Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention

Essential Research finds public support for governments’ handling of coronavirus not quite what it was, while Roy Morgan records the Coalition moving into a commanding lead.

As reported by The Guardian, the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll finds approval of Scott Morrison’s handling of COVID-19 at 61%, which is off from a high of 72% in June. Approval ratings for state governments in New South Wales as well as Victoria are also trending gently downwards, with both having lost two points in the past fortnight, leaving them at 59% and 47% respectively. The Western Australian government continues to lead the field on 84%, though this too is down two on last time, with due regard to the very small sample size.

The poll also suggests Australians are unsentimental about civil liberties in the face of COVID-19, with 65% favouring closing the border to all foreign travellers and 52% supporting dedicated quarantine facilities for convalescents. Concerning outbreaks at aged care clinics, 42% blamed the providers, 30% the federal goverment and 28% state governments, and 70% believed the situation had been aggravated by long-term under-funding. The poll also gauged support for taxpayers to underwrite new gas infrastructure at 27% for, 27% against and 32% for neither. The poll was conducted from 1068 respondents from Thursday to Sunday; the pollster will publish its full report will be published later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. It should be noted that the 61% approval rating for handling of COVID-19 related to “the government” rather than Scott Morrison.

We also had on Friday one of the occasional Roy Morgan polls on federal voting intention, which finds the Coalition lead out to 54-46 from 51.5-48.5 when the last such poll was published in mid-July. The Coalition is up 2.5% on the primary vote to 46%, with Labor down one to 32.5%, the Greens steady on 11% and One Nation up half a point to 3%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends by phone and online interviewing from a sample of 2841.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,705 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention”

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  1. Bucephalus says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:19 pm

    Vogon Poet says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:10 pm

    ““for some reason it stopped warming in the last 10 years, which is one of those dirty little secrets of global warming science”
    Roy Spencer
    22 March 2012
    Crank’s expert is astoundingly good at statistics.
    Hoot hoot”

    Yes, it is called The Pause and was part of the coverup in Climategate. You guys still haven’t got over that

    News flash in 2020, 8 more year of data, selecting past 10 years no longer works for reality denial.Post like this are now just a marker for reality denial.

  2. “Comedy Gold!!!!

    I just spat my coffee across the roof.”

    ***

    Yeah well I reckon Buce is wrong almost all the time but that was going too far hey.

  3. This is an important tip for Labor.

    Stop smling and being chummy during question time.
    I wouldn’t spit on some coalition minsiters even if they were on fire.
    They shouldn’t smile when they’ve asked about the accountability of a minister relating in deaths and the government spins shit.
    They should look angry and then respond as such.

    Morrison can make a joke out of this. But labor is missing a point by engaging in it.

  4. AR, I recall A Bolt used saying, as evidence against Global Warming, that it hasn’t warmed I since 1998.

    He chose that year as it was an outlier, so his statement was ‘correct’ for a number of years after 1998. He hasn’t been saying it lately. Wonder why?

  5. Bu
    “Yes, it is called The Pause and was part of the coverup in Climategate. You guys still haven’t got over that.”

    Fercrissakes, not this Climategate shit again. Just when I think you might have an ounce of intelligence, you pull this crap.

  6. Hmmm

    John Hewson
    @JohnRHewson
    ·
    2h
    It is surely incongruous if not irresponsible if what I am hearing is correct namely Govt has put staff and team on an election footing in the midst of the pandemic without an effective Recovery Strategy?

  7. PeeBee
    “Kakuru, it is like playing chess with pigeons.”

    Yes, it’s like flogging a dead horse. In the case of Bucephalus, a long-dead horse.

  8. Zero self-reflection! 🙂

    Firefoxsays:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 3:00 pm
    “Comedy Gold!!!!

    I just spat my coffee across the roof.”

    ***

    Yeah well I reckon Buce is wrong almost all the time but that was going too far hey.

  9. “Zero self-reflection!”

    ***

    No, it’s not the same as me telling the truth about Biden voting for the Iraq War. Not even remotely close. The truth is the truth.

  10. A combination of drugs touted by US president Donald Trump as an “extremely successful” Covid-19 treatment increases the chances of death among patients by 27 per cent, a study has found.

    Hydoxychloroquine, an anti-malarial drug also promoted by Brazilian president Jair Bolsanaro, has no impact on coronavirus mortality rates, concluded French scientists. But when patients were treated with the drug as well as with the antibiotic azithromycin, which Mr Trump had also recommended, rate of death rose by more than a quarter, the study found.

    US government virus expert Dr Anthony Fauci has previously dismissed hydoxychloroquine as a potential coronavirus treatment, but Mr Trump has defied his own publish health officials to repeatedly defend its use.

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-hydroxychloroquine-azithromycin-trump-bolsonaro-deaths-study-a9690521.html?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1598502511

  11. I finally became convinced that the theory of creation actually had a much better scientific basis than the theory of evolution, for the creation model was actually better able to explain the physical and biological complexity in the world.

    Roy Spencer 2011

    Crank’s expert has expertise in more than one field

  12. frednk @ #1438 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 2:47 pm


    mundo says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:43 pm
    ..

