Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention

Essential Research finds public support for governments’ handling of coronavirus not quite what it was, while Roy Morgan records the Coalition moving into a commanding lead.

As reported by The Guardian, the latest fortnightly Essential Research poll finds approval of Scott Morrison’s handling of COVID-19 at 61%, which is off from a high of 72% in June. Approval ratings for state governments in New South Wales as well as Victoria are also trending gently downwards, with both having lost two points in the past fortnight, leaving them at 59% and 47% respectively. The Western Australian government continues to lead the field on 84%, though this too is down two on last time, with due regard to the very small sample size.

The poll also suggests Australians are unsentimental about civil liberties in the face of COVID-19, with 65% favouring closing the border to all foreign travellers and 52% supporting dedicated quarantine facilities for convalescents. Concerning outbreaks at aged care clinics, 42% blamed the providers, 30% the federal goverment and 28% state governments, and 70% believed the situation had been aggravated by long-term under-funding. The poll also gauged support for taxpayers to underwrite new gas infrastructure at 27% for, 27% against and 32% for neither. The poll was conducted from 1068 respondents from Thursday to Sunday; the pollster will publish its full report will be published later today.

UPDATE: Full report here. It should be noted that the 61% approval rating for handling of COVID-19 related to “the government” rather than Scott Morrison.

We also had on Friday one of the occasional Roy Morgan polls on federal voting intention, which finds the Coalition lead out to 54-46 from 51.5-48.5 when the last such poll was published in mid-July. The Coalition is up 2.5% on the primary vote to 46%, with Labor down one to 32.5%, the Greens steady on 11% and One Nation up half a point to 3%. The poll was conducted over the previous two weekends by phone and online interviewing from a sample of 2841.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,705 comments on “Essential Research coronavirus latest, Roy Morgan federal voting intention”

Comments Page 29 of 35
1 28 29 30 35
  1. “Albo wouldn’t know what the deepest instincts of the Liberal Party are even if he had them shoved up his clacker in duplicate and braile.”

    I agree. The Liberal Party don’t do deep.

  2. “You don’t think that’s just a little disingenuous?

    The issue wasn’t the whether what he was saying was true, it was why in the everliving fuck he thought it was a good idea to bring it up in the first place.”

    ***

    Sanders was asked by an establishment backing journalist (CNN’s Anderson Cooper) about a comment he had made in the 1980s. He didn’t bring it up. Maybe you should watch the actual clip: https://youtu.be/TeYCIfmeW70

    The time for lying to people is over. The truth is the truth. Literacy programs are a good thing. The fact that we are even debating this when the Democratic nominee Biden authorised a war in which up to two and half million people died shows the utter absurdity of the situation and only highlights how hopelessly brainwashed and enslaved a large section of the American population is.

    Establishment’s response to Biden voting for the Iraq War: “oh it was just a mistake, lets give Bush a medal!”

    Establishment’s response to Sanders saying literacy programs are good: “OMG WE CANNOT LET THIS COMMUNIST BECOME PRESIDENT!!!!!”

    We live in a truly twisted, fucked up world.

  3. Tanya Plibersek
    @tanya_plibersek
    ·
    4m
    Craig Kelly is at it again – peddling dangerous theories without any evidence. This time he’s doing it in the Parliament and the Libs refuse to call him out.

  4. David Jones foodhall in Elizabeth St closed, due to staff member with C19.

    After the gym at nearby City Tatts, this is serious for the well-heeled of Sydney!

  5. “for some reason it stopped warming in the last 10 years, which is one of those dirty little secrets of global warming science”
    Roy Spencer
    22 March 2012

    Crank’s expert is astoundingly good at statistics.
    Hoot hoot

  6. To every question, Morrison reels off a number of dollars spent.
    For all we know it has gone straight into the pockets of ma-a-ates. It’s not an answer.

  7. south @ #1364 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 1:20 pm

    When Albo says the labor party does reforms.
    He should then list.
    Medicare, Super, Hecs etc. Just to stamp it in.

    Every single time.
    Every.
    Single.
    Time.
    Many voters have forgotten or never knew just how much of what they take for granted as modern Australia only exists because of Labor governments.

  8. Vogon Poet says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:10 pm

    ““for some reason it stopped warming in the last 10 years, which is one of those dirty little secrets of global warming science”
    Roy Spencer
    22 March 2012
    Crank’s expert is astoundingly good at statistics.
    Hoot hoot”

    Yes, it is called The Pause and was part of the coverup in Climategate. You guys still haven’t got over that.

  9. mundo @ #1406 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 2:17 pm

    south @ #1364 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 1:20 pm

    When Albo says the labor party does reforms.
    He should then list.
    Medicare, Super, Hecs etc. Just to stamp it in.

