Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: June-August

A still greater Coalition lead in Queensland underwrites its modest ascendancy in Newspoll over recent months, according to newly published breakdowns.

The Australian today brings us the latest set of breakdowns from three months’ accumulation of Newspoll results, and the second to be published since its ambit was extended beyond state, age and gender to education, income, language and religion. Highlights:

• Labor is credited with a lead of 51-49 in New South Wales, compared with 50-50 in the April-June quarter and 51.8-48.2 to the Coalition at the election, and its lead in Victoria is out to 56-44, compared with 55-45 and 53.1-46.9. Once again though, Queensland is Labor’s sticking point, with the Coalition lead recorded at 59-41, compared with 56-44 last quarter and 58.4-41.6 at the election. The Coalition leads 54-46 in Western Australia, compared with 55-45 last quarter and 55.6-44.4 at the election, and is now at level pegging in South Australia, compared with 53-47 to Labor last poll and 50.7-49.3 to Labor at the election.

• The Coalition leads 53-47 among men and trails 51-49 among women, compared with 52-48 to the Coalition among men and 52-48 to Labor among women last quarter.

• The age effect is a little more modest in the latest poll, with Labor leading 58-42 among the 18-34s and 53-47 among the 35-49s, respectively compared with 62-38 and 52-48 last quarter. The Coalition leads 54-46 among the 50-64s and 63-37 among the 65-plus, compared with 53-47 and 62-38 last quarter.

• Whereas the result was a perfect 50-50 among each of the three education cohorts last time, this time the Coalition leads 53-47 among those with no tertiary qualifications and 51-49 among those with TAFE and technical qualifications, while Labor leads 52-48 among those with university degrees.

• The last poll has 50-50 splits among the three lowest income cohorts, whereas the Coalition leads 57-43 among those with household incomes of $150,000 or higher. Last quarter, it was 50-50 among those on $50,000 or lower, 52-48 to the Labor among those on $50,000 to $100,000, 52-48 to the Coalition on those from $100,000 to $150,000, and 53-47 to the Coalition on $150,000 and higher.

• The Coalition leads 52-48 among those who speak only English at home, out from 51-49, and Labor leads 56-44 among non-English speakers, in from 57-43.

• The Coalition leads 60-40 among Christians, out from 58-42, and Labor leads 57-43 among those with no religion, in from 58-42.

The full results can be viewed here, I think without a paywall. The results are compiled from YouGov’s Newspoll surveys from June 3 to August 8, with a combined sample of 6392.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,230 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: June-August”

Comments Page 61 of 65
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  1. ItzaDream @ #2990 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 4:52 pm

    Here’s the abortion cells are ethically compromised letter, with three signatories.

    https://twitter.com/cokeefe9/status/1297777711004360706

    It’s a pretty poor effort imo. It gives me no concept of how they think this is bad. Using phrases like ‘little girl’ betrays the need to use emotion as some adjunct to the inexplicable. Self promotion along the lines that they encouraged people to comply with COVID restrictions at their own expense ($ !!) without mentioning or giving thanks for jobseeker adds zip to their abortion cells are ethically compromised stance, in fact further suggests they are feeling they’re on weak ground.

    If anyone here supports this stance, I would seriously welcome an explanation. I do not understand how the products of an abortion are (in the best words I can find atm) sinful. It’s not like the foetus aborted itself. That’s a miscarriage, which afaik, isn’t sinful.

    I would have thought using the cells to do good would be a desired outcome. But no.

    Giving fertile ground to the anti vaxers as I said earlier. Poor decision

  2. Pretty damning state of affairs in para one of Witness 16’s statement at the Quarantine Inquiry:

    “I make this statement anonymously, as I am concerned that if my identity became
    known publicly it would affect my ongoing ability to get work in the Security
    industry, and because it contains personal information, including personal
    medical information”.

    They need a glossary for all the security companies’ names.

  4. The most unique part of VicHealth is the rejection of the Rudd/Gillard reform to establish Local Health Districts.
    The plan was to have health organisations which would have a holistic approach to publicly funded health services over populations of 250K +. These organisations would have enough resources to approach public health issues locally and professionally.
    The number of LHDs per state are approx:
    NSW 16
    Qld 14
    SA 3
    WA 4
    Tas 3
    ACT 1
    NT 2
    Vic 89
    It is unsustainable for Vic to have 89 public health units, so public health was centralised and became a hollow log.
    This explains much of the different responses to outbreaks. I suspect the commission does not have the TOR to get to this conclusion
    Why did Victoria reject this reform? I don’t know but suspect the government faced a backlash from the proposal to sack small local boards. NSW had already amalgamated and had weathered the protests of abolishing all boards – it had to reinstate boards to comply with the Rudd reforms.

  7. Maryanne Slattery
    @MaryanneSlatte1
    ·
    7m
    The Chair of the ‘Independent’ MDBA on a National Party promo for a unjustifiable Dam that will render the Basin Plan worthless, at least in the Lachlan valley.

    At least they’ve stopped pretending to be independent.