    It’s deepest instincts haven’t changed. There’s just one actually.
    To keep Labor out of government.
    That’s it.

    I would have once agreed, there seems to be a bit of religious fever creeping in.

    Tend to agree but I don’t think it runs that deep.

  13. Victoria, I am not surprised what John Hewson says is correct. This mob are only interested in getting re-elected. They don’t want to actually do anything when in government. (After all they are the government of small government). When you believe that the ‘market’ will fix anything, all you have to do is make sure nothing gets in the way of the market doing it’s job. This may mean stuffing the environment or giving money/tax breaks to businesses or keeping the workers in their place. Then just sit back and see how well things turn out.

  14. Hewson is the Al Gore of Australian politics except he never held a position of power.

    I may be wrong but I doubt he has any idea about whether the Federal LNP is going to an election footing – which it won’t be.

    Relevance Deprivation syndrome.

  15. Prof. Peter Doherty
    @ProfPCDoherty
    ·
    4h
    Will they buy back the Port of Darwin and other investments that were likely sourced from Chinese Govt funds? Morrison government set to target Victorian ‘belt and road’ agreement under sweeping new legislation https://theconversation.com/morrison-government-set-to-target-victorian-belt-and-road-agreement-under-sweeping-new-legislation-145124?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=bylinetwitterbutton via
    @ConversationEDU
    Morrison government set to target Victorian ‘belt and road’ agreement under sweeping new legislation
    The Morrison government will introduce legislation to enable it to review and cancel agreements state, territory and local governments and public universities have entered with foreign governments.
    theconversation.com

  16. Stephanie Anderson
    @stephanieando
    ·
    2h
    “The last time Scott Morrison held anything with conviction was a lump of coal he carried into Parliament.”

    Labor leader @AlboMP, speaking at the #npc in Canberra.

  17. Of course, by the time she’s eligible to run, AoC will likely have been abandoned by the far left and denounced as another establishment neo-liberal – at least, she will if she’s actually willing to do all the compromises and dirty dealing one must to effect positive change in America, which so far it seems she is.

    A lot of her hype is purely online and a not-insignificant portion of that online hype is from reply-guys who are gonna lose interest in her by the time she hits her 40s.

    So she either needs to get moving quickly and hope for the best, or build coalitions and get some tangible political experience under her belt because her current base is as shaky as a house of cards.

  18. Vogon Poet @ #1468 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 3:17 pm

    I finally became convinced that the theory of creation actually had a much better scientific basis than the theory of evolution, for the creation model was actually better able to explain the physical and biological complexity in the world.

    Roy Spencer 2011

    Crank’s expert has expertise in more than one field

    Some people end up with Doctorate’s because they were the strange, weird little guy with no social life.

  19. Bucephalus @ #1473 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 3:23 pm

    Hewson is the Al Gore of Australian politics except he never held a position of power.

    I may be wrong but I doubt he has any idea about whether the Federal LNP is going to an election footing – which it won’t be.

    Relevance Deprivation syndrome.

    John Hewson has more accomplishments and brains in his little finger than you will ever possess in your mean little life:

    Hewson was born in Sydney. He has a doctorate in economics from Johns Hopkins University, and also has degrees from the University of Sydney and the University of Regina. Before entering politics, Hewson worked for periods as an economist for the Reserve Bank of Australia, as an economic advisor to the Fraser Government, as a business journalist, and as a director of the Macquarie Bank.

    …In 1995, Hewson was invited to join IT&T Services as a non-executive director in one of his few private enterprise successes. IT&T was a specialist IT and telecommunications design and project management group who delivered major technology projects for both corporate and government clients such as Citigroup, Department of Defence, News Limited and Ernst & Young across the Asia Pacific region. IT&T Services was acquired by public company Powerlan Ltd in 2000.[36] He became Professor of Management at Macquarie University, Sydney, and Dean of the Macquarie Graduate School of Management in 2002 but resigned within two years. While at Macquarie University, he also served as a consultant to ABN AMRO.

    …Since circa 2005, Hewson has been a member of the Trilateral Commission,[39] an alliance of top political and economic leaders from North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. He is Chairman of General Security Australia Insurance Brokers Pty Ltd.[40]

    In December 2012, Hewson was appointed as a non-executive director of Larus Energy, an oil and gas company developing operations in Papua New Guinea

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Hewson#:~:text=John%20Robert%20Hewson%20AM%20%28born%2028%20October%201946%29,1993%20federal%20election.%20Hewson%20was%20born%20in%20Sydney.

  20. Buce is showing us a preview of what the LNP will argue about climate change when Biden is President.

    Thanks to the LNP Australia will stand out like Tony Abbott at the beach.

  21. Charles P. Pierce
    @CharlesPPierce
    ·
    57m
    There are 60 refineries and/or petrochemical plants right in #Laura’s path. I’m sure that, having been deregulated, their owners have kept their safety standards high because capitalism.

