fit the narrative, change the facts!

  16. Andrews really is outstanding.
    Federal Labor would do well to sign him up, although he’ll probably be buggered after this is over. He runs rings around his fed Labor colleagues.

  17. Progressive politicians can point out how lucky we are not to have Tony Abbott as health minister or prime minister today.

    Then ask journalists does Scott Morrison agree with Tony Abbott?

  18. “Rachel” loves to quote a dissenting voice and ask “What do you say to that?”
    Dan actually smiled as he replied. He’s not frightened of her. 🙂

  19. At this rate, it looks like the US will hit 200,000 dead within he next two weeks.

    Facebook and twitter posts say it is only 9000.

  20. Maude Lynnesays: Monday, September 7, 2020 at 11:57 am

    PhoenixRED
    At this rate, it looks like the US will hit 200,000 dead within he next two weeks.

    ******************************************

    just saw this Maude :

    Brian Tyler Cohen@briantylercohen

    Today marks 6 months since Kellyanne Conway admonished @PaulaReidCBS for questioning this administration’s COVID-19 containment efforts.

    “It is being contained. Do you not think it’s being contained?”

    There were 77 cases on March 6.
    There are 6.26 million cases today.

    ( …….. with some US experts predicting the US death toll to be 400,000 by Xmas )

  21. Simon Katich says:
    Monday, September 7, 2020 at 12:04 pm
    At this rate, it looks like the US will hit 200,000 dead within he next two weeks.
    Facebook and twitter posts say it is only 9000.

    That many (the 9000)? I thought nobody died of a hoax virus.

  25. There’s some wild imagry here from the PM about people gasping to death.

    Take note labor, if they PM is willing to set the bar so low, why pretend it’s higher. Time to let the back benchers go feral.

  33. Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING: PM has criticised the Victorian road map revealing under further stages if same rules were applied Sydney would be in lockdown now.

    Andrews/Sutton has already answered that (from a journo – fed by PMO?) and says the circumstances are quite different because of community transmission.

  34. BK

    It’s no surprise.

    Aged Care.
    Funding services cuts. Known as Tax cuts.
    Qanon adviser in Office.
    A history of denying science as a party
    Unemployment hitting his business mates.

    It’s a perfect storm of chickens coming home to roost.

  36. This presser is 99% political!

    Under the guise of an announcement of a ‘potential vaccine’. How many times will this potential vaccine be announced?

  38. Hunt has advice saying the potential vaccine may have multi year protection if it passes trials although it is not determined yet. Murphy is excited.

  41. How can Morrison and Hunt speak for several minutes on how poor Victoria has been at tracing, yet not get a question on the Covid App early mark. I am sure it will be the next question….

  44. @broomstick33
    ·
    13m
    #abcnews Morrison indulges in some industrial scale gaslighting ..”the mental health of Victorians will be sorely tested” because he has no idea how to lead a nation out of an emergency with inspiration and resolve … instead, look at me, I build cubby houses, twice

    Morrison: Victorian roadmap “crushing news”

    That’s giving hope?

  45. It’s amazing how they get so excited over things completely outside their control and flippantly fob off anything that they actually carry some responsibility for.

    Actually it’s not amazing at all, it’s standard operating procedure for them.

  49. Guardian

    Morrison was asked how he could justify slashing jobseeker and jobkeeper amounts at the end of the month to Victorians who have been banned by their state government from going to work. But he did not acknowledge the cuts, instead pointing to how the government had extended the timeframe of the payments.

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