    Every single time.
    Every.
    Single.
    Time.
    Many voters have forgotten or never knew just how much of what they take for granted as modern Australia only exists because of Labor governments.

    …and let’s not forget Gregory Hunt’s favourite…the PBS….always out telling us how generous his mob are….
    The PBS, opposed by his party when introduced by Chifley…

  10. It is a little known fact that the extra carbon dioxide (and methane, an especially potent greenhouse gas) emitted by joggers accounts for close to 10% of the current Global Warming problem.”
    Roy Spencer
    20 June 2005

    Crank’s expert really has it nailed


  11. I provided a link showing the data that shows there is no increasing trend. In fact the long term trend line is slightly downwards to the eye but probably not enough to be statistically significant.

    That “trend” was over 150 years.

    Did he plot the errors of his “model,” so we can eyeball them for normally distributed errors or autocorrelation? Did he run a test for structural break to see if the trend has changed in recent years? Did he try to fit a different model that might capture an increase recently, and check to see if it fits the data better?

    If not, why not?

  12. Tim Watts MP
    @TimWattsMP
    ·
    4m
    Scott Morrison’s new strategy to avoid taking responsibility for his COVID-19 Aged Care crisis is to pass the buck to Greg Hunt to answer all questions about it in #qt.

    That’s Leadership.

  13. Firefox says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:03 pm

    Sanders is the Jeremy Corbyn of the US. Good luck trying to get him elected.

    I thought he might have been a bigger threat to Trump than Biden because I thought he’d have a bigger “get out the vote” effect. But I’ve changed my mind because I think plenty of Republicans and Independents will be happy to hold their nose and choose the Curate’s Egg that is Sleepy Joe.

  14. Spencer, has threatened to kill me. I argued to him about a particular graph assuming he knew something of maths and graphs. Typical misunderstanding where his frustration spilled over with a threat to kill me.

    I enventually asked a very simple question about how to read the graph and it dawned on me, I given him to much credit. It was the area under the graph that was important not the slope.

    When I pointed it out, crickets…..

  15. I’ve started to wonder – and yes, I’m a bit late in thinking this – what do the “warming climate deniers” gain from their continual denial of scientific reality? At a personal level? Or is it just to defeat the people they see as “lefties”?

  16. It just occurred to me, that Buce would approve of Tarrant’s action.

    Get an assault weapon. Tick
    Don’t agree with something. Tick
    Government not doing anything about you don’t agree with. Tick
    Do something about it yourself using assault weapon. Tick

  17. Rage is ANTI FASCISM
    @Bill19300155
    Kyle Rittenhouse as child. Actual picture. His parents are complicit.

    Just Remember, everyone plays a role model.

  18. a r says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:21 pm

    The data is at the link. The ACE data is a completely different type of data.

  19. “Kyle Rittenhouse as child. Actual picture. His parents are complicit.”

    ***

    I will say it again: we live in a truly twisted, fucked up world.

  20. PeeBee says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:31 pm

    “It just occurred to me, that Buce would approve of Tarrant’s action.”

    Fuck off you stupid git – and that’s my polite response.

  21. Bucephalus @ #1422 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 2:32 pm

    The data is at the link. The ACE data is a completely different type of data.

    The ACE data is the correct data to use if you want to determine whether or not “the weather has gotten worse”. I’ve already explained that the data at your link is arbitrarily cherry-picked. You’re applying a random filter to the data because its randomness just happens to coincide with your preconceived bias.

    The reality is there’s more energy in the system, not less (or even the same). That some of it has tended to miss Louisiana specifically is random luck on Louisiana’s part, not evidence against climate change.

  22. Lizzie, the climate deniers I come across are usually on the simpler side of average. It makes them look smart challenging real scientists and draws attention to themselves.

  23. The Liberal party today is a far different animal to the Liberal party 20 years ago. Does anybody know what the Liberal parties deepest instincts are.

    Why isn’t Albo the best guy to have a go at guessing?

  24. Buce, ‘Fuck off you stupid git – and that’s my polite response’

    I guess it hurts when you are outed.

    Changed your mind about the 17 year old in America?

  25. frednk @ #1427 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 2:40 pm

    The Liberal party today is a far different animal to the Liberal party 20 years ago. Does anybody know what the Liberal parties deepest instincts are.

    Why isn’t Albo the best guy to have a go at guessing?

    It’s deepest instincts haven’t changed. There’s just one actually.
    To keep Labor out of government.
    That’s it.

  26. PeeBee

    I spose the best example is Malcolm Roberts, who hangs on to his “superior knowledge” like a toothless dog with a bone he can’t chew.