  22. Someone saying that Dan Andrews has caused suicides.

    Coroners Court of Victoria
    @CoronersVic
    ·
    9h
    The first monthly suicide data report released by
    @CoronersVic shows no increase in Victorian suicides under COVID-19. Read the report here: http://bit.ly/2G17vFH

  23. Tens of thousands of chickens and an untold number of emus will be euthanased as Victoria battles multiple bird flu outbreaks.

    Key points:
    Six Victorian farms are dealing with bird flu outbreaks, which could result in a $23m loss for an ASX-listed company
    One of the impacted farms is home to 8,000 emus, some of which will have to be euthanased
    Containment zones have been established, and farmers nearby are growing increasingly nervous for their flocks
    A strain of the virus was first detected at a free-range egg farm in Lethbridge, north-west of Geelong, in late July.

    Agriculture Victoria says three different strains of the virus have been detected, meaning that the outbreaks are not all connected.

    The biggest operation hit so far is ASX-listed company, Farm Pride.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-08-27/emus-and-chickens-being-culled-as-bird-flu-in-victoria-worsens/12601422

  24. Firefox

    There’s a difference between passion and impact, between being passionate and being out of control.

    As a teacher, if you can hear someone yelling through three classroom walls, you know whoever it is has totally lost it and shouldn’t still be in a classroom.

    Yelling at people is about the least effective way to get them on side.

    The most effective communicators can do passion without it.

  25. Lizzie,
    if you want to read about a crazy terrifying process. Have a read up on fractional distillation or better yet watch a you tube video on it. Those refineries heat crude oil and then condense it at difference temperatures to exact different length hydrocarbons. It’s terrifyingly dangerous during normal weather.

    Hopefully smart plant operators will have wound down production and hardened facilities. The real risk is that most of these processing plants have pipes that run directly to oil pumps extracting constantly.

  26. Screaming front page headlines in DT & Oz that China (and Victoria’s Belt & Road) is indeed the target:

    A series of new foreign policy and defence announcements made this year aren’t attacks on China, Prime Minister Scott Morrison said, but he didn’t fully refute the suggestion new laws to revoke agreements between states and foreign governments were about China.

    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6897833/new-foreign-deals-legislation-not-an-attack-on-china-pm/?cs=14350

  27. Isn’t Australia’s strategic fuel reserve stored in this part of the US? What a stupid move by Morrison.

    lizzie says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 3:53 pm
    Charles P. Pierce
    @CharlesPPierce

    There are 60 refineries and/or petrochemical plants right in #Laura’s path. I’m sure that, having been deregulated, their owners have kept their safety standards high because capitalism.

  28. Victoria

    “ The Morrison government will introduce legislation to enable it to review and cancel agreements state, territory and local governments and public universities have entered with foreign governments.
    theconversation.com”
    ————-
    Despite their total failure in protecting Australians from the import of the Covid virus and their total failure to protect aged Australians in care homes, it looks like the LNP are gearing up for an election based on “protecting” us from the Chinese Government!!

  29. Lizzie, Please don’t try to confuse people with FACTs. Especially if they are stated by people of authority, like coroners.

    By the way, I too despair over the watering down of environmental safeguards. What is it about the LNP wanting to wreck the environment ALL the time?

  30. Zerlosays: Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 4:16 pm

    Forbes@Forbes

    Jeff Bezos becomes the first person ever worth $200 billion http://on.forbes.com/6012GWfY2

    *********************************************************

    What is the poverty rate in the US 2020?

    9.2 percent

    We project that the poverty rate for 2020 will be 9.2 percent, with the rate for white, non-Hispanic people at 6.6 percent; the rate for Black, non-Hispanic people at 15.2 percent; and the rate for Hispanic people at 13.8 percent.

  31. PeeBee

    Oh, didn’t you get the memo? The ‘environment’ only exists so that it can be bought and sold, dug up, chopped down, drained or altered in order to provide profit for the “good guys”: the conservatives. This includes all the creatures that live above or under the earth.

  32. All this discussion about China influence in Australia.

    We have had a body to deal with that. It’s called the Foreign Investment Review Board.

    We don’t need to reinvent the wheel.

    AR

    Yes that’s the problem for the denialists. There is a time line for reality to impact.

  33. Firefox:

    Way to shift the goalposts. What on earth does Biden position on Iraq have to do with whether or not Sanders’ opinions on Cuba’s literacy programs open him up to attack from Republicans? You know, the thing we were originally talking about?

    If your point is that CNN failed to hold Biden to similar standards about his positions on Iraq and subsequent attempts to distance himself, you could not be more wrong.

    Yes, “establishment journalist Anderson Cooper” (everything’s a conspiracy, isn’t it?) was the one who asked about it, but that doesn’t mean Bernie had to double down on his decades old statement. He had the perfect out – it happened nearly forty years ago! “At the time, I was not fully informed of the realities of the Cuban regime, while I was correct about the positives of their literacy program, I realise it pales in comparison to the suffering endured by millions and was an insensitive thing to say, bla bla bla.”

    I’m not going to defend the Iraq war, no anyone who voted for it. It was the wrong decision, and had devastating consequences. But I think it’s a far cry to call anyone who voted for it a war criminal, particularly when they were going off of dodgy information at the time. (Now, Bush, Cheney, Blair, et al on the other hand…)

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