  8. Just like Parramatta is on the Northern Beaches.

    Nope. Double wrong because when you say “northern Beaches” I think you are referring to the “North Shore” in that comparison. Even then…. wrong. But anywhose, it would be more like saying people in Parramatta and Northern Beaches are from Sydney – people in Peats Ridge and Wamberal are from the Central Coast.

    You said it yourself, peeps up there go to Tuggerah Westfields for shopping instead of Hornsby. Even tho a similar distance. Damned if I know how anybody can go to Tuggerah regularly and stay sane. The place is a hell hole.

    And…. the cricket team from up there play at Adcock Park.

    And…. the Avon lady lived in Ourimbah.

  10. Simon Katich @ #3007 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 5:09 pm

    Just like Parramatta is on the Northern Beaches.

    Nope. Double wrong because when you say “northern Beaches” I think you are referring to the “North Shore” in that comparison. Even then…. wrong. But anywhose, it would be more like saying people in Parramatta and Northern Beaches are from Sydney – people in Peats Ridge and Wamberal are from the Central Coast.

    You said it yourself, peeps up there go to Tuggerah Westfields for shopping instead of Hornsby. Even tho a similar distance. Damned if I know how anybody can go to Tuggerah regularly and stay sane. The place is a hell hole.

    And…. the cricket team from up there play at Adcock Park.

    And…. the Avon lady lived in Ourimbah.

    Yabba just hates it when he falls flat on his face after one of his smart aleck replies. So he shifts the goalposts, like he did today, to ‘it doesn’t matter anyway, it’s no big deal’. 😐

  11. Hopefully the VQ inquiry can get some more heavy hitting evidence than from Kaan Ofli. His issues although important to him are, by and large, personal.

    Give the criticisms of DHHS, they will have to respond in the inquiry.

  16. C@tmommasays:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 4:36 pm

    “Just like WA, itself, who regularly gets out the begging bowl for the Eastern States to hand over our hard-earned to keep them afloat. Especially when the Liberals are in power! ”

    Complete utter garbage.

  17. Media Watch
    @ABCmediawatch
    ·
    9m
    Tonight on #MediaWatch:

    The Prime Minister’s vaccine ‘deal’.

    The news Seven West rejects.

    The independent newspapers surviving in the bush.

    And a lesson for all journalists – don’t believe the press release.

  19. This is embarrassing

    See new Tweets
    Conversation
    Dee Madigan
    @deemadigan
    This is the most extraordinary story.

    The Parramatta Ferries
    @GladysB
    got built overseas, wont fit under a couple of bridges if passengers are on the top deck.

    So every time the ferry approaches the bridges, passengers will be asked to go to lower decks.

    I kid you not!

  21. Victoria says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 5:32 pm

    This is embarrassing

    No, it’s not. The attempt to make a “story” out of this really is a joke.

  22. JM
    “I am genuinely surprised at how badly the CLP have done this time, and their handling of the result has been dismal and juvenile. Lia Finocchario, among others, is clearly a less substantial politician than I had previously thought.”

    Yes me too. Being optimistic is one thing. But the leaders of losing major parties conceding defeat on election night is a convention within democratic elections for good reason. It is an acknowledgement that the election process is legitimate, and that there will be no challenge to the result. It enables governmetn to continue smoothly.

    There is more to the concession speech than tradition and smooth functioning government. It is also a test of the leader’s character. How can someone who wants to be leader of a state or country be expected to make tough decisions in office, if they can’t even admit defeat when it is obvious? It suggests they are unfit for that role.

  24. Buce

    It is a big joke. Fancy ferries not fitting properly under the bridges it is supposed to travel through.

    It is beyond embarrassing.

  25. “There is more to the concession speech than tradition and smooth functioning government. It is also a test of the leader’s character. How can someone who wants to be leader of a state or country be expected to make tough decisions in office, if they can’t even admit defeat when it is obvious? It suggests they are unfit for that role.”

    ***

    The same can be said for the “victory” speech. Remember how poorly Turnbull came across during his tantrum after the DD election didn’t go according to his plans?

  27. “got built overseas, wont fit under a couple of bridges if passengers are on the top deck.”

    ***

    Seriously? They didn’t think to measure the things?

  29. Victoria @ #3017 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 3:32 pm

    This is embarrassing

    See new Tweets
    Conversation
    Dee Madigan
    @deemadigan
    This is the most extraordinary story.

    The Parramatta Ferries
    @GladysB
    got built overseas, wont fit under a couple of bridges if passengers are on the top deck.

    So every time the ferry approaches the bridges, passengers will be asked to go to lower decks.

    I kid you not!

    How do they go at high tide?

    In Ho Chi Minh City there is a low rail bridge over the Saigon River.

    At high tide boats have to stop and wait for the water level to fall so they can pass under it. 🙂

  35. Samantha Maiden
    @samanthamaiden
    Not good enough: PM’s virus admission
    ‘Not good enough’: PM’s virus admission
    Scott Morrison has been bluntly asked “how many more aged care residents need to die” of COVID-19 before he accepts responsibility after his admission that some of the care offered was not good…
    news.com.au

  37. Campbell Newman’s government bought new Brisbane trains from India that failed a whole lot of legal requirements, including disability access. The Labor government has had to spend a motza fixing them up.

  38. Greensborough Growler @ #2998 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 4:54 pm

    ItzaDream @ #2993 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 4:52 pm

    Here’s the abortion cells are ethically compromised letter, with three signatories.

    https://twitter.com/cokeefe9/status/1297777711004360706

    It’s a pretty poor effort imo. It gives me no concept of how they think this is bad. Using phrases like ‘little girl’ betrays the need to use emotion as some adjunct to the inexplicable. Self promotion along the lines that they encouraged people to comply with COVID restrictions at their own expense ($ !!) without mentioning or giving thanks for jobseeker adds zip to their abortion cells are ethically compromised stance, in fact further suggests they are feeling they’re on weak ground.

    If anyone here supports this stance, I would seriously welcome an explanation. I do not understand how the products of an abortion are (in the best words I can find atm) sinful. It’s not like the foetus aborted itself. That’s a miscarriage, which afaik, isn’t sinful.

    I would have thought using the cells to do good would be a desired outcome. But no.

    The first step towards developing the Soylent Green indsutry.

    That doesn’t answer the question GG which, to rephrase, is why are aborted foetal cells ethically ‘tainted’.

    My presumption is they believe the cells are compromised because abortion is seen (by them) as murder. The extension of that is that you couldn’t use George Floyd’s organs for transplants; he was murdered. If Oxford were paying women to get pregnant to have abortions to harvest foetal cells, I can see some ethical questions, but otherwise, it looks to me like simply abortion bad therefore let there be no good come of it, even if good there be.

  42. Victoria says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 5:41 pm

    “It is a big joke. Fancy ferries not fitting properly under the bridges it is supposed to travel through.”

    No, it’s not. The two bridges on one leg are very low. The choice was have no seating at all on the upper deck or ask passengers to come down for one leg. It’s an excellent compromise.

  43. ItzaDream @ #3036 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 6:02 pm

    Greensborough Growler @ #2998 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 4:54 pm

    ItzaDream @ #2993 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 4:52 pm

    Here’s the abortion cells are ethically compromised letter, with three signatories.

    https://twitter.com/cokeefe9/status/1297777711004360706

    It’s a pretty poor effort imo. It gives me no concept of how they think this is bad. Using phrases like ‘little girl’ betrays the need to use emotion as some adjunct to the inexplicable. Self promotion along the lines that they encouraged people to comply with COVID restrictions at their own expense ($ !!) without mentioning or giving thanks for jobseeker adds zip to their abortion cells are ethically compromised stance, in fact further suggests they are feeling they’re on weak ground.

    If anyone here supports this stance, I would seriously welcome an explanation. I do not understand how the products of an abortion are (in the best words I can find atm) sinful. It’s not like the foetus aborted itself. That’s a miscarriage, which afaik, isn’t sinful.

    I would have thought using the cells to do good would be a desired outcome. But no.

    The first step towards developing the Soylent Green indsutry.

    That doesn’t answer the question GG which, to rephrase, is why are aborted foetal cells ethically ‘tainted’.

    My presumption is they believe the cells are compromised because abortion is seen (by them) as murder. The extension of that is that you couldn’t use George Floyd’s organs for transplants; he was murdered. If Oxford were paying women to get pregnant to have abortions to harvest foetal cells, I can see some ethical questions, but otherwise, it looks to me like simply abortion bad therefore let there be no good come of it, even if good there be.

    I understand you see it as another sunrise industry. You’ve obviously read the glossy brochure.

    I just would rather it did not happen and alternativeswere explored.

  44. Isn’t there a clear boundary between Northern Beaches and the Central Coast like a river or something.

    An attitudinal latitude.

  45. Mexicanbeemer @ #3035 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 6:00 pm

    Isn’t there a clear boundary between Northern Beaches and the Central Coast like a river or something.

    The Hawkesbury River.

    Even then, people who live on the islands in the Hawkesbury consider themselves Central Coasties and they are in the seat of Robertson, based on the Central Coast.

  46. Bucephalus @ #3040 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 4:09 pm

    Victoria says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 5:41 pm

    “It is a big joke. Fancy ferries not fitting properly under the bridges it is supposed to travel through.”

    No, it’s not. The two bridges on one leg are very low. The choice was have no seating at all on the upper deck or ask passengers to come down for one leg. It’s an excellent compromise.

    What happens if there’s no room downstairs?

  48. Bucephalus @ #3042 Monday, August 24th, 2020 – 6:09 pm

    Victoria says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 5:41 pm

    “It is a big joke. Fancy ferries not fitting properly under the bridges it is supposed to travel through.”

    No, it’s not. The two bridges on one leg are very low. The choice was have no seating at all on the upper deck or ask passengers to come down for one leg. It’s an excellent compromise.

    Chortle

  49. Barney in Tanjung Bunga says:
    Monday, August 24, 2020 at 6:11 pm

    What happens if there’s no room downstairs?

    You think the ferry crews are morons?

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