  27. Bucephalus says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:40 pm

    How is using the full record of all recorded hurricanes to make landfall in Louisiana cherry picking?

    As hurricanes are moving further northI am surprised the number hasn’t fallen. It’s cheery picking for sure. Bullshitting doesn’t make the problem go away.

    Aren’t you the guy that was trying to convince me destroying Melbourne and all that live there would be ok because 99% of Australian cites would not be effected.

  28. Careful Alex’s nag,

    You’re Qanon credentials are starting to show! 🙂

    Bucephalussays:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:19 pm
    Vogon Poet says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:10 pm

    ““for some reason it stopped warming in the last 10 years, which is one of those dirty little secrets of global warming science”
    Roy Spencer
    22 March 2012
    Crank’s expert is astoundingly good at statistics.
    Hoot hoot”

    Yes, it is called The Pause and was part of the coverup in Climategate. You guys still haven’t got over that.

  29. lizzie @ #1419 Thursday, August 27th, 2020 – 2:30 pm

    I’ve started to wonder – and yes, I’m a bit late in thinking this – what do the “warming climate deniers” gain from their continual denial of scientific reality? At a personal level? Or is it just to defeat the people they see as “lefties”?

    A sense of superiority.
    Delight in fucking others about. Clinging to imaginary old values.
    Narcissism – zero length X zero height X zero depth.
    Your guess now —

  30. “I think…we may see very little warming in the future”
    Roy Spencer
    22 March 2012

    Crank’s expert would never cherry pick to support his crank views ?

  31. I have QT muted, but every time I look, Greg Hunt has the starring role. Must be very comforting for Morrison to have a blather artist to deputise for him in his answers.

  32. PeeBee says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:28 pm

    I’m not surprised he made the threat given the shit you write.

    Do you think you are smarter or better qualified than him?

    Do you think he doesn’t know anything about meteorology, atmospheric physics or climate change?

    He doesn’t have a PhD, hasn’t worked for NASA or world leading universities?


  33. mundo says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:43 pm
    ..

    It’s deepest instincts haven’t changed. There’s just one actually.
    To keep Labor out of government.
    That’s it.

    I would have once agreed, there seems to be a bit of religious fever creeping in.

  34. Comedy Gold!!!!

    I just spat my coffee across the roof. 🙂

    Firefoxsays:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:44 pm
    “Fuck off you stupid git – and that’s my polite response.”

    ***

    And an appropriate response too. PB went way too far.

  35. I’ve started to wonder – and yes, I’m a bit late in thinking this – what do the “warming climate deniers” gain from their continual denial of scientific reality? At a personal level? Or is it just to defeat the people they see as “lefties”?

    If a species can believe in sky fairies it can deny climate change.

  36. lizzie says:
    Thursday, August 27, 2020 at 2:47 pm

    Malcolm Roberts is an idiot. Even Hanson appears smart sometimes compared to him.

  37. Victorian Premier Dan Andrews has sledged the Prime Minister’s threat to tear up the state’s agreements with China by sharply observing he’s more focused on fighting COVID-19.

    Rejecting claims that the state’s infrastructure deal with China known as the Belt and Road Initiative was a threat to national security, he challenged the Prime Minister to come up with some alternatives if he planned to scrap the investment.

    Mr Andrews’ not-so-subtle gibe at the Prime Minister’s priorities was offered after he revealed he had only been briefed on the proposal last night.

    “Well, look, if the Prime Minister has time to be doing those things, that’s fine for him,” Mr Andrews said.

    “I don’t. I’m exclusively focused on fighting this virus.”

    Mr Andrews added that he hoped the Prime Minister had some alternatives in mind if he planned to stop investment programs so that the state was not left worse off.

    “Given the announcements the Prime Minister has made today he will no doubt be able to list the full range of other free trade agreements and other markets that we’ll be sending Victorian products to. I’ll look forward to that,” Mr Andrews said.

    “Presumably this approach will include quite soon a very detailed list of alternative trading arrangements, alternative free trade agreements, alternative markets. I’ll leave that to the PM to announce, but presumably that’s coming and coming pretty quickly.”

    https://www.news.com.au/national/victoria/politics/coronavirus-victoria-daniel-andrews-sledges-pm-scott-morrison/news-story/e2b24f24eccc61a8efb1a922e1643875#.950mz

  38. Buce, ‘Do you think you are smarter or better qualified than him?’

    Never said I was. He made a fundamental error and could not accept that he was wrong. What was worse, he was wrong on a fundamental concept, which I assumed he would know.

Comments Page 29 of 35
1 28 29 30 35